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Eric Atreides

NO TIME TO DIE WEEKEND THREAD | Bond 56M, Venom 32M

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6 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

What a tragedy!

And Deadline making predictions for the second weekend on Monday...🤣

"Weekend 2 of No Time to Die should be around -55%, around $24.8M as Universal/Miramax/Blumhouse’s Halloween Kills arrives to do a $35M-$40M opening, even though available on the paid subscriber tier of Peacock."

 

https://deadline.com/2021/10/no-time-to-die-weekend-box-office-1234852700/

 

And probably overly optimistic ones b/c I think Bond also loses some PLFs to something else next weekend, at least after 8pm, b/c its audience will not view this movie late...and there's no TMobile deal nor a holiday to float the drop...and technically, The Last Duel probably takes some miniscule portion of its adult audience away...so, 60%+ seems like the realistic drop... 

Edited by TwoMisfits
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Maybe it's because I'm not a Bond fan per say but I don't see this as being any kind of set back.  We are still in a world wide pandemic and that is going to affect the box office.  Not every country is back to normal for movie going.  Here is Canada, the theatres are only allowing 50% capacity, well in Ontario anyway.  Canada might not be a huge market but let's say right now you add 7% more to the weekend take  That puts it over 60 mill.  Do that to other markets and you can see there is money left o the table.

 

Also, if this finishes at 750 mill, isn't that pretty good for Bond?  Sure the last two finished with 880 and 1.1 bill, but again, release this in a different non-pandemic climate and there's no doubt it hits 800.  

 

Bond is healthy in my eyes.  It's got a built in audience and they show up religiously.  The next one will do fine just like this one is too.  

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8 minutes ago, baumer said:

Maybe it's because I'm not a Bond fan per say but I don't see this as being any kind of set back.  We are still in a world wide pandemic and that is going to affect the box office.  Not every country is back to normal for movie going.  Here is Canada, the theatres are only allowing 50% capacity, well in Ontario anyway.  Canada might not be a huge market but let's say right now you add 7% more to the weekend take  That puts it over 60 mill.  Do that to other markets and you can see there is money left o the table.

 

Also, if this finishes at 750 mill, isn't that pretty good for Bond?  Sure the last two finished with 880 and 1.1 bill, but again, release this in a different non-pandemic climate and there's no doubt it hits 800.  

 

Bond is healthy in my eyes.  It's got a built in audience and they show up religiously.  The next one will do fine just like this one is too.  


 

 

it’s still a 250m with a mediocre opening and will be one of the lowest attended Bond film despite a huge marketing push 

 

 

if they didn’t want to deal with the pandemic effects they should have delayed the release again

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2 minutes ago, John Marston said:


 

 

it’s still a 250m with a mediocre opening and will be one of the lowest attended Bond film despite a huge marketing push 

 

 

if they didn’t want to deal with the pandemic effects they should have delayed the release again

The delay would have costed them more money and besides a 700-800 ww finish (depending on china) is MORE than fine

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2 minutes ago, John Marston said:


 

 

it’s still a 250m with a mediocre opening and will be one of the lowest attended Bond film despite a huge marketing push 

 

 

if they didn’t want to deal with the pandemic effects they should have delayed the release again

 

Another delay means spending more money that they'll eventually have to make back. 

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1 hour ago, Inceptionzq said:

You know BOT is healing when SW has been negatively mentioned multiple times in the past week(not just in this thread).

 

Those of us who usually defend SW just don't have the energy to get into the same arguments all over again.  😛

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5 minutes ago, John Marston said:


 

 

it’s still a 250m with a mediocre opening and will be one of the lowest attended Bond film despite a huge marketing push 

 

 

if they didn’t want to deal with the pandemic effects they should have delayed the release again

 

The problem is you don't know if the world is going on lockdown again anytime soon.  Maybe they felt this was as good a time as any to open it. 

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Baumer makes good point on capacity issue. 
There are also a decent chunk of people who are willing to go on a Wednesday afternoon who would be cautious about a full crowd. 
I’m good to see my MCU stuff right away, but might wait for something I’m less horny about. 

Edited by Mr Terrific
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Omg, the numbers are just becoming more and more boring as weekend goes.

 

Lesson learned, the presale for last 2 days before the opening day pretty much represent the actual walk ups. If the pace isn't picking up in any way closer to the OD, no way it can reverse the course on the showing day. 

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1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:

Omg, the numbers are just becoming more and more boring as weekend goes.

 

Lesson learned, the presale for last 2 days before the opening day pretty much represent the actual walk ups. If the pace isn't picking up in any way closer to the OD, no way it can reverse the course on the showing day. 

That won't stop people from predicting the next big opener to break $100M OW.😜 Well actually, Eternals might have a shot.

Edited by poweranimals
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2 hours ago, John Marston said:


 

 

it’s still a 250m with a mediocre opening and will be one of the lowest attended Bond film despite a huge marketing push 

 

 

if they didn’t want to deal with the pandemic effects they should have delayed the release again

Delaying the release for too long means added spending on marketing and forces them to sit on potential money which could be spent on other projects generating more income 

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If you guys want really pathetic numbers, look no further from The Last Duel this weekend. The movie cannot be cheap (just Scott, Damon and Affleck likely cost half the budget or more) yet PS are between Stillwater and Green Knight which means barely breathing. Medieval genre does not sell in theaters. 

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The pandemic is lacking as an explanation here imo. Decent chunk of olds showed up, but was only enough to pull 60% of V2 with (slightly) better virus conditions.   
 

The worldwide performance is obviously great, but not sure why there seems to be such an impulse to spin this  meh DOM debut.

Edited by Let There Be Legion
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Updated post-pandemic record weekends:

OW — Venom LTBC 90M

2nd wknd — SC 34.7M

3rd — SC 21.7M

4th — SC 13M

5th — SC 6.1M

6th — FG 5.1M (SC has now dropped below FG’s weekends)

7th — FG 4.1M

8th — FG 2.26M

9th — Croods2 1.8M

10th — Croods2 1.8M

11th — Croods2 1.7M

12th — Croods 2 2.1M

13th — Croods 2 1.7M

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Spoiler

 

Just now, Let There Be Legion said:

Updated post-pandemic record weekends:

OW — Venom LTBC 90M

2nd wknd — SC 34.7M

3rd — SC 21.7M

4th — SC 13M

5th — SC 6.1M

6th — FG 5.1M (SC has now dropped below FG’s weekends)

7th — FG 4.1M

8th — FG 2.26M

9th — Croods2 1.8M

10th — Croods2 1.8M

11th — Croods2 1.7M

12th — Croods 2 2.1M

13th — Croods 2 1.7M

 

 

Eternals should comfortably take #1-5 at least, and shortly thereafter NWH should repeat the feat. Not even NWH can probably touch those Croods weekends though 👀

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