Maggie Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 If there were no pandemic, AQP2 would have easily crossed 200M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Gavin Feng said: AQP2 > F9 + 50M? AQP2 would be happy with > F9+5M 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 (edited) Cruella Sun looks a little optimistic to me — is this really a Father’s Day movie? Edited June 20, 2021 by Lokis Legion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: AQP2 > F9 + 50M? Unlikely. F9 OW will be 60M Approx seems like, will be able to leg to $140-150M but I will take AQP2 over F9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 (edited) Fast 8 had very weak legs. I say AQP2> F9+20M Edited June 20, 2021 by Maggie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 Why did they not release F9 over Father's Day? It's a literal "family" film. I guess so that second weekend would be the Fourth of July? Doesn't make a ton of sense to me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Cmasterclay said: Why did they not release F9 over Father's Day? It's a literal "family" film. I guess so that second weekend would be the Fourth of July? Doesn't make a ton of sense to me. Vin: My brother Paul told me next week would be the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 35 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said: Cruella will have longevity it seems See A Quiet Place 2 for even more impressive longevity, a smaller 4th weekend drop. Great holds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 34 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said: Cruella will have longevity it seems Looks like it's going to be the super leggy hit that plays throughout the summer that In the Heights was supposed to be. $100M is probably too much to hope for unless it develops Raya/Croods-esque staying power but $90M+ is possible since it'll still be a while until theaters can be really forced to drop anything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Duncan Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 34 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said: Cruella will have longevity it seems If it follows Aladdin's legs from here on out, it goes all the way to 87.2M. 90M isn't impossible, since the film's already holding better than Aladdin and other movies will probably lose screens quicker than this will 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 Genuinely think Hitman's Bodyguard 2 wouldn't have done too much more in a non-pandemic world. It was a poorly reviewed comedy sequel, and those ALWAYS drop - and it was starting from a much, much lower baseline than Ted or Knocked Up etc. Not reading anything deeper about the state of the box office based on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Eric is Full of Pride said: If it follows Aladdin's legs from here on out, it goes all the way to 87.2M 91.7 64.7 + 5.1 * (91.5/17.3) = 91.7 But somehow feels like Aladdin legs may be bit hard but then Ontario opening shall help it a bit. Edited June 20, 2021 by charlie Jatinder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felandria Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 26 minutes ago, Lokis Legion said: Cruella Sun looks a little optimistic to me — is this really a Father’s Day movie? Moms take the kids so Dad can have a day alone? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 Also, not to be too optimistic or anything, but I genuinely do think F9 will have a better week of presales this week than the most pessimistic predictions are suggesting, and be a little more backloaded from previews to the rest of the weekend than folks are expecting as well. Just my instinct that the sales patterns for this franchise are a bit different, and IIRC Hobbs and Shaw kind of blew up over the final week a bit as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrPink Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said: Also, not to be too optimistic or anything, but I genuinely do think F9 will have a better week of presales this week than the most pessimistic predictions are suggesting, and be a little more backloaded from previews to the rest of the weekend than folks are expecting as well. Just my instinct that the sales patterns for this franchise are a bit different, and IIRC Hobbs and Shaw kind of blew up over the final week a bit as well. This is my feeling as well. The Fast and Furious fanbase has never really acted as a big pre-seller as far as I've seen. I haven't purchased my tickets myself. A 65m opening is roughly what I'm expecting which would be about 1/3rd down from F8. I believe that lines up with a lot of other countries. 150m or so total maybe? So expecting AQP2 will be about 15m ahead in total. But I also think that's fine for F9 since fatigue is likely settling in. Edited June 20, 2021 by MrPink 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 I was predicting around Logan numbers OW for F9 before COVID (85-90m range) so 65m or so would be right in that range with the obligatory 25% pandemic era reduction. I do think that 90 million or so is much more the normal range for the franchise now that they have gotten past what is clearly the peak (F7) and the afterglow (Fate). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 (edited) ‘Hitman’s Wife’s Bodyguard’ Hits $17M 5-day Debut In Dull Father’s Day Weekend Quote Sunday AM Update: Refresh for chart and more analysis The Hitman’s Wife’s Bodyguard is coming in higher over five days with $17M and a 3-day of $11.7M at 3,331 locations. https://deadline.com/2021/06/ryan-reynolds-hitmans-wifes-bodyguard-weekend-box-office-1234777056/ Edited June 20, 2021 by Maggie 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Borobudur Posted June 20, 2021 Author Share Posted June 20, 2021 1 N The Hitman’s Wife’s B… Lionsgate $11,675,000 3,331 $3,505 $17,024,340 1 - (1) A Quiet Place: Part II Paramount… $9,400,000 -22% 3,401 -114 $2,764 $125,259,000 4 - (4) Peter Rabbit 2: The R… Sony Pict… $6,100,000 -40% 3,346 n/c $1,823 $20,325,283 2 - (3) The Conjuring: The De… Warner Bros. $5,150,000 -50% 3,280 +43 $1,570 $53,599,859 3 - (5) Cruella Walt Disney $5,100,000 -24% 3,110 -197 $1,640 $64,735,802 4 - (2) In the Heights Warner Bros. $4,205,000 -63% 3,509 +53 $1,198 $19,659,628 2 - (6) Spirit Untamed Universal $1,600,000 -38% 2,967 -427 $539 $13,819,180 3 - (-) 12 Mighty Orphans Sony Pict… $870,000 +246% 1,047 +915 $831 $1,250,000 2 - (7) The House Next Door: … HEFG Rele… $604,400 -40% 539 +119 $1,121 $2,015,287 2 - (-) Queen Bees Gravitas … $266,000 600 $443 $908,331 2 - N The Sparks Brothers Focus Fea… $265,000 534 $496 $265,000 1 - (-) Godzilla vs. Kong Warner Bros. $250,000 -14% 512 -475 $488 $100,112,876 12 - (-) Spiral Lionsgate $165,000 -51% 887 -685 $186 $22,987,153 6 - (-) Dream Horse Bleecker … $97,194 -10% 147 -146 $661 $2,716,190 5 - (-) Raya and the Last Dragon Walt Disney $88,000 -63% 252 -307 $349 $54,362,574 16 - (-) The Croods: A New Age Universal $45,000 -26% 850 -32 $53 $58,541,930 30 - (-) Nobody Universal $10,000 -50% 307 -59 $33 $26,162,095 13 - (-) All Light, Everywhere Super LTD $7,203 +9% 19 +5 $379 $28,653 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 I could see F9 making over $70M next weekend tbh. Franchise fatigue is definitely kicking in, yes, but it's the next major movie that was already set for a big opening weekend when it was going to come out Memorial Day last year and A Quiet Place 2 has already proven that none of the pre-COVID momentum for these movies that were weeks/months away from coming out has been lost all that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 20, 2021 Share Posted June 20, 2021 With that 17M 5 days, a pure FSS would have been 15+ surely, I think its safe to assume box office is back to absolute normalcy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
