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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXRDJisDoctorDoom,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 6/18/2023 at 3:31 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Emagine Entertainment

T-11 Thursday 143 Showings 1012 +29 22135
0.877 The Flash T-11 8.51M

 

T-12 Friday 233 Showings 632 +34 35418
0.945 The Flash T-12 13.98M

 

T-13 Saturday 235 Showings 366 +37 35755
0.733 The Flash T-13 11.52M

 

T-14 Sunday 229 Showings 144 +2 34627
0.702 The Flash T-14

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Emagine Entertainment

T-10 Thursday 143 Showings 1060 +48 22135
0.878 The Flash T-10 8.52M

 

T-11 Friday 233 Showings 739 +107 35415
1.029 The Flash T-11 15.23M

 

T-12 Saturday 235 Showings 399 +33 35754
0.711 The Flash T-12 11.17M

 

T-13 Sunday 229 Showings 156 +12 34624
0.719 The Flash T-13 11.14M
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 6/18/2023 at 3:35 PM, Inceptionzq said:

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 96 2035 4.72%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 126 1519 8.29%

 

Sunday: 42(+4)

Monday: 291(+14)

Tuesday:

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
401 30 22097 1.81% 13 108

 

1.311 Indiana Jones T-23  
0.636 Avatar 2 T-23 10.81M
0.520 JW Dominion T-23 9.36M

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 102 2035 5.01%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 135 1519 8.89%

 

Sunday: 42

Monday: 314(+23)

Tuesday:

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
439 38 22053 1.99% 13 108

 

1.380 Indiana Jones T-22  
0.587 Avatar 2 T-22 9.97M
0.547 JW Dominion T-22 9.85M
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 6/18/2023 at 3:38 PM, Inceptionzq said:

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Alamo Drafthouse

T-23 Tuesday 109 Showings 1151 +46 18188 ATP: 8.68
0.307 Indiana Jones T-23  
0.643 Avatar 2 T-23 10.93M
0.333 JW Dominion T-23 6.00M

 

T-24 Wednesday 108 Showings 368 +19 18727 ATP: 17.68

 

T-25 Thursday 117 Showings 390 +13 19700 ATP: 16.08

 

T-26 Friday 117 Showings 706 +36 19761 ATP: 16.49
0.240 Indiana Jones T-26

 

T-27 Saturday 123 Showings 818 +38 20838 ATP: 16.24
0.285 Indiana Jones T-27

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Alamo Drafthouse

T-22 Tuesday 109 Showings 1264 +113 18188 ATP: 8.64
0.332 Indiana Jones T-22  
0.602 Avatar 2 T-22 10.24M
0.354 JW Dominion T-22 6.37M

 

T-23 Wednesday 108 Showings 384 +16 18727 ATP: 17.76

 

T-24 Thursday 117 Showings 421 +31 19700 ATP: 16.19

 

T-25 Friday 117 Showings 777 +71 19761 ATP: 16.57
0.260 Indiana Jones T-25
0.295 JW Dominion T-25 12.27M

 

T-26 Saturday 123 Showings 880 +62 20838 ATP: 16.20
0.297 Indiana Jones T-26
0.315 JW Dominion T-22 14.75M
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 6/18/2023 at 3:39 PM, Inceptionzq said:

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Emagine Entertainment

T-22 Monday 4 Showings 131 +7 1002
T-23 Tuesday 160 Showings 370 +13 25304
0.695 Indiana Jones T-23

 

T-24 Wednesday 202 Showings 87 +5 31583

 

T-25 Thursday 210 Showings 54 +5 32997

 

T-26 Friday 214 Showings 105 +4 34163
0.467 Indiana Jones T-26

 

T-27 Saturday 215 Showings 80 +5 34288
0.602 Indiana Jones T-27

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Emagine Entertainment

T-21 Monday 4 Showings 133 +2 1003
T-22 Tuesday 158 Showings 373 +3 24549
0.686 Indiana Jones T-22

 

T-23 Wednesday 199 Showings 88 +1 30371

 

T-24 Thursday 207 Showings 57 +3 31785

 

T-25 Friday 211 Showings 108 +3 32951
0.415 Indiana Jones T-25

 

T-26 Saturday 212 Showings 86 +6 33076
0.597 Indiana Jones T-26
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emoviefan Box Office Gold

emoviefan

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

MI: Dead Reckoning Part 1 Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 102 2035 5.01%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 135 1519 8.89%

 

Sunday: 42

Monday: 314(+23)

Tuesday:

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
439 38 22053 1.99% 13 108

 

1.380 Indiana Jones T-22  
0.587 Avatar 2 T-22 9.97M
0.547 JW Dominion T-22 9.85M

Seems good for now. Fallout did 6 in Thursday night previews and today's social media reactions should only help I would think.

