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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXR vs XXR,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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Eric Duncan Global Phenomenon

Eric Duncan

Posted
Posted
On 1/6/2022 at 10:27 PM, Eric Smith said:

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 27 503 6254 8.04%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 21

 

Comp

0.634x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-7 (12.28M)

1.437x of The Conjuring 3 T-7 (14.09M)

0.819x of Halloween Kills T-7 (3.97M)

 

Not sure why today's sales were so bad (I guess Omicron?), but we can only hope this is just an outlier rather than a trend.

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 27 547 6254 8.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 44

 

Comp

0.609x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-6 (11.8M)

1.309x of The Conjuring 3 T-6 (12.83M)

0.804x of Halloween Kills T-6 (3.9M)

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted

The first quarter of 2022 has definitely taken a bit of a potential blow this week between Morbius being delayed again and Turning Red pivoting to a D+ exclusive. Looks like The Batman is gonna be pretty much carrying March all by itself now since the other most high-profile movies of the month are Downton Abbey 2 and The Lost City unless something from April moves up.

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Pinacolada Box Office Gold

Pinacolada

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, filmlover said:

The first quarter of 2022 has definitely taken a bit of a potential blow this week between Morbius being delayed again and Turning Red pivoting to a D+ exclusive. Looks like The Batman is gonna be pretty much carrying March all by itself now since the other most high-profile movies of the month are Downton Abbey 2 and The Lost City unless something from April moves up.

Late March and especially April is packed now tho

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
7 hours ago, Pinacolada said:

Late March and especially April is packed now tho

April doesn't look that bad, assuming it sticks as it currently is.

 

1: Morbius, Easter Sunday, The Contractor

8: Sonic 2, Ambulance

15: Beasts 3, Thirteen Lives

22: The Bad Guys, The Northman, The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent

29: 65

 

Majority of these titles sound like they have a relatively low ceiling to begin with and the heavy hitters - Morbius (who knows how this will turn out), Sonic 2 (live-action/CGI hybrid sequels typically see substantial decreases), and Beasts 3 (reeks of Dark Phoenix 2.0) - aren't entirely sure things. Personally I'd move either The Bad Guys or Sonic up to March 11 now since either of them would co-exist with Batman just fine but that's not up to me.

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el sid Box Office Gold

el sid

Posted
Posted (edited)

Scream, counted today at 9am EST for Thursday, Jan 13 (5 days to go):
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 82 (2 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 96 (2 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 27 (1 showtime)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 7 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 50 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 133 (3 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 423 (9 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 818 (+97 seats).

Up 13.5% since Thursday.
Comps: The Forever Purge (12.6M OW) had on Thursday for Thursday (= 0 days left) 241 sold tickets,
Halloween Kills (49.4M OW) had on Monday of its release week (= Scream has 2 days left to increase the lead) 591 (not 595) sold tickets for Thursday

and AQP II (47.5M OW) had also on Monday of its release week 747 sold tickets for Thursday.

Scream, counted today at 9am EST for Friday, Jan 14 (6 days to go):
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 110 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 68 (5 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 20 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 4 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 21 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 91 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 141 (4 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 455 (+ 92 seats).

Up 25% since Thursday.
Comps: Halloween Kills had on Monday of its relase week 750 sold tickets for Friday
and The Conjuring 3 (24.1M OW) had also on Monday of its release week 641 sold tickets for Friday (Conjuring 3 could be an a bit unfair comparison because it had no Thursday shows = no possibility to choose between Thursday and Friday and therefore maybe its Friday presales looked better back then).
I guess Scream will have around 600 sold tickets on Monday.
 

Its Thursday presales now reached more than 50% of the final sales of AQP II, good.
It's at the moment at a really nice level compared to the other films mentioned above but I still worry about its jumps next week. Without any specific reason of course because with the surprisingly good first reactions and almost no competition, it should work.

Edited by el sid
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excel1 Blockbuster

excel1

Posted
Posted
22 hours ago, wildphantom said:


yup. It’s the first insight we’ve got that the latest quarter sub numbers for Disney+ sure ain’t that great in terms of growth. 
 

Embarrassing decision. Feel so sorry for all those that work for Pixar. 

 

IGER 2024 no joke please

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CJohn Cinematic Universe

CJohn

Posted
Posted
12 hours ago, filmlover said:

April doesn't look that bad, assuming it sticks as it currently is.

 

1: Morbius, Easter Sunday, The Contractor

8: Sonic 2, Ambulance

15: Beasts 3, Thirteen Lives

22: The Bad Guys, The Northman, The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent

29: 65

 

Majority of these titles sound like they have a relatively low ceiling to begin with and the heavy hitters - Morbius (who knows how this will turn out), Sonic 2 (live-action/CGI hybrid sequels typically see substantial decreases), and Beasts 3 (reeks of Dark Phoenix 2.0) - aren't entirely sure things. Personally I'd move either The Bad Guys or Sonic up to March 11 now since either of them would co-exist with Batman just fine but that's not up to me.

Sonic has some teen/young adult appeal so I wouldn't put it close to The Batman. The Bad Guys NEEDS to move to March 11. 

 

Lost City is a 25-30M opener that now will be a 10M opener, and fuck if I know how much Downtow Abbey 2 can do, maybe 7M OW I guess. These kind of movies need to start doing well and they need to start doing it fast. All months with tentpoles every weekend is impossible.

