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Eric Atreides

Weekend Thread (7/16-18) | Space Jam 31.6, Widow 26.3, Escape Room 8.8, F9 7.6, Boss Baby 4.7

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2 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Is Saturday in BW's favor? Assuming 8 mil Friday for BW and 13 mil for Space Jam 2, an average 20% increase for the former and 10% drop for the latter would still put Space Jam 2 ahead of BW.

 

With no previews, it will look at a smaller drop - the only wildcard is how big the NBA draw and late nights are b/c there is a game tomorrow night, so those "late folks" will go Fri/Sun night, but will likely skip tomorrow, so post 7pm EST shows might not look as good tomorrow as they do today (if I was the movie, I'd totally see if I could do a double book with the game and the movie, but I doubt the NBA would go for that:)...

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1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

SJ is not winning today. its crushing BW. I would say SJ 13-14m (let us see how evening goes) and BW - 7.5m. I am sure SJ will be frontloaded but I cant see BW catch up with this big a difference. I dont think weekend winner is a question at this point. 

Lol your post had me Nervous for a second.

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4 minutes ago, Eric E Coyote said:

So...are we not getting Deadline updates this weekend? Seems like we should have gotten something by now

 

They are trying to spin these results after saying all week (even this morning after previews) that Black Widow would certainly win the weekend and Space Jam wouldn't even get to $20M (last update, they even used the word "Space Jam 'hopes')...might have to rewrite the whole planned article...

 

Now, Black Widow might still win, but I don't think Space Jam 2 is just "hoping" for $20M total...

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These hybrid releases have made big movies one week events. As I said when WW84 dropped by 2/3 in its second weekend, the people who want to see the movies in theaters in these pandemic days do so the first week. Then they rewatch it on the streaming service. Space Jam 2 will surprise this weekend and then likely plummet next weekend. 

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11 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

They are trying to spin these results after saying all week (even this morning after previews) that Black Widow would certainly win the weekend and Space Jam wouldn't even get to $20M (last update, they even used the word "Space Jam 'hopes')...might have to rewrite the whole planned article...

 

Now, Black Widow might still win, but I don't think Space Jam 2 is just "hoping" for $20M total...


Deadline gonna Deadline! It’s okay that they thought BW would win the weekend, but where they really screwed the pooch was with their Space Jam 2 guesstimate. 

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Looking at reactions across the net  it looks like families are definitely enjoying space jam especially kids. Looks like there will be a major Critic versus audience divide like it was with the original.Good call on the WB.

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Has anyone else been aware of the issues AMC has been having all week, their website and app were practically nonfunctional on Tuesday and people have been reporting issues all week.

 

So, for example, presales across the board at Disney Springs have been looking thin, most of the showtimes weren’t opened up until Tuesday.

 

I saw the 2:15 in a 300 seat auditorium, maybe 15-20 were sold as of last night,  it there were way more than I expected in there today, possibly over 100.

 

dont be surprised if walk up from AMC are unusually strong.

 

also, Space Jam 2 was better than the original and it wasn’t even close.

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2 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

When did Forever Purge start previews? This started at 3pm, which would lower the multi.

 

1 hour ago, Sandro Mazzola said:

I'd be surprised with a Friday over 4m inc previews.

 

1 hour ago, DAJK said:

Would be the other way around. Previews are usually stronger in the summers than in January.

 

Honestly I think even 4M could be a stretch. Thinking it’ll end up with 3.8-3.9


Ok lol. Guess I’m way off then thinking it could do $10m+. 
 

$4m Friday and sub $9m weekend it is then. 

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2 hours ago, DAJK said:

Would be the other way around. Previews are usually stronger in the summers than in January.

 

Honestly I think even 4M could be a stretch. Thinking it’ll end up with 3.8-3.9

 

ER landed in that January period of holidays between Christmas/New years and back to work/school. Comping to summer isn't the worst there. Also ER previews started at 4pm so the mult to ER2's Thurs should be broadly similar.

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1 hour ago, Ms Lady Hawk said:

These hybrid releases have made big movies one week events. As I said when WW84 dropped by 2/3 in its second weekend, the people who want to see the movies in theaters in these pandemic days do so the first week. Then they rewatch it on the streaming service. Space Jam 2 will surprise this weekend and then likely plummet next weekend. 

Tom and Jerry? Godzilla  vs Kong ? The Conjuring 3? None of those plummeted 

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1 hour ago, Ms Lady Hawk said:

These hybrid releases have made big movies one week events. As I said when WW84 dropped by 2/3 in its second weekend, the people who want to see the movies in theaters in these pandemic days do so the first week. Then they rewatch it on the streaming service. Space Jam 2 will surprise this weekend and then likely plummet next weekend. 

 

It may have a rough 2nd weekend, b/c it will lose the "older" teen/young adult NBA audience...but if it's family friendly, and better yet kid friendly, what movie are all the summer camps and swim teams gonna go to on weekdays for the next few weeks?:)  Luca gave up and Hotel Transylvania pushed out, and they'd have been the biggest names to compete...

 

I'd expect decent legs just from those crowds and the "it's raining and the kids still aren't in school, where are we going today?" crowd, especially if this goes high this weekend.  Once one kid sees it, he'll talk and other kids will want to see it...

 

I mean, Jungle Cruise and Paw Patrol are about the only options left this summer, and I'm not seeing either taking the "popularity" place from Space Jam 2...

 

PS - Didn't everyone already learn from The Emoji Movie that you don't have to be a good movie or one that avoids commercialism in the summer...you just have to be something widely appealing that parents and kids haven't seen 100 times before that looks like it will be a good, fun time, and you have to market the heck out of your movie so kids remember your movie and not the other family ones that want that place...

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