PAPA NOLAN's TENƎꓕ International Thread. Weekend 5 $16.2mn / $243.7mn Total

[MrPink]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

All across world IMAX seems to be pushing the film. Now that may sound well or Trivial but IMO this could be sign of frontloading as the ones watching film in premium format would be mostly Nolan heads. 

 

Fans can push film only to an extent. Film must do well in regular format/screens i.e. general audience too.

 

I'd imagine this is more likely to be frontloading, though I suppose there's a scenario in these circumstances and due to capacity restrictions + limited showings, this means those going to see Tenet could be waiting for more availability in IMAX before going, which could help the legs stretch out a bit.

[john2000]

1 hour ago, pepsa said:

Europe looking good so far:

Both france, germany and uk are looking over 5m +.

From the respective threads (or main forum page).

 

France has a shot at 1m admission (would be around 7/8m).

Germany 6-7m

UK (2/3m opening day possibly, would lead to 9-12ish million)

Spain 3m +

 

Ofc everyone want good numbers at to moment (first majoor hollywood movie release, so we might have rose glasses) so these might be on the opimitic side (who knows) but it seems certain that OW will be decent at least.

Above estimates (using the low numbers) would put it at $25m. So the low end should be around $18m OW for these markets, high end $30m.

if it can make 30 million from 4 markets alone on ow, that would be very very good

[john2000]

so the progress so far 

https://gower.st/articles/road-to-recovery-new-feature-global-regional-growth-trackers-cinemas-open/

 

The latest set of regional growth trackers, below (featured on page 5 of this week’s International Road To Recovery report), shows that 65% of global cinemas by market share are now back in operation. This is up from 55% the previous week. More are expected to come online for Warner Bros’ international (and Canadian) launch of Christopher Nolan’s TENET this week.

 

and for dom 

 

In total Gower Street estimates that 38% of theaters across the entire Domestic market were operating at the weekend, representing nearly 37% of normal market share. While that number may still sound low it is a vast improvement on the previous weekend when 25% of theaters were open, representing less than 19% of market share.

 

thats from previous weekend wioth 1823 theaters open, this week there will be 2300 theaters open so i think that by this weeks end around 50% of movie theaters dom will be open 

Edited August 26, 2020 by john2000

[charlie Jatinder]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-conversation="none"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/TENET?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#TENET</a> opens with $830k in South Korea on 2229 screens selling 138k tickets. The total including sneak previews is $1.55mn. Should go for $7mn 5-days weekend. WOM good with 92% audience score. <br><br>IMAX accounts for 13.5% while 4DX 4.2% of total box office. <a href="https://t.co/mgv5vO4CaH">pic.twitter.com/mgv5vO4CaH</a></p>&mdash; charlie Jatinder (@itisjat32) <a href="https://twitter.com/itisjat32/status/1298638212609396744?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 26, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[john2000]

11 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

 

nice

[john2000]

so hong kong cinemas will be able to reopen from friday , no word about tenet date, but probably early sept

[john2000]

@charlie Jatinder some news that may cheer you up 

 

Tenet’ Advance Ticket Sales Besting ‘Dunkirk’ & ‘Interstellar’ In US, UK & Australia – Movio Insights

 

https://deadline.com/2020/08/tenet-advance-ticket-sales-us-uk-australia-christopher-nolan-1203024015/

 

 

dunkirk was HUGE in uk so thats good news

 

[RJ 95]

58 minutes ago, john2000 said:

@charlie Jatinder some news that may cheer you up 

 

Tenet’ Advance Ticket Sales Besting ‘Dunkirk’ & ‘Interstellar’ In US, UK & Australia – Movio Insights

 

https://deadline.com/2020/08/tenet-advance-ticket-sales-us-uk-australia-christopher-nolan-1203024015/

 

 

dunkirk was HUGE in uk so thats good news

 

Probably unlikely in US as that ticket only count with early access. $ 30-35m opening should be already good in this situation. 

 

In Australia, Dunkirk made 4.7m OW and Interstellar did 3.6m. In UK, Dunkirk made 13m OW and Interstellar with 8.5m.

 

2.5m-3m OW in Australia and 7-8m in UK should already be good imo. Let's see if it can goes higher.

Edited August 26, 2020 by RJ 95

[RJ 95]

Italy :

Tenet OD € 403.965 , 57.938 admission

Wed - Sun projection € 2.6m - € 3m

[charlie Jatinder]

Thinking $8.25mn Wednesday Internationally for TENET.

[charlie Jatinder]

China pre-sales opened. 

[Borobudur]

32 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Thinking $8.25mn Wednesday Internationally for TENET.

That means 25m-30m that deadline projected is a bit too low? Hope to see WB report that IMAX share gross soon.

[Borobudur]

2 hours ago, RJ 95 said:

Italy :

Tenet OD € 403.965 , 57.938 admission

Wed - Sun projection € 2.6m - € 3m

Is this considered good or bad?

[RJ 95]

23 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

China pre-sales opened. 

What is good target for 1st day presale for let say 40-50m opener ? 

[RJ 95]

2 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

Is this considered good or bad?

Of course good if it can maintain it to the weekend. At this time and still get 80% of Interstellar/Dunkirk OW is already good I think. 

[john2000]

47 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Thinking $8.25mn Wednesday Internationally for TENET.

good ?

[charlie Jatinder]

28 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

That means 25m-30m that deadline projected is a bit too low? Hope to see WB report that IMAX share gross soon.

Quite possibly double that.

[charlie Jatinder]

22 minutes ago, RJ 95 said:

What is good target for 1st day presale for let say 40-50m opener ? 

You mean $50mn weekend right? well for $50mn weekend, I think $13mn OD is must i.e 90mn yuan. Will roughly need 30mn final PS. First day of PS is not really that important, final 2-3 are. That said over 1mn would be enough, TENET looks like going for 1.5mn PS on day 1 today.

[charlie Jatinder]

Thursday Numbers

 

Korea: $600k 

Vietnam: $85k (Previews)

[charlie Jatinder]

Middle East doing pretty dope.

Saudi looks like $0.9-1mn weekend may be.

UAE most likely $1-1.2mn.

Edited August 27, 2020 by charlie Jatinder