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Coronavirus Movie Theatre Reopening Thread | Release Date Changes/Production News | Theaters are dead. Long live streaming!

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22 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

2nd May 14 movie (after Rumble) to tumble out of the month...Marry Me moves from May 14 to Feb 11 2022...the trend may start accelerating, since this was Universal, and they, like WB, had been good about keeping dates...

 

https://deadline.com/2021/02/jennifer-lopez-romantic-comedy-marry-me-postpones-wedding-date-1234689912/

Marry Me clearly wants that Valentine's Day money (it was supposed to open this upcoming 4-day holiday weekend before moving to May) but yeah, the May release schedule starting to fall apart (again) isn't a good sign. As long as NYC/LA don't have a concrete date for reopening, there's no use spending money to promote non-hybrid releases for the next 2-3 months.

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Marry Me also from universal. I really hope F9 flees at this point, would give great legs for BW.   
 

Though Dis might shuffle around BW, Free Guy, and Cruella a bit if that happens to get Widow more around the 21st or 28th.

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On 2/7/2021 at 9:51 AM, jimisawesome said:

 

To add on, even with theaters in CA and NY open its going to be a long time before crowds show back up if the discussions around reopening school are any indication.  From what I see in these discussions no amount of public awareness or CinemaSafe will matter a significant number of people believe going anywhere means you get covid and die and no amount of peer review will change their minds.

And I suspect theaters will not be allowed to operate at full capicity until 2022.Just too many unknowns out there. And from what I have read, the chances of yet more new strains of Covid showing up are pretty damn high.

Edited by dudalb

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So just for a bit of realistic context - it means that things will basically be like last summer when Tenet came out - so same restrictions still in place in terms of audience capacity until the end of the year. But now with the vaccine out there, hopefully, more audience confidence.

So, much like the last period in between the first and second wave.

 

So the question is - will studios with big films due for a traditional exclusive theatrical release be okay with releasing into a still somewhat restricted environment? This is where probably looking at the Tenet data will actually bear fruit because - that's done really well in the UK and elsewhere in Europe/Asia given the circumstances. And that's without the vaccine out there. But on the other hand I've seen some talk Stateside about hoping for no restrictions at all come the autumn and that's...are you sure about that?

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On 2/8/2021 at 5:39 PM, filmlover said:

This Tom & Jerry movie looks like it literally stepped out of 2003 (with in-demand actors circa 2020/2021). Don't think it would make a whole ton of money even in normal times.

 

Raya will be the next test as to how well a movie can do during a pandemic since it's the only one in the next couple of weeks that won't be available for free with a subscription service (add in the D+ price and you're already looking at spending nearly $40 to watch it at home).

I think you mean 2007-2013 since that's when these CG live action hybrids were the norm with the Alvin and The Chipmunks movies, The Smurfs movies, G-Force, Hop and Yogi Bear

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Since my family saw this - permanent shuttering is happening, even with the big 3...funny enough, they had closed an AMC right before Covid last year and told everyone to then go to this one, so closures might not be evenly spaced...

 

https://wtop.com/entertainment/2021/02/amc-mazza-gallerie-7-permanently-closes-in-friendship-heights/

 

Edit to Add: And I don't want it to be all AMC - Cinemark also permanently closed a historic theater this week...https://www.kqed.org/arts/13892596/historic-west-portal-theater-closes-permanently-due-to-pandemic

 

So dominos are falling now - 12 months seems to be the "we can't go on" number for some of these less-than-profitable individual outlets...we'll see how close some of us who predicted theater contractions get to the final numbers once this is all over...

Edited by TwoMisfits
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5 hours ago, AliasJester said:

I think you mean 2007-2013 since that's when these CG live action hybrids were the norm with the Alvin and The Chipmunks movies, The Smurfs movies, G-Force, Hop and Yogi Bear

They were all the rage with studios in the early 2000s as well (the live-action Scooby-Doo movies, The Adventures of Rocky & Bullwinkle, Looney Tunes: Back in Action), even if most of them bombed.

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1 (1) The Little Things Warner Bros. $2,400,000 +14% 2,090 -116 $1,148 $10,600,000 3
2 (2) The Croods: A New Age Universal $2,040,000 +21% 1,890 -45 $1,079 $48,318,710 12
3 N Judas and the Black M… Warner Bros. $2,000,000   1,888   $1,059 $2,000,000 1
4 (3) The Marksman Open Road $1,100,000 +15% 1,825 -193 $603 $10,423,385 5
5 (4) Wonder Woman 1984 Warner Bros. $1,100,000 +22% 1,681 -183 $654 $41,800,000 8
6 N Land Focus Fea… $940,000   1,231   $764 $940,000 1
7 (5) Monster Hunter Sony Pict… $650,000 +11% 1,366 -110 $476 $12,687,168 9
8 (6) News of the World Universal $385,000 -2% 1,243 -294 $310 $11,357,530 8
9 (7) Promising Young Woman Focus Fea… $182,000 -18% 733 -190 $248 $4,922,315 8
10 (-) The War with Grandpa 101 Studios $180,287 +15% 525 -5 $343 $20,026,257 19
- N The Mauritanian STX Enter… $145,000   245   $592 $145,000 1

 

The Numbers - Weekend Box Office Chart for February 12, 2021 (the-numbers.com)

Edited by filmlover
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Just your casual “rise back into 1st place on 12th weekend.” Croods still on course to overcome Tenet, but will have to deal with Blu-ray, T&J, and Raya soon.   
 

