The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Krissykins]

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

Both standard and in PLF. For the latter it's mostly the last show at night that they're giving the 3D showing to (in other words, during what will be its peak business hours). They really want to have as big of an opening as possible lol.

At that sounds counterproductive. People will no doubt dodge the 3D screenings and therefore they’re missing out on the very important late night business. Silly! 

[Hiccup23]

19 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

At that sounds counterproductive. People will no doubt dodge the 3D screenings and therefore they’re missing out on the very important late night business. Silly! 

 

This👆 Unless its a movie event like A2, I dodge the 3D screenings even if it means seeing the movie Saturday afternoon rather than Thursday night. 

[keysersoze123]

On 2/6/2023 at 8:28 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Ant-Man 3 MTC1 previews -  150815/889645 2688689.65 4745 shows

 

Another day to go before we see reactions boost. 

Ant-Man 3 MTC1 previews -  155243/903042 2759357.03 4863 shows. 

 

This is as of this morning and so some boost from previous day. but we will see where things are tomorrow. 

[Inceptionzq]

On 2/5/2023 at 4:24 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Denver Thursday

AMC Westminster 24

Total

768

2587

29.69%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

618

3106

19.90%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 3 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
3445	241	32687	10.54%	15	190

 

AMCs sold	2323
Cinemarks sold	511
Regals sold	310
Harkins sold	301

 

0.682x Thor L&T T-11 (19.78M)

0.445x Doctor Strange MoM T-11 (16.01M)

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Denver Thursday

AMC Westminster 24

Total

821

2587

31.74%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

644

3106

20.73%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
3672	227	32687	11.23%	15	190

 

AMCs sold	2447
Cinemarks sold	560
Regals sold	342
Harkins sold	323

 

0.673x Thor L&T T-9 (19.51M)

0.445x Doctor Strange MoM T-9 (16.03M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 2/5/2023 at 4:28 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Megaplex [+3 days of sales]

 

T-11 Thursday(126 showings): 3002(+196)/36288

0.612x Thor L&T T-11 (17.76M)

0.352x Doctor Strange MoM T-11 (12.69M)

 

T-12 Friday(185 showings): 2063(+188)/54636

0.744x Thor L&T T-12 (30.18M)

0.430x Doctor Strange MoM T-12 (23.51M)

 

T-13 Saturday(186 showings): 1482(+186)/54893

1.04x Thor L&T T-13 (43.86M)

0.530x Doctor Strange MoM T-13 (30.63M)

 

T-14 Sunday(180 showings): 479(+58)/52588

0.871x Thor L&T T-14 (28.30M)

0.687x Doctor Strange MoM T-14 (26.73M)

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Megaplex [+2 days of sales]

 

T-9 Thursday(134 showings): 3274(+272)/37715

0.595x Thor L&T T-9 (17.25M)

0.360x Doctor Strange MoM T-9 (12.96M)

 

T-10 Friday(185 showings): 2342(+279)/54636

0.757x Thor L&T T-10 (30.68M)

0.435x Doctor Strange MoM T-10 (23.81M)

 

T-11 Saturday(186 showings): 1678(+196)/54893

1.03x Thor L&T T-11 (43.56M)

0.530x Doctor Strange MoM T-11 (30.61M)

 

T-12 Sunday(180 showings): 504(+25)/52588

0.813x Thor L&T T-12 (26.42M)

0.641x Doctor Strange MoM T-12 (24.94M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 2/5/2023 at 4:33 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Drafthouse [+5 days of sales]

 

T-11 Thursday(242 showings): 10293(+1032)/35303ATP: $15.88

0.833x Thor L&T T-11 (24.15M)

0.612x Doctor Strange MoM T-11 (22.02M)

 

T-12 Friday(338 showings): 8978(+1466)/49232 ATP: $15.62

0.882x Thor L&T T-12 (35.77M)

0.602x Doctor Strange MoM T-12 (32.91M)

 

T-13 Saturday(347 showings): 9320(+1569)/50528 ATP: $15.01

0.965x Thor L&T T-13 (40.62M)

0.595x Doctor Strange MoM T-13 (34.39M)

 

T-14 Sunday(315 showings): 4225(+931)/46358 ATP: $14.20

0.799x Thor L&T T-14 (25.97M)

0.549x Doctor Strange MoM T-14 (21.34M)

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Drafthouse [+2 days of sales]

 

T-9 Thursday(271 showings): 11175(+882)/38704ATP: $15.86

0.857x Thor L&T T-9 (24.86M)

