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titanic2187

GvK - 13.88M | Weekend Thread 09Apr-11Apr

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Posted (edited)

GvK 3.25

 

Edit - Official 3.88. 

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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Posted (edited)

edit: info was posted already

Edited by kaijukurt

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6 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

GvK 3.25

 

Edit - Official 3.88. 

thats way better weekend predictions ? 13 ?

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4 minutes ago, kaijukurt said:

edit: info was posted already

We also have new info on tenet gross since its last publicly known gross was 57.9m. That 60m total also telling us, GvK made about 8m from Mon - Thurs

 

 

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1 hour ago, WandaLegion said:

-60% is on the harsh side but nothing crazy. The Wed open should cushion the 2nd weekend drop a bit — but the holiday OW and being on Max exacerbate it.   
 

Taking 3.3 Fri and 9.2 SS, the SS drop would be 54%. Compare:

BvS -57% SS (1.74 multi from first M-S week)

F8 -49% SS (1.97 week multi)

F7 -48% SS (1.97 week multi)

RPO -34% SS (1.96 week multi)  

 

WW84 had holiday inflated first weekdays (even more intense than Easter) and a huge 2nd weekend drop but still getting about 2.5x week multi). So assuming a 70M 2nd weekend cume for GvK (57.5+12.5) that’s a 22M week, add 22-33 for 92-103ish.

With Fri actual, weekend may go 14.75ish, -54%. That would be SS -46%, 23M week, 94-105ish

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https://deadline.com/2021/04/godzilla-vs-kong-stomping-to-69m-by-sunday-easily-top-grossing-pic-to-date-at-domestic-b-o-during-pandemic-1234731553/

 

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Warner Bros. pandemic hit Godzilla vs. Kong grossed $3.88M on Friday, which will yield an estimated $12.9M second weekend at 3,084 theaters (+20), -60%, on its way to $69M domestic by the end of tomorrow. In the Legendary title’s first week, the monster movie has grossed $60M, making it the top grossing pic stateside during the pandemic (since mid-March 2020), and giving Warner Bros. four out of the five top grossing titles over the last year which include the studio’s Tenet ($58.5M) in second place, Universal/Dreamworks Animation’s Croods: New Age ($56.5M) in third, Warner’s Wonder Woman 1984 with $46.2M, and the studio’s Tom & Jerry with $40.3M.

 

Lionsgate has the sole wide opening this weekend with AGC Studios’ sci-fi YA PG-13 bacchanalia feature Voyagers which didn’t have any thrust with a C CinemaScore, 25% Rotten Tomatoes score, and lackluster Comscore/Screen Engine PostTrak exits of 53% in the top two boxes, and a very low 27% definite recommend. The pic skewed 55% male, 70% over 25 with 55% between 18-34 years old. The movie did around $500K on Friday for an expected $1.4M 3-day. Lionsgate has a distribution fee here and AGC Studios covered most of the net $29M production cost in foreign sales. Lionsgate, which is covering P&A, and spending little on it, has low overhead here, so their losses won’t be to the ridiculous degree of Chaos Walking (which grossed $12.8M domestic off a $100M-plus production cost). More hope is expected from Lionsgate with the upcoming Chris Rock Saw title Spiral on May 14 and the Ryan Reynolds-Samuel L. Jackson sequel The Hitman’s Wife’s Bodyguard on June 16.

 

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It’s decent but nothing great with the lack of competition. I think we’re clearly seeing the effect of having it on tv and online here. Who knows what it would have done if cinemas had it exclusively...

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Last weekend was also Easter weekend which likely inflated the numbers a bit so all things considered this drop doesn't seem so bad.

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1 hour ago, Eric Walker said:

https://deadline.com/2021/04/godzilla-vs-kong-stomping-to-69m-by-sunday-easily-top-grossing-pic-to-date-at-domestic-b-o-during-pandemic-1234731553/

 

Quote

Warner Bros. pandemic hit Godzilla vs. Kong grossed $3.88M on Friday, which will yield an estimated $12.9M second weekend at 3,084 theaters (+20), -60%, on its way to $69M domestic by the end of tomorrow. I

 

 

1 hour ago, wildphantom said:

It’s decent but nothing great with the lack of competition.

I don't know what you're talking about.  Getting $69m by Sunday is clearly nice. 

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Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

I don't know what you're talking about.  Getting $69m by Sunday is clearly nice. 

Probably gonna wind up missing 69 with 66-67 on Sat and 70+ Sun. 
 

not nice :sadno:

Edited by WandaLegion
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14 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

I don't know what you're talking about.  Getting $69m by Sunday is clearly nice. 

Maybe not nice enough to warranty >KoTM

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Posted (edited)
14 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Maybe not nice enough to warranty >KoTM

Nice jokes aside, the tale of the pandemic so far has been the 3rd weekend drop (for the bigger movies at least), from my vague recollections. 

 

Now who the hell knows just how much demand was burnt off the first weekend/HBO Max, especially given the frontloaded nature of the franchise.  Still, don't think we'll truly have a handle on just where this might land until next weekend.

 

Of course, with more areas open, the 3rd weekend might not be as much of a tell as it once was.  But I'd hold any real judgements until then.

Edited by Porthos

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So, a huge event movie is dropping about 60% in its second weekend? Nice to see that we’re truly getting back to normal! ;)
 

Joking aside, it’s cool to see that Godzilla vs. Kong has already surpassed Tenet for the new domestic high water mark in the pandemic era. With an empty marketplace next weekend, it should hopefully level out a bit as it continues to proceed toward the $100 million domestic milestone.

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i was hoping for a better hold considering gvk wasn't a fri opener and burnt off demand on wed-thu thus denting the ow. but it's a sequel in a franchise that hasn't been leggy so understandable.

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1 minute ago, a2k said:

i was hoping for a better hold considering gvk wasn't a fri opener and burnt off demand on wed-thu thus denting the ow. but it's a sequel in a franchise that hasn't been leggy so understandable.

and its also on hbo max for free, lets not forget that , that will hurt its legs to some capacity

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7 hours ago, john2000 said:

and its also on hbo max for free, lets not forget that , that will hurt its legs to some capacity

Not just HBOmax, almost every movie site and torrent... this is the reality we are facing...

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9 hours ago, TigerPaw said:

Not just HBOmax, almost every movie site and torrent... this is the reality we are facing...

Ah yeh, unfortunately the great unwashed will be all over illegal versions. 

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Posted (edited)

 

Edited by titanic2187
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