Weekend Thread (7/30-8/1) | Jungle Cruise 34.2M DOM, 27.6 OS, 30M PA | Green Knight 6.78, Old 6.76, Widow 6.4, Stillwater 5.1

[Maggie]

About trailers for the upcoming late fall/winter movies (Matrix, Spidey, WSS etc) i don't expect anything until September. I think studios are still waiting to see how Delta variant is spreading. Also, the OS market needs time to recover. Who knows, maybe some movies will be moved to next year.

Edited August 1, 2021 by Maggie

[BadOlCatSylvester]

The pressure is on for Shang-Chi, folks. If it does well, them the rest of the year should be fine. If not, then we'll be in delay season yet again.

 

You want that No Way Home trailer? Go throw Simu Liu a bone.

[Maggie]

13 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

The pressure is on for Shang-Chi, folks. If it does well, them the rest of the year should be fine. If not, then we'll be in delay season yet again.

 

You want that No Way Home trailer? Go throw Simu Liu a bone.

I think some movies can't be moved anymore. Like Bond, no way that moves again. And most movies delayed from last year will probably keep the date. Bond movie will show if adults are willing to come back to the theaters. It's not only about Shang Chi, young people are back, let's see if adults are stepping back in theaters

Edited August 1, 2021 by Maggie

[Madhuvan]

yeah , Shang-Chi is ride or die for studios. If it severely underperforms we are going to get  another batch of delays

Edited August 1, 2021 by Madhuvan

[WrathOfHan]

I sincerely doubt Shang-Chi is the make or break movie for reasons I outlined in last weekend's thread. No Time to Die would be a much more appropriate fit for that criteria, but even then, studios won't keep delaying their films when we have vaccines widely available.

[jimisawesome]

11 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

The pressure is on for Shang-Chi, folks. If it does well, them the rest of the year should be fine. If not, then we'll be in delay season yet again.

 

You want that No Way Home trailer? Go throw Simu Liu a bone.

 

I don't think Shang Chi matters unless it goes ballistic or really bombs as it will be hard to separate the bad release date from COVID and other factors.

[filmlover]

I don't think No Time to Die could survive another delay regardless. It's been a completed movie that was about to come out for almost a year-and-a-half already. At this point they'll just settle for a diminished total instead of raising the bill by keeping it on the shelf for a longer period of time.

[wildphantom]

Even with HBO Max I’ll be shocked if TSS does under $30 million OW. 
 

[WrathOfHan]

4 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I don't think No Time to Die could survive another delay regardless. It's been a completed movie that was about to come out for almost a year-and-a-half already. At this point they'll just settle for a diminished total instead of raising the bill by keeping it on the shelf for a longer period of time.

They also don't want to risk Daniel Craig going berserk at the EON and MGM offices for being held in the film's promotional campaign for almost 2 years.

[imbruglia]

I just don't see shang chi doing good on international market. 

[lorddemaxus]

I'm still pretty skeptical about Free Guy's reviews. Atm at 70 on critics choice which would usually mean a pretty mixed score from the aggregate sites.

[DAJK]

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

Reminiscence feels like a dump tbh. I'm not expecting much.

Going to be another Transcendence.

[charlie Jatinder]

Disney has established 30% drop for JC on Sunday. 35M is possible.

[titanic2187]

The way Disney announce their PA number makes WB's hbo max even more stupid. At least Disney has some spice from its PA number while WB may only be able to tell how much people they offer their charity services for.    

[Plain Old Tele]

2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

I sincerely doubt Shang-Chi is the make or break movie for reasons I outlined in last weekend's thread. No Time to Die would be a much more appropriate fit for that criteria, but even then, studios won't keep delaying their films when we have vaccines widely available.

Vaccines aren’t widely available around the world, though. They’re just very available in some countries. 

[dudalb]

On 7/30/2021 at 8:41 AM, grim22 said:

Really good deep dive into the ScarJo case. Pretty much will come down to whether the court considers emails or not, if it ever actually goes to trial, which it won't because Disney will not want discovery

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unless the contact specifically forbad  a dual release, Scarjo does not have much of a case, from a strictly legal point of view.

Main result it going to be every contract from now will deal with the issue of streaming.

[ThomasNicole]

I'm not sure there will be many delays if Shang Chi do bad overseas.

 

Overseas numbers are bad for the past weeks now because lots of countries are in the middle of a wave with Delta.

 

Like every wave before, things will slow down soon. Things could be bad by September and harming Shang Chi overseas, but could easily be way better by October too.

 

Things are extremelly volatile and we know that now, there's no reason to get the big movies for the rest of the year delayed to 2022, especially movies like NTTD and Top Gun who are way off timing already and need to be released before all the interest disappear.

[grey ghost]

Why is it considered damage control for Disney to release PA numbers?

 

Are they supposed to hide a third of their OW revenue?

Edited August 1, 2021 by grey ghost

[grey ghost]

So we're expecting TSS' OW to fall under JC's?

 

That would be a disaster, lol.

[grey ghost]

BW, coming for that 2021 DOM crown.

 

Slowly creeping past F9.