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Eric Duncan Global Phenomenon

Eric Duncan

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Eric Smith said:

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 27 547 6254 8.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 44

 

Comp

0.609x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-6 (11.8M)

1.309x of The Conjuring 3 T-6 (12.83M)

0.804x of Halloween Kills T-6 (3.9M)

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 28 610 6355 9.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 63

 

Comp

0.592x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-5 (11.46M)

1.149x of The Conjuring 3 T-5 (11.26M)

0.795x of Halloween Kills T-5 (3.86M)

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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

Posted
Posted
10 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Sonic has some teen/young adult appeal so I wouldn't put it close to The Batman. The Bad Guys NEEDS to move to March 11. 

 

Lost City is a 25-30M opener that now will be a 10M opener, and fuck if I know how much Downtow Abbey 2 can do, maybe 7M OW I guess. These kind of movies need to start doing well and they need to start doing it fast. All months with tentpoles every weekend is impossible.

Also, moving Sonic a whole month early would require them to pretty much kill the VFX teams which are already in tight turnarounds.

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babz06 Box Office Gold

babz06

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, CJohn said:

Sonic has some teen/young adult appeal so I wouldn't put it close to The Batman. The Bad Guys NEEDS to move to March 11. 

 

Lost City is a 25-30M opener that now will be a 10M opener, and fuck if I know how much Downtow Abbey 2 can do, maybe 7M OW I guess. These kind of movies need to start doing well and they need to start doing it fast. All months with tentpoles every weekend is impossible.

I wouldn’t move Sonic either. I’d probably move The Bad Guys to either March 11 or March 25 now. 

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TwoMisfits Global Phenomenon

TwoMisfits

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

Move Morbius to March 25th

leave Sonic where it is.

move Fantastic Beasts to April 22nd

 

Each film keeps their PLF’s for at least 2 weeks. 

 

Easter is April 17, so the 2 biggest K-12 Spring Break weeks (and the family get together weekend) surround Apr 15-17 weekend...so FB3 won't give that date up...

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, Krissykins said:

Move Morbius to March 25th

leave Sonic where it is.

move Fantastic Beasts to April 22nd

 

Each film keeps their PLF’s for at least 2 weeks. 

I think The Lost City is supposed to be getting PLFs last weekend of March. 

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Eric Duncan Global Phenomenon

Eric Duncan

Posted
Posted
23 hours ago, Eric Smith said:

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 28 610 6355 9.75%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 63

 

Comp

0.592x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-5 (11.46M)

1.149x of The Conjuring 3 T-5 (11.26M)

0.795x of Halloween Kills T-5 (3.86M)

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 28 668 6355 10.51%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 58

 

Comp

0.522x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-4 (10.12M)

0.949x of The Conjuring 3 T-4 (9.3M)

0.778x of Halloween Kills T-4 (3.78M)

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el sid Box Office Gold

el sid

Posted
Posted (edited)

Scream, counted today at 11am EST for Thursday, Jan 13 (3 days to go):
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 97 (2 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 125 (2 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 40 (1 showtime)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 10 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 69 (2 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 152 (3 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 511 (11 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.004 (+186 seats).

Up 23% since Saturday.
Comps: The Forever Purge (12.6M OW) had on Thursday for Thursday (= 0 days left) 241 sold tickets,
Halloween Kills (49.4M OW) had on Monday of its release week 591 sold tickets for Thursday,
AQP II (47.5M OW) had also on Monday of its release week 747 sold tickets for Thursday

and It 2 (91.0M OW) had on the same day 2.008 sold tickets for Thursday.

Scream, counted today at 11am EST for Friday, Jan 14 (4 days to go):
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 133 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 97 (5 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 26 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 6 (1 showtime)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 23 (3 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 114 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 189 (4 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 588 (+ 133 seats).

Up 29% since Saturday.
Comps (all counted on Monday for Friday): Halloween Kills had 750 sold tickets for Friday,

The Conjuring 3 (24.1M OW) had 641 sold tickets
and It 2 had 2.404 sold tickets.

Very good presales for Thursday, decent ones for Friday but only ok jumps. I still don't think this is cut and dried. OTOH if I wouldn't have looked at it till today I would have been pleasantly surprised because overall the numbers are good.

Belle had today with shows in 4 of my 7 theaters 13 sold tickets for Thursday and 25 for Friday. Genre-wise not the best comps but The Card Counter had 23 sold tickets in 3 theaters on Monday for Friday and Belfast had 5 sold tickets in 2 theaters.
 

Edited by el sid
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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
On 1/7/2022 at 4:01 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Scream Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 129 664 19.43%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 7 485 1.44%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 2 DAYS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
501 80 8035 6.24% 14 49

 

AMCs sold 261
Cinemarks sold 81
Regals sold 127
Harkins sold 32

 

Halloween Kills T-6 comp: 6.46M

AQP2 T-6 comp: 5.45M

Scream Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total 168 664 25.30%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total 55 485 11.34%

 

SEATS SOLD SOLD PAST 3 DAYS TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
710 209 8143 8.72% 15 50

 

AMCs sold 399
Cinemarks sold 101
Regals sold 164
Harkins sold 46

 

Halloween Kills T-3 comp: 6.36M

AQP2 T-3 comp: 4.34M

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