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Eric Karga

MLK Weekend Thread: Bad Boys 62.5/73.03 (2nd biggest January debut) | Dolittle 21.84/28.3 | 1917 21.98/26.9

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Just now, dudalb said:

I have a nasty habit of seeing reality rather then through a set of fanboy lenses.

And I was not the only one predicting Doolittle would bomb very badly.

Doesn't matter if you're not the only one. Repeating the same thing ad nauseum isn't endearing. It's annoying.

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2 minutes ago, dudalb said:

I have a nasty habit of seeing reality rather then through a set of fanboy lenses.

And I was not the only one predicting Doolittle would bomb very badly.

Same here, keeps me from being overly disappointed if something doesnt meet my already lower expectations. 

But your constant nagging isnt a positive behavior to be proud of. 

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42 minutes ago, dudalb said:

28m for a film with a 175 Million plus budget ...which means a break even point of 350 Million...is tragic .

Once again, to talk about how a film is doing at the box office without taking the film's cost into account is ridiculous.

I said overperformance. i.e. do better than thought it would do. I was expecting teen numbers.

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Dolittle better end with "and I... am... Dolittle" or I'm demanding my money back. 

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OMG 6 mill previews. Remember Bad Boys is R rated.  WOM from last night is spreading. Dolittle is DOA domestically with that budget, I guess they are hoping OS saves it.

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https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-bloodshot-i-still-believe-and-my-spy/

 

8-Week Tracking and Forecasts

Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Distributor
1/24/2020 The Gentlemen $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $11,000,000 -8% $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $35,000,000 -8% STX
1/24/2020 The Last Full Measure   n/a     n/a   Roadside Attractions
1/24/2020 The Turning $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,500,000 -4% $25,000,000 – $40,000,000 $32,000,000 -6% Universal
1/31/2020 Gretel and Hansel $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $5,500,000   $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $11,000,000   United Artists Releasing
1/31/2020 The Rhythm Section $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000   $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000   Paramount
2/7/2020 Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $49,000,000   $100,000,000 – $150,000,000 $125,000,000   Warner Bros.
2/14/2020 Fantasy Island $17,000,000 – $22,000,000 $17,000,000   $44,000,000 – $57,000,000 $44,000,000   Sony / Columbia
2/14/2020 The Photograph $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $15,000,000   $30,000,000 – $42,000,000 $35,000,000   Universal
2/14/2020 Sonic the Hedgehog $20,000,000 – $30,000,000 $26,000,000   $65,000,000 – $100,000,000 $86,000,000   Paramount
2/21/2020 Brahms: The Boy 2 $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $8,000,000   $15,000,000 – $28,000,000 $17,800,000   STX
2/21/2020 Call of the Wild $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $15,000,000   $50,000,000 – $65,000,000 $50,000,000   Fox
2/28/2020 The Invisible Man $20,000,000 – $40,000,000 $30,000,000   $60,000,000 – $105,000,000 $80,000,000   Universal
3/6/2020 Onward $50,000,000 – $70,000,000 $60,000,000   $175,000,000 – $250,000,000 $227,000,000   Disney / Pixar
3/6/2020 The Way Back $12,000,000 – $17,000,000 $13,000,000   $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $43,500,000   Warner Bros.
3/13/2020 Bloodshot $12,000,000 – $17,000,000 $14,000,000 NEW $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $36,000,000 NEW Sony / Columbia
3/13/2020 I Still Believe $16,000,000 – $21,000,000 $20,000,000 NEW $44,000,000 – $59,000,000 $55,000,000 NEW Lionsgate
3/13/2020 My Spy $8,000,000 – $13,000,000 $10,000,000 NEW $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 $36,000,000 NEW STX

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wouldn't surprise me if Bloodshot comes in under that

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1 hour ago, babz06 said:

I think it does around 100-120m overseas so similar to Gemini man numbers. 

Nah, this will do $50m in just Germany, UK and France. 

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Bad Boys 3 midnights over John Wick 3 or Hobbs & Shaw midnights is fucking impressive if you ask me. 

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Gonna be a rough few weeks until Birds of Prey gets here. I could see The Rhythm Section completely flopping The Kitchen style tbh.

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49 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Same here, keeps me from being overly disappointed if something doesnt meet my already lower expectations. 

But your constant nagging isnt a positive behavior to be proud of. 

This. I agree there. That might be even more annoying if it’s always about movies that bomb badly rather than breaking out, like Bad Boys 3 is doing now.

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Remember that time when Michael Bay was

Woke

Before everybody else.

In 1995.

With his casting of the movie Bad Boys.

Do you remember ?

Edited by The Futurist

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1 hour ago, dudalb said:

I have a nasty habit of seeing reality rather then through a set of fanboy lenses.

And I was not the only one predicting Doolittle would bomb very badly.

Fair enough. But it’s a rather unhealthy habit to think too much on movies that are failing rather than surprise hits. I agree with narnialadis, you’re repeating the exact same thing over and over with reality...way too much. 🤦🏻‍♀️

 

Move on and focus more on movies that...well, are more worth talking about, like the breakout-hits rather than those you constantly saying that will bomb. Cause let’s be honest: have you ever been wrong about certain movies that performed...way above expectations?

Edited by MrFanaticGuy34

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15 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Gonna be a rough few weeks until Birds of Prey gets here. I could see The Rhythm Section completely flopping The Kitchen style tbh.

Agreed. Hopefully Gentlemen does something but I seriously doubt it. Don't really see anything opening over 10M until BoP. Hopefully Bad Boys and 1917 have some nice legs to keep us interested. 

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56 minutes ago, Eric Dolittle said:

Doesn't matter if you're not the only one. Repeating the same thing ad nauseum isn't endearing. It's annoying.

Agreed. There’s a lot more to talk about rather than focus way too much on only one movie...(which usually are box office flops. And doodie-boy just keeps talking about how Dolittle will bomb. And I’m just like “Yeah, yeah, we get it already. No need to constantly care so much about the negative aspects of the box office bomb, and instead move on to something better like a surprise hit like Bad Boys 3 now for example”.

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1 hour ago, dudalb said:

20 Million up front money.

WSJ: Mr. Downey is set to receive a share of the film’s box-office revenues, in addition to a $20 million salary, according to a person familiar with the deal. Now rare, such sweetheart deals were once regularly awarded to Hollywood’s top stars, allowing them to receive a chunk of ticket sales even before the studio recouped all its costs.

 

https://www.wsj.com/articles/universal-tries-to-escape-disaster-by-patching-up-dolittle-11579195165

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Universal aren't ever making a dime on Dolittle when taking RDJ's sweetheart deal into consideration.

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Yeah 1917 isn't making up for CATS and Dolittle.

 

But they have a bunch of horror movies coming up which should be profitable and then Fast and Furious 9 in the summer.

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29 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Agreed. Hopefully Gentlemen does something but I seriously doubt it. Don't really see anything opening over 10M until BoP. Hopefully Bad Boys and 1917 have some nice legs to keep us interested. 

I think The Gentlemen will do okay but Guy Ritchie's gangster films have never been that successful stateside. Even Snatch only made $30m domestic. 

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