0.630x Doctor Strange MoM T-9 (22.67M)

 

T-10 Friday(352 showings): 10057(+1079)/51109 ATP: $15.60

0.909x Thor L&T T-10 (36.86M)

0.629x Doctor Strange MoM T-10 (34.43M)

 

T-11 Saturday(361 showings): 10270(+950)/52421 ATP: $14.99

0.984x Thor L&T T-11 (41.43M)

0.616x Doctor Strange MoM T-11 (35.59M)

 

T-12 Sunday(327 showings): 4918(+693)/48008 ATP: $14.22

0.851x Thor L&T T-12 (27.64M)

0.581x Doctor Strange MoM T-12 (22.58M)

[Eric Duncan]

23 hours ago, Eric Crowe said:

Magic Mike's Last Dance Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	22	134	4121	3.25%

 

Comp - T-3

0.905x of Death on the Nile (996K)

2.094x of Marry Me (1.09M)

0.687x of Dog (866K)

0.259x of The Lost City (841K)

0.330x of Downton Abbey 2 (627K)

0.248x of Elvis (867K)

0.691x of Where the Crawdads Sing (1.59M)

0.118x of Don't Worry Darling (366K)

2.627x of Ticket to Paradise (2.89M)

Magic Mike's Last Dance Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	31	163	5880	2.77%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 29

 

Comp - T-2

0.911x of Death on the Nile (1M)

2.012x of Marry Me (1.06M)

0.791x of Dog (997K)

0.241x of The Lost City (784K)

0.352x of Downton Abbey 2 (669K)

0.253x of Elvis (887K)

0.627x of Where the Crawdads Sing (1.44M)

0.130x of Don't Worry Darling (404K)

2.264x of Ticket to Paradise (2.49M)

[Eric Duncan]

23 hours ago, Eric Crowe said:

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	162	4554	31384	14.51%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 131

 

Comp - T-10

2.059x of Black Widow (27.18M)

3.853x of Shang-Chi (33.9M)

2.503x of Eternals (23.78M)

0.267x of Spider-Man: No Way Home (13.37M)

0.847x of The Batman (18.3M)

0.443x of Doctor Strange 2 (15.95M)

0.742x of Thor 4 (21.52M)

0.592x of Black Panther 2 (16.58M)

2.077x of Avatar 2 (35.32M)

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	162	4706	31384	14.99%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 152

 

Comp - T-9

1.984x of Black Widow (26.19M)

3.568x of Shang-Chi (31.4M)

2.475x of Eternals (23.52M)

0.270x of Spider-Man: No Way Home (13.49M)

0.848x of The Batman (18.33M)

0.436x of Doctor Strange 2 (15.7M)

0.746x of Thor 4 (21.64M)

0.590x of Black Panther 2 (16.51M)

2.023x of Avatar 2 (34.39M)

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-10 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	238	27475	32794	5319	16.22%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

142

 

T-10 Comps

	%		Sold T-10	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	47.11		265	11290		0/353	31386/42676	26.46%		21117	25.19%		16.96m
L&T	72.25		178	7362		0/228	24235/31597	23.30%		16962	31.36%		20.95m
BP2	68.04		201	7817		2/295	29214/37031	21.11%		16800	31.66%		19.05m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Ant-Man 3's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1135/13004  [8.73% sold]
Matinee:     173/3314  [5.22% | 3.25% of all tickets sold]
3D:            635/6536  [9.72% | 11.94% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

NB:  I accidentally over-counted yesterday's total by 8 seats sold.  Fairly negligible in the grand scheme of things, but I already went back and corrected it (so the quoted post here is correct), but wanted to point it out for the official record/anyone keeping track of totals here.

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-9 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	238	27218	32794	5576	17.00%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

257

 

T-9 Comps

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	47.69		403	11693		0/353	30983/42676	27.40%		21117	26.41%		17.17m
L&T	72.89		288	7650		0/237	24964/32614	23.46%		16962	32.87%		21.14m
BP2	68.70		300	8117		2/301	29820/37937	21.40%		16800	33.19%		19.23m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Ant-Man 3's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1219/13004  [9.37% sold]
Matinee:    205/3314  [6.19% | 3.68% of all tickets sold]
3D:            661/6536  [10.11% | 11.85% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

Fast X showtimes (not yet available for purchase) are starting to populate.  As mentioned by datpepper and Jat, 2pm start time for previews.

 

No 3D showtimes in sight, for those keeping score.

