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Coronavirus Movie Theatre Reopening Thread | Release Date Changes/Production News | Theaters are dead. Long live streaming!

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AMC is the new Gamestop.

 

:hahaha:

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I’m thinking about buying some AMC stock.

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Bummer out of VA - ramp up of vaccine supply will not be happening til at least March, and in fact, supply may slow down in Feb...family let me know that this means the state is gonna not meet their 50K/day by Apr 1 goal without a miracle (but they made their Feb 1 25K/day goal and should be able to maintain 25K/day, unless even worse news comes on supply).

 

Black Widow, your move...I hear July 4th weekend is a wonderful date to open a theatrical only movie...

 

Edit to Add: I take back being able to maintain 25K/day...the news is 105K/doses per week to the state for the next 6 weeks or so, so they may drop to 17-20K/day...

Edited by TwoMisfits
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21 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Black Widow, your move

The move is to... premiere on May 7. Your pessimism on this front is kind of tiresome.

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7 hours ago, eddyxx said:

I’m thinking about buying some AMC stock.

Take you money to a casino..you have a better chance of making money. The AMC bubble has burst as has the Gamespot bubble.

I have a plague on both your houses attitude toward this..I don't like the big  hedgefund companies ,but like ingorant day traders no better.

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19 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

The move is to... premiere on May 7. Your pessimism on this front is kind of tiresome.

Nope, realism, b/c the dominos are now falling in May...https://www.imdb.com/news/ni63173348

 

Rumble is now kicked from May 14 to Feb 18, 2022...

 

But you stay optimistic...someone has to:)...

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On 1/24/2021 at 1:26 PM, jimisawesome said:

 

This week they announced they raised 100 million via a bond offering.  They are still looking at a secondary stock offering to raise another 150 million.   They are doing everything they can to keep the lights on but they are getting killed on interest and if movies don't come back will have trouble medium term servicing the debt.

Debt servicing is a major problem for the whole film industry  not just the theater chains. Loans are how the studios finance their movies, and the longer a finished film lies on the shelf the more interest without any compensating income the studio has to pay.

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6 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Nope, realism,

🤦‍♂️   
 

Do you have any kind of actual data based model to suggest that virus conditions will still be very bad in May? Because it might shock you how hard it is getting such a result from a reasonably constructed one.
 

It is true though that Disney could get spooked and move prematurely. It’s just that the timing of Raya and option of deciding on a hybrid PA release near last minute seem to point against that.

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4 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

🤦‍♂️   
 

Do you have any kind of actual data based model to suggest that virus conditions will still be very bad in May? Because it might shock you how hard it is getting such a result from a reasonably constructed one.
 

It is true though that Disney could get spooked and move prematurely. It’s just that the timing of Raya and option of deciding on a hybrid PA release near last minute seem to point against that.

It doesn't matter if they are bad in May - they were great in August.  And they'll probably be about the same in May as August...

 

You seem stuck on "virus is low, movies will open, and huge numbers are possible"...Tenet showed that's not the case DOM.  DOM will be determined by vaccines in arms...and the slowdown in supply in Feb is gonna make a May date impossible to get full series doses in normal people's arms...thus, no movie opening is gonna be worth its salt b/c you'll still have scared people who say "I can wait a few more weeks", politicians who will still limit movie seating, masking, etc, etc, etc...all things that will hold down DOM opens greatly.

 

I mean, if this was a nothing burger movie, sure, it opens...but this is a movie Disney wants a $100M DOM OW for...that will NOT happen on May 7, and thus, they will day and date it with PVOD or push it...that's just reality.

Edited by TwoMisfits
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I'm afraid nothing major releases in theaters this summer. And in the fall, things will get very bad again. This year is wasted again. It's not only about US. The situation in Europe/ latin America is awful too. Any major release  will have to give up profits from Europe/ Latin America. Those studios which have streaming will send their movies there, the rest, will delay again.

Edited by Maggie
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23 minutes ago, Maggie said:

I'm afraid nothing major releases in theaters this summer. And in the fall, things will get very bad again. This year is wasted again. It's not only about US. The situation in Europe/ latin America is awful too. Any major release  will have to give up profits from Europe/ Latin America. Those studios which have streaming will send their movies there, the rest, will delay again.

Can't say I agree there, things are going to be far better come June/July. Something major will absolutely release in theaters.

