The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[el sid]

Barbarian, counted today at 10am EST for Thursday, September 8:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 10 (2 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 20 (1 showtime)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 0 (1 showtime)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 3 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 23 (2 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 100 (2 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 156 (last Wednesday it were 100).

Comps (all counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): The Forever Purge had 104 sold tickets,
Beast had 147 sold tickets
and The Invitation had 96 sold tickets.
Per se that's a good number for a Monday but as you can see, the sales are very uneven.
 

Barbarian, counted today at 10am EST for Friday, September 9:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 26 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 14 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 1 (3 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 0 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 18 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 11 (4 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 70 (last Wednesday 24).
 

Comps (all counted on Monday of the release week for Friday): Old had 150 sold tickets,
Malignant had 100 sold tickets,
The Night House had 24 sold tickets in 5 theaters,
Beast had 111 sold tickets
and The Invitation had 87 sold tickets.
That's also an ok number but the jumps over the next few days shouldn't be too small and Idk if this film has enough mainstream appeal (judging from the trailer, it could go in both directions).
 

Medieval had today 10 sold tickets for Thursday and 11 sold tickets for Friday (with showtimes in 4 of the 7 theaters).

[Krissykins]

The long range forecast for Bros is pretty depressing: $10-15m. 
 

Smile is currently $15-20m, I’m hoping it breaks out. I get a feeling about this one. It’s rated R though, and an 18 here in the UK. I thought it would’ve been a draw morw with tweens and younger teens. 

[The Wild Eric]

Barbarian Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	22	83	3842	2.16%

 

Comp

0.615x of Old T-3 (922K)

2.964x of The Night House T-3 (771K)

1.456x of Antlers T-3 (539K)

0.411x of Last Night in Soho T-3 (288K)

1.122x of X T-3 (493K)

2.024x of Firestarter T-3 (759K)

1.317x of Men T-3 (557K)

0.223x of The Black Phone (669K)

1.482x of The Invitation (1.15M)

[filmlover]

3 hours ago, Krissykins said:

The long range forecast for Bros is pretty depressing: $10-15m. 

It would be a solid number for a comedy with zero star power, especially since legs should be fine if reviews/WOM are good. I can't imagine it cost much more than that given how almost completely low-profile the cast is.

[Krissykins]

15 hours ago, filmlover said:

It would be a solid number for a comedy with zero star power, especially since legs should be fine if reviews/WOM are good. I can't imagine it cost much more than that given how almost completely low-profile the cast is.

I personally wouldn’t call $10-15m very solid for this one. It’s high profile, trailer seemed to get a great reaction. I’m hoping for a breakout considering what it represents. A $10m opening doesn’t get more of these films made unfortunately. 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

56 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

It’s high profile...

 

[misterpepp]

Pearl is now on sale, for those interested in tracking it.

[The Wild Eric]

Quorum Updates

Pearl T-10: 14.49% Awareness, 4.32 Interest

Don't Worry Darling T-17: 28.69%, 5.05

Bros T-24: 21.02%, 4.35

Black Adam T-45: 44.92%, 5.81

The Fabelmans T-66: 7.65%, 4.42

She Said T-73: 14.76%, 4.60

Bones and All T-78: 11.75%, 4.48

Avatar: The Way of Water T-101: 64.76%, 6.37

I Wanna Dance with Somebody T-106: 21.22%, 4.84

 

Prey for the Devil T-52: 21.09% Awareness, 5.04 Interest

Comps (all ~T-60): Old w/ 17.35% Awareness & 5.35 Interest, Don't Breathe 2 w/ 21.92% & 4.73, The Black Phone w/ 22.25% & 5.39, Nope w/ 24.99% & 5.0

 

T-60 General Awareness: 42% chance of double digit opening, 21% chance over 20M

General Interest: 79% chance of double-digit opening, 68% over 20M

Horror Awareness: sub-30%, 55% chance of double-digit opening. 20% or higher, 86% chance of double digits.

Horror Interest: 75% chance of double-digit opening

[abracadabra1998]

Twin Cities Report is back! Sorry for the hiatus, things at the job have been picking up (as a teacher, I will miss summer), but I had some time today and looked into:

 

Barbarian (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 12 theaters	12	73	73	1781	4.1

 

Comps:

The Invitation: 2.7x ($2.1 M)

Beast: 0.94x ($870k)

 

The Invitation did especially poorly in the Twin Cities area, so that comparison isn't great in my opinion. I think on par with Beast makes sense for an opening. Will check in tomorrow.

