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Eric Karga

MLK Weekend Thread: Bad Boys 62.5/73.03 (2nd biggest January debut) | Dolittle 21.84/28.3 | 1917 21.98/26.9

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What happens to the internet if KNIVES OUT tops RISE OF SKYWALKER’s weekend gross in a couple weeks? 😈

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Deadline numbers seem off. A-56% drop for Little Women?

 

i see that they counted the multiplier wrong lol. A 3m weekend after a 1.6m Friday? LOL

Edited by BestPicturePlutoNash
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There is no way that it is not hitting a $70,000,000 four the four day with a $60,000,000 three day. Even Glass managed to gross $6,000,000 on Martin Luther King Jr Day from a $9,000,000 Sunday. Grossing $10,000,000 on Monday is really not going to be a struggle. A $30,000,000 four day for Doolittle from a $6,000,000 Friday with that CinemaScore really is not sensible either. That means that they are projecting an increase for it on Monday, which is impossible. They really have the worst analysis, and their numbers are not reasonable. 

Edited by PenguinHyphy

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10 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

https://deadline.com/2020/01/bad-boys-for-life-dolittle-1917-weekend-box-office-1202833726/

Box Office For Jan. 17-20

thumb rank film dis. screens (chg) friday(vs. prev fri) 3-day 4-day tl wk
bad-boys-4-life.jpg?resize=500%2C281 1 Bad Boys For Life Sony 3,775 $23.3M $59.3M $68.4M $68.4M 1
dolittle.jpg?resize=500%2C281 2 Dolittle Uni 4,155 $6.2M $23M $30.6M $30.6M 1
1917-war-scene.jpg?resize=500%2C281 3 1917 Uni/Amb/NR 3,612 (+178) $6.2M (-55%) $22.3M (-40%) $27.2M $81.9M 4
jumanji-the-next-level-image.jpg?resize= 4 Jumanji: Next Level Sony 3,323 (-581) $2.2M (-32%) $10M (-29%) $12.85M $273.8M 6
star-wars-rise-of-skywalker.jpg?resize=5 5 SW: Rise of Skywalker Dis 3,058 (-1221) $2M (-49%) $8.3M (-45%)  $10.3M $493.9M 5
donotusebefore-aug20-justmercy_0hero.jpg 6 Just Mercy WB 2,457 (+82) $1.7M (-52%) $5.8M (-40%) $7.27M $20.9M 4
3-3.jpg?resize=500%2C281 7 Little Women Sony 2,503 (-713) $1.6M (-25%) $3.46M (-56%) $6.4M $84.9M 4
knives-out.jpg?resize=500%2C281 8 Knives Out LG/MRC 1,667 (-363) $1.1M (-33%) $4.39M (-22%) $5.56M $147.2M 8
like-a-boss-1.jpg?resize=500%2C281 9 Like a Boss Par 3,081 (+3) $1.2M (-67%) $4.4M (-56%) $5.3M $18.4M 2
frozen-dos-e1575648103863.jpg?resize=500 10 frozen 2 Dis 2,080 (-575) $748K (-39%) $3.5M (-41%) $4.7M $465.9M 9

 

 

They screwed up LW's multi - 3 day should be closer to their 4 day estimate of $6.4m

Seems like a... really high Monday for Dolittle does it not? Higher than Friday with previews? Really?

 

That's a perfectly reasonable extrapolation for Bad Boys given its Thursday/Friday ratio. Pretty much on par with Wick 3's hold so far, but Deadline is giving a slight edge to BB3 given the Monday holiday. Wouldn't be surprised if the official estimate is 60/70 for the 3/4-day, with actuals coming in slightly lower. 

 

Knives Out's run is still keeping me going ❤️ 

 

Somewhat disappointing for 1917, but it will still likely hold well the next few weeks. Awful for Just Mercy to be honest, it deserves way more. 

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1 minute ago, DAJK said:

Seems like a... really high Monday for Dolittle does it not? Higher than Friday with previews? Really?

 

That's a perfectly reasonable extrapolation for Bad Boys given its Thursday/Friday ratio. Pretty much on par with Wick 3's hold so far, but Deadline is giving a slight edge to BB3 given the Monday holiday. Wouldn't be surprised if the official estimate is 60/70 for the 3/4-day, with actuals coming in slightly lower. 

