The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Tinalera]

Dungeons and Dragons

Thurs Mar 29 and Fri Mar 30 (T-7)

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouve	Thurs	3	15	104	2904	3008	0.0345
	Fri	3	19	203	3854	4057	0.0500
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	4	17	140	3097	3237	0.0432
	Fri	4	14	357	2925	3282	0.1087

 

 

Earliest I have for Shazam is T-10.....but even with 5 days more sales (you can decide if this is a judgement of how bad Shazam did or how well DnD is doing by comparison

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouver	Thurs	3	18	43	3674	3717	0.0115
	Fri	3	22	61	4945	5006	0.0121
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	3	15	20	3360	3380	0.0059
	Fri	3	18	14	4400	4414	0.0031

 

 

Dungeons and dragons Ranging from 3-10 percent sold a week out, and not a lot of premiere screens available yet, so Id say this is looking pretty healthy. Shazam at T-10 was .3 to 1 percent sales at T10

[cooldude97]

2 hours ago, MightyDargon said:

500 mil for Mario. Good luck stopping it.

Going To Need NWH levels of WOM to get that high

[Eric Atreides]

Quorum Updates

A Good Person T-8: 22.64% Awareness, 5.42 Interest

Paint T-15: 20.69%, 5.07

Renfield T-22: 27.04%, 5.18

Chevalier T-29: 14.93%, 4.66

The Covenant T-29: 26.01%, 5.36

Evil Dead Rise T-29: 32.48%, 5.39

You Hurt My Feelings T-64: 13.04%, 4.75

The Blackening T-84: 16.23%, 5.16

Dune: Part Two T-225: 29.49%, 5.2

 

John Wick: Chapter 4 T-1: 67.99% Awareness, 7.21 Interest

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 90% chance of 50M, 80% chance of 70M, 60% chance of 100M

Final Interest: 100% chance of 100M

 

[Flamengo81]

1 hour ago, cooldude97 said:

Going To Need NWH levels of WOM to get that high

Not necessarily. It's an animation, so it has an immense advantage concerning legs compared to a extremely frontloaded superhero movie. It definitely needs very good word of mouth to get there, but not to the level of NWH I would say.

[el sid]

Yesterday I wasn't able to count till late evening (in Europe) and at that time the jumps become bigger and bigger so the presented numbers wouldn't have been correct. Therefor:

John Wick: Chapter 4, counted today before 9AM EST for today:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 841 (13 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 542 (22 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 191 (17 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 58 (6 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 326 (15 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 806 (16 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 1.190 (24 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 3.954.

Up quite good 53% since Wednesday.
Comps (all films counted on Friday for Friday): H&S (17.9M true Friday) had 3.409 sold tickets = 20.8M true Friday for JW4.
Uncharted (11.7M) had 1.721 sold tickets = 26.9M.
Angel Has Fallen (6.4M) had, counted in 4 AMC theaters (NY, Austin, San Francisco, LA) 680 sold tickets. JW4 has in the same 4 theaters 2.895 sold tickets = 27.3M.

[MightyDargon]

3 hours ago, Flamengo81 said:

Not necessarily. It's an animation, so it has an immense advantage concerning legs compared to a extremely frontloaded superhero movie. It definitely needs very good word of mouth to get there, but not to the level of NWH I would say.

Lion King went over 500 mil with nowhere near No Way Home hype.

[efialtes76]

10 minutes ago, MightyDargon said:

Lion King went over 500 mil with nowhere near No Way Home hype.

Lion King was a summer release that opened with $191.7m in 3 days.

Edited March 24, 2023 by efialtes76

[TheFlatLannister]

Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves

 

Greater Orlando Region

 

THURSDAY PREVIEWS 

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
44	743	8460	8.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

 

comps:

John Wick 4 - 3597 tickets sold   (0.206x) ~$1.8M THURSDAY PREVIEWS 

Scream VI - 1336 tickets sold (0.556x) ~$3.17M THURSDAY PREVIEWS 

     *So between $1.8M-$3.17M THUR based on comps 

 

Note: D&D has Amazon prime early showings on Sunday that are almost sold out and a few Wednesday showings here and there, so total preview numbers will be higher than comps have 

Edited March 24, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[TheFlatLannister]

4 hours ago, cooldude97 said:

Going To Need NWH levels of WOM to get that high

It needs good WOM, but not Godly WOM like NWH or TGM, to get to a 4x multiplier (assuming $125-130M 5 day)

[interiorgatordecorator]

4 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

Lion King was a summer release that opened with $191.7m in 3 days.

15 minutes ago, MightyDargon said:

Lion King went over 500 mil with nowhere near No Way Home hype.

 

so that adjusts to something like 230, right?

[Eric Atreides]

12 hours ago, Eric Wick said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-13 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	159	1778	31960	5.56%

 

Total seats Sold Today: 82

 

Comp - T-13

1.093x of Sing 2 (10.64M)

3.286x of Sonic 2 (20.54M)

12.347x of Minions 2 (132.73M)

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	159	1828	31960	5.72%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 50

 

Comp - T-12

1.101x of Sing 2 (10.72M)

3.168x of Sonic 2 (19.8M)

9.935x of Minions 2 (106.8M)

[GOGODanca]

22 minutes ago, MightyDargon said:

Lion King went over 500 mil with nowhere near No Way Home hype.

TLK opened to nearly 200m during the summer 

[efialtes76]

How is Air doing?

[cooldude97]

4 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

How is Air doing?

A bit humid 

[keysersoze123]

Mario is not grossing 500m with 130m over 5 day for sure. For that it has to hit 175m+. Let us see how it opens 1st and its reactions before predicting its legs. 

[interiorgatordecorator]

14 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Mario is not grossing 500m with 130m over 5 day for sure. For that it has to hit 175m+. Let us see how it opens 1st and its reactions before predicting its legs. 

 

whats the equivalent of 3x legs for a 5-day opening weekend?

[TheFlatLannister]

24 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

 

whats the equivalent of 3x legs for a 5-day opening weekend?

$390M-400M depending on how high OW goes 

[Issac Newton]

Suzume's Locking-Up Tickets are on Sale!! 

 

https://www.crunchyroll.com/anime-news/2023/03/24/suzume-anime-movie-tickets-now-on-sale-in-north-america

[ThomasNicole]

D&D still looking like possibly 40M OW? 

 

After so many great weekends with Creed / Scream / Wick i really hope this also lands well

[keysersoze123]

On 3/24/2023 at 7:01 AM, keysersoze123 said:

Mario MTC1 OD -  61426/828730 1029681.16 4133 shows

 

This is for 30 hours. Still crazy strong for a movie that is opening 12 days later. Can it hit 25m OD at this rate !!!!

Mario MTC1 OD - 64564/855533 1078261.38 4280 shows

 

This is 24 hours of data. It could hit 70K by end of sunday. Then let us see how final 9 days goes. Not even sure where it will end up. If I have to guess I would say somewhere in 150-200K range of presales and even with just 2x presales walkups it hits 300-400K. That would be 19-27m range depending on how high MTC indexing goes.