The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[ringedmortality]

4 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Unofficial COMP: $7.2M RotB

is that good?

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-13

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
183	1999	37284	5.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

64

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-13

 

(0.374x) of GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3

~$6.5M THUR Previews

 

(1.382x) of FAST X

~$10.4M THUR Previews

 

(1.466x) of TRANSFORMERS RoTB

~$12.9M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG : $9.9M

 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-12

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
183	2064	37284	5.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

65

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-12

 

(0.846x) of THE FLASH

~$8.2M THUR Previews

 

(1.409x) of FAST X

~$10.6M THUR Previews

 

(1.486x) of TRANSFORMERS RoTB

~$13.1M THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG : $10.6M

[TheFlatLannister]

9 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

is that good?

For $100M+ OW, probably not 

 

It's not bad though, but I'm not including EA in any comps so that could add another $2M+ ?? 

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-34

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
70	891	12741	7.0%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

104

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

 

Something weird is definitely going on with the script for Oppenheimer. Think it has to do with the sold out showing. Volume sold is fine, but pace doesn't make sense 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

OPPENHEIMER

 

THURSDAY previews

 

T-33

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
70	897	12741	7.0%

^{*Numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

6

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

1

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

No Hard Feelings

 

THURSDAY

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
38	143	4487	3.2%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

41

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Unofficial comp ~$800K

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

No Hard Feelings

 

THURSDAY

 

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
38	187	4487	4.2%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

44

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Unofficial comp ~$900K

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

ASTEROID CITY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
21	299	2455	12.2%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

46

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Comp ~$1M previews 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

ASTEROID CITY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
21	319	2455	12.9%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Comp ~$1.7M previews 

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

RUBY GILLMAN, TEENAGE KRAKEN

 

THURSDAY

 

T-13

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
77	136	11728	1.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

29

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-13

 

(0.284x) of ELEMENTAL

~$650K THUR Previews

 

Oof this is pretty bad 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

RUBY GILLMAN, TEENAGE KRAKEN

 

THURSDAY

 

T-12

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
77	146	11728	1.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

10

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-12

 

(0.289x) of ELEMENTAL

~$700K THUR Previews

 

Probably looking at a single digit OW here 

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

13 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

ASTEROID CITY

 

THURSDAY

 

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
21	319	2455	12.9%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

20

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Comp ~$1.7M previews 

Isn't this pretty good? Could it end up in the high teens and potentially have an outside shot at #1?

[TheFlatLannister]

4 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Isn't this pretty good? Could it end up in the high teens and potentially have an outside shot at #1?

Previews are strong imo. Not sure about the IM

 

Maybe @el sid or @M37 will have OW projections 

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

56 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

No Hard Feelings

 

THURSDAY

 

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
38	187	4487	4.2%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

44

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

Unofficial comp ~$900K

Seems like there’s some steady improvement over these last couple days. Are there no good comps for NHF?

[M37]

1 hour ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Previews are strong imo. Not sure about the IM

 

Maybe @el sid or @M37 will have OW projections 

Maybe tomorrow, or by Mon. Had planned to catch-up on and delve into everything today, but internet was down, so that plan got scrapped 

[TheFlatLannister]

3 hours ago, AMC Theaters Enjoyer said:

Seems like there’s some steady improvement over these last couple days. Are there no good comps for NHF?

I don't have any good comps. Closest thing is Blackening: both comedies, but The Blackening is horror 

[Porthos]

On 6/17/2023 at 2:19 AM, Porthos said:

 

Oppenheimer Sacto Report [T-34]

622/7572 [8.15% sold]   [+5 tickets] [50 showings]

70mm:              325/776    [+2 tickets] [52.25% of all tickets sold]

All other PLF:   218/3558   [+3 tickets] [35.05% of all tickets sold]

Standard:           79/3238   [+0 tickets] [12.70% of all tickets sold]

 

Oppenheimer Sacto Report [T-33]

629/7572 [8.31% sold]   [+7 tickets] [50 showings]

70mm:              327/776    [+2 tickets] [51.99% of all tickets sold]

All other PLF:   221/3558   [+3 tickets] [35.14% of all tickets sold]

Standard:           81/3238   [+2 tickets] [12.88% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Gonna have to start giving comps soon, aren't I?  Problem is, I have no idea what to really use here. :--/

Edited June 19, 2023 by Porthos

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Mission Impossible 7: Dead Reckoning — Part One

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-25 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	154	23842	24369	527	2.16%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

36

 

Day Three Comps:

	%		Sold Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	107.33		56	491		0/135	20500/20991	2.34%		3737	14.10%		6.65m
JWD	51.02		96	1033		0/163	21792/22825	4.53%		10966	4.81%		9.18m
Ava 2	28.32		172	1861		0/142	19477/21338	8.72%		8986	5.86%		4.81m
Wick 4	72.69		68	725		0/84	11995/12720	5.70%		5448	9.67%		6.47m
Indy 5	103.54		25	509		0/122	18753/19262	2.64%		???	???		???

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of MI7's current tickets sold versus that final number.

