The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

The most insane thing about Paws of Fury is that it's a remake of Blazing Saddles

 

And they said you could never make Blazing Saddles today!

[Eric Duncan]

6 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

The most insane thing about Paws of Fury is that it's a remake of Blazing Saddles

 

And they said you could never make Blazing Saddles today!

...is this why this will probably be Mel Brooks' last movie? I think I'm gonna puke.

[ringedmortality]

Just now, Eric Odinson said:

...is this why this will probably be Mel Brooks' last movie? I think I'm gonna puke.

 

Very Paul Newman in Cars

[Flamengo81]

Will Paws of Fury even gonna make 7M ow? The numbers seen awful. It is understandable though, I saw the trailers (yes, there were TWO!) in the Minions session and not even the little kids liked it, it was completely embarassing.

[John2015]

as expected, "Where the Crawdads Sing" reviews are bad (and many negative reviews did mention the Zambia murder)

 

Owen Gleiberman loves the film, though.

 

https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/where_the_crawdads_sing

[cannastop]

30 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

 

Very Paul Newman in Cars

Except that was respectable.

[Flamengo81]

13 minutes ago, John2015 said:

as expected, "Where the Crawdads Sing" reviews are bad (and many negative reviews did mention the Zambia murder)

 

Owen Gleiberman loves the film, though.

 

https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/where_the_crawdads_sing

Why was that expected?

[ringedmortality]

5 minutes ago, Flamengo81 said:

Why was that expected?

Book bad

[Borf the Borf]

4 hours ago, cannastop said:

If there is software that does this, I'd like to know about it too

 

4 hours ago, Goldenhour36 said:

Do you guys know what software you use to track your local theater and area or you self-count the number of tickets order?

 

 

BIts gonna be varying levels of scraping data using something like python with Soup and selenium sure there is more out there.   IE custom made and tailo9red to user indiviudal preference and skills

Edited July 13, 2022 by Borf the Borf

[vale9001]

56 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

Book bad

Gone girl says hi. 

 

Also i think the girl on the train even if it's not a really good movie is a lot better than the book. 

Or life of pi and many others movie from literary best sellers. 

 

It was expected because from the trailer it looks some of these iper sentimentale romantic things critics love to hate. Did they ever liked a nicholas sparks adaptation. They really hated the greatest showman for the same reason. 

Edited July 13, 2022 by vale9001

[Eric Duncan]

On 7/11/2022 at 10:58 PM, Eric Odinson said:

Paws of Fury: The Legend of Hank Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	44	30	5006	0.60%

 

Comp

0.182x of Boss Baby 2 T-3 (238K)

0.168x of Jungle Cruise T-3 (452K)

0.732x of Addams Family 2 T-3 (402K)

2.143x of Ron's Gone Wrong T-3 (514K)

0.177x of Encanto T-3 (266K)

0.429x of The Bad Guys T-3 (493K)

 

Dang...Endgame's sweating mah bois

Paws of Fury: The Legend of Hank Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	45	38	5167	0.74%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 8

 

Comp

0.212x of Boss Baby 2 T-2 (278K)

0.160x of Jungle Cruise T-2 (431K)

0.623x of Addams Family 2 T-2 (343K)

1.809x of Ron's Gone Wrong T-2 (434K)

0.164x of Encanto T-2 (246K)

0.413x of The Bad Guys T-2 (475K)

[Eric Duncan]

On 7/11/2022 at 11:10 PM, Eric Odinson said:

Where the Crawdads Sing Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	39	194	4234	4.58%

 

Comp

1.311x of Dear Evan Hansen T-3 (1.05M)

1.366x of West Side Story T-3 (1.09M)

1.311x of Death on the Nile T-3 (1.44M)

3.031x of Marry Me T-3 (1.59M)

0.995x of Dog T-3 (1.25M)

0.374x of The Lost City T-3 (1.22M)

0.478x of Downton Abbey 2 T-3 (908K)

0.359x of Elvis T-3 (1.25M)

 

I know that Philly's a weird market and this movie is pretty darn White^TM, but this seems really soft, especially because I'm assuming the book's fanbase will probably rush out to see it right away. Hope to be proven wrong of course.