[The Wild Eric]

23 hours ago, Eric-occhio said:

Barbarian Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	22	83	3842	2.16%

 

Comp

0.615x of Old T-3 (922K)

2.964x of The Night House T-3 (771K)

1.456x of Antlers T-3 (539K)

0.411x of Last Night in Soho T-3 (288K)

1.122x of X T-3 (493K)

2.024x of Firestarter T-3 (759K)

1.317x of Men T-3 (557K)

0.223x of The Black Phone (669K)

1.482x of The Invitation (1.15M)

Barbarian Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	31	132	5060	2.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 49

 

Comp

0.695x of Old T-2 (1.04M)

3.300x of The Night House T-2 (858K)

1.859x of Antlers T-2 (688K)

0.539x of Last Night in Soho T-2 (377K)

1.419x of X T-2 (624K)

2.276x of Firestarter T-2 (842K)

1.333x of Men T-2 (564K)

0.270x of The Black Phone T-2 (810K)

1.941x of The Invitation T-2 (1.5M)

 

I know some people might freak out and think this is breaking out, but I need to clarify I'm doing a course correction here. I didn't know until a few minutes ago that there were early access shows tomorrow night, so part of the big boost (32 of those tickets in fact) were accounting for those extra screenings I was unaware of. Still, at least this paints a better picture of what the movie's preview gross could be.

[Krissykins]

Could a Fox dump in 2,200 locations potentially be #1 then? 
 

Still doesn’t even have a UK release date. 

[M37]

Barbarian looks like it’s going to beat Invitation, might even hit double digits?

[charlie Jatinder]

Barbarian good movement in Harkins as well today. 

 

THU - 78/9387 (53 showings) $917
FRI - 115/31730 (128 showings) $1285

 

Comps

1.39x Invitation THU - $1.08M

1.33x Invitation FRI - $2.53M

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

Brahmastra $325K approx pre-sales for THU. Final can hit $600K. Weekend $3-4M.

[filmlover]

See How They Run has begun with a 55 on Metacritic. Guess it checks out as to why Disney/Searchlight are dumping it with nonexistent promotion.

[ThomasNicole]

Barbarian reviews are pretty good so far, hopefully it will help the OW

[LonePirate]

At the Regal IMAX complex near me, Jaws maintains its four daily IMAX showings this weekend. No other films are being shown in the format this weekend.

 

NWH is down from 6 daily showings last week to just 2 daily showings.

 

TGM is up from 5 to 7 daily showings with 4 of them in the (overpriced) Screen X format after NWH occupied the screen last weekend.

 

Both Honk and Gigi are down to a single showtime each day. 
 

I don’t see any reason why Barbarian doesn’t easily win the weekend with TGM and BT battling it out for second place.

[Goldenhour36]

On 9/5/2022 at 5:48 AM, Goldenhour36 said:

 

 

Missed Tracking Day 2 

 

Barbarian (Tracking Day 3) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24 

 

Thursday- 66/672 (3 Showings) 

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

7:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 42 Tickets sold, 14.95% of seats (281) are sold (3 New Tickets, 7.69% Increase) 

10:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 8 Tickets sold, 2.85% of seats (281) are sold (4 New Tickets, 100% Increase) 

8:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 16 Tickets sold, 14.55% of seats (110) are sold (No Changes) 

 

 

Friday- 54/1564 (8 Showings) 

 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

1:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 6 Tickets sold, 2.14% of seats (281) are sold (1 New Ticket, 20% Increase) 

4:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 6 Tickets sold, 2.14% of seats (281) are sold (2 New Tickets, 50% Increase) 

7:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 26 Tickets sold, 9.25% of seats (281) are sold (11 New Tickets, 136.36% Increase) 

10:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 4 Tickets sold, 1.42% of seats (281) are sold (2 New Tickets, 100% Increase) 

12:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 4 Tickets sold, 3.64% of seats (110) are sold (No Changes) 

3:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 6 Tickets sold, 5.45% of seats (110) are sold (4 New Tickets, 200% Increase) 

6:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (110) are sold (No Changes) 

9:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 2 Tickets sold, 1.82% of seats (110) are sold (No Changes) 

 

 

Total: 120 Tickets sold, 5.37% of seats (2236) are sold (27 New Tickets, 29.03% Increase) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 3): 1039 Tickets sold 41.28% of seats (2517) were sold (x0.115) 

Bullet Train (Tracking Day 3):  940 Tickets sold, 38.09% of seats (2468) were sold (x0.128) 

Fall (Tracking Day 3): 41 Tickets sold, 7.61% of seats (539) were sold (x2.927) 

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

No Showings Yet  

 

Valdosta Cinemas 

No Showings Yet 

 

SUM Total: 

120 Tickets sold, 5.37% of seats (2236) are sold (27 New Tickets, 29.03% Increase) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 3): 1041 Tickets sold, 16.05% of seats (6485) were sold (x0.115) ($2,246,949) 

Bullet Train (Tracking Day 3): 961 Tickets sold, 13.59% of seats (7073) were sold (x0.125) ($1,605,296) 

Fall (Tracking Day 3): 41 Tickets sold, 7.61% of seats (539) were sold (x2.927) ($2,713,560) 

 

                                                   

 

 

Missed Tracking Day 4 

 

Barbarian (Tracking Day 5) 

 

AMC DINE-IN Disney Springs 24 

 

Thursday- 91/672 (3 Showings) 

 

 

Spoiler

7:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 62 Tickets sold, 22.06% of seats (281) are sold 

10:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 10 Tickets sold, 3.56% of seats (281) are sold 

8:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 19 Tickets sold, 17.27% of seats (110) are sold

 

 

