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Coronavirus Movie Theatre Reopening Thread | Release Date Changes/Production News | Theaters are dead. Long live streaming!

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On 3/22/2021 at 12:50 PM, WandaLegion said:

Finally found a public facing tracker for vaccines to HP1: https://covid19.ca.gov/vaccines/#California-vaccines-dashboard  
 

With a little sleuthing around on the way back machine, I see:
Mar 6 -  1.846M

Mar 8 — 1.897M

Mar 10 — 1.972M

Mar 12 — 2.017M

Mar 13 — 2.142M (+296k weekly)
Mar 14 — 2.219M

Mar 16 — 2.394M

Mar 18 — 2.567M

March 20 — 2.757M (+613k weekly)   
 

We saw a huge acceleration this week to get to roughly a 88k 7-day avg (data as of 2 days ago, which is the most recent). If that pace is merely sustained, then the 4M benchmark would actually be hit on April 3rd — GvK’s Sat! That will take most counties to orange or yellow tier and presumably prompt the release of a larger update to the framework in early April.

 

@Porthos

 

Edit: Ah, and Newsom has apparently been saying similar: https://www.sfgate.com/coronavirus/article/Gavin-Newsom-green-tier-California-reopening-COVID-16038696.php

 

I await further details eagerly. Do wonder if the update that introduces green tier will have additional changes for hitting 6M on HP1. 

 

On 3/28/2021 at 10:49 AM, WandaLegion said:

Been like 6 days since my last update on California HP1 vaccination progress. Looks like this week will be ~flat with 600k. Still on track to hit 4M next Sat imo. I would expect a new framework with green tier and possible 6M/8M goals in the week after that.

 

 

Mar 6 -  1.846M

Mar 8 — 1.897M

Mar 10 — 1.972M

Mar 12 — 2.017M

Mar 13 — 2.142M (+296k weekly)
Mar 14 — 2.219M

Mar 16 — 2.394M

Mar 18 — 2.567M

March 20 — 2.757M (+613k weekly)

Mar 22 — 2.898M

Mar 24 — 3.085M

Mar 26 — 3.270M
Mar 27 — 3.351M (+594M weekly)

Mar 28 — 3.396M

Mar 30 — 3.563M (est)

Apr 1 — 3.730M 
 

Look like we’re hitting 4M tomorrow, will precipitate a lot of red turning to orange and some populous Bay Area counties going yellow. Weekly pace steady around 600k for a while now, meaning 6M to the equity quartile around Apr 27. Currently that doesn’t have any impact, but we should get a new framework update before then which could incorporate further vaccine milestones.

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https://deadline.com/2021/04/new-york-city-movie-theaters-25-capacity-limit-mortal-kombat-cruella-black-widow-1234728178/

 

New York exhibitors had their hopes dashed Monday as Gov. Andrew Cuomo made no move at a press conference to boost capacity at movie theaters in the five boroughs from 25% to a hoped-for 50%.The Godzilla vs. Kong weekend box office stampede ($285 million globally) shows that movie fans want back in theaters but in New York it’s hard to accommodate them or to make any money. Joe Masher, president of New York NATO hopes things change by Mortal Kombat time, April 16. But the bottom line is things have to change thereafter. Theaters really need to be open at 50% capacity or more by Memorial Day, for Cruella and A Quite Place Part II, and 75% or more by July 4, for Top Gun Maverick and Black Widow — provided it’s safe to do so.

 

 

I can understand NYC frustration because unlike CA, NY show much slower sign of improvement since winter outbreak

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Newsom press conference in 2 minutes. He’ll announce hitting the 4M benchmark, and presumably the new tiers released today will use those loosened criteria. Expect to see a lot of new yellow and orange.   
 

Personally my interest is in whether their will be a new vaccine equity quartile goal beyond 4M and whether we get more info about green tier.

Edited by WandaLegion
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34 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

Newsom press conference in 2 minutes. He’ll announce hitting the 4M benchmark, and presumably the new tiers released today will use those loosened criteria. Expect to see a lot of new yellow and orange.   
 

Personally my interest is in whether their will be a new vaccine equity quartile goal beyond 4M and whether we get more info about green tier.

🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨

https://deadline.com/2021/04/california-ending-covid-restrictions-june-15-1234728584/

🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨

 

:ohmygod:

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Obviously California is a huge market, so direct effect is worth noting. But also important for implications — California is a very blue state that has been pretty cautious on restrictions. Pretty reasonable to assume that most of the country will go “no business capacity restrictions” in June (or very early July for July 4).
 

It makes sense considering everyone who wants a vaccine will have a 2nd dose by then, but I admit seeing it announced by a big blue state like this so far in advance caught me rather off guard.

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3 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

Obviously California is a huge market, so direct effect is worth noting. But also important for implications — California is a very blue state that has been pretty cautious on restrictions. Pretty reasonable to assume that most of the country will go “no business capacity restrictions” in June (or very early July for July 4).
 

It makes sense considering everyone who wants a vaccine will have a 2nd dose by then, but I admit seeing it announced by a big blue state like this so far in advance caught me rather off guard.

Everything in place for BW to smash...my poor UNDER 150M club 😭

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5 minutes ago, WandaLegion said:

Obviously California is a huge market, so direct effect is worth noting. But also important for implications — California is a very blue state that has been pretty cautious on restrictions. Pretty reasonable to assume that most of the country will go “no business capacity restrictions” in June (or very early July for July 4).
 

It makes sense considering everyone who wants a vaccine will have a 2nd dose by then, but I admit seeing it announced by a big blue state like this so far in advance caught me rather off guard.

So CA will stick to its 25%-50% capacity for cinema until then? 

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5 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

So CA will stick to its 25%-50% capacity for cinema until then? 

Yeah, it seems like they aren’t going to introduce a “green tier” after all. This is essentially saying green tier for every county is coming in mid June.   
 

Until then the current purple/red/orange/yellow system is in effect, most counties will be at 50% for the next 2 months.

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6 hours ago, WandaLegion said:

but I admit seeing it announced by a big blue state like this so far in advance caught me rather off guard.

Don't forget that Gov Newsom will probably be facing the start of a recall vote campaign by then that California is one of the entertainment capitals of the country and that combined with tourism is a pretty strong driver of various left-friendly mega business interests in the state that might be more inclined to support Newsom if they had a end date in sight our economy.  Thus the impending politics of a recall there might not be some of the same pressures at play in other blue states where a recall tourism and entertainment isn't quite as potent of a force.

 

Newsom also left himself an "out" by saying that vaccinations and cases would have to keep on their current trajectories.

Edited by Porthos
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3 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Don't forget that Gov Newsom will probably be facing the start of a recall vote campaign by then that California is one of the entertainment capitals of the country and that combined with tourism is a pretty strong driver of various left-friendly mega business interests in the state that might be more inclined to support Newsom is they had a end date in sight our economy.  Thus the impending politics of a recall there might not be some of the same pressures at play in other blue states where a recall tourism and entertainment isn't quite as potent of a force.

 

Newsom also left himself an "out" by saying that vaccinations and cases would have to keep on their current trajectories.

Okay, slightly snarky.  But perhaps not snarky enough, given that Newsom was one of the governors who jumped the gun last May before many other "blue state" governors did when it came to the process of reopening the economy (and very probably bit us in the ass in the summer by doing so). 

 

While recall politics weren't a factor then, the carping from the entertainment industry as well other business interests certainly was, IMO.

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People blaming Nolan and getting pissed at him for the HBO Max deal is honestly pretty funny in retrospect. If Nolan was the reason this HBO Max deal even happened and Godzilla vs Kong saved cinemas through by being released through HBO Max deal, then didn't Nolan save cinemas?

Edited by lorddemaxus
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8 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

People blaming Nolan and getting pissed at him for the HBO Max deal is honestly pretty funny in retrospect. If Nolan was the reason this HBO Max deal even happened and Godzilla vs Kong saved cinemas through by being released through HBO Max deal, then didn't Nolan save cinemas?

I mean, he still called HBO Max "the worst streaming service" and is apparently looking to make his next movie at another studio (lmao sure) but he was likely just salty Tenet (which was clearly the wrong movie for the industry to place their bets on being their One True Savior in the first place) tanked.

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2 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

People blaming Nolan and getting pissed at him for the HBO Max deal is honestly pretty funny in retrospect. If Nolan was the reason this HBO Max deal even happened and Godzilla vs Kong saved cinemas through by being released through HBO Max deal, then didn't Nolan save cinemas?