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 6/18/2023 at 3:40 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Oppenheimer Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 316 804 39.30%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 120 563 21.31%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
775 8 7876 9.84% 13 41

Oppenheimer Denver Previews

AMC Westminster 24

Total 327 1008 32.44%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 123 563 21.85%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST DAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
791 16 8080 9.79% 13 43
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 6/18/2023 at 3:41 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Oppenheimer Alamo Drafthouse

T-32 Thursday 82 Showings 2225 +66 12292 ATP: 17.93

 

T-33 Friday 124 Showings 1903 +43 18826 ATP: 17.12

 

T-34 Saturday 121 Showings 2311 +75 18709 ATP: 17.73

 

T-35 Sunday 112 Showings 1176 +38 17860 ATP: 17.95

Oppenheimer Alamo Drafthouse

T-31 Thursday 82 Showings 2308 +83 12292 ATP: 17.87

 

T-32 Friday 124 Showings 1970 +67 18826 ATP: 17.08

 

T-33 Saturday 121 Showings 2436 +125 18709 ATP: 17.56

 

T-34 Sunday 112 Showings 1236 +60 17860 ATP: 17.83
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 6/18/2023 at 3:41 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Oppenheimer Emagine Entertainment

T-32 Thursday 74 Showings 376 +13 12169

 

T-33 Friday 136 Showings 203 +9 20015

 

T-34 Saturday 136 Showings 136 +13 20016

 

T-35 Sunday 132 Showings 38 +4 19541

Oppenheimer Emagine Entertainment

T-31 Thursday 72 Showings 429 +53 11454

 

T-32 Friday 136 Showings 241 +38 19084

 

T-33 Saturday 136 Showings 171 +35 19083

 

T-34 Sunday 132 Showings 72 +34 18608

 

There was a movie id(they decided to have 3 separate ones) that I wasn't capturing, 70mm showings, which is why there's a big jump.

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Greedo Rumored Project

Greedo

Posted
Posted (edited)
16 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

The mixed reviews are killing this movie with the older review dependent crowd.They look at RT and see it stuck around 54-57% . Maybe next week the final push of reviews will improve it. This movie screams late buy and walkup. Fingers crossed. 

I’m still holding onto hope but I’m worried it’s just Hopium😔 I do think Indy 5 is something more likely to be walk up heavy though. 

 

The one thing that gives me hope for Indy 5 though is the fact all that polls have Indy 5 has the hyped movie (well above movies like Fast X,TLM,and The Flash) and since those same polls say it’s the 30-60 age bracket it’s possible they wouldn’t show up on presales+it’s also a movie that has far more hype with White people than nonwhites as well.

Edited by Greedo
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
31 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

Seems good for now. Fallout did 6 in Thursday night previews and today's social media reactions should only help I would think.

Keep in mind these comps aren’t adjusted for Tuesday discounts

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Relevation Indie Sensation

Relevation

Posted
Posted (edited)

Don’t mean to doom and gloom, but if Indy has a terrible final week like the Flash did with no review bump to increase demand at the end, and audience reception is mediocre leading to a bad IM…

 

Spoiler

Is something like $6.5M previews with a 6.5x IM possible?

 

Edited by Relevation
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XXRDJisDoctorDoom Global Phenomenon

XXRDJisDoctorDoom

Posted
Posted
10 minutes ago, Relevation said:

Don’t mean to doom and gloom, but if Indy has a terrible final week like the Flash did with no review bump to increase demand at the end, and audience reception is mediocre leading to a bad IM…

 

  Hide contents

Is something like $6.5M previews with a 6.5x IM possible?

 

 

I don't see it being that low. Probably something in the 7.5-9.5 x 6.5-7.5

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emoviefan Box Office Gold

emoviefan

Posted
Posted
58 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Keep in mind these comps aren’t adjusted for Tuesday discounts

 Yes That's right. Still feel like it should  only increase with the great reactions and likely great reviews coming.Got be positive about something after this weekends  implosion and Indy not looking so great right now.  If people just shrug off this movie it is going to be one depressing box office period to follow. 

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rehpyc Indie Sensation

rehpyc

Posted
Posted

Indy T-12

Ava2: 5.50M

NTTD: 9.89M

TG:M: 5.46M

GB:A: 13.66M

Uncharted: 21.38M

JW:D: 8.49M

JW4: 12.84M

Flash: 7.77M

 

Indy T-11

Ava2: 5.41

NTTD: 9.58M

TGM: 5.31M

GB:A: 13.44M

Uncharted: 20.67M

JW:D: 8.35M

JW4: 12.62M

Flash: 7.78M

 

Between T-21 and T-11 The Flash as a comp has sat around 7.6M - 7.8M as the growth rate has been very similar.

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rehpyc Indie Sensation

rehpyc

Posted
Posted

Avatar 2 and Top Gun: Maverick will likely be bad comps, as both carried inflated ATPs with both being largely PLF-driven. Market reasons are somewhat ruling out GB:A and Uncharted, but we'll see how they fare. NTTD, JW:D, and Flash are the leading comps I'm looking at, each pointing about the same T-0 of 7.25M - 7.75M, but we'll see how things continue through the week.

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emoviefan Box Office Gold

emoviefan

Posted
Posted
40 minutes ago, rehpyc said:

Indy T-12

Ava2: 5.50M

NTTD: 9.89M

TG:M: 5.46M

GB:A: 13.66M

Uncharted: 21.38M

JW:D: 8.49M

JW4: 12.84M

Flash: 7.77M

 

Indy T-11

Ava2: 5.41

NTTD: 9.58M

TGM: 5.31M

GB:A: 13.44M

Uncharted: 20.67M

JW:D: 8.35M

JW4: 12.62M

Flash: 7.78M

 

Between T-21 and T-11 The Flash as a comp has sat around 7.6M - 7.8M as the growth rate has been very similar.

Uncharted must have done horribly in presales. 

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rehpyc Indie Sensation

rehpyc

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

Uncharted must have done horribly in presales. 

That it did. Indy has already made 30% at T-11 than Uncharted did at T-1. Likely dropping that and Afterlife going forward.

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