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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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48 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Mario MTC1 OD - 64564/855533 1078261.38 4280 shows

 

This is 24 hours of data. It could hit 70K by end of sunday. Then let us see how final 9 days goes. Not even sure where it will end up. If I have to guess I would say somewhere in 150-200K range of presales and even with just 2x presales walkups it hits 300-400K. That would be 19-27m range depending on how high MTC indexing goes.  

 

JWD at same time was 68K, with daily pace at +2.3K. JWD finalised at 154K T-1 & 255K final.

 

Mario pace is +3.1K.

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On 3/24/2023 at 7:18 PM, Eric Wick said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 159 1828 31960 5.72%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 50

 

Comp - T-12

1.101x of Sing 2 (10.72M)

3.168x of Sonic 2 (19.8M)

9.935x of Minions 2 (106.8M)

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 159 1938 31960 6.06%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 110

 

Comp - T-11

1.151x of Sing 2 (11.2M)

3.167x of Sonic 2 (19.79M)

10.308x of Minions 2 (110.82M)

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On 3/25/2023 at 12:50 PM, datpepper said:

Hearing Guardians Vol 3 tix April 3 at 9am EST

 

A follow-up on this: Thursday preview showtimes start at 3pm. There are some sites reporting the runtime of the movie is 2hr29m, but a pal of mine says it might actually be closer to 2hr42m.

Edited by datpepper
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i have felt so pessimistic about the potential for Dungeons and Dragon and keep thinking back to the 2000 version and that if it is so popular, then why the hell didn't that one have at least a good OW.  then a thought just hit me, lol.  look at Mario!  

are there any other examples like this?  Jungle Book?

Edited by dxmatrixdt
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1 hour ago, dxmatrixdt said:

i have felt so pessimistic about the potential for Dungeons and Dragon and keep thinking back to the 2000 version and that if it is so popular, then why the hell didn't that one have at least a good OW.  then a thought just hit me, lol.  look at Mario!  

are there any other examples like this?  Jungle Book?

This sentence doesn't really make sense. How is Mario comparable to D