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WrathOfHan

Weekend Thread: Free Guy 18.79M (34% drop!) | PAW Patrol 13M, Jungle Cruise 6.2M | Protégé 2.9M, Night House 2.87M, Legendary Flop Reminiscence 2M (Worst opening for a movie in 3K theaters!)

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Just now, ThomasNicole said:

Free Guy can pull over 18M depending on saturday number, way under 40% drop. Yeah this is so crossing 100M.

 

JC also can make easily +6M, just 30% drop.

 

Disney is doing pretty good this year, despite all the drama surrounding PA.

and i hope that thats about it with the pa bullshit

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Free Guy Forecast:

 

Aug 20: 17M (7M weekdays, 64M Total)

Aug 27: 11.4M (4.9M weekdays, 80.3M Total) 

Sep 3: 9.6M (3M weekdays, 92.9M Total)

Sep 10: 4.8M (2.1M weekdays, 99.8M Total)

Sep 17: 4.5M (1.7M weekdays, 106M Total)

Sep 24: 3.4M (1.2M weekdays, 110.6M Total)

Oct 1: 2.5M (800k weekdays, 113.9M Total)

Oct 8: 1.2M (400k weekdays, 115.5M Total)

Final Total: 120M (4.23x)

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Awareness for Candyman coming back out is really low - they need to use good reviews to give it a hype boost because it just hasn't had time to restart the marketing. Sales are okay near here but I know a ton of people hyped when the trailer dropped who have no clue the movie is coming now.

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2 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Awareness for Candyman coming back out is really low - they need to use good reviews to give it a hype boost because it just hasn't had time to restart the marketing. Sales are okay near here but I know a ton of people hyped when the trailer dropped who have no clue the movie is coming now.

It's selling on pace with Old at the theater I track, but every sale is for Dolby so far (just like Old this far out). It'll be more susceptible to franchise frontloading and possibly mixed WOM given how late the embargo drops, so 13-14M is my expectation right now.

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Free Guy is benefitting from both really good WOM and a completely open marketplace. Given how empty September will be for the most part, I can see it sticking around for a while.

 

9 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Awareness for Candyman coming back out is really low - they need to use good reviews to give it a hype boost because it just hasn't had time to restart the marketing. Sales are okay near here but I know a ton of people hyped when the trailer dropped who have no clue the movie is coming now.

Yeah not gonna lie I haven't heard anyone in the real world talk about Candyman. We'll see over the next week if it gains traction or if it's destined to be another Doctor Sleep.

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