Where the Crawdads Sing Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	42	260	4843	5.37%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 66

 

Comp

1.538x of Dear Evan Hansen T-2 (1.23M)

1.340x of West Side Story T-2 (1.07M)

1.452x of Death on the Nile T-2 (1.6M)

3.210x of Marry Me T-2 (1.68M)

1.262x of Dog T-2 (1.59M)

0.385x of The Lost City T-2 (1.25M)

0.561x of Downton Abbey 2 T-2 (1.07M)

0.404x of Elvis T-2 (1.41M)

[Menor the Destroyer]

5 hours ago, cannastop said:

If there is software that does this, I'd like to know about it too

 

5 hours ago, Goldenhour36 said:

Do you guys know what software you use to track your local theater and area or you self-count the number of tickets order?

 

 

There is no standardized software. Some of us have coded scrapers ourselves using various tools, DM if you want more details. 

[cannastop]

52 minutes ago, vale9001 said:

life of pi

That was a genuinely good book imo, but that's not what this thread is about.

[Eric Duncan]

On 7/11/2022 at 11:21 PM, Eric Odinson said:

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	65	391	13040	3.00%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 32

 

Comp

0.439x of F9 T-10 (3.12M)

1.464x of Space Jam 2 T-10 (19.18M)

0.873x of Halloween Kills T-10 (4.23M)

1.032x of Scream T-10 (3.61M)

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	65	420	13040	3.22%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 29

 

Comp

0.449x of F9 T-9 (3.19M)

1.089x of Space Jam 2 T-9 (14.25M)

0.823x of Halloween Kills T-9 (3.99M)

0.963x of Scream T-9 (3.37M)

[Eric Duncan]

DC League of Super Pets Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	42	15	6629	0.23%

 

Comp

0.138x of Minions 2 T-16 (1.48M)

 

Yes this is super soft, but kids movies, especially ones that don't have an older fanbase behind them, start off very quiet and lowkey. I'm sure things will be very different once we get to release week.

[Porthos]

On 7/12/2022 at 12:53 AM, Porthos said:

 

Nope Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	86	13221	13691	470	3.43%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

65

 

T-10 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-10	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	121.13		23	388		0/82	13689/14077	2.76%		2352	19.98%		4.97m
LTBC	37.24		93	1262		0/156	24816/26078	4.84%		7712	6.09%		4.32m
NTTD	53.65		64	876		0/134	20340/21216	4.13%		3737	12.58%		3.33m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Nope's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-10 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-10	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	40.37		62	1142		0/79	11275/12417	9.20%		4407	10.46%		3.00m
Nope (adj)	—		63	461		0/72	11019/11480	4.02%		—	—		—

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  Nope (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:     77/3959  [1.94% sold]
Matinee:    17/859  [1.98% | 3.62% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

There were a couple of obvious group sales which greatly inflated the totals.  Still, sales are sales.  Maybe finally starting to pick up a tad.

 

Nope Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	86	13185	13691	506	3.70%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

36

 

T-9 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	122.82		24	412		0/84	14323/14735	2.80%		2352	21.51%		5.04m
LTBC	37.23		97	1359		0/168	26691/28050	4.84%		7712	6.56%		4.32m
NTTD	48.75		88	1038		0/142	21077/22115	4.69%		3737	13.54%		3.02m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Nope's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-9 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	40.47		81	1223		0/80	11347/12570	9.73%		4407	11.23%		3.01m
Nope (adj)	—		34	495		0/72	10985/11480	4.31%		—	—		—

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  Nope (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:     86/3959   [2.17% sold]
Matinee:    22/859  [2.56% | 4.35% of all tickets sold]

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/12/2022 at 7:32 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Crawdads	T-2	Jax	6	18	32	162	1,884	8.60%
		Phx	5	18	16	67	2,340	2.86%
		Ral	7	24	84	339	2,337	14.51%
	Total		18	60	132	568	6,561	8.66%
Crawdads (EA)	T-1	Jax	1	1	5	53	86	61.63%
	Total		1	1	5	53	86	61.63%
Easter Sunday	T-23	Jax	6	15	0	5	2,232	0.22%
		Phx	3	9	0	1	1,134	0.09%
		Ral	7	16	0	4	1,976	0.20%
	Total		16	40	0	10	5,342	0.19%
Mrs. Harris	T-2	Jax	2	4	3	9	200	4.50%
		Phx	2	4	0	5	190	2.63%
		Ral	3	4	5	17	401	4.24%
	Total		7	12	8	31	791	3.92%
Nope	T-9	Jax	7	50	8	112	8,422	1.33%
		Phx	6	20	17	191	4,344	4.40%
		Ral	8	26	22	168	3,502	4.80%
	Total		21	96	47	471	16,268	2.90%
Paws of Fury	T-2	Jax	6	24	5	17	2,292	0.74%
		Phx	5	16	5	23	1,628	1.41%
		Ral	6	16	4	28	1,766	1.59%
	Total		17	56	14	68	5,686	1.20%

 

It's probably not a good thing if a movie is having shows taken away just a few days before opening, but that's what happened to Paws of Fury.  Maybe they'll reappear tomorrow.  Another big day for Crawdads is keeping me hopeful for a breakout.  Will we get a $2m preview?