Movie was close to being sold to Netflix , the real enemy of cinema

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Hotel Transylvania 4 moved up to July. Packed month for family fare now between that, Peter Rabbit 2, Space Jam 2, and Jungle Cruise over the span of 5 weeks, unless they know an announcement that one of the others is either moving or shifting release plans is imminent. 

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Lots of new dates from Paramount:

Quote

 

SNAKE EYES, previously scheduled for October 22, 2021, is now set to open July 23, 2021 (wide).

JACKASS, previously scheduled for September 3, 2021, is now set to open October 22, 2021 (wide).

TOP GUN MAVERICK, previously scheduled for July 2, 2021, is now set to open November 19, 2021 (wide).

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE 7, previously scheduled for November 19, 2021, is now set to open May 27, 2022 (wide).

UNTITLED BEE GEES is announced for November 4, 2022 (wide).

DUNGEONS & DRAGONS, previously scheduled for May 27, 2022, is now set to open March 3, 2023 (wide).

UNTITLED STAR TREK is announced for June 9, 2023 (wide).

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE 8, previously scheduled for November 4, 2022, is now set to open July 7, 2023 (wide).

THE SHRINKING OF TREEHORN is announced for November 10, 2023 (wide).

UNTITLED RYAN REYNOLDS/JOHN KRASINSKI FILM is announced for November 17, 2023 (wide).

 

'Top Gun: Maverick,' 'Mission: Impossible 7' and More Delayed - Variety

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4 hours ago, filmlover said:

Hotel Transylvania 4 moved up to July. Packed month for family fare now between that, Peter Rabbit 2, Space Jam 2, and Jungle Cruise over the span of 5 weeks, unless they know an announcement that one of the others is either moving or shifting release plans is imminent. 

Peter Rabbit just moved to June 18 so that solves one problem heh.

 

Although Peter Rabbit is now going up against the now D+-bound Luca so we'll see if that works out for them.

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Release Calendar Update :-

 

And now Paramount, Sony and Universal all realigning the release calendars as we start to reopen.....

 

Upcoming Releases - Changes due to COVID

** Changes in bold

[] = Pre-COVID release month.

Orange = PVOD / streaming - either day or date or exclusive

[Refer to the first post in this thread for previously released films, at the start of each new month i'll remove last months list]

 

[March has been moved to the opening post]

Released 04-02-2021 - The Unholy (Screen Gems)

 

April 9, 2021 [November, 2020 -> TBC 2021] - Voyagers (Lionsgate)

April 23, 2021 [January 2020 -> April 16, 2021] - Mortal Kombat (Warner Bros)

April 30, 2021 - Separation (Open Road)

April 30, 2021 *Netflix* [September 2020 -> TBC 2020 -> TBC 2021] - The Mitchells vs. the Machines [Connected] (Sony)

 

May 7, 2021 - Wrath of Man (United Artists)

May 14, 2021 - Those that wish me Dead (Warner Bros)

May 14, 2021 [April 2021] - Finding you (Roadside)

May 14, 2021 [May 21, 2021] - Spiral (Lionsgate)

May 14, 2021 - Profile (Focus)

May 28, 2021 - Cruella (Disney)

May 28, 2021 [September 2020 -> April 23, 2021 -> September 17, 2021] - A Quiet Place Part II (Paramount)

 

June 4, 2021 [September 2020] - The Conjuring: The Devel made me do it (Warner Bros) *HBO Max (Day & Date)*

June 4, 2021 [November 2020] - Samaritan (United Artists)

June 4, 2021 - Spirit Untamed (Universal)

June 4, 2021 - Vivo (Sony)

June 11, 2021 [June 18, 2021] - In the Heights (Warner Bros)

June 16, 2021 [August 20, 2021] - The Hitman's Wife's Bodyguard (Lionsgate)

June 18, 2021 [April 2021] *Netflix* - Fatherhood (Sony)

June 18, 2021 *Disney+* - Luca (Disney)

June 18, 2021 [April 2020 -> April 2, 2021 -> June 11, 2021 -> May 14, 2021 -> July 2, 2021] - Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway (Sony)

June 25, 2021 [April 2020 -> May 28, 2021] - F9 (Universal)

June 30, 2021 - Zola (A24)

 

Other Changes beyond May 2021

 

The Forever Purge - Removed -> July 9, 2021 -> July 2, 2021

The Tomorrow War (Paramount) - July 23, 2021 -> TBC, 2021 -> July 2, 2021 *Amazon Prime*