That’s a disappointing figure for Judas, no two ways about it. Nothing in this weekend that will convince studios to stay in May, but also no notable openers. Still seeing March 5 as the big bellwether.

Edited by WandaLegion
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2 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

Just your casual “rise back into 1st place on 12th weekend.” Croods still on course to overcome Tenet, but will have to deal with Blu-ray, T&J, and Raya soon.   
 

That’s a disappointing figure for Judas, no two ways about it. Nothing in this weekend that will convince studios to stay in May, but also no notable openers. Still seeing March 5 as the big bellwether.

Having seen Judas, it’s a really good film with some fantastic performances, but it doesn’t exactly feel like a big mainstream movie that would have blown the doors of the box office in normal times. It’d very much have been a sub $10 million opener that rode a wave of awards buzz around the Oscars to finish with around $30 million.

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3 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

Just your casual “rise back into 1st place on 12th weekend.” Croods still on course to overcome Tenet, but will have to deal with Blu-ray, T&J, and Raya soon.   
 

That’s a disappointing figure for Judas, no two ways about it. Nothing in this weekend that will convince studios to stay in May, but also no notable openers. Still seeing March 5 as the big bellwether.

Honestly that's slightly better than I expected for Judas. It's the kind of movie that would play better in the big metropolitan areas (which are currently shut down) than it would anywhere else. Guessing in normal times it would have made a decent $30-35M total. Selma was about a much more iconic figure and was similarly well-timed (the Ferguson riots were a few months prior) and even that struggled to $50M total.

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10 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

That’s a disappointing figure for Judas, no two ways about it. 

Is it? It pretty much did as well as I expected and about as much as I would've expected Selma or Malcolm X to do if they released in the same spot.

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29 minutes ago, filmlover said:
- (2) The Croods: A New Age Universal $2,040,000 +21% 1,890 -45 $1,079 $48,318,710 12
- N Judas and the Black M… Warner Bros. $2,000,000   1,888   $1,059 $2,000,000 1
- (3) The Marksman Open Road $1,100,000 +15% 1,825 -193 $603 $10,423,385 5
- N Land Focus Fea… $940,000   1,231   $764 $940,000 1
- (6) News of the World Universal $385,000 -2% 1,243 -294 $310 $11,357,530 8
- (7) Promising Young Woman Focus Fea… $182,000 -18% 733 -190 $248 $4,922,315 8
- (-) The War with Grandpa 101 Studios $180,287 +15% 525 -5 $343 $20,026,257 19
- N The Mauritanian STX Enter… $145,000   245   $592 $145,000 1

 

The Numbers - Weekend Box Office Chart for February 12, 2021 (the-numbers.com)


Whatever happened to WW84? Couldn’t it have fallen off this cliff a week or two sooner? :angry:

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9 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Is it? It pretty much did as well as I expected and about as much as I would've expected Selma or Malcolm X to do if they released in the same spot.

Apparently a lot of people around here had even lower expectations for it than I did. I still think it’s disappointing, even if just by a couple dozen % and not like, 100% or anything.

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3 minutes ago, Plain Old Tele said:


Whatever happened to WW84? Couldn’t it have fallen off this cliff a week or two sooner? :angry:

1.3M 4-day

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13 minutes ago, Plain Old Tele said:


Whatever happened to WW84? Couldn’t it have fallen off this cliff a week or two sooner? :angry:

WB decided to only release the numbers for Judas (probably because it was a close #2). Numbers for that and The Little Things will likely be released with the 4-day numbers tomorrow.

 

Edit: or not lol.

Edited by filmlover
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5 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

What's the record for most weeks at TOP 2? Croods 2 has a shot at breaking it?

Gotta limit to the somewhat modern era to get reasonable results I think.   
 

Beginning at Titanic, I think the record is probably... Titanic:

16 weekends top 2

17 top 3

19 consecutive top 5 (21 total)  

 

Croods scoring a 10th top 2 weekend here, should be able to pick up 2 more for 12 total.  
12th top 3 weekend, should be able to pick up around 3 more, we’ll see.   
 

Croods can maybe stay in the top 5 for a looooooong time, depends on how it reacts to blu-ray and Raya.

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So The Little Things was actually #1 this weekend? Huh.

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