Weekdays Thread 11/1-4 | Calm before the storm

[von Kenni]

Domestic weekdays box office numbers.

[von Kenni]

 

 

 

 

If it's now -43% drop from last Monday, it means that last Monday was $3m instead of $3.65. Maybe someday we know when WB tells the real numbers. Though who cares then anymore.

[von Kenni]

Monday Nov 1st

 

		Movie	Distr	Gross	%YD	%LW	Thr	Per Thr	Total Gross	D
-	(3)	No Time to Die	United Artists	$847,522	-57%	-33%	3,507	$242	$134,111,451	25
-	(4)	Venom: Let There be Carnage	Sony Pictures	$558,839	-64%	-19%	3,278	$170	$191,000,953	32
-	(2)	Halloween Kills	Universal	$471,245	-83%	-55%	3,616	$130	$86,348,210	18
-	(7)	Last Night in Soho	Focus Features	$422,295	-56%		3,016	$140	$4,600,755	4
-	(9)	The Addams Family 2	United Artists	$246,197	-68%	-7%	2,757	$89	$52,907,732	32
-	(-)	A Quiet Place: Part II	Paramount Pi…	$12,000	-57%		615	$20	$160,175,261	158
-	(-)	Candyman	Universal	$4,490	-75%	-49%	659	$7	$61,147,405	67
-	(-)	Becoming Cousteau	Picturehouse	$4,209	-46%	-72%	152	$28	$208,553	11
-	(-)	Dear Evan Hansen	Universal	$3,755	-41%	-64%	292	$13	$14,902,955	39
-	(-)	Tango Shalom	Vision Films	$52	-95%	-86%	1	$52	$101,199	60
		10		$2,570,604

Edited November 2, 2021 by von Kenni

[Felipe]

		Movie	Distr	Gross	%YD	%LW	Thr	Per Thr	Total Gross	D
1	(1)	Dune	Warner Bros.	$1,745,453	-56%		4,125	$423	$71,030,171	11
2	(3)	No Time to Die	United Artists	$847,522	-57%	-33%	3,507	$242	$134,111,451	25
3	(4)	Venom: Let There be Carnage	Sony Pictures	$558,839	-64%	-19%	3,278	$170	$191,000,953	32
4	(2)	Halloween Kills	Universal	$471,245	-83%	-55%	3,616	$130	$86,348,210	18
-	(7)	Last Night in Soho	Focus Features	$422,295	-56%		3,016	$140	$4,600,755	4
-	(8)	Ron’s Gone Wrong	20th Century…	$376,945	-51%	n/c	3,560	$106	$12,933,041	11
-	(6)	Antlers	Searchlight …	$355,828	-68%		2,800	$127	$4,627,174	4
-	(10)	The French Dispatch	Searchlight …	$330,213	-43%	+144%	788	$419	$4,809,575	11
-	(9)	The Addams Family 2	United Artists	$246,197	-68%	-7%	2,757	$89	$52,907,732	32
-	(11)	Shang-Chi and the Legend …	Walt Disney	$130,093	-52%	-22%	1,115	$117	$222,889,137	60
-	(12)	The Last Duel	20th Century…	$71,762	-49%	-69%	950	$76	$10,143,693	18
-	(-)	A Quiet Place: Part II	Paramount Pi…	$12,000	-57%		615	$20	$160,175,261	158
-	(-)	Free Guy	20th Century…	$7,846	-56%	-62%	185	$42	$121,399,463	81
-	(-)	Candyman	Universal	$4,490	-75%	-49%	659	$7	$61,147,405	67
-	(-)	Becoming Cousteau	Picturehouse	$4,209	-46%	-72%	152	$28	$208,553	11
-	(-)	Dear Evan Hansen	Universal	$3,755	-41%	-64%	292	$13	$14,902,955	39
-	(-)	Jungle Cruise	Walt Disney	$3,161	-46%	-31%	100	$32	$116,901,135	95
-	(-)	Cry Macho	Warner Bros.	$2,127	-44%		54	$39	$10,272,927	46
-	(-)	The Eyes of Tammy Faye	Searchlight …	$905	-51%	+12%	20	$45	$2,399,368	46
-	(-)	The Many Saints of Newark	Warner Bros.	$574	-71%		41	$14	$8,217,466	32
-	(-)	Tango Shalom	Vision Films	$52	-95%	-86%	1	$52	$101,199	60
		21		$5,595,511

 

Dune Monday actuals!

[von Kenni]

And an inch better than $1.7 -> $1.75.

[Felipe]

https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons/Annabelle-Creation/Dune-(2020)#tab=day_by_day_comparison

 

Second weekend and 2nd Monday were pretty close to Anabelle: Creation. I think it's a good comp to see if it will get to 100M.

[TalismanRing]

8 minutes ago, Felipe said:

https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons/Annabelle-Creation/Dune-(2020)#tab=day_by_day_comparison

 

Second weekend and 2nd Monday were pretty close to Anabelle: Creation. I think it's a good comp to see if it will get to 100M.

 

Different time of the year, different level of competition.   Anabelle's 3rd and 4th w/e had no new openers against it then was hit by It in it's 5th w/e.    Dune will be losing IMAX and PLFs to Eternals in it's 3rd w/e

[MrPink]

Venom inching closer to 200m...gonna be so close without the fudge.