Black Widow (Disney) - May 2020 -> May 7, 2021 -> July 9, 2021 *Disney+ Premier (Day & Date)*

Cinderalla (Sony) - February 5, 2021 -> July 16, 2021

Hotel Transylvania 4 (Sony) - August 6, 2021 -> July 23, 2021

Snake Eyes: GI Joe Origins (Paramount) - October 2020 -> October 22, 2021 -> July 23, 2021

Stillwater (Focus) - November 2020 -> TBC 2020 -> TBC 2021 -> July 30, 2021

Don't Breathe Sequel - -> August 13, 2021

Respect - December 2020 -> August 13, 2021

Free Guy (Fox) - July 2020 -> December 2020 -> TBC 2021 -> May 21, 2021 -> August 13, 2021

BIOS (Universal) - April 2021 -> August 13, 2021 -> August 20, 2021

Candyman (Universal) - October 2020 -> August 27, 2021

Reminiscence (Warner Bros) - September 3, 2021 -> August 27, 2021

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney) - February 2021 ->  May 7, 2021 -> July 9, 2021 -> September 3, 2021

Venom: Let There be Carnage (Song) - June 25, 2021 -> September 17, 2021 -> September 24, 2021

The Boss Baby: Family Business (Universal) - March 2021 -> September 17, 2021

Infinite (Paramount) - May 28, 2021 -> September 24, 2021

 

No Time to Die (MGM) - April 2020 -> April 2021 -> October 8, 2021

The Last Duel - December 2020 -> October 15, 2021

Halloween Kills (Universal) - October 2020 -> October 15, 2021

Last night in Soho (Focus) - April 2021 -> October 22, 2021

Jackass 4 (Paramount) - September 3, 2021 -> October 22, 2021

Dune (Warner Bros) - December 18, 2020 -> October 1, 2021 *HBO Max (Day & Date)*

Clifford and Big Red Dog (Paramount) - November 2020 -> November 5, 2021

The Eternals (Disney) - November 2020 ->  November 5, 2021

Ghostbusters: Afterlife (Sony) - July 2020 -> June 2021 -> November 11, 2021

Belfast (Focus) - November 12, 2021

Top Gun: Maverick - December 2020 -> July 2, 2021 -> November 19, 2021

Resident Evil: Welcome to Raccoon City (Screen Gems) - September 3, 2021 -> November 24, 2021

West Side Story (Fox) - December 2020 -> December 10, 2021

Spider-Man: No Way Home (Sony) - July 2021 -> December 17, 2021

The Matrix 4 (Warner Bros) - April 1, 2022 -> December 22, 2021

The King's Man (Fox) - September 2020 -> March 12, 2021 -> August 20, 2021 -> December 22, 2021

 

The Comeback Trail (Cloudburst) - November 2020 -> TBC 2021

The Devil's Light - January 2020 -> January 2021 -> TBC 2021

Everybody's Talking About Jamie (Fox) - October 2020 -> February 26, 2021 -> TBC 2021

Bob's Burgers: The Movie (Fox) - April 2021 -> TBC 2021

Final Account May 2021 -> TBC 2021

The unbearable Weight of Massive Talent (Lionsgaste) - March 2021 -> TBC, 2021

The Man from Toronto (Sony) - November 20, 2020 -> September 17, 2021 -> TBC, 2021

The Asset (Lionsgate) - April 23, 2021 -> TBC 2021

 

Escape Room 2 (Sony) - April, 2020 -> TBC, 2021 -> January 7, 2022

Deep Water (Fox) - November 2020 -> August 13, 2021 -> January 14, 2022

Morbius (Columbia) - March 2021 -> October 8, 2021 -> January 21, 2022

What about love (JPLSD) - February 12, 2021 -> February 11, 2022

Uncharted (Sony) - July 2021 -> February 11, 2022 -> February 18, 2022

Marry Me (Universal) - May 14, 2021 -> February 11, 2022

Death on the Nile (Fox) - October 2020 -> December 2020 -> TBC 2021 -> September 17, 2021 -> February 11, 2022

