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charlie Jatinder

Weekend Thread (17-19 Sep 21)

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3 hours ago, Legion of the Ten Crores said:

Lot of MCU 4th weekends confounded by some holiday or another.  
 

The best 4th Sat drop is Gotg -28%, which is very mildly inflated by returning to school increasing the Sat share of moviegoing. Next are TDW, DS1, and Ragnarok all chilling around -30-31%… on Thanksgiving Sat.    
 

So if SC can score a “best in MCU” 4th Sat drop to match its best in MCU 3rd Sat drop, that looks like a hold of 69-72% for ~ 6.75-7.05M and a weekend of ~14.9M-15.5M.   
 

This is an optimistic case, but it could target TROS 4th weekend gross of 15.187M

SC is trending towards 250M finish domestically. Fantastic result regardless of Pandemic or not!!!

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Oh yeah, Sep analysis update:

 

current grosses SC 177, rest 122.  
 

Shang last week 32.5, finish month ~ 203 adding 26 (80%).  
 

Other movies last week did ~ 32.5 — 25M holdovers and 7.5M openers. Holdovers say add 100% for 25, openers can add maybe 2x for 15M. DEH call it 15M opening week. That gives 203 vs 177, plenty of room for error.

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3 minutes ago, druv10 said:

SC is trending towards 250M finish domestically. Fantastic result regardless of Pandemic or not!!!

 

It's $23m+ behind TWS ($200.5m - 3rd w/e) -  I don't see it making $14m up on it. 

 

I'd say $240m is the high end with $230m more likely.

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9 minutes ago, druv10 said:

SC is trending towards 250M finish domestically. Fantastic result regardless of Pandemic or not!!!

Little optimistic there, it’s not off the table if it shrugs off V2+NTTD but I think 230s is more likely.

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6 hours ago, Napoleon said:

Are there any markets left for The Suicide Squad to open? It will really finish at $165 million worldwide? That would be close to an 80% drop from the 2016 film, that's insane.

Isn't that just shy of WW84?

 

Might be time to take this IP out back..

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34 minutes ago, DlAMONDZ said:

Isn't that just shy of WW84?

 

Might be time to take this IP out back..

Do you think they regret pre-emptively green lighting the Peacemaker Max show?

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55 minutes ago, RRA said:

Do you think they regret pre-emptively green lighting the Peacemaker Max show?

At the end of the day, it's just more content to their streaming service.

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9 hours ago, MikeQ said:

Best 3rd Weekends for Live Action Comic Book Movies

 

 

Wonder Woman (2017) — 41.3 million (-29.5%)

 

Wow. Best third week hold of any of these films at this level. 

3 hours ago, RRA said:

Do you think they regret pre-emptively green lighting the Peacemaker Max show?

Nope. 

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3 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Wow. Best third week hold of any of these films at this level. 

It did have the Sunday holiday boosted, but the FriSat drop of 33.5% is still the best there!

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