Edited by datpepper
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37 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

that will NOT happen on May 7

Maybe not literally 100M, but easily 60M+, which is fine with good legs. May and August will be completely different for a whole host of reasons. I don’t think there’s much more to be said than just wait and see though 🤷‍♂️

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5 hours ago, WandaLegion said:

Maybe not literally 100M, but easily 60M+, which is fine with good legs. May and August will be completely different for a whole host of reasons. I don’t think there’s much more to be said than just wait and see though 🤷‍♂️

Lol, you really do drink a lot of koolaid ya know.

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Signs that South African mutation of the Covid might be resistent to current  vaccines. Tghis could be very serious.

And no way thateres open in 3 months with 100% capacity.

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Release Calendar Update :-

 

Ok decided to remove the already released list from this post going forward - it's in the first post on this Thread.  Anyway not a lot to update at the moment as most of the changes have happened.  There isn't a lot coming out february thru April.  I guess the great hope for cinemas is a potential return in May which i suspect may be optimistic but lets see how it all pans out over the next 3 months.

 

It should be noted a couple of films have already left May indicating what may be coming there.

 

EDIT :- Saint Maud is released 29/1 & going PVOD mid-month.  Done a tidy up of unset films in 2021.

 

Upcoming Releases - Changes due to COVID

** Changes in bold

[] = Pre-COVID release month.

Orange = PVOD / streaming - either day or date or exclusive

[Refer to the first post in this thread for previously released films, every update i'll remove those listed below released in the prior post]

 

Released 11-25-2020 [November 2020] *Hulu* Happiest Season (Tristar)

Released 01-29-2021 [January 2020] - The Little Things (Warner Bros) *HBO Max (Day & Date)*

Released 01-29-2021 [April 2020] Saint Maud (A24) *EPIX PVOD 02-15-2021*

 

February 12, 2021 - Land (Focus)

February 26, 2021 [March 2021] - Tom and Jerry (Warner Bros)

February 2021 *CBS All Access* [July 2020] - The Spongebob Movie: Sponge on the Run *Released 2020-08-14 in Canada*

 

March, 5, 2021 [January 2021] - Chaos Walking (Lionsgate)

March 5, 2021 - Boogie (Focus)

March 5, 2021 [March 12, 2021] - Raya and the Last Dragon (Disney) *Disney+ Premium (Day & Date)*

March 5, 2021 *Amazon Prime* [December 2020] - Coming 2 America (Paramount) 

March 19, 2021 - The unbearable Weight of Massive Talent (Lionsgaste)

March 19, 2021 [February 2021] - The Courier (Roadside)

March 31, 2021 [November 2020 -> May 2021] - Godzilla vs. Kong (Warner Bros) *HBO Max (Day & Date)*

 

April 2, 2021 [August 2020 -> February 2021] - Nobody (Universal)

April 16, 2021 [April 2021] - Fatherhood (Sony)

April 16, 2021 [January 2020] - Mortal Kombat (Warner Bros)

April 23, 2021 - The Asset (Lionsgate)

 

Other Changes beyond April 2021

Black Widow (Disney) - May 2020 ->  May 7, 2021

Free Guy (Fox) - July 2020 -> December 2020 -> TBC 2021 -> May 21, 2021

F9 (Universal) - April 2020 -> May 28, 2021

The Conjuring: The Devel made me do it (Warner Bros) - September 2020 -> June 4, 2021 *HBO Max (Day & Date)*

Samaritan (United Artists) - November 2020 -> June 4, 2021

Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway (Sony) - April 2020 -> April 2, 2021 -> June 11, 2021

 

Top Gun: Maverick - December 2020 -> July 2, 2021

The Forever Purge - Removed -> July 9, 2021

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney) - February 2021 ->  May 7, 2021 -> July 9, 2021

Cinderalla (Sony) - February 5, 2021 -> July 16, 2021

Deep Water (Fox) - November 2020 -> August 13, 2021

Don't Breathe Sequel - -> August 13, 2021

Respect - December 2020 -> August 13, 2021

BIOS (Universal) - April 2021 -> August 13, 2021

The King's Man (Fox) - March 12, 2021 [September 2020] -> August 20, 2021

Candyman (Universal) - October 2020 -> August 27, 2021

Death on the Nile (Fox) - October 2020 -> December 2020 -> TBC 2021 -> September 17, 2021

The Boss Baby: Family Business (Universal) - March 2021 -> September 17, 2021

A Quiet Place Part II (Paramount) - September 2020 -> April 23, 2021 -> September 17, 2021

 