[Legion Again]

On 2/7/2023 at 1:22 AM, Favorite Fearless Legion said:

my official forecasts off 24h data is:

If good reception: 80% chance 22-28.5 (point forecast 25)

If more DS2/Thor reception: 80% chance 19.5-25 (point forecast 22)

At this point it's probably become necessary to note that 24hr+B reception would suggest ~18-23 (point forecast 20.5)

 

And that is also pretty much also my read of (T-9 data | B CS).  

 

However, still hoping we can avoid Eternals 2 FlopCU boogaloo

[katnisscinnaplex]

AMC ticketing appears to be down.  Hopefully just maintenance and not the variable pricing update messing things up.

[M37]

Fandango app pop-up ad, looks like they rolled it out a couple days early 

 

 

[filmlover]

6 hours ago, Porthos said:

Fast X showtimes (not yet available for purchase) are starting to populate.  As mentioned by datpepper and Jat, 2pm start time for previews.

 

No 3D showtimes in sight, for those keeping score.

Have any of the Fast movies been released in 3D yet? You would think Universal would've taken that plunge by now even if it meant Vin forced them to.

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, M37 said:

Fandango app pop-up ad, looks like they rolled it out a couple days early 

 

 

Imagine next week instead of Ant-Man an unsuspecting audience gets Magic Mike instead. Hey, it's happened before!

 

 

[el sid]

1 hour ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

AMC ticketing appears to be down.  Hopefully just maintenance and not the variable pricing update messing things up.

Thank you for mentioning it. I also got nothing but error reports a few minutes ago. And I never know if it's a common problem or has to do with my location.
I guess it will soon work normal again.

[M37]

AMC ticketing is back up btw 

[Carlangonz]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

Have any of the Fast movies been released in 3D yet? You would think Universal would've taken that plunge by now even if it meant Vin forced them to.

They've done it OS

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 2/7/2023 at 9:05 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Ant-Man 3	T-9	Jax	6	91	52	1,386	15,860	8.74%
		Phx	6	90	82	1,477	15,400	9.59%
		Ral	8	103	68	1,460	13,705	10.65%
	Total		20	284	202	4,323	44,965	9.61%
Cocaine Bear	T-16	Jax	6	19	4	23	2,036	1.13%
		Phx	6	15	2	40	1,980	2.02%
		Ral	7	18	0	46	1,443	3.19%
	Total		19	52	6	109	5,459	2.00%
Jesus Revolution	T-16	Jax	5	9	0	24	1,021	2.35%
		Phx	4	5	2	19	622	3.05%
		Ral	7	11	6	51	1,156	4.41%
	Total		16	25	8	94	2,799	3.36%
Jesus Rev (EA)	T-15	Jax	5	11	5	239	1,021	23.41%
		Phx	5	8	0	125	850	14.71%
		Ral	8	12	3	648	1,462	44.32%
	Total		18	31	8	1,012	3,333	30.36%
Magic Mike 3	T-2	Jax	4	20	9	91	2,295	3.97%
		Phx	6	14	22	48	2,112	2.27%
		Ral	7	18	15	130	2,232	5.82%
	Total		17	52	46	269	6,639	4.05%
Marlowe	T-7	Jax	5	15	0	11	1,540	0.71%
		Phx	4	9	0	2	733	0.27%
		Ral	2	6	0	4	423	0.95%
	Total		11	30	0	17	2,696	0.63%
Titanic (Re)	T-2	Jax	5	15	7	43	2,210	1.95%
		Phx	6	16	12	54	1,636	3.30%
		Ral	7	14	11	65	1,560	4.17%
	Total		18	45	30	162	5,406	3.00%

 

Magic Mike 3 T-2 comps

 - 80 for Brady - 1.486x (1.11m)

 - Violent Night - 1.758x (1.93m)

 - Paradise - 1.868x (1.77m)

 - Lost City - .771x (1.93m)

 

Titanic T-2 comps

 - Elvis - .218x (698k)

 - House of Gucci - .528x (686k)

 - King Richard - .779x (1.51m)

 

I don't like any comps for this.  Very wide range of outcomes, especially with being an only 3D release.  I didn't track the Avatar re-release but that would have worked well.