 

Knives Out's run is still keeping me going ❤️ 

 

Somewhat disappointing for 1917, but it will still likely hold well the next few weeks. Awful for Just Mercy to be honest, it deserves way more. 

Doolittle - Schools out on Monday, it wasn't on Friday and they're clearly extrapolating this as a family pic.

 

KO's run has been great. It would have been interesting to see the impact it if it had gotten a few deserved Oscar noms like Best Picture.

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Very disappointing sing-along Friday for Frozen. No appreciable boost whatsoever.   
 

It’s really been dropping hard since the holidays ended.

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22 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Very disappointing sing-along Friday for Frozen. No appreciable boost whatsoever.   
 

It’s really been dropping hard since the holidays ended.

Because it's not that good and the songs aren't memorable :ph34r: 

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22 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Very disappointing sing-along Friday for Frozen. No appreciable boost whatsoever.   
 

It’s really been dropping hard since the holidays ended.

Frozen theatre dropped. I don't think they even advertised sing along version. 

 

Disney marketing is becoming very weak lately. 

Except Captain Marvel, Avengers Endgame and Lion king marketing was very weak. 

 

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25 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

Frozen theatre dropped. I don't think they even advertised sing along version. 

 

Disney marketing is becoming very weak lately. 

Except Captain Marvel, Avengers Endgame and Lion king marketing was very weak. 

 

What about Aladdin & Toy Story 4?

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10 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

What about Aladdin & Toy Story 4?

Aladdin was probably one of the most mismanaged and poorly marketed movies of 2019. Easily the most mismanaged Disney one.

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19 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

What about Aladdin & Toy Story 4?

Alaadin recovered due to good wom and not marketing. 

They literally dumped the movie in end. Industry was expecting it to flop. 

No proper marketing worldwide. 

China loved the movie but it was dumped there hurting its potential. 

Aladdin actual box office should have been:

 

Domestic : 550m

Overseas :850m - 900m

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60m for BB3? After 17 years it just goes to show how much of a crowd pleaser Bad Boys 2 was in its day.

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2.2 for JUM2 is a very good Fri. May not get the 10m FSS Deadline is predicting but 9m seems feasible.

Fair hold for TROS too but 510+ at most imo after 8m 3-day.

LW lost many theaters but should still make it to 100.

FRZ2 not showing strong holds but 475-480 is huge.

Edited by a2k
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The fact that Dolittle is gonna do 30M 4 day OW speaks a lot about RDJ's star power.

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Damn didn't expect that high of an OW for Bad Boys. Sony's got another franchise on their hands to lean into. Frozen 2 they barely advertised the Sing-a-long version and it probably didn't help that it failed to get a nomination for Best Animated Feature at the Oscars.

 

Dolittle failing not a big surprise hope RDJ goes back to doing some dramas. 

Edited by Darth Lehnsherr
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As others pointed out, LW number makes no sense. It didn't lose that many theaters to justify this drop and multi from Friday doesn't compute. 

Edited by Valonqar

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24 minutes ago, CJohn said:

The fact that Dolittle is gonna do 30M 4 day OW speaks a lot about RDJ's star power.

His star power is summed up in 2 words: Tony Stark. and 2 more: Iron Man. That's basically star power today. Your franchise character. Means people won't follow you around if you don't play your franchise character. 

 

The only real star powers now are relics of the past eras such as Leo. Hollywood thought JLaw would be the new star power but that fizzled with the end of Hunger Games proving once again that franchise is everything. 

 

There are added values, though, actors who cannot open alone but power up as a group. Knives Out, for example. 

 

 

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2 hours ago, ViewerAnon said:

What happens to the internet if KNIVES OUT tops RISE OF SKYWALKER’s weekend gross in a couple weeks? 😈

Nothing. 

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2 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Very disappointing sing-along Friday for Frozen. No appreciable boost whatsoever.   
 

It’s really been dropping hard since the holidays ended.

It also came out in November. Seems perfectly normal to me.

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44 minutes ago, a2k said:

2.2 for JUM2 is a very good Fri. May not get the 10m FSS Deadline is predicting but 9m seems feasible.

Fair hold for TROS too but 510+ at most imo after 8m 3-day.

LW lost many theaters but should still make it to 100.

FRZ2 not showing strong holds but 475-480 is huge.

Didn't JUM 1/2 (the previous one) hold 16% on sunday because of the MLK weekend?  So I guess they think something like this:

F 2.2m

S 4.3m

S 3.5m

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