DISCOUNT TUE NOTE:  NONE of the above comps have been adjusted for Discount Tuesday ticket sales at particpating theaters, thus the comp will almost certainly come down when sales are final.

Regal:         60/7967  [0.75% sold]
Matinee:        2/1687  [0.12% | 0.38% of all tickets sold]
Discount:    57/6018  [0.95% | 10.82% of all tickets sold]
[NOTE: Must be a Regal Member to qualify for Discount Tue at participating Regal locations]   

---

Sun:   40/457           [8.75% sold]  [+0 tickets]

Mon:  264/2256       [11.70% sold] [+27 tickets]

Tue:   223/21656     [1.03% sold]   [+9 tickets]

 

===

 

Switching to T-x comps, such as they are, starting tomorrow...

 

Mission Impossible 7: Dead Reckoning — Part One

Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-24 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	154	23797	24366	569	2.34%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

42

 

T-24 Comps:

	%		Sold T-24	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
JWD	33.24		22	1712		0/171	22072/23784	7.20%		10966	5.19%		5.98m
Ava 2	43.11		1320	1320		0/138	19300/20620	6.40%		8986	6.33%		7.33m
FX	75.36		9	755		0/182	26945/27700	2.73%		4122	13.80%		5.65m
Indy 5	68.06		44	836		0/124	18688/19524	4.28%		???	???		???

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of MI7's current tickets sold versus that final number.

DISCOUNT TUE NOTE:  NONE of the above comps have been adjusted for Discount Tuesday ticket sales at particpating theaters, thus the comp will almost certainly come down when sales are final.

Regal:     66/7967  [0.83% sold]
Matinee:    2/1687  [0.12% | 0.35% of all tickets sold]
Discount:    65/6018  [1.08% | 11.42% of all tickets sold]
[NOTE: Must be a Regal Member to qualify for Discount Tue at participating Regal locations]   

---

Sun:   44/457           [9.63% sold]   [+4 tickets]

Mon:  286/2256       [12.68% sold] [+22 tickets]

Tue:   239/21653     [1.10% sold]    [+16 tickets]

 

===

 

I would take these comps with a fairly hefty grain of salt as the JWD/Indy 5/And Especially FX comps have all been selling longer than MI7 (which is only on Day 4) while Ava2 started sales on T-24.  Then again, Ava 2 is kinda a bad comp anyway for various reasons. But not much better for T-24 comps out there, so make do with what we have...

 

 

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-13 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	128	18924	20241	1317	6.51%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

59

 

T-13 Comps:

	%		Sold T-13	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	168.85		57	780		0/135	20479/21259	3.67%		3737	35.24%		10.47m
JWD	48.65		112	2707		0/191	22665/25372	10.67%		10966	12.01%		8.76m
BA	135.08		63	975		0/146	21092/22067	4.42%		4494	29.31%		10.27m
Wick 4	106.99		80	1231		0/89	12253/13484	9.13%		5448	24.17%		9.52m
FX	119.84		52	1099		0/178	26611/27710	3.97%		4122	31.95%		8.99m
TLM	81.10		97	1624		0/154	21095/22719	7.15%		6561	20.07%		8.35m
Flash	102.81		54	1281		0/178	23867/25148	5.09%		5327	24.72%		9.97m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Indy 5's current tickets sold versus that final number.

  
Regal:     258/6084  [4.24% sold]
Matinee:    94/1728  [5.44% | 7.14% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Added The Flash comp, by request.

 

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-12 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	128	18888	20241	1353	6.68%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

36

 

T-12 Comps:

	%		Sold T-12	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	166.63		32	812		0/135	20447/21259	3.82%		3737	36.21%		10.33m
JWD	48.12		105	2812		0/191	22562/25374	11.08%		10966	12.34%		8.66m
BA	131.36		55	1030		0/146	21037/22067	4.67%		4494	30.11%		9.98m
Wick 4	105.37		53	1284		0/90	12301/13585	9.45%		5448	24.83%		9.38m
FX	115.84		69	1168		0/178	26545/27713	4.21%		4122	32.82%		8.69m
TLM	78.03		110	1734		0/154	20987/22721	7.63%		6561	20.62%		8.04m
Flash	103.28		29	1310		0/178	23838/25148	5.21%		5327	25.40%		10.02m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Indy 5's current tickets sold versus that final number.

  
Regal:     269/6084  [4.42% sold]
Matinee:    97/1728  [5.61% | 7.17% of all tickets sold]

[reddevil19]

45 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Oppenheimer Sacto Report [T-34]

629/7572 [8.31% sold]   [+7 tickets] [50 showings]

70mm:              327/776    [+2 tickets] [51.99% of all tickets sold]

All other PLF:   221/3558   [+3 tickets] [35.14% of all tickets sold]

Standard:           81/3238   [+2 tickets] [12.88% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Gonna have to start giving comps soon, aren't I?  Problem is, I have no idea what to really use here. :--/

Any chance there's records of Dunkirk's presales? That did like 5 million previews, no?

