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Eric Bombay

Bond Weekend Thread | NM 42.3, NTTD 40.1

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2 minutes ago, The Panda said:

It’s time to reveal my identity.  I am Gitesh Pandya, these are the official Friday numbers.  Deadline should confirm later.

 

New Mutants: 42.3m

No Time to Die: 40.1m

Trolls: World Tour: 14.3m

Mulan: 12m

Love Birds: 10.1m
Peter Rabbit 2: 7.2m

So you do have your own sources...interesting. We thought you just skimmed numbers off BOT.

 

Do you think NM and NTTD will get to 150 dom using your abnormally conservative calculations?

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23 minutes ago, a2k said:

So you do have your own sources...interesting. We thought you just skimmed numbers off BOT.

 

Do you think NM and NTTD will get to 150 dom using your abnormally conservative calculations?

Have to remember, these are inflated Friday numbers, so at best the holdovers would likely stay roughly flat, and NTTD is likely looking at a pretty big decrease.

 

No Time to Die will likely hit around 90-100m OW, from my best guess from those numbers (to early Saturday to be able to be accurate on this)

 

New Mutants should win the weekend with around 105 - 125m for the weekend.  That’s up 229% from its OW!  Absolutely unprecedented, maybe Trump’s “Easter is open for business!” has something to do with it, as Mulan saw a pretty hefty increase too but it’s clear from the A+ cinemascore people are wild for this movie.

Edited by The Panda
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Willy Wonka and Gene Wilder are trending in Australia. Not much love for Johnny. 
 

Meanwhile, on SBS there’s a 3 hour documentary. 
 

 

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1 hour ago, Ethan Hunt said:

Isn't that friday number kind of a disappoint after the preview number 

Toxic WOM already spreading like coronavirus.

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1 hour ago, DeeCee said:

It’s closing in on Avatar in Lesotho. 

 

James Cameron and his Avatar 2 team seeing these numbers coming in

 

Xb3k8tS.gif

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9 hours ago, Burgess said:

Casino Royale and Skyfall had amazing legs. With NTTD’s similar critical acclaim, I wouldn’t underestimate its potential performance.


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I think we can expect pretty good legs with this reception, but Royale and Skyfall did benefit from Thanksgiving and winter break for their late legs. NTTD is in the awkward position of having no Important holidays and not really any summer effect to speak of. Hitting 3x would be very impressive, not impossible.

3 hours ago, Ethan Hunt said:

Isn't that friday number kind of a disappoint after the preview number 

Bit frontloaded, sure, but doing 8-8.5x IM doesn’t seem too bad to me. It’s the last Craig film (for real this time) so some level of Thursday rush makes sense to me.

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Deadline updated

 

Quote

EXCLUSIVE: The Easter Bunny dropped some golden eggs for almost every studio this weekend, resulting in one of the best Good Fridays in recent memory. With holdover New Mutants leading the fray, along with the record opening of the Bond hit No Time to Die, this is only further proof movie theaters are alive and kicking.

 

New Mutants shines again with a 42.3M Friday, on its way to a 110M weekend, -37%. Fanboys have gone out of their way to get word out for the Anya Taylor-Joy superhero adventure, and people are still lining up to get tickets, especially after that cliffhanger. But No Time to Die is the real star here. After countless delays and production issues, that 40.1M Friday is sure to make Eon and MGM happy. It is the fourth-biggest Opening Day for an Easter release, trailing only Batman v Superman, Furious 7, and The Fate of the Furious, and it is expected to launch its way to 95M. It's a bit below tracking, but it's still the biggest Bond opening of all time, and shows the love people have for Daniel Craig in the role. Whoever takes the mantle will have shoes to fill.

 

No Time to Die earned an A- Cinemascore yesterday, with a solid 4 out of 5 on PostTrak. Men 25+ led the charge, with 55% of the audience, yet ironically only rated it a B+ on Cinemascore. Women 25+ loved it the most, giving it an A+.

 

This weekend was a big one for PG family releases, but Trolls won out over Peter Rabbit. Opening with 14.1M Friday, World Tour is above the 12.4M Friday of the 2016 original, and is on its way to a similar 45M. While not one of Dreamworks' bigger openings, the real star of the show will be its merchandise and its furthering of the Trolls brand, which has become big with kids. Cinemascore was a solid A, with about 80% of the audience being kids under 13. Moms loved it the most though. Comments in the exit polls state: "Thank god, I just need to get my kids out of the house."

 

Peter Rabbit lost its way, with 7.2M. After suffering with awful reviews, and trashed for its abysmal marketing, the film only generated ho-hum responses, with a C Cinemascore and 1.5 stars on PostTrak. Kids under 13 liked it the most, but not by much, with only 2 stars. Opening against Trolls was a bad idea, and Mulan (12M Friday, 35M FSS) is not helping either. Numbers seem to indicate about 18M, though we'll see how the poor WOM hits it later.

 

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6 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

I think we can expect pretty good legs with this reception, but Royale and Skyfall did benefit from Thanksgiving and winter break for their late legs. NTTD is in the awkward position of having no Important holidays and not really any summer effect to speak of. Hitting 3x would be very impressive, not impossible.

Bit frontloaded, sure, but doing 8-8.5x IM doesn’t seem too bad to me. It’s the last Craig film (for real this time) so some level of Thursday rush makes sense to me.

At the very least, my club is still active. We'll see if F9 will mess things up though (I'm telling you, that new trailer was ridonculous)

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6 minutes ago, Eric Lightfoot said:

Deadline updated

 

 

Didn't see New Mutants pulling out the win. Wonder if Fox is regretting selling as New Mutants looks like a 80B franchise on it's own.

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The box office is exploding right now. Bring on that $60M+ opening for Antlers next weekend!

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30 True F paints a better picture, but deadline calling for 95 seem to have forgotten how Easter debut works. Maybe 88. That would take a 2.84 to sink Eric’s club, thinking the under but there is some danger there.

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6 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Didn't see New Mutants pulling out the win. Wonder if Fox is regretting selling as New Mutants looks like a 80B franchise on it's own.

Either way, ya gotta respect the producers and their moxy to wait until the right time to release it. Still gonna be weird when the sequel drops, and all the actors will look so different.

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I knew Tele's New Mutants > Black Panther club would redeem him for the Untitled Cyberthriller of 100M in China club

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56 minutes ago, DAJK said:

I knew Tele's New Mutants > Black Panther club would redeem him for the Untitled Cyberthriller of 100M in China club

@Plain Old Tele's soul can finally rest.

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2 hours ago, Maggie said:

Scott with a hot take

 

 

What delay?

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It’s still pretty early today, but damn if these New Mutants Numbers hold 🤯

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20 minutes ago, DeeCee said:

What delay?

They showed too many trailers in front of it.

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