Rumble (Paramount) - January 2020 -> May 14, 2021 -> February 18, 2022

The Batman (Warner Bros) - October 1, 2021 -> March 4, 2022

Doctor Strange and the Multiverse of Madness - May 2021 -> March 25, 2022

Lost City of D (Paramount) - April 15, 2022

The Bad Guys (Universal) - September 2021 -> TBC 2021 -> April 15, 2022

Thor: Love and Thunder (Disney) - November 2021 -> February 11, 2022 -> May 6, 2022

Mission: Impossible 7 (Paramount) - November 19, 2021 -> May 27, 2022

Untitled Elvis Presley Project (Warner Bros) - November 2021 -> June 3, 2022

Jurassic World: Dominion (Universal) - June 11, 2021 -> June 10, 2022

Minions: The Rise of Gru (Universal) - July 2, 2021 -> July 1, 2022

Blank Panther II (Disney) - May 2022 -> July 8, 2022

Fantastic Beasts 3 (Warner Bros) - November 2021 -> TBC 2022 -> July 15, 2022 [is listed on BOM as Untitled WB event film]

Black Adam (Warner Bros) - December 22, 2021 -> TBC 2022 -> July 29, 2022

Untitled WB Event Film ?? (Warner Bros) - April 15, 2022 -> August 5, 2022

Captain Marvel II (Disney) - July 2022 -> November 11, 2022

Legally Blonde 3 - May 2020 -> May 20, 2022

Halloween Ends (Universal) - October 2021 -> October 14, 2022

Ron's Gone Wrong (Fox) - April 2021 -> October 22, 2022

Bablyon (Paramount) - January 2022 -> January 6, 2023

Dungeons & Dragons (Paramount) - May 27, 2022 -> May 3, 2023

Shazam! Fury of the Gods (Warner Bros) - November 4, 2022 -> June 2, 2023

Mission: Impossible 8 (Paramount) - November 4, 2022 -> July 7, 2023

 

Tomb Raider 2 - March 2021 -> TBC 2022

Minecraft (Warner Bros) - March 4, 2022 -> TBC 2022+

Fast & Furious 10 (Universal) - April 2021 -> TBC 2022

Avatar Sequels Delayed by 12 months

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Some sad news 

 

“The last thing we needed to hear as the box office and exhibition were rebounding from the pandemic was a piece of bad news, but word spread like wild fire in distribution and exhibition circles that the Arclight Cinemas and Pacific Theatres won’t be reopening.

 

The chain has issued a statement below.

 

Last week, I was hearing that the chain was shooting for a Memorial Day weekend reopening with A Quiet Place Part II and Cruella, now those hopes look dashed, and at an unfortunate time because it’s expected that Los Angeles County could get the opportunity to operate at 100% capacity in movie theaters well before California Governor Newsom’s June 15 wide-open order.

 

Here’s the chain’s statement:

 

After shutting our doors more than a year ago, today we must share the difficult and sad news that Pacific will not be reopening its ArcLight Cinemas and Pacific Theatres locations. 

This was not the outcome anyone wanted, but despite a huge effort that exhausted all potential options, the company does not have a viable way forward.  

 

To all the Pacific and ArcLight employees who have devoted their professional lives to making our theaters the very best places in the world to see movies: we are grateful for your service and your dedication to our customers. 

 

To our guests and members of the film industry who have made going to the movies such a magical experience over the years: our deepest thanks.  It has been an honor and a pleasure to serve you.”

 

source: https://deadline.com/2021/04/arclight-cinemas-and-pacific-theatres-wont-be-reopening-1234732936/

 

update to end of article (some locations probably going to be sold, others closed permanently which makes sense considering some of the locations historically perform well) :

 

”Behind the scenes, what I hear that’s technically happening is that Decurion has handed the keys back to the landlords on all their Arclight and Pacific properties. That doesn’t mean the chain is bankrupt, rather is part of a thick lease negotiation.  What happens in this instance is that the landlord decides which keys to keep, and which they’d like to return to the exhibitor. No word yet that the chain is up for sale; I think they’re waiting to see what leases they get back. Many of the Arclight venues the chain doesn’t own, and it’s those that I’m told where they’re really upside down on their leases.

 

But not boding well for Arclight and Pacific’s reopening is that we also hear the chain gave notice to its theatrical staff.

News broke on IndieWire over the weekend that Arclight’s new Culver City location was in arrears on its March rent to the tune of $181,900.40, due in full to collections agent Caitlin Brannon.”

Edited by Jamiem
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