And I guess Dune? Cause...🤷‍♂️

[TwoMisfits]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

Oppenheimer Sacto Report [T-34]

629/7572 [8.31% sold]   [+7 tickets] [50 showings]

70mm:              327/776    [+2 tickets] [51.99% of all tickets sold]

All other PLF:   221/3558   [+3 tickets] [35.14% of all tickets sold]

Standard:           81/3238   [+2 tickets] [12.88% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

Gonna have to start giving comps soon, aren't I?  Problem is, I have no idea what to really use here. :--/

 

I'd have said MI7, but that's gonna have the weird open.

Another would have to be Avatar 2 b/c of the heavy emphasis in PLF and the pre-eixsting fanbase.

Maybe also Indy 5 - 40+ male Caucasian slant with preexisting fanbase.

Edit to Add: I do like the Dune 1 comp, too.

Edited June 18, 2023 by TwoMisfits

[JustLurking]

Don't remember how presales-heavy Dune was, but that seems like a potentially decent comp for this. Ava2 as well, but theres a bit of a volume problem with that one.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 6/17/2023 at 9:17 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Asteroid City	T-5	Jax	6	9	11	105	875	12.00%
		Phx	4	8	4	57	564	10.11%
		Ral	5	10	8	41	848	4.83%
	Total		15	27	23	203	2,287	8.88%
No Feelings	T-5	Jax	5	15	1	10	1,284	0.78%
		Phx	6	18	4	24	1,722	1.39%
		Ral	6	17	3	21	1,568	1.34%
	Total		17	50	8	55	4,574	1.20%
No Feelings (EA)	T-0	Jax	2	2	28	44	134	32.84%
		Phx	1	1	12	18	71	25.35%
	Total		3	3	40	62	205	30.24%

 

Asteroid City T-5 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - missed

 - Easter Sunday - 4.143x (2.07m)

 - The Menu - missed

 - Violent Night - 1.971x (2.17m)

 - Last Night in Soho - missed

 

 

Size adjusted average - 2.26m

 

No Hard Feelings T-5 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 1.122x (562k)

 - Violent Night - .534x (587k)

 - 80 for Brady - .437x (327k)

 - Lost City - .258x (646k)

 

Size adjusted average - 511k

 

Took out the EA from No Hard Feelings since it shows today... not the normal Wednesday EA so sales pattern won't match.

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Asteroid City	T-4	Jax	6	9	22	127	875	14.51%
		Phx	4	8	9	66	564	11.70%
		Ral	5	10	8	49	848	5.78%
	Total		15	27	39	242	2,287	10.58%
No Feelings	T-4	Jax	5	15	7	17	1,284	1.32%
		Phx	6	18	1	25	1,722	1.45%
		Ral	6	17	3	24	1,568	1.53%
	Total		17	50	11	66	4,574	1.44%

 

Asteroid City T-4 comps

 - Cocaine Bear - missed

 - Easter Sunday - 4.246x (2.12m)

 - The Menu - missed

 - Violent Night - missed

 - Last Night in Soho - 2.574x (1.93m)

 

No Hard Feelings T-4 comps

 - Easter Sunday - 1.158x (579k)

 - Violent Night - missed

 - 80 for Brady - .468x (351k)

 - Lost City - .275x (688k)

 

Size adjusted average - 503k

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 6/17/2023 at 9:21 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Indiana Jones	T-12	Jax	6	64	4	276	10,205	2.70%
		Phx	6	43	3	175	8,309	2.11%
		Ral	8	53	22	294	7,972	3.69%
	Total		20	160	29	745	26,486	2.81%
Ruby Gillman	T-12	Jax	5	19	0	1	2,145	0.05%
		Phx	6	24	0	4	2,236	0.18%
		Ral	7	27	0	10	2,563	0.39%
	Total		18	70	0	15	6,944	0.22%

 

Ruby Gillman T-12 comps

 - Bad Guys - missed

 - Super Pets - .5x (1.1m)

 

Indiana Jones T-12 comps

 - Avatar 2 - .308x (5.24m)

 - F9 - 1.06x (7.52m)

 - JW3 - .336x (5.95m)

 - NTTD - missed

 - Top Gun 2 - .38x (5.6m)

 - John Wick 4 - .858x (7.64m)

 - Ghostbusters - 1.795x (7.45m)

 

Size adjusted average - 7.15m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Indiana Jones	T-11	Jax	6	64	16	292	10,205	2.86%
		Phx	6	43	2	177	8,309	2.13%
		Ral	8	53	25	319	7,972	4.00%
	Total		20	160	43	788	26,486	2.98%
Ruby Gillman	T-11	Jax	5	19	1	2	2,145	0.09%
		Phx	6	24	0	4	2,236	0.18%
		Ral	7	27	2	12	2,563	0.47%
	Total		18	70	3	18	6,944	0.26%

 

Ruby Gillman T-12 comps

 - Bad Guys - missed

 - Super Pets - .45x (990k)

 

Indiana Jones T-12 comps

 - Avatar 2 - missed

 - F9 - 1.058x (7.51m)

 - JW3 - missed

 - NTTD - 1.732x (9.01m)

 - Top Gun 2 - .38x (5.57m)

 - John Wick 4 - .855x (7.61m)

 - Ghostbusters - 1.81x (7.5m)

 

Size adjusted average - 7.33m