cmbbox2390 Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 43 minutes ago, James said: Updating this taking into account the China Marvel ban (not confirmed but very likely): Avatar 2 - 2.3B Jurassic World 3 - 1.35B Doctor Strange 2 - 1.15B The Batman - 1.1B Aquaman 2 - 1B Thor 4 - 950m Black Panther 2 - 850m Lightyear - 820m MI8 - 800m Previous MCU movies without China Black Panther - $1,242,535,514 Thor: Ragnarok - $741,757,757 Doctor Strange - $568,601,163 i just don’t see BP2 going below the Thor and Strange sequels. Do you think those two will make more domestically? Also, you have Black Panther 2 dropping of almost $400m after great reception from the first film? But you also have Jurassic World 3 increasing over $300m after bad reception from Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom? If you’re going by the production issues BP2 is going through, that won’t affect the box office. The general audience knows nothing about said issues. The only things that will matter is how Disney markets it and reception when it releases. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 (edited) so, Avatar, Jurassic World 3 and all the cbm will make bank. What about the other movies? Jordan Peele has a new movie. Even tho i didn't like US, he's still a big name, i hope his movie is good and makes money. What about The Lost City? It looks charming, hopefully it makes some $. Bullet Train is another that i see doing good. Edited December 28, 2021 by Maggie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonahVex Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 I can see Uncharted being a pretty big hit like maybe $500 mil due to Holland's star power from NWH Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 (edited) Super blockbuster going up against non-super blockbuster...this has gone badly for the non-super blockbuster pretty much for the last decade. So, I see co-existence next Christmas...and if that's not the case, I see Avatar 2 blinking or moving around so they each get 1 week+ PLF to themselves... AKA - one will move to Dec 25, while the other stays Dec 16 - and I think it's gonna be Avatar 2 on Dec 25 (that way, they can work out a min 2 week PLF)... Edited December 28, 2021 by TwoMisfits 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 58 minutes ago, JonahVex said: I can see Uncharted being a pretty big hit like maybe $500 mil due to Holland's star power from NWH I disagree. It’s not like being Spider-Man helped literally any other film Tom Holland is in. The guy may be popular but he’s like Hemsworth where the GA (despite what his stans may say) only want to see him as Spider-Man. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Only one movie this year made 1B and that had insane hype. I hope i'm wrong, but 1B will be hard in 2022 too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, Maggie said: Only one movie this year made 1B and that had insane hype. I hope i'm wrong, but 1B will be hard in 2022 too At least 5 $1B films in 2022. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said: At least 5 $1B films in 2022. Without China? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, Maggie said: Without China? Yes. Most billion dollar films would still be over a billion if you remove their take on China. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Potential 1B movies imo sure thing: Avatar, Dr strange, Black Panther. The rest are not so sure thing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 6 hours ago, cmbbox2390 said: Previous MCU movies without China Black Panther - $1,242,535,514 Thor: Ragnarok - $741,757,757 Doctor Strange - $568,601,163 i just don’t see BP2 going below the Thor and Strange sequels. Do you think those two will make more domestically? Also, you have Black Panther 2 dropping of almost $400m after great reception from the first film? But you also have Jurassic World 3 increasing over $300m after bad reception from Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom? If you’re going by the production issues BP2 is going through, that won’t affect the box office. The general audience knows nothing about said issues. The only things that will matter is how Disney markets it and reception when it releases. It has less to do with bts drama and more with the fact that the real Black Panther is sadly not among us anymore. Sure, they will pass on the mantle but it will be a similar drop like Fast and Furious registered after Paul Walker’s death. Maybe even more severe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonahVex Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Which of the big 2022 releases do you guys think will have the best legs? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Rich Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 39 minutes ago, JonahVex said: Which of the big 2022 releases do you guys think will have the best legs? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 45 minutes ago, JonahVex said: Which of the big 2022 releases do you guys think will have the best legs? One of the Christmas movies. Avatara 2 maybe? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmbbox2390 Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 59 minutes ago, James said: It has less to do with bts drama and more with the fact that the real Black Panther is sadly not among us anymore. Sure, they will pass on the mantle but it will be a similar drop like Fast and Furious registered after Paul Walker’s death. Maybe even more severe. Yeah I’m gonna have to disagree. I will wait until the first trailer drop before I make a prediction. I just think this film will be a tribute to Chadwick and very emotional which people usually gravitate towards. Also, I know it’s a scientific poll, but to be the most anticipated film of 2022 with virtually no info about the film is pretty impressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 (edited) 10. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse - Part Oneworldwide: $600 mln / domestic: $270 mln 9. Top Gun: Maverickworldwide: $620 mln / domestic: $210 mln 8. "Mission: Impossible 7"worldwide: $690 mln / domestic: $190 mln 7. The Batmanworldwide: $780 mln / domestic: $310 mln 6. Lightyearworldwide: $850 mln / domestic: $325 mln 5. Black Panther: Wakanda Foreverworldwide: $940 mln / domestic: $450 mln 4. Thor: Love and Thunderworldwide: $1.05b / domestic: $410 mln 3. Jurassic World: Dominionworldwide: $1.15b / domestic: $335 mln 2. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madnessworldwide: $1.25b / domestic: $430 mln 1. "Avatar 2"worldwide: $1.85-3.7b / domestic: $500 mln-1.1b + Probably 1-2 china films with $600-900 mln (99% gross from China). Edited December 29, 2021 by Juby 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poweranimals Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 On 12/28/2021 at 1:29 PM, TwoMisfits said: Super blockbuster going up against non-super blockbuster...this has gone badly for the non-super blockbuster pretty much for the last decade. So, I see co-existence next Christmas...and if that's not the case, I see Avatar 2 blinking or moving around so they each get 1 week+ PLF to themselves... AKA - one will move to Dec 25, while the other stays Dec 16 - and I think it's gonna be Avatar 2 on Dec 25 (that way, they can work out a min 2 week PLF)... Why would Avatar be the one to move? It's definitely doing better than Aquaman 2 I'm thinking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 1 hour ago, poweranimals said: Why would Avatar be the one to move? It's definitely doing better than Aquaman 2 I'm thinking. 2 week (or more) chance for PLF vs 9 days max... And WB, after a year of sticking to their theatrical dates, will not blink, and other studios know it. If Avatar 2 opens on the same date, both movies suffer. If one moves, they co-exist better. WB isn't gonna move Aquaman after its last Xmas performance...and it is the only Xmas super, so it's bound to do well...Avatar 2 actually has the bigger question b/c just look at Covid era results...we almost had a Top 5 supers list this year... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Cameron uber alles. You challenge him at your own peril. And frankly quality wise there's far more uncertainty w/ Aquaman than Avatar. The original was already riding on mostly brand appeal to its success, I'm not sure that will fly so much with a sequel. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cannastop Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 My prediction for 2022 is that Encanto will somehow reach $100 m dom 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