 

Crawdads T-2 comps

 - Elvis - .764x (2.45m)

 - Dune - .377x (1.92m)

 - Uncharted - .73x (2.7m)

 - Black Phone - 1.775x (4.615m)

 - Halloween Kills - .51x (2.47m)

 - Ghostbusters - .521x (2.16m)

 - Dear Evan Hansen - 5.21x (3.23m)

 - West Side Story - 3.92x (3.13m)

 - Death on the Nile - 2.78x (3.06m)

 - Marry Me - 4.86x (2.55m)

 - Dog - 6.53x (8.23m)

 - Lost City - 1.63x (4.07m)

 - Downton + EA - .56x (1.01m)

 

Paws of Fury T-2 comps

 - Bad Guys - .567x (651k)

 - Peter Rabbit - .654x (588k)

 - Paw Patrol (Fri) - .116x (523k)

 - Encanto - .281x (421k)

 - Ron's Gone Wrong - 3.78x (907k)

 

Mrs. Harris T-2 comps

 - Stillwater - .969x (271k)

 - Respect - .437x (283k)

 - House of Gucci - .101x (131k)

 - Spencer - .775x

 

Nope T-9 comps

 - Ghostbusters - missed

 - NTTD - .894x (4.65m)

 - Suicide Squad - 1.49x (6.11m)

 - F9 - .545x (3.87m)

 - Morbius - .71x (4.06m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Crawdads	T-1	Jax	6	24	40	202	2,337	8.64%
		Phx	5	19	26	93	2,273	4.09%
		Ral	7	29	74	413	2,784	14.83%
ATP: 11.96	Total		18	72	140	708	7,394	9.58%
Crawdads (EA)	T-0	Jax	1	2	1	54	222	24.32%
	Total		1	2	1	54	222	24.32%
Easter Sunday	T-22	Jax	6	15	0	5	2,232	0.22%
		Phx	3	9	-1	0	1,134	0.00%
		Ral	7	16	0	4	1,976	0.20%
	Total		16	40	-1	9	5,342	0.17%
Mrs. Harris	T-1	Jax	4	8	9	18	376	4.79%
		Phx	2	4	7	12	190	6.32%
		Ral	3	4	4	21	401	5.24%
	Total		9	16	20	51	967	5.27%
Nope	T-8	Jax	7	50	11	123	8,422	1.46%
		Phx	6	20	3	194	4,344	4.47%
		Ral	8	28	10	178	3,670	4.85%
	Total		21	98	24	495	16,436	3.01%
Paws of Fury	T-1	Jax	6	27	7	24	2,550	0.94%
		Phx	5	17	14	37	1,797	2.06%
		Ral	6	17	10	38	1,811	2.10%
ATP: 10.91	Total		17	61	31	99	6,158	1.61%
Super Pets	T-15	Jax	6	38	6	6	4,934	0.12%
		Phx	5	23	10	10	3,483	0.29%
		Ral	7	24	3	3	3,404	0.09%
ATP: 13.88	Total		18	85	19	19	11,821	0.16%

 

 

Still just the one location with EA tonight, but they added a second showing.  Pretty modest numbers for Crawdads yesterday; perhaps this will let other regions without the book fan rush catch up a little.

 

Crawdads T-1 comps

 - Elvis - .823x (2.63m)

 - Dune - .402x (2.05m)

 - Uncharted - .758x (2.8m)

 - Black Phone - 1.65x (4.29m)

 - Halloween Kills - .5x (2.43m)

 - Ghostbusters - .505x (2.1m)

 - Dear Evan Hansen - 4.88x (2.93m)

 - West Side Story - 3.83x (3.06m)

 - Death on the Nile - 2.84x (3.13m)

 - Marry Me - 5.02x (2.64m)

 - Dog - 7.08x (8.92m)

 - Lost City - 1.466x (3.66m)

 - Downton + EA - 1.33x (1.4m)

 

Paws of Fury T-1 comps

 - Bad Guys - .651x (749k)