 

Marlowe T-7 comps

 - Missing - .708x (538k)

 - Ambulance - .654x (458k)

 - Fabelmans - 1.063x (424k)

 - Bones and All - 1.308x (451k)

 - Last Night in Soho - .425x (319k)

 

Ant-Man 3 T-9 comps

 - Black Widow - 1.76x (23.27m)

 - Dr Strange 2 - .393x (14.13m)

 - Thor 4 - .674x (19.55m)

 - Eternals - 2.42x (22.94m)

 - BP2 - .606x (16.96m)

 

Jesus Revolution T-16 comps (excluding EA)

 - Left Behind - 1.516x (926k)

 - I Wanna Dance - 1.362x (994k)

 

Jesus Revolution + EA comps

 - Downton Abbey + EA - 4.022x (7.24m)

 - Left Behind - 17.839x (10.89m)

 - I Wanna Dance - 16.03x (11.7m)

 

Cocaine Bear T-16 comps

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.416x (2.05m)

 - Elvis - .694x (2.22m)

 - Nope - .373x (2.39m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Ant-Man 3	T-8	Jax	6	94	88	1,474	16,129	9.14%
		Phx	6	90	61	1,538	15,400	9.99%
		Ral	8	103	119	1,579	13,705	11.52%
	Total		20	287	268	4,591	45,234	10.15%
Cocaine Bear	T-15	Jax	6	19	0	23	2,036	1.13%
		Phx	6	15	2	42	1,980	2.12%
		Ral	7	18	0	46	1,443	3.19%
	Total		19	52	2	111	5,459	2.03%
Jesus Revolution	T-15	Jax	5	9	1	25	1,021	2.45%
		Phx	4	5	0	19	622	3.05%
		Ral	7	11	7	58	1,156	5.02%
	Total		16	25	8	102	2,799	3.64%
Jesus Rev (EA)	T-14	Jax	5	11	4	243	1,021	23.80%
		Phx	5	8	10	135	850	15.88%
		Ral	8	12	4	652	1,462	44.60%
	Total		18	31	18	1,030	3,333	30.90%
Magic Mike 3	T-1	Jax	4	25	18	109	3,045	3.58%
		Phx	6	22	14	62	2,822	2.20%
		Ral	7	24	30	160	3,114	5.14%
	Total		17	71	62	331	8,981	3.69%
Marlowe	T-6	Jax	5	16	0	11	1,580	0.70%
		Phx	5	13	5	7	1,121	0.62%
		Ral	6	13	6	10	1,210	0.83%
	Total		16	42	11	28	3,911	0.72%
Titanic (Re)	T-1	Jax	5	19	7	50	2,608	1.92%
		Phx	6	21	17	71	2,326	3.05%
		Ral	7	16	25	90	1,760	5.11%
	Total		18	56	49	211	6,694	3.15%

 

Magic Mike 3 T-1 comps

 - 80 for Brady - 1.458x (1.09m)

 - Violent Night - 1.742x (1.92m)

 - Paradise - 1.689x (1.6m)

 - Lost City - .685x (1.71m)

 

Titanic T-1 comps

 - Elvis - .245x (785k)

 - House of Gucci - .581x (756k)

 - King Richard - .634x (1.23m)

 

I don't like any comps for this.  Very wide range of outcomes, especially with being an only 3D release.  I didn't track the Avatar re-release but that would have worked well.

 

Marlowe T-6 comps

 - Missing - .966x (734k)

 - Ambulance - .7x (490k)

 - Fabelmans - 1.556x (621k)

 - Bones and All - 1.647x (568k)

 - Last Night in Soho - missing

 - Amsterdam - .459x (252k)

 

Ant-Man 3 T-8 comps

 - Black Widow - 1.75x (23.15m)

 - Dr Strange 2 - .399x (14.35m)

 - Thor 4 - .681x (19.76m)

 - Eternals - 2.38x (22.66m)

 - BP2 - .613x (17.16m)

 

Jesus Revolution T-15 comps (excluding EA)

 - Left Behind - 1.325x (809k)

 - I Wanna Dance - 1.397x (1.02m)

 

Jesus Revolution + EA comps

 - Downton Abbey + EA - 3.724x (6.7m)

 - Left Behind - 14.7x (8.98m)

 - I Wanna Dance - 15.51x (11.32m)

 

Cocaine Bear T-15 comps

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.388x (2.01m)

 - Elvis - .617x (1.97m)

 - Nope - .366x (2.34m)

[keysersoze123]

19 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Ant-Man 3 MTC1 previews -  155243/903042 2759357.03 4863 shows. 

 

This is as of this morning and so some boost from previous day. but we will see where things are tomorrow. 

Ant-Man 3 MTC1 previews - 160674/914873 2849711.60 4951 shows

 

Definitely some acceleration. Let us see how things go today.