Weekend Thread: Friday #s - Onward 12.1, Invisible Man 4.3, Way Back 2.6 | Blame It On the Roni

[lorddemaxus]

6 minutes ago, misafeco said:

I didn't know the two studios are cooperating this closely. Do you have a source?

I mean John Lasseter literally used to be the CCO of WDAS. Of course they have been working closely together for years. I doubt WDAS would be in the same position they are if Disney hadn't bought Pixar.

[John Marston]

Oh no. Flop?

[Legion Again]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Morning it was at

MTC1 - overall 1468 shows 18362/192652 216555.27 174882.26 post 6PM 686 shows 10198/90413 134782.55 105051.71

MTC2 - overall 1249 shows 11990/157399 112763.81 89604.92 post 6PM 525 shows 5810/66333 66968.59 46191.89

 

I still think 3m OD. Let us see where it is in the evening. 

Great. Thanks as always for the sales info. 
 

I’m sure you went over this a few times when you were getting up and running, but what do the numbers with decimals mean again?

[Legion Again]

https://variety.com/2020/film/news/onward-box-office-opening-way-back-1203526213/
 

Onward 38-40

TIM 14

Way Back and Sonic battling around 8

[Krissykins]

Variety are being very lenient already: “Onward casting a spell“ is the headline, despite their article mentioning that it could miss the low range of tracking ($40m) and open on par with The Good Dinosaur. 

[Curtis1986]

Ouch for onward. Could open lower than the good dinosaur

[TMP]

Hope Way Back hits $10m OW

[TwoMisfits]

14 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Oh no. Flop?

Dolittle WW performance looking better and better every day...

[Eric Duncan]

1 hour ago, DAJK said:

I loved MacFarland USA, for all its clichés. Honestly, the inspirational sports drama formula really works for me. Hoping another one can break out like the Blind Side again one day. But for the past ~6 years they've sort of been stuck around the 10M opening ceiling. 

I've got a lot of nostalgia for the Disney sports movie era of Remember the Titans/The Rookie/Miracle/Glory Road. It's definitely the one thing I miss most in Disney (and the rest of Hollywood's) "screw midbudget movies" era of cinema

[Krissykins]

2 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Dolittle WW performance looking better and better every day...

I think Dolittle has the “biggest bomb of 2020” award in the bag til the end of the year. 
 

A financial and critical disaster. 

[John Marston]

Get ready for Incredibles 3, Finding Nemo 3, Inside Out 2 etc

[Eric Duncan]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-marvel-studios-black-widow/

 

8-Week Tracking and Forecasts

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range	3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast	% Chg from Last Week	Domestic Total Range	Domestic Total Forecast	% Chg from Last Week	Distributor
3/13/2020	Bloodshot	$9,000,000 – $14,000,000	$10,500,000	-5%	$20,000,000 – $38,000,000	$25,000,000	-6%	Sony / Columbia
3/13/2020	The Hunt	$7,000,000 – $12,000,000	$9,500,000		$15,000,000 – $35,000,000	$23,000,000		Universal
3/13/2020	I Still Believe	$10,000,000 – $18,000,000	$13,000,000		$35,000,000 – $59,000,000	$43,000,000		Lionsgate
3/13/2020	My Spy	$5,000,000 – $10,000,000	$6,500,000	-13%	$15,000,000 – $35,000,000	$21,000,000	-16%	STX
3/20/2020	A Quiet Place Part II	$60,000,000 – $80,000,000	$65,000,000	-10%	$140,000,000 – $190,000,000	$152,000,000	-10%	Paramount
3/27/2020	Mulan	$50,000,000 – $80,000,000	$65,000,000	35%	$140,000,000 – $230,000,000	$185,000,000	34%	Disney
4/3/2020	The Lovebirds	$10,000,000 – $15,000,000	$12,000,000		$35,000,000 – $50,000,000	$42,000,000		Paramount
4/3/2020	The New Mutants	$15,000,000 – $25,000,000	$17,000,000		$35,000,000 – $55,000,000	$37,000,000		20th Century Studios
4/3/2020	Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway	$14,000,000 – $19,000,000	$15,000,000	-19%	$55,000,000 – $80,000,000	$58,000,000	-18%	Sony / Columbia
4/10/2020	Trolls: World Tour	$17,000,000 – $27,000,000	$23,500,000		$60,000,000 – $90,000,000	$81,000,000		Universal
4/17/2020	Antlers		n/a			n/a		Searchlight Pictures
4/17/2020	Blue Story		n/a			n/a		Paramount
4/24/2020	Antebellum	$9,000,000 – $14,000,000	$12,000,000		$20,000,000 – $40,000,000	$34,000,000		Lionsgate
4/24/2020	Bad Trip		n/a			n/a		United Artists Releasing
5/1/2020	Black Widow	$90,000,000 – $130,000,000	$115,000,000	NEW	$220,000,000 – $320,000,000	$306,000,000	NEW	Disney / Marvel Studios

[RealLyre]

 

 

 

rip South by Southwest

 

 

tfw Cannes might also get cancelled if this goes on until May 

 

 

[lorddemaxus]

9 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Get ready for Incredibles 3, Finding Nemo 3, Inside Out 2 etc

Lol did you just copy what @Arendelle Legion said on reddit and changed Coco 2 to Finding Nemo 3?

[John Marston]

1 minute ago, lorddemaxus said:

Lol did you just copy what @Arendelle Legion said on reddit and changed Coco 2 to Finding Nemo 3?

Yes

[Legion Again]

5 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Lol did you just copy what @Arendelle Legion said on reddit and changed Coco 2 to Finding Nemo 3?

[Eric Duncan]

I get that this is Disney and everything, and I'm sure this sounds optimistic, but I sincerely doubt, especially considering the death disease exists that Bob Chapek and Pete Docter are looking at Onward and saying "Welp, guess our audience don't want original stuff. Might as well completely scrap all the other stuff we're working on".

 

This applies to pretty much every movie coming out this year, since everything will be impacted by Corona, directly or indirectly

[TMP]

Could honestly see a scenario where every non-MCU Disney film this year under-performs tbh. Sony #1 studio of 2020?

[Jonwo]

3 minutes ago, Eric Lightfoot said:

I get that this is Disney and everything, and I'm sure this sounds optimistic, but I sincerely doubt, especially considering the death disease exists that Bob Chapek and Pete Docter are looking at Onward and saying "Welp, guess our audience don't want original stuff. Might as well completely scrap all the other stuff we're working on".

 

This applies to pretty much every movie coming out this year, since everything will be impacted by Corona, directly or indirectly

Exactly, Coco did over $800m WW in 2017 so there is value in original films. I think perhaps Pixar needs to only do one film a year. 

Just now, TMP said:

Could honestly see a scenario where every non-MCU Disney film this year under-performs tbh. Sony #1 studio of 2020?

Sony's not going to be number 1. 

[DAJK]

What big movies were supposed to premiere at SXSW?