BLACK WIDOW OPENING WEEKEND THREAD | 80M DOM, 78 OS, Disney PR - 60M Premier Access (aka we swear it's not a disappoinment)

[Menor the Destroyer]

From a 13-13.5ish preview 100 is unlikely but I've seen far crazier things so won't rule it out completely but hopefully it comes closer to 14.

[Krissykins]

48 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Things might return to normal with Shang-Chi and Eternals with ~70m OW for the B-list heroes.

B list?!

 

If Eternals and Shang-Chi are “B List” what the heck were Guadrians of the Galaxy, Doctor Strange and Ant-Man before they were released? Lol

 

I’d never heard of Eternals or Shang-Chi until now. They’re D list at best. 
 

That’ll change, obviously. 

[fabiopazzo2]

58 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Speaking of Winter Soldier for BW to come close to WS' opening weekend during a pandemic with a hybrid release just shows that Marvel Studios is still in a much better position than it was during phase 2.

 

But obviously the MCU hiatus and blue balls were a factor too.

 

Things might return to normal with Shang-Chi and Eternals with ~70m OW for the B-list heroes.

Eternals over 90M, and The Big 3 over 150 easily

[fabiopazzo2]

5 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Eternals over 90M, and The Big 3 over 150M easily

In "normal" condition of course  

Edited July 9, 2021 by fabiopazzo2

[Menor the Destroyer]

94% verified audience score and 4.6 average rating. This is getting an A Cinemascore for sure.

[grey ghost]

22 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

B list?!

 

If Eternals and Shang-Chi are “B List” what the heck were Guadrians of the Galaxy, Doctor Strange and Ant-Man before they were released? Lol

 

I’d never heard of Eternals or Shang-Chi until now. They’re D list at best. 
 

That’ll change, obviously. 

 

Well I think Shang Chi and Eternals are C-List at worst because they're associated with MCU and there's a certain amount of awareness about them.

[grey ghost]

21 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

Eternals over 90M, and The Big 3 over 150 easily

 

Big 3?

[fabiopazzo2]

13 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

Big 3?

spiderman 

Strange

Thor

 

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

Big 3 used to be Cap, Iron Man, Thor but two of those are gone (there is Sam but he is less popular). Currently I think there are 4 characters who can open 150+: BP, Spider, Thor, Cap Marvel (the last one is a bit more uncertain due to the unusual circumstances for her first film).

[Legion Again]

Think DS can  also go 150+. And gotg, of course.   

 

Re: winter soldier opening, the modern equivalent is like 135M, so this isn't coming particularly close -- but could without the pandemic or PA imo

[mattie08]

My theater was about 80 percent full for a 7 PM showing last night…I live in one of the last places to lift its mask and social distancing mandates (6 weeks ago), and I’m pleasantly surprised by how quickly/easily a big majority of folks seem to have gone back to “normal,” given how people were talking and acting maybe the first full week after the restrictions were lifted. That second week saw a big shift, and seeing this movie felt like a real milestone (well, to me, anyway 😉). The last movie I saw before this was Godzilla versus Kong and there were maybe 10 people in the theater total then. Here’s hoping my anecdotal experience bodes well!

 

I really enjoyed the movie, I think it should have broad appeal, even for folks that don’t follow the MCU.

Edited July 9, 2021 by mattie08

[Menor the Destroyer]

29 minutes ago, Lokis Legion said:

Think DS can  also go 150+. And gotg, of course.   

 

Re: winter soldier opening, the modern equivalent is like 135M, so this isn't coming particularly close -- but could without the pandemic or PA imo

Forgot about GOTG. Yeah that should be 150+ as well. DS it depends on what exactly "Multiverse of Madness" actually entails and what is actually in that movie. 

[john2000]

https://deadline.com/2021/07/black-widow-opening-weekend-box-office-1234789473/

 

 

 

Black Widow’ Brings The Box Office Back Alive With Record Pandemic $13.2M Thursday Night

 

 

Edited July 9, 2021 by john2000

[MrPink]

So looking at around 85-93m roughly I'm thinking?

[Krissykins]

$13.2m then. 
 

I’m guessing $83-85m for the weekend. 

[TwoMisfits]

4 minutes ago, john2000 said:

https://deadline.com/2021/07/black-widow-opening-weekend-box-office-1234789473/

 

 

 

Black Widow’ Brings The Box Office Back Alive With Record Pandemic $13.2M Thursday Night

 

 

 

Nicely done tracking thread - the average was under $1M off, and some folks had this dead on...

[john2000]

now friday will tell the tale heres hoping

Edited July 9, 2021 by john2000

[Cmasterclay]

Not bad - I was only predicting $115-120m OW for this prior to the pandemic, so my baseline isn't quite as high as everyone else. I don't quite seem the appeal in a lower stakes solo prequel for an already dead character compared to other MCU movies. So $85-90 would be good considering PA, though obviously wanted 100.

[Menor the Destroyer]

I would say 88-90 but really depends on Friday. Could see as low as 85 but would be surprised if it goes below that.

 

[picores]

Perfectly fine midnights, hope it makes to 90m OW