No Time to Die (MGM) - April 2020 -> April 2021 -> October 8, 2021

The Last Duel - December 2020 -> October 15, 2021

Halloween Kills (Universal) - October 2020 -> October 15, 2021

Snake Eyes: GI Joe Origins (Paramount) - October 2020 -> October 22, 2021

Last night in Soho (Focus) - April 2021 -> October 22, 2021

Dune (Warner Bros) - December 18, 2020 -> October 2021 *HBO Max (Day & Date)*

Clifford and Big Red Dog (Paramount) - November 2020 -> November 5, 2021

The Eternals (Disney) - November 2020 ->  November 5, 2021

Ghostbusters: Afterlife (Sony) - July 2020 -> June 2021 -> November 11, 2021

West Side Story (Fox) - December 2020 -> December 10, 2021

Untitled Spider-Man Far Home Sequel (Sony) - July 2021 -> December 17, 2021

 

Stillwater (Focus) - November 2020 -> TBC 2020 -> TBC 2021

Connected (Sony) - September 2020 -> TBC 2020 -> TBC 2021

Voyagers (Lionsgate) - November, 2020 -> TBC 2021

The Comeback Trail (Cloudburst) - November 2020 -> TBC 2021

The Devil's Light - January 2020 -> January 2021 -> TBC 2021

Everybody's Talking About Jamie (Fox) - October 2020 -> February 26, 2021 -> TBC 2021

The Bad Guys (Universal) - September 2021 -> TBC 2021

Bob's Burgers: The Movie (Fox) - April 2021 -> TBC 2021

Final Account May 2021 -> TBC 2021

 

Escape Room 2 (Sony) - April, 2020 -> TBC, 2021 -> January 7, 2022

Morbius (Columbia) - March 2021 -> October 8, 2021 -> January 21, 2022

What about love (JPLSD) - February 12, 2021 -> February 11, 2022

Uncharted (Sony) - July 2021 -> February 11, 2022

Rumble (Paramount) - January 2020 -> May 14, 2021 -> February 18, 2022

Doctor Strange and the Multiverse of Madness - May 2021 -> March 25, 2022

Thor: Love and Thunder (Disney) - November 2021 -> February 11, 2022 -> May 6, 2022

Untitled Elvis Presley Project (Warner Bros) - November 2021 -> June 3, 2022

Blank Panther II (Disney) - May 2022 -> July 8, 2022

Captain Marvel II (Disney) - July 2022 -> November 11, 2022

Legally Blonde 3 - May 2020 -> May 20, 2022

Halloween Ends (Universal) - October 2021 -> October 14, 2022

Ron's Gone Wrong (Fox) - April 2021 -> October 22, 2022

Bablyon (Paramount) - January 2022 -> January 6, 2023

 

Fantastic Beasts 3 - November 2021 -> TBC 2022

Tomb Raider 2 - March 2021 -> TBC 2022

Fast & Furious 10 (Universal) - April 2021 -> TBC 2022

Avatar Sequels Delayed by 12 months

Star Wars new Films delayed by 12 months

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@JJ-8 might wanna note that Saint Maud is out limited this weekend and going on EPIX in a couple weeks (Feb 15 if I'm not mistaken).

 

I posted this in the Bond thread - I wonder with the recent news of the shortened window all around in the UK (31/45 days) whether this would mean some of these releases will stick so they can get out on home ent for Christmas...and also whether we could see that also become the de facto standard in the U.S., outside of specific deals like the Universal one.

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4.8M for The Little Things despite bad reviews and being free on Max. Bullish sign for the March movies imo.

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All numbers:

 

1 N The Little Things Warner Bros. $4,800,000   2,171   $2,211 $4,800,000 1
2 (2) The Croods: A New Age Universal $1,840,000 +2% 1,876 n/c $981 $43,947,065 10
3 (3) Wonder Woman 1984 Warner Bros. $1,300,000 -19% 1,864 -337 $697 $39,200,000 6
4 (1) The Marksman Open Road $1,250,000 -38% 2,018 n/c $619 $7,828,467 3
5 (4) Monster Hunter Sony Pict… $740,000 -10% 1,515 -146 $488 $11,142,807 7
6 (5) News of the World Universal $540,000 -31% 1,674 -200 $323 $10,356,925 6
7 (7) Promising Young Woman Focus Fea… $260,000 -34% 1,056 -180 $246 $4,360,870 6
8 (6) Fatale Lionsgate $220,000 -45% 1,022 -108 $215 $5,593,602 7
9 (-) The War with Grandpa 101 Studios $147,050 -8% 525 +18 $280 $19,642,183 17
10 (8) Our Friend Roadside … $135,000 -46% 818 +275 $165 $446,060 2
- N Supernova Bleecker … $98,670   330   $299 $98,670

1

 

The Numbers - Weekend Box Office Chart for January 29, 2021 (the-numbers.com)

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