Weekend Thread: Friday #s - Onward 12.1, Invisible Man 4.3, Way Back 2.6 | Blame It On the Roni

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Lol, what's Deadline smoking? Sonic isn't crossing 8 mil with a 1.78 mil Friday. It's more likely that it doesn't even cross 7 mil with that number. 

hmm...100%+ Sat bump feasible imo

1.78 + 3.56 (+100%) +2.46 (-31%) = 7.8

[RealLyre]

24 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

3 major flop in single year are lot. 

 

Last year only Dumbo flopped but that also made respectable figures. 

in 2018 they had A Wrinkle in Time. Nutcracker and Solo A Star Wars Story.  

 

I'd say they're back on pace but Pixar isn't saving them this time around.

[RealLyre]

32 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

It's a flop. That too a big one. 

 

Next incoming flop is Mulan. 

 

After that Artemis Fowl will flop. 

 

Disney's Trifecta of flops. 

you missed Call of the Wind 

[lorddemaxus]

Just now, a2k said:

hmm...100%+ Sat bump feasible imo

1.78 + 3.56 (+100%) +2.46 (-31%) = 7.8

And it still misses 8 mil with an optimistic Sunday drop. I'm thinking more like 90% Sat + 35% Sun. 

[a2k]

So wanted to make a Soul > Onward + Min2 Dom club...Would have made more sense before Onward numbers came in. Maybe will go with Soul > 2xOnward

[Madhuvan]

7 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

you missed Call of the Wind 

Call of the Wind is defective Disney movie. 

The movie was in production before Disney took over fox. 

[lorddemaxus]

@TMP seems like millenial and boomer audiences found The Way Back too depressing. WoM is mixed.

[sfran43]

 

[Ipickthiswhiterose]

Surely Im not the only one having a childish giggle at "Call of the Wind"

[AdrianL]

Invisible Man drop is solid. Has one more weekend until Quiet Place takes over for horror though. 

[CJohn]

Portuguese distributor PRIS Audiovisuais has set the release date of Chaos Walking for January 21 of 2021 yesterday. 

[narniadis]

The Friday increases across the board seem rough, even given the 3 new wide releases across various demos.... 🤷‍♂️ been working so havent had time to compare with past couple of years but it really feels off, especially for a horror film to not touch 120+.

Kiddy/Family films have a better reason but even Jumanji barely did 100%

[Ipickthiswhiterose]

First Cow doing much better than Wendy, but only around half of what Emma did per theatre in its super-limited week. Still, $7,500 per theatre day one doesnt seem bad for such a super niche idea. Looks a really interesting little film.

[charlie Jatinder]

Many here were talking about Pixar high costs. Well Pixar is from Apple. It's iPhone and bound to be expensive from Android.

[sfran43]

WIDE (1000+)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Onward	$42,000,000	—	4,310	—	$9,745	$42,000,000	1	Disney
2	The Invisible Man	$14,600,000	-48%	3,610	0	$4,044	$52,143,570	2	Universal Pictures
3	The Way Back	$8,400,000	—	2,718	—	$3,091	$8,400,000	1	Warner Bros.
4	Sonic The Hedgehog	$8,100,000	-50%	3,717	-460	$2,179	$140,918,152	4	Paramount
5	The Call Of The Wild	$7,300,000	-45%	3,914	49	$1,865	$57,783,738	3	20th Century Studios
6	Emma.	$5,400,000	366%	1,565	1468	$3,450	$7,292,065	3	Focus Features
7	Bad Boys For Life	$3,100,000	-29%	2,159	-549	$1,436	$202,078,103	8	Sony / Columbia
8	Birds of Prey (And the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn)	$2,100,000	-49%	2,173	-951	$966	$82,500,582	5	Warner Bros.
9	Impractical Jokers: The Movie	$1,700,000	-52%	1,725	-175	$986	$1,700,000	3	truTV
10	1917	$1,400,000	-48%	1,535	-697	$912	$158,324,094	11	Universal Pictures
11	Jumanji: The Next Level	$1,400,000	-36%	1,403	-408	$998	$315,931,594	13	Sony Pictures
12	Brahms: The Boy II	$1,200,000	-54%	1,355	-796	$886	$11,731,854	3	STX Entertainment
13	Fantasy Island	$895,000	-62%	1,362	-1362	$657	$25,825,897	4	Sony Pictures

