Jump to content
DeeCee

Coronavirus | COVID-19 | Global Pandemic | PLEASE KEEP DISCUSSION TO THIS THREAD

Recommended Posts

@Porthos You’re not allowed to protest in any form in an Australian State Parliament or the Federal Parliament. You can’t enter the building or the grounds. If you start shouting from the public galleries you’re immediately kicked out. 
 

Random protest outside the NSW State Parliament. 
 

Spoiler

The building in the background is the NSW State Parliament. The oldest parts date back to the 1810’s and were originally part of the “Rum Hospital”. So named as construction was funded by the rum trade as rum was the currency at the time hence the “Rum Rebellion” against Governor Bligh. Yes, that Captain Bligh of mutiny fame. 
 

As I kept typing the above the more I imagined Grandpa Simpson saying it. 
 

 

 

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 4/30/2020 at 5:23 AM, a2k said:

India, new cases last 10 days:

1703 Wed, April 29

1902

1568

1607 Sun

1835 Sat

1408

1667

1290

1537

1235

India, new cases last 10 days:

1801 Thu, April 30

1703

1902

1568

1607 Sun

1835 Sat

1408

1667

1290

1537

  • Like 2
  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If this epidemiology thing doesn’t work out for Elon Musk at least he has that rocket side project to fall back on. 

Spoiler

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

Well then. 

 

(would note that the lower bound is more or less in line with other reported estimates)

 

====

 

Even after the massaging corrected data, I'm still tempted to call GIGO, simply on how it was collected in the first place.  In fact, I think I will.  Still, will note that at least the lower bound is now within a reasonable area code of what others are finding.

 

 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Over 3.5 million have now downloaded the COVIDSafe App. The reduction in restrictions decision has been brought forward to next Friday. 
 

 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Texas is interesting enough that I'm now tracking their positive cases and deaths in excel.  Unfortunately their website does not list # of tests so I can't track that.

 

It looked like their cases were decreasing but I think the data is skewed when they ramped up their testing in April. (they are still in the bottom 6 for tests per million) I do not think they peaked and now that they are opening up the state it'll will be interesting to see where they are in 2 weeks.

 

Both positive cases and deaths have flat lined in the USA instead of going down the last 2 weeks.  I would guess that is because of 1 of 3 reasons:

 

  1. Stay at home has reduced the RO to around 1.
  2. NY skewed the data.  Now that they are past their peak there are big drops but everyone else is increasing to make up for it.
  3. More testing means more positive tests.  If that is the case than deaths should start dropping overall.

While I think all 3 are happening I do think that NY had such high numbers that the overall numbers are effected.  I'll try to generate some graphs of the USA minus NY to see we there is still a significant climb in cases.

 

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, AndyLL said:

I'll try to generate some graphs of the USA minus NY to see we there is still a significant climb in cases.

 

Who wants to be the one to tell Andy? :ph34r:

 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html#states

 

There's a breakdown of each state of the union there (plus DC, PR, VI, NMI and Guam) with nice little maps one can pull up.

 

Here is the current TX map:

 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/texas-coronavirus-cases.html

 

Also at that first link there are small little snapshots of the graphs, though they're not easily cut-n-pastable.

 

===

 

Of course, that's not USA-NY, so not exactly the same thing.  But interesting to see all the states where the curve is still increasing, where it's flat, and where it's actually decreasing.

 

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
24 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Who wants to be the one to tell Andy? :ph34r:

Their graphs suck.  

 

Spoiler

By default if it doesn't show me what I want and if I can't change it  it sucks

 

But as a data nerd I need to be in control.  I typically also track % of change and a smoothed % of change.

 

However this page does match what I did tonight:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/texas-coronavirus-cases.html#cases

 

I see they also don't have # of tests per day which to me means # of positive tests isn't really useful.  (something Nate Silver needs to learn)

 

I'll try to grab that info from John Hopkins tomorrow.

 

Plus I'm really interested in what the numbers say without NY

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

so now's finally the time everything is getting frozen. twitter tl hardly updates with anything worth. am user on two forums, both have eventually gone down with content.

 

not really enjoying watching films either. we need something.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Interesting proposal....read the linked document.

 

 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

0.05% confirmed case to test ratio. 
 

 

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

so now's finally the time everything is getting frozen. twitter tl hardly updates with anything worth. am user on two forums, both have eventually gone down with content.

 

not really enjoying watching films either. we need something.

You have NASCAR in 2 weeks with like 7 races in 11 days:)...not my thing, but it's something:)...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, TwoMisfits said:

You have NASCAR in 2 weeks with like 7 races in 11 days:)...not my thing, but it's something:)...

quick question. what is NASCAR?

  • Haha 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

another week with eased lockdown in Austria, all regions have sinking active cases except Vienna ... obviously, controlling the spread is more difficult in big cities. Not exploding there but still a slight increase which is not a good thing, will have to be monitored closely.

 

Starting with tomorrow, most shops and services will be open except gastronomy which will follow two weeks later (if cases dont resurge until then). Schools and universites are generally closed but starting with Monday, there will be some exceptions - for exams, about 10% of the pupils will resume class; again two weeks later, about 70-80% should be back in school again (but with reduced attendance - only 3 days/week so classes may be split)

Edited by IndustriousAngel
  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

quick question. what is NASCAR?

Car racing...if you like to watch cars go around a track for hours and a few crazy crashes, it's the "sport" for you:)...

Edited by TwoMisfits

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

quick question. what is NASCAR?

Oh, man. Okay. So. 
 

Drivers drive these highly modified stock cars around a loop track that is at like 70 degree slope 220 miles per hour within inches of their competitions. It is highly dangerous and attracts crowds of hundreds of thousands. 
 

It is also kind of a cult. 🤷

 

Depends on who you ask. 

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)
14 hours ago, dudalb said:

Musk is a textbook example of the unstable genius: brilliant one minute;bat crap crazy the nest.

Real problem is some of his "fans" see him as a genius who can do no wrong and will blindly accept anything he says.

Like Trump, Musk often indulges in magical thinking:Whatever he wants to be true he can make happen by willing it strongly enough.

That Musk has another  smart one minute, totally crazy the next person...Tesla...as his idol says it all.

 

In addition:

too many of his fans or in general seem not to understand the term genius the right way. Or why there is a reason for an additional term, like what we here in Germany call an Universal Genie.

Like being a genie for (far?) more than one e.g. general science area. 

A genius is a genius for only a specific area of expertise. A lot of experts and geniuses are known for being not the best informed about other areas of knowledge.

Its like why would you ask a sports trainer about something seriously science based (deep into the science) space related? (excluding what a big fan of space might know, edit it as I realized the missing differentiation)

 

VIPs are not specialists to ask or take seriously only because they are VIPs

 

Edited by terrestrial

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

quick question. what is NASCAR?

N90H.gif

  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Health workers react after the last patients were discharged from a temporary hospital in Madrid before its closure. Photograph: Sergio Pérez/Reuters.

 

Quote

3500.jpg?width=780&quality=85&auto=forma

 

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.