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Spiderman : No Way Home - Box office thread

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2 minutes ago, Product Driven Legion said:

Yeah mostly I am happy to have called 1.8 conservative 11 days ago. Titanic is pure gravy to me, taking out the WW line+ 1st run is enough either way.

 

No Omicron/4th Wave + China release = $2250 - 2400M WW. 

 

It sucks that we missed out on that. 

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9 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

 

You're right, Jurassic World is $1.67B and The Lion King (2019) $1.662B.

 

For No Way Home: Deadline reports that Norway opened to $2.6M, besting the debuts of Spider-Man: Far From Home by 267% and Spider-Man: Homecoming by 259%. Slovakia bowed with $600K, beating Far From Home by 10% and Homecoming by 133%. Top markets to date are the UK ($116.9M), Mexico ($73.4M), Korea ($60.6M), France ($59.9M) and Australia ($53.2M).

 

Damn that's a really nice opening

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2 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said:

 

No Omicron/4th Wave + China release = $2250 - 2400M WW. 

 

It sucks that we missed out on that. 

WW-C 2-2.05Bish, China like 350-500 I guess? Hard to pin down. What do Taiwan and HK suggest for mainland potential (of a dec 17 release) @charlie Jatinder @Olive ?

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2 minutes ago, Product Driven Legion said:

WW-C 2-2.05Bish, China like 350-500 I guess? Hard to pin down. What do Taiwan and HK suggest for mainland potential (of a dec 17 release) @charlie Jatinder @Olive ?

 

Both Taiwan and HK increased from FFH about 35% (36% and 33% respectively). I'm not sure of COVID restrictions, but I feel like NWH in China would be good for 50% over FFH, so about $300M. Maybe $350M tops. I don't think it would hit some of these loftier numbers, based on similar-minded markets. 

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2 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said:

 

Both Taiwan and HK increased from FFH about 35% (36% and 33% respectively). I'm not sure of COVID restrictions, but I feel like NWH in China would be good for 50% over FFH, so about $300M. Maybe $350M tops. I don't think it would hit some of these loftier numbers, based on similar-minded markets. 

Hmm. What about as a % vs IW and EG?

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Taiwan should have been a lot higher but I suppose CoVID impact was there.

 

I would have expected $400M China surely. So $765M DOM + $1040M now + $400M China + ~$100M CoVID loss in various places = $2.3B - ~$300M tougher competition in normal XMAS release.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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1 minute ago, Product Driven Legion said:

Hmm. What about as a % vs IW and EG?

 

NWH Taiwan ($16.6M) vs FFH ($12.19M) = 136.2%
NWH Hong Kong ($15.46M ) vs FFH ($11.57M) = 133.6% 

 

NWH Taiwan ($16.6M) vs IW ($21.59M) = 76.9%
NWH Hong Kong ($15.46M) vs IW ($20.59M) = 75.1% 

NWH Taiwan vs EG ($29.39M) = 56.5%
NWH Hong Kong vs EG ($29.33M) = 52.7% 

 

FFH China = $199M
IW China = $377M
EG China = $631M 

 

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17 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Taiwan should have been a lot higher but I suppose CoVID impact was there.

 

I would have expected $400M China surely. So $765M DOM + $1040M now + $400M China + ~$100M CoVID loss in various places = $2.3B - ~$300M tougher competition in normal XMAS release.

 

Yeah here some people think that without the virus the film would still have had zero competition

 

Without Omicron for example heavily damaged films like Sing 2, Encanto and Clifford would have probably grossed a lot more (possibly taking away some money from Spider Man), while Morbius and other local films probably wouldn't have been delayed (I remember for example a big French and Indian film that were postponed, helping No Way Home legs in the countries)

Edited by MG10
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6 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Taiwan should have been a lot higher but I suppose CoVID impact was there.

 

I would have expected $400M China surely. So $775M DOM + $1040M now + $400M China + ~$100M CoVID loss in various places = $2.3B - ~$300M tougher competition in normal XMAS release.

 

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For those that didn’t notice, we passed Infinity War WW-C. That’s probably the last worldwide milestone (vs another film) we will be able to hit, unless it can leg out past Titanic 1st Run WW.

Edited by RiddlerXXR
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21 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said:

For those that didn’t notice, we passed Infinity War WW-C. That’s probably the last worldwide milestone (vs another film) we will be able to hit, unless it can leg out past Titanic 1st Run WW.

1st run WW-C should be easy enough

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8 minutes ago, Product Driven Legion said:

1st run WW-C should be easy enough


According to BOM it only had 1 release and did $145M. Was that release apart of the original run? If it was, not even really worth noting as that’s only $1.699B and would fall before the weekend.

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