LIMITED (100 — 999)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising	$1,400,000	-76%	690	-482	$2,029	$1,400,000	2	FUNimation Entertainment
2	Parasite	$585,000	-61%	625	-699	$936	$52,758,454	22	NEON
3	Portrait of a Lady on Fire	$505,000	-33%	334	66	$1,512	$3,327,281	14	NEON
4	Baaghi 3	$440,000	—	265	—	$1,660	$440,000	1	FIP
5	Dolittle	$420,000	-59%	687	-790	$611	$76,895,530	8	Universal
6	The Gentlemen	$360,000	-67%	492	-981	$732	$36,004,183	7	STX Entertainment
7	The Photograph	$340,000	-68%	382	-1067	$890	$20,354,050	4	Universal Pictures
8	Knives Out	$305,000	-51%	401	-269	$761	$165,167,445	15	Lionsgate
9	Las Píldoras De Mi Novio	$245,000	-60%	280	-70	$875	$2,793,405	3	Lionsgate / Pantelion Films
10	Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker	$230,000	-36%	269	-124	$855	$515,059,813	12	Disney
11	Greed	$195,000	707%	596	592	$327	$226,075	2	Sony Pictures Classics
12	Little Women	$160,000	-61%	263	-169	$608	$107,967,085	11	Sony Pictures
13	Frozen II	$160,000	-49%	229	-115	$699	$477,288,380	16	Disney
14	Spies in Disguise	$160,000	-28%	187	-58	$856	$66,670,714	11	20th Century Fox
15	Jojo Rabbit	$85,000	-67%	159	-148	$535	$85,000	21	Fox Searchlight

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	First Cow	$95,000	—	4	—	$23,750	$95,000	1	A24
2	Wendy	$60,000	129%	69	65	$870	$89,979	2	Fox Searchlight
3	Ford v. Ferrari	$50,000	-47%	95	-58	$526	$117,600,351	17	20th Century Fox
4	Underwater	$20,000	-55%	50	-28	$400	$17,279,884	9	20th Century Fox
5	Downhill	$18,000	-91%	69	-608	$261	$8,273,306	4	Fox Searchlight

[CJohn]

These horrible openers and 50% drops for holdhovers everywhere I look. The coronavirus effect is real.

Edited March 7, 2020 by CJohn

[a2k]

16 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Many here were talking about Pixar high costs. Well Pixar is from Apple. It's iPhone and bound to be expensive from Android.

Pixar  = iPhone

DW = Android (shuttles around and fits everywhere - opensource)

WAG/Sony = Windows (inconsistent, hit and miss, pricey enough)

Illumination = Samsung (BADA)

Blue Sky = Blackberry

WDAS = iPhone jailbreak

[a2k]

75 dom looks difficult for COTW and 80+ is too far away.

5

The Call Of The Wild

$7,300,000

-45%

3,914

49

$1,865

$57,783,738

3

20th Century Studios

[TMP]

4 minutes ago, CJohn said:

These horrible openers and 50% drops for holdhovers everywhere I look. The coronavirus effect is real.

Onward opened on par with tracking... not exactly "horrible"

[PNF2187]

59 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

in 2018 they had A Wrinkle in Time. Nutcracker and Solo A Star Wars Story.  

 

I'd say they're back on pace but Pixar isn't saving them this time around.

Looking at it again, I don't find 2018 to be that amazing for Disney. They had 3 of the biggest bombs of the year, and of the other films, none of their non-superhero films (except maybe Ralph, but even that was pretty front-loaded) really did much for their bottom line. You could make the same argument for 2016, but at least it wasn't just superheros carrying the year (and most of their $100M+ budget films actually paid off in spades).

 

2017, while smaller, likely had a better return, seeing how Cars 3 was probably the only red spot that year theatrically, while everything else pulled in $750M+, and we all know how 2019 went for them.

 

Maybe the year as a whole won't be too bad for Disney, but this is a really bad start.