VENOM: LET THERE BE CARNAGE WEEKEND THREAD | 90.1M OW! Biggest pandemic opening!

[Menor the Destroyer]

OW should be O/U 80. Leg-wise it will have trouble the way October is shaping up, both second and third weekends will have trouble, even the fourth will have Dune which will do nontrivial business despite HBO Max. 2.4ish multi seems likely with the same WOM as the first? Around 192 million total. Will be 4th/5th domestically depending on Bond.

[Ronin46]

Venom 2018

 

10 previews

22.5 Friday 

26.4 Sat

21.4 Sun 

 

total 80.3

 

Venom 2021

 

11.6 previews

23.4 Friday

 

running 35M compared to 32.5 for first Venom. Hopefully it holds same as the first 1 and finishes higher.

 

[DAJK]

So what sort of Covid curve are we applying here? Would 100M opening have been possible pre-pandemic? Or was this always destined to stay relatively flat with the first?

[SpiderByte]

3 minutes ago, DAJK said:

So what sort of Covid curve are we applying here? Would 100M opening have been possible pre-pandemic? Or was this always destined to stay relatively flat with the first?

Argument could be made it's doing better than it would without covid due to lack of competition

Edited October 2, 2021 by SpiderByte

[SpiderByte]

5 hours ago, Chicago said:

NWH definitely has a small chance at 100m 

Yep, a small chance at 100. OD.

[Ronin46]

56 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

SUN drop be mid 30s. 

Charlie is there any reason it drops 35% on Sunday?

 

Obviously SC cant be used as there was a holiday on Monday and Sunday almost was flat with Saturday.

BW dropped 25% and F9 dropped 25% as well. The first Venom had a 19% drop.

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

Charlie is there any reason it drops 35% on Sunday?

 

Obviously SC cant be used as there was a holiday on Monday and Sunday almost was flat with Saturday.

BW dropped 25% and F9 dropped 25% as well. The first Venom had a 19% drop

First Venom had minor Holiday on Monday hence Sunday was boosted. F9 and BW are summer releases. Non-Summer releases have better SAT growth and bigger SUN drop.

If Venom was Summer release, we would seeing something like 12 23 25 19 // 79 now around 11.5 23.5 27-28 18 // 80-81.

Edited October 2, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Ronin46]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

First Venom had minor Holiday on Monday hence Sunday was boosted. F9 and BW are summer releases. Non-Summer releases have better SAT growth and bigger SUN drop.

If Venom was Summer release, we would seeing something like 12 23 25 19 // 79 now around 11.5 23.5 28 18 // 81.

 

Thanks for taking the time to explain it.

[charlie Jatinder]

V2 - 35.5-36
AF2 - 5
MSoN - 2.1 (True Friday)

SC - 1.6 

Edited October 2, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Ryan Reynolds]

ADDAMS FAMILY 2, THE (2021)

MANY SAINTS OF NEWARK, THE (2021)

[marveldcfox]

Good for Andy Serkis. Guy got a raw deal on Mowgli. That should have released in theaters even if was going to flop. 

This result will give him many exciting offers from studio heads.

[charlie Jatinder]

Can't wait for V2 China release. Expecting $300M, may be more.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

Yikes at that Newark score. Is it really that bad of a movie? Biggest second weekend drop for a 2021 Warner film incoming!

[CJohn]

Another 75-80M opener. We have found our pandemic ceiling. 

[BadOlCatSylvester]

2 minutes ago, CJ Sarandos said:

Another 75-80M opener. We have found our pandemic ceiling. 

If @charlie Jatinder's projections hold, then it'll be even higher than that. Highly likely this ends up taking Black Widow's crown and being the biggest domestic opening of the year.

[babz06]

3 minutes ago, CJ Sarandos said:

Another 75-80M opener. We have found our pandemic ceiling. 

Much better than the 4m ceiling the same time last year. 

[eddyxx]

4 hours ago, Halba said:

pathetic and cheap movie. only 1 h 26min? why so low length? didnt even have  a proper story to tell. sony sucks!

 

check my sig.

 

even the RT is shit.

Have you seen the rumored runtime for Eternals?

[Mojoguy]

4 hours ago, Halba said:

pathetic and cheap movie. only 1 h 26min? why so low length? didnt even have  a proper story to tell. sony sucks!

 

check my sig.

 

even the RT is shit.

Most movies are way too long these days. Nearly all of them could be 10-15 minutes shorter.

 

2 hour 20 minute Venom would have been unbearable. 97 minute is juuuuust right.

[Krissykins]

3 hours ago, RthBond said:

I was think around 35

Always nice to have you back RTH  

$5m Friday also wouldn’t be the end of the world for Addams Family 2 either. It’s could be making good money from the $19.99 at home rental and should play all month. 
 

Dear Evan Hansen and Many Saints of Newark are non starters. 

[Legion Again]

Marvel movies targeting a full one out of every 3 box office dollars for movies released in 2021.