 - Peter Rabbit - .925x (833k)

 - Paw Patrol (Fri) - .128x (577k)

 - Encanto (Tue) - .319x (479k)

 - Ron's Gone Wrong - 3.81x (914k)

 

Mrs. Harris T-1 comps

 - Stillwater - 1.085x (304k)

 - Respect - .486x (316k)

 - House of Gucci - .14x (183k)

 - Spencer - 1.02x

 

Nope T-8 comps

 - Ghostbusters - .903x (3.75m)

 - NTTD - .84x (4.37m)

 - Suicide Squad - 1.45x (5.93m)

 - F9 - .55x (3.9m)

 - Morbius - .68x (3.85m)

 - Dune - .666x (3.4m)

 

Super Pets T-15 comps

 - Minions 2 - .077x (824k)

 - Sonic 2 - .063x (313k)

 

Very early and nothing to worry about.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/12/2022 at 8:08 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-9	Nope	PLF	14	5	121	3,670	3.30%	$15.53	$1,879.32
		Standard	15	2	47	1,782	2.64%	$10.44	$490.58
	Total		29	7	168	5,452	3.08%	$14.11	$2,369.90

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-2	Crawdads	N	22	46	175	2,278	7.68%	$12.19	$2,134.06
		Y	10	25	72	1,036	6.95%	$8.77	$631.08
	Total		32	71	247	3,314	7.45%	$11.19	$2,765.14
T-2	Mrs. Harris	N	3	0	12	205	5.85%	$12.99	$155.88
	Total		3	0	12	205	5.85%	$12.99	$155.88
T-2	Paws of Fury	N	18	11	17	1,714	0.99%	$11.16	$189.67
		Y	9	0	8	857	0.93%	$8.80	$70.36
	Total		27	11	25	2,571	0.97%	$10.40	$260.03
T-9	Nope	N	20	7	136	3,846	3.54%	$15.00	$2,039.43
		Y	9	0	32	1,606	1.99%	$10.33	$330.47
	Total		29	7	168	5,452	3.08%	$14.11	$2,369.90

 

Crawdads T-2 comp

 - Northman - 1.885x (2.545m)

 - Downton - 1.515x (1.59m)

 

Paws of Fury T-2 comp

 - The Bad Guys - .329x (378k)

 

Nope T-9 comps

 - TG2 - .09x (1.32m)

 - FB3 - .321x (1.93m)

 

Bad Guys is probably the only actual comp I like; just putting what I can find for the others.

Santikos Tracking

 

By format

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-8	Nope	PLF	21	6	127	5,307	2.39%	$15.59	$1,979.94
		Standard	22	6	53	2,875	1.84%	$10.61	$562.56
	Nope Total		43	12	180	8,182	2.20%	$14.13	$2,542.50

 

By matinee

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-1	Crawdads	N	26	90	265	2,584	10.26%	$12.21	$3,235.44
		Y	11	37	109	1,080	10.09%	$8.96	$976.61
	Total		37	127	374	3,664	10.21%	$11.26	$4,212.05
T-1	Mrs. Harris	N	4	5	17	241	7.05%	$12.99	$220.83
	Total		4	5	17	241	7.05%	$12.99	$220.83
T-1	Paws of Fury	N	20	6	23	1,890	1.22%	$11.21	$257.85
		Y	10	0	8	945	0.85%	$8.80	$70.36
	Total		30	6	31	2,835	1.09%	$10.59	$328.21
T-8	Nope	N	33	8	144	6,279	2.29%	$15.04	$2,166.03
		Y	10	4	36	1,903	1.89%	$10.46	$376.47
	Total		43	12	180	8,182	2.20%	$14.13	$2,542.50

 

Crawdads T-1 comp

 - Northman - 2.35x (3.175m)

 - Downton - 1.989x (1.99m)

 

I didn't look at Black Phone until T-0; it had 754 tickets sold which I think is a good target for Crawdads.

 

Paws of Fury T-1 comp

 - The Bad Guys - .344x (396k)

 

Nope T-8 comps

 - TG2 - .091x (1.33m)

 - FB3 - .307x (1.84m)

 - JW3 - .055x (998k)

 

Bad Guys is probably the only actual comp I like; just putting what I can find for the others.  I don't usually track until final week, but with no huge openers coming I have some time on my hands.

[filmlover]

Paws of Fury is about to make Lightyear's run look like Top Gun: Maverick in comparison. At least it was cheap (I assume, it certainly looks it).