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Eric Atreides

NO TIME TO DIE WEEKEND THREAD | Bond 56M, Venom 32M

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1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

It all depends on the trailer - if it looks like a geriatric trying to be an action hero, ummm, yeah, I'd probably say it's gonna have issues...if it actually focuses on someone that could be the next Indy and the Ford is only there as flavoring and nostalgia, maybe...



I bet Disney will use Force Awakens style marketing for Indy. A lot of focus on nostalgia and what the character means to people. Think it'll do better domestic than overseas, unless it turns out to be a really fun adventure movie.

 

 

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1 minute ago, TalismanRing said:

 

It'll probably soften it to 25-30% drop instead of a 35-37% drop.

 

6.23m

17.07m

21.3375 (+25%)

15.363m  (-28%)

= $60m

 

Don't think it can hit that Sat bump.  Spectre was around  16-17% and Skyfall was 11%

 

 

Star trek beyond had 22.3 m friday for a 59.3 weekend while Jason Bourne hit 59.2m with 22.6m friday. NTTD is 1m higher than them but those STB and JB were summer release. so Saturday bump need to be strong for 60m opening 

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18 minutes ago, Maggie said:

Next Bond will be a young guy then?

 

I am still pulling for Henry Cavill.

 

Either way, my suggestion is to make the next Bond a bit lighter than the doom and gloom of the Craig era not that I haven't enjoyed Craig but I can use the more humor and suave version of Bond again. 

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1 N No Time to Die United Artists $23,300,000     4,407 $5,287 $23,300,000 1
- (2) The Addams Family 2 United Artists $2,773,171 +233% -51% 4,207 $659 $23,895,022 8
- (3) Shang-Chi and the Legend … Walt Disney $1,170,000 +147% -28% 2,800 $418 $209,426,765 36
- (-) Free Guy 20th Century… $350,000 +107% -43% 1,495 $234 $118,731,287 57
- (-) Dear Evan Hansen Universal $290,000 +58% -61% 1,927 $150 $12,996,130 15
- (-) Candyman Universal $210,000 +173% -41% 1,153 $182 $59,583,075 43
- (-) Jungle Cruise Walt Disney $55,000 +3% -68% 445 $124 $116,387,419 71
- (-) PAW Patrol: The Movie Paramount Pi… $49,000 +2% -40% 404 $121 $39,868,471 50
- (-) The Eyes of Tammy Faye Searchlight … $12,000 -63% -83% 125 $96 $2,278,421 22
- (-) The Night House Searchlight … $5,000 +144% +15% 70 $71 $7,091,044 50
- (-) Old Universal $4,000 +123% -52% 146 $27 $48,224,320 78
- (-) Black Widow Walt Disney $3,000 +41% -53% 55 $55 $183,638,459 92
- (-) The Boss Baby: Family Bus… Universal $2,000 +80% -8% 328 $6 $57,265,895 99

 

Fantastic hold for SC, with Monday holiday sub 20% drop is very likely!

Edited by druv10
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8 minutes ago, ACSlater said:

 

I am still pulling for Henry Cavill.

 

Either way, my suggestion is to make the next Bond a bit lighter than the doom and gloom of the Craig era not that I haven't enjoyed Craig but I can use the more humor and suave version of Bond again. 

Henry cavil is too long in the tooth, And I don’t understand these Tom Hardy predictions either. He’s already has a few franchises. They’ll go for somebody not well known. 

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4 hours ago, SchumacherFTW said:

I'd be surprised if any of the DC movies, MI7 or Indy 5 did 300m

The DC movies next year all have abysmal scheduling. Batman's three weeks before Strange (which isn't that bad, but...this could have dominated February), Black Adam's the same day as Indy, Flash is a week before Marvels, Aquaman is a week after Avatar. These are all weird scheduling decisions that will hurt all these movies. Not sure what's going on over there.

 

2 hours ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

Actually curious who else thinks Indy is going sub $300M cause I have it definitely going over $300M but a decent amount of people  would agree with you

I've been thinking low 200s for a while now, which I think would be very solid and make Disney/Lucasfilm happy. I trust Mangold and Ford here, but I still think having Old Man Ford whip up baddies is going to be an issue if they don't pull it off in the first trailer.

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3 minutes ago, Eric Safin said:

The DC movies next year all have abysmal scheduling. Batman's three weeks before Strange (which isn't that bad, but...this could have dominated February), Black Adam's the same day as Indy, Flash is a week before Marvels, Aquaman is a week after Avatar. These are all weird scheduling decisions that will hurt all these movies. Not sure what's going on over there.

 

I've been thinking low 200s for a while now, which I think would be very solid and make Disney/Lucasfilm happy. I trust Mangold and Ford here, but I still think having Old Man Ford whip up baddies is going to be an issue if they don't pull it off in the first trailer.

I think they’ll probably move Black Adam, Flash and Aquaman 2 eventually. My guess is BA takes off the August kick off as Flash takes Aquaman 2’s Christmas slot and Aquaman goes to March or late summer. I think we’ll probably get film announcements at Fandome anyways so I can see a date change or two.

Edited by YourMother
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2 hours ago, Chicago said:

I remember the reactions to Daniel Craig's decision being sour because he had blond hair, would be funny seeing the reaction if they cast a POC.  Most James bond fans are old enough that they will moan at any big bold changes but it won't stop them from seeing it, atleast here in the UK. 

 

Personally I'm hoping they cast James Corden

I have a friend who's a massive James Bond fan and who still hates them decision to cast a blond actor. 

 

I don't think it stops the die hards, but, I think there's a large casual audience in that older demo that stays home if they're enthusiastic about the product. 

 

It's a tough brand to manage. I'd personally enjoy the movies if they took more risks, but I'm not the core audience. I'll probably see it, but, only to keep my dad company, who wants to check it out. 

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NTTD definitely hurt by a few factors - Spectre sucking something fierce and this being a direct sequel to that awful movie, the repeated delays meaning that associated marketing efforts all happened way too early like the theme song and SNL and trailers, the long runtime, and the "Craig finale" marketing not resonating as there's been a sense of exhaustion from both audiences and Craig himself.

 

My hope for the next Bond is to go away from the serialization a bit and give us more standalone adventures again with a prime Bond.

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