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Eric Atreides

Another Boring Weekend Thread (5/21-23)

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https://deadline.com/2021/05/spiral-demon-slayer-weekend-box-office-1234762411/

 

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The domestic box office isn’t going to get interesting until next weekend when Paramount’s A Quiet Place Part II and Disney’s Cruella launch the summer season.

 

From that point on, we largely won’t have any weekends where the major studios are taking a break from releasing wide entries, which is the case this weekend as Lionsgate’s Spiral: From the Book of Saw repeats in its second frame with $1.38M yesterday, -63%, and an expected 3-day of $4.7M, -46% (actually a pretty good hold for a horror film which typically drops -60% or greater) and a running total of $15.9M. Spiral is booked at 2,997 theaters (+186). All the action is overseas where Universal’s F9 is heading to $160M this weekend in 8 markets, charged by China where it’s set to become the second biggest opener for the studio and the Fast franchise, already counting $105M. F9 parks itself at U.S. theaters on June 25. Spiral should ultimately hit $30M at the domestic B.O.

 

In addition, Funimation/Aniplex’s Demon Slayer, has officially become the second-highest grossing anime film at the domestic B.O. behind Warner Bros.’ 1999 film Pokemon ($85.7M) and overtaking 2000’s Pokemon 2 ($43.7M) with $43.956M through yesterday. The Haruo Sotozaki directed feature hopes to hook 5th place this weekend with $1.34M in its 5th frame, -31%, with a running total of $44.9M by Sunday at 1,800 locations (-130). A $50M final domestic gross is within reason.

 

No. 2 for the weekend is MGM/United Artists Releasing/Miramax’s Guy Ritchie movie Wrath of Man with a third Friday of $818K, -22%, at 3,007 locations on its way to a 3-day of $2.9M, -21% for a running total of $18.78M. The pic is headed for $25M stateside.

 

No. 3 belongs to Bron/New Line’s Angelina Jolie action thriller Those Who Wish Me Dead which did around $560K yesterday, for an estimated second weekend of $1.7M, -39%, and a $5.4M running total.

 

Disney’s Raya and the Last Dragonwhich is also available on Disney+ Premier at $29.99, is ranking 4th this weekend with an estimated $1.68M, -1%, in its 12th session at 2,375 (+90) and a running total of $48.3M

 

Other highlights from this weekend: Bleecker Street’s Toni Collette drama Dream Horsewhich made its world premiere at the Sundance Film Festival last year, grossed around $261K yesterday at 1,254 theaters on its way to an estimated FSS of $796K for a $634 theater average. Rotten Tomatoes was 91% fresh from critics with solid PostTrak exits of 81% positive and a 57% recommend. Females turned out at 62%, with 85% over 25, 66% over 35 and 45% over 45 years old. Diversity breakdown was 70% Caucasian, 16% Hispanic, 6% Black and 8% Asian/other. The most active business came from the West and Midwest.

 

Other limited releases include NEON’s Spanish-language Michel Franco-directed drama thriller New Order at 236 locations which earned an estimated $49K for a projected 3-day of $155K ($657 theater average), Focus Features’ Luke Holland documentary Final Account at 308 sites which opened to $45K for a $150K weekend ($486 theater average), and IFC’s Eric Bana Australian thriller, a hit Down Under, The Dry with $35,5Kon Friday at 186 venues, a $113K 3-day for a $608 theater average.

 

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Raya keeps on keeping on, that Tenet target is very real.   
 

DS continues holding pretty well — this is actually the record anime 5th weekend, pretty sure. Finally over Pikachu at the same point.
 

Very sleep weekend overall though, yeah.

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28 minutes ago, CJohn said:

There is exactly 0% chance Spiral ever comes close to 30M.

Yeah I chuckled at that as well.    
 

Once we have studios ests tomorrow gonna do an updated post with current gross and projected finish for stuff going over 30M DOM — seems like WoM could actually make it there. 

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Most of them hold well for an obvious reason. Even MK is posting some solid hold. As for GvK, with that small drop, I don't think it will need to crawl past 100m, probably finish at 102m-103m if WW84 is any guide. Raya is having its 6th weekend of 1m+, it was previously drop to 1.38m but Mother Day's expansion mean it have to redo its decline.  

 

1.) Spiral (LG) 2,991 theaters (+180) Fri $1.4M/Sat $1.9M/Sun $1.2M/3-day $4.55M (-48%)/Total: $15.8M/ Wk 2

2.) Wrath of Man (UAR) 3,007 theaters /Fri $818K/Sat $1.28M/Sun $834K/3-day $2.9M (-21%)/Total: $18.8M Wk 3

3.) Those Who Wish Me Dead (WB) 3,379 theaters (+191)/3-day $1.8M (-35%)/ Total: $5.5M/Wk 2

4.) Raya and the Last Dragon (Dis) 2,375 theaters (+90), Fri $414K/Sat $725K/Sun $523k/ 3-day: $1.66M (-2%), Total: $48.3M/Wk 12

5.) Godzilla vs. Kong (WB/Leg) 2,552 theaters (+68),/3-day: $1.43M (-6%)/Total: $96.9M/Wk 8

6.) Demon Slayer (Fun/Ani) 1,800 theaters (-130)/Fri $368K/Sat $558,5K/Sun $403,5K/3-day $1.33M (-32%)/Total: $44.9M/Wk 5

7.) Mortal Kombat (New Line/WB), 2,386 locations (-79) / 3-day $935K (-30%)/Total: $41.2M/Wk 5

8.)  Scoob! (WB, re) 2,500 locations, 3-day $850K/Wk 1

9.) Dream Horse (BST) 1,254 theaters, Fri $260,7K/Sat $330,2K/Sun $253,2K/3-day: $844,2K/Wk 1

10.) Finding You (RSA) 1,447 theaters (+135) Fri $215K/Sat $285K/Sun $171K/3-day: $670K (-27%)/Total: $1.9M/Wk 2

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GvK I guess $105-110M. Canada opening whenever may take above KoTM

 

INT total was $332.1M last week. Will probably do $10-15M in Europe release. $3-4M in current fiddle markets, giving it $345-350M.

 

Now if Japan could lend $40M or Europe overperforms a bit, it can still get $500M. 

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Scoob!'s numbers seem rather decent considering it was released for home viewing a year ago (when its original theatrical release was cancelled) and it was added to the theater release schedule at the last minute. Might have made a couple of million had they put any effort into selling it despite no longer actually being a "new" movie given that the family marketplace has been completely empty since Raya.

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Demon Slayer had unusually big weekdays for some reason, almost $1.4M after a weekend of $1.92M. This is after having bad weekdays last week.

 

Anyhow, if this manage 30% drops for coming weeks, has a shot at $50M. Ofcourse, if any week has weekdays like last week, that will help things a lot.

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1 hour ago, Pinacolada said:

No one's really talking about it here, but Wrath of Man is having a really solid/surprising run WW

This would have been a solid $60-70m hit in normal conditions. 

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53 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Cruella feels like the summer opener.

 

I wonder if it will underwhelm or breakout.

I’m going with 12/15/45 run for it

16.5/20/50 for AQP2

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