How Long Until This Happens

[El Squibbonator]

So, maybe this isn't the best place to put this, since as far as I can see, the Animation Station subforum hasn't been terribly active lately. But it's the best place I could think of to ask this question, so I might as well go ahead an ask it. 

 

How long do you guys think it will be until a movie that meets all of the following criteria is released? 

• Theatrically released
• Animated
• Produced in the United States
• Financially Successful (at least 2x production budget)
• Rated PG-13 or R
• Not a comedy
• Earns at least $100 million worldwide

 

 

[grim22]

3 hours ago, El Squibbonator said:

So, maybe this isn't the best place to put this, since as far as I can see, the Animation Station subforum hasn't been terribly active lately. But it's the best place I could think of to ask this question, so I might as well go ahead an ask it. 

 

How long do you guys think it will be until a movie that meets all of the following criteria is released? 

• Theatrically released
• Animated
• Produced in the United States
• Financially Successful (at least 2x production budget)
• Rated PG-13 or R
• Not a comedy
• Earns at least $100 million worldwide

 

 

This has already happened a number of times. Sausage party comes to mind

 

 

 

[El Squibbonator]

One of the criteria was "not a comedy". While I personally found Sausage Party to be more cringe-inducing than funny, I don't think anyone would argue that it was not intended as a comedy. 

[Avatree]

10 hours ago, grim22 said:

This has already happened a number of times. Sausage party comes to mind

 

 

 

The Simpsons Movie (2007)

Theatrical Performance
Domestic Box Office	$183,135,014	Details
International Box Office	$343,936,008	Details
Worldwide Box Office	$527,071,022

[Avatree]

OP said "Not a comedy" though.

[SLAM!]

I voted five years because Genndy Tartakovsky is doing Black Knight for Sony, and I'll go out on a limb and say that, yes, Sony won't cancel it, and yes, it'll end up getting $100M by the skin of its teeth--just barely. Black Knight will be seen as an event in the eyes of animation fans.

[El Squibbonator]

The question, then, is what The Black Knight's budget is going to be. It's being produced by Sony Pictures Animation, whose budgets tend to range from $65 million to $90 million (with their lowest-budgeted work, The Emoji Movie, having a $50 million budget). Sausage Party had a much lower budget of $20 million, which was what allowed it to be profitable, but it was not produced in-house as an official Sony Pictures Animation film. 

[Barnack]

Is the beowulf type of "animation count" or we go no motion capture being used rules ?

[El Squibbonator]

I'm going to count motion capture, but Beowulf itself doesn't count, because it wasn't financially successful. Also, the issue with motion capture is that it's extremely expensive-- Beowulf earned $190 million, which is a lot by most measures, but because it cost $150 million it wasn't profitable. 

[Barnack]

3 hours ago, El Squibbonator said:

I'm going to count motion capture,

 

If one of the avatar sequel is fully animated or enough to goes into that territory (and keep their PG-13 status which is likely) .....

[El Squibbonator]

Avatar still uses a lot of human actors and live background, which to me disqualifies it from being classified as an animated film. That said, if there were ever a film in the franchise that took place entirely on Pandora, with no humans and all-CGI backgrounds (sort of like what the 2019 remake of The Lion King did) it would qualify as an animated film, and most likely meet all of the criteria. 

[El Squibbonator]

Sorry to double post, but I figured it would be relevant to this thread to compile a list of all the upcoming American adult-oriented animated movies currently planned. Many of them are comedies, but other are not. They are: 

• Fixed (Sony Pictures Animation comedy)
• The Black Knight (Sony Pictures Animation action/adventure movie)
• Bob's Burgers: The Movie (Comedy, TV series adaptation)
• Bubble (Comedy, based on the podcast of the same name)
• The Peasants (US/Polish/British co-production, historical drama)

 

 

[SLAM!]

@El Squibbonator I have some films you can add to that list, courtesy of CartoonBrew:

 

- An animated adaptation of The Great Gatsby by DNEG, who also made Ron's Gone Wrong

- Master, an action film about a black superhero that has Peter Ramsey as a producer

[El Squibbonator]

Well, the poll is closed, and it seems, of the people who bothered to vote, most of them think something like this will happen between 5 and 10 years from now. 

[Melosh]

Into the spider verse 2?(hey they took a risk with the first one.)

[El Squibbonator]

Well, I'm wondering if it might end up being this movie. . .

EDIT: Never mind, it's a Japanese co-production, so it doesn't really count. 

Edited July 25, 2021 by El Squibbonator

[Kalo]

I mean if one of the major animation studios has the balls to release a PG-13 animated film and it's great and groundbreaking it could happen very soon. but it would have to be a specific film imo. most of the mainstream mind set is Animation = Family friendly + Kids. or else its a raunchy comedy like Family Guy or something. probably be something unique major studios just don't make animated films like this in the US.

[El Squibbonator]

Sort of a shame the poll's still not up, but when do you think that'll be? 

[El Squibbonator]

I'm bumping this thread in light of the likely box-office failure of The Bob's Burgers Movie. Now, obviously that movie is a comedy, and hence outside the scope of what I originally made this thread about. However, if audiences aren't turning out for a movie based on Bob's Burgers--a reasonably popular TV show-- that does make it seem a lot less likely that they'll go to a theater for a completely original adult animated movie. 

[XXR Delayed Until 2025]

If Across the Spider-Verse is PG13 then that'll do it of course but if not, it won't be in the next 2 years.