[Felipe]

Just now, TalismanRing said:

 

Different time of the year, different level of competition.   Anabelle's 3rd and 4th w/e had no new openers against it then was hit by It in it's 5th w/e.    Dune will be losing IMAX and PLFs to Eternals in it's 3rd w/e

Yeah I know. I wanted to say that it's a good comparison to see the possibility of reaching 100M, since Anabelle barely get there (102M). If/when it falls under the curve, there's no chance.

[von Kenni]

5 minutes ago, Felipe said:

Yeah I know. I wanted to say that it's a good comparison to see the possibility of reaching 100M, since Anabelle barely get there (102M). If/when it falls under the curve, there's no chance.

 

Looks interesting comparison so far and Dune can fall under the curve for a moment after next weekend or two and still end up same numbers. Sure, IMAX & Eternals will deliver a big blow and probably biggest single weekend drop in its run next weekend.

 

Here's also GvK added to the mix with currently at same cume:

https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Annabelle-Creation/Dune-(2020)/Godzilla-vs-Kong-(2020)#tab=day_by_day_comparison

 

However, Dune has a good chance to end up the rest of the run with much smaller drops and if it can stabilize/plateau its drops after the Eternals weekend, it has a good shot to end up over 100. However, so far HBO Max & piracy has seem to been too much for Dune's excellent WOM so it might be couple weeks more than we know for sure.

[motionpic05]

As a big Halloween fan, the only thing I really hoped for out of Halloween Kills was that it would make enough to ensure Ends still happened.

 

while it took a hefty drop from ‘18, I’m still fairly confident it happens 

[von Kenni]

8 minutes ago, motionpic05 said:

As a big Halloween fan, the only thing I really hoped for out of Halloween Kills was that it would make enough to ensure Ends still happened.

 

while it took a hefty drop from ‘18, I’m still fairly confident it happens 

 

Shouldn't it be a sure thing, or am I missing something?

Dom close to $100m and OS 60?70? at least $150m WW + Peacock with $20m budget, and rentals on top of it.

[ViktorLosAngeles]

24 minutes ago, von Kenni said:

 

Shouldn't it be a sure thing, or am I missing something?

Dom close to $100m and OS 60?70? at least $150m WW + Peacock with $20m budget, and rentals on top of it.

 

Ends was never a question. It's 100% happening. But OS for HK is going to end up around 40-45 million $. That worries me more than the US drop, which, especially these days, is ok. 50+% overseas drop (and mind you - it was theatrical only elsewhere) shows the drop in interest for "Halloween" franchise, since the 2018 film made 96.1 outside the US.

 

I think "Ends" will make more money in the US, but I'm not expecting big improvement outside the States.

[Ronin46]

2 minutes ago, ViktorLosAngeles said:

 

Ends was never a question. It's 100% happening. But OS for HK is going to end up around 40-45 million $. That worries me more than the US drop, which, especially these days, is ok. 50+% overseas drop (and mind you - it was theatrical only elsewhere) shows the drop in interest for "Halloween" franchise, since the 2018 film made 96.1 outside the US.

 

I think "Ends" will make more money in the US, but I'm not expecting big improvement outside the States.

 

Halloween has never been a huge franchise outside of the US. Only the 2018 Halloween did 100M overseas. The previous 3 did 30m total gross overseas. I am sure they are happy with how its done. 

[Krissykins]

1 hour ago, MrPink said:

Venom inching closer to 200m...gonna be so close without the fudge.

I’ve seen this a few times. It’s at $191m after a $550k Monday…. Of course it’ll pass $200m. Why are people questioning this? it made nearly $6m last weekend, you don’t think it can make another $9m without a “fudge”? 
 

 

47 minutes ago, motionpic05 said:

As a big Halloween fan, the only thing I really hoped for out of Halloween Kills was that it would make enough to ensure Ends still happened.

 

while it took a hefty drop from ‘18, I’m still fairly confident it happens 

Yes I wouldn’t worry, nearly 6x it’s budget in 3 weeks.

[MrPink]

1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

I’ve seen this a few times. It’s at $191m after a $550k Monday…. Of course it’ll pass $200m. Why are people questioning this? it made nearly $6m last weekend, you don’t think it can make another $9m without a “fudge”? 
 

 

Yes I wouldn’t worry, nearly 6x it’s budget in 3 weeks.

 

Basically because I'm expecting a hefty drop this weekend with Eternals. If it drops like high 50s, 200m doesn't become a guarantee at that point.

[CJohn]

2 hours ago, Krissykins said:

I’ve seen this a few times. It’s at $191m after a $550k Monday…. Of course it’ll pass $200m. Why are people questioning this? it made nearly $6m last weekend, you don’t think it can make another $9m without a “fudge”? 
 

 

It will tank 60%+ this weekend, that is why.

Edited November 3, 2021 by CJohn

[CJohn]

8 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

Basically because I'm expecting a hefty drop this weekend with Eternals. If it drops like high 50s, 200m doesn't become a guarantee at that point.

Morbius will save it. That killer reference at the end of the new trailer is the greatest thing ever. The Internet is BUZZING about it.

[Pinacolada]

Any reason for why Venom 2 and NTTD had such great drops Monday week-to-week drops?

[marveldcfox]

43 minutes ago, Pinacolada said:

Any reason for why Venom 2 and NTTD had such great drops Monday week-to-week drops?

No HD prints available online and they are fun films unlike Dune...damn..watched it...what's all the hype about?