Friday- 87/1701 (9 Showings) (1 New Show) 

 

 

Spoiler

1:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 10 Tickets sold, 3.56% of seats (281) are sold 

4:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 6 Tickets sold, 2.14% of seats (281) are sold 

7:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 42 Tickets sold, 14.95% of seats (281) are sold 

10:00 PM (Dolby Cinema): 8 Tickets sold, 2.85% of seats (281) are sold 

12:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 5 Tickets sold, 4.55% of seats (110) are sold 

3:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 8 Tickets sold, 7.27% of seats (110) are sold 

6:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 1 Ticket sold, 0.91% of seats (110) are sold 

9:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 7 Tickets sold, 6.36% of seats (110) are sold 

8:00 PM (Laser at AMC): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (137) are sold (New Show) 

 

 

Total: 178 Tickets sold, 7.50% of seats (2373) are sold (58 New Tickets, 48.33% Increase) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 5): 1332 Tickets sold, 26.65% of seats (4999) were sold (x0.134) 

Bullet Train (Tracking Day 5): 1135 Tickets sold, 45.99% of seats (2468) were sold (x0.157) 

Fall (Tracking Day 5): Missed 

The Invitation (Tracking Day 1- 2 more days until release): 86 Tickets sold, 6.10% of seats (1410) were sold (x2.070) 

 

Island Cinemas (St.Simon) 

No Showings Yet 

 

Valdosta Cinemas 

 

Tracking Day 1 

 

Thursday- 2/564 (2 Showings) 

 

 

Spoiler

7:30 PM (GTX): 1 Ticket sold, 0.38% of seats (262) are sold 

10:05 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold 

 

 

Friday- 0/1310 (5 Showings) 

 

 

Spoiler

12:15 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold 

2:45 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold 

5:15 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold 

7:45 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold 

10:15 PM (GTX): 0 Tickets sold, 0% of seats (262) are sold 

 

 

Total: 1 Tickets sold, 0.05% of seats (1874) are sold  

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 5): 2 Tickets sold, 0.07% of seats (3033) were sold (x0.500) 

Bullet Train (Tracking Day 5): 55 Tickets sold, 1.74% of seats (3153) were sold (x0.018) 

Fall: Missed 

The Invitation (Tracking Day 1- 2 more days until release): 2 Tickets sold, 0.13% of seats (1541) were sold (x0.500) 

 

SUM Total: 

179 Tickets sold, 4.21% of seats (4247) are sold (59 New Tickets, 49.17% Increase) 

Comps 

Nope (Tracking Day 5): 1334 Tickets sold, 14.69% of seats (9084) were sold (x0.134) ($2,618,184) 

Bullet Train (Tracking Day 5): 1190 Tickets sold, 16.82% of seats (7073) were sold (x0.150) ($1,926,355) 

Fall (Tracking Day 5): Missed 

The Invitation (Tracking Day 1- 2 More days until release): 88 Tickets sold, 2.98% of seats (2951) were sold (x2.034) ($5,455,033) 

 

 

[misterpepp]

On 9/1/2022 at 12:22 PM, datpepper said:

Another new date: Smile will be on sale 9/7.

As mentioned, Smile is now on sale. 🙂

[el sid]

Barbarian, counted today at 11am EST for Thursday, September 8:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 20 (2 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 41 (2 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 2 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 11 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 30 (3 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 118 (3 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 222.

Up 42% since Monday.
Comps (all counted on Wednesday of the release week for Thursday): The Forever Purge had 168 sold tickets,

Beast had 202 sold tickets

and The Invitation had 176 sold tickets.
That's a quite good number. At least I don't rule out double digits at this time.

 

Barbarian, counted today at 11am EST for Friday, September 9:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 34 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 36 (11 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 3 (5 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 2 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 29 (7 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 36 (7 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 140.
 

Up 100% since Monday.
Comps (all counted on Wednesday of the release week for Friday): Old had 262 sold tickets,

Malignant had 167 sold tickets,

The Night House had 72 sold tickets in 6 theaters,

Beast had 218 sold tickets

and The Invitation had 167 sold tickets.
Well, the number could be higher but the jump till today was very good so let's see what happens till tomorrow.

Medieval had today 28 sold tickets for Thursday and 26 sold tickets for Friday (with showtimes in 4 of the 7 theaters). Not even that bad.
Comps: Vengeance (1.8M OW) had on Monday of its release week 62 and 28 sold tickets

and Watcher (0.8M OW) 13 respectively 16.

Pearl had today after ca. 17h on sale 25 sold tickets for Thursday (with showtimes in so far only 4 theaters) and 33 sold tickets for Friday (with showtimes in 5 theaters).
Comps (all counted after ca. 24h): The Black Phone had 95 respectively 34 sold tickets,

Barbarian had 100 and 24

and Beast had 53 and 26.
Forgot the best comp: X (4.3M OW) had on Monday of its release week 50 sold tickets for Friday in 6 theaters.
Pearl's Thursday number could be better but the Friday presales are nice so far.
 

Brahmastra Part One: Shiva tomorrow.

Edited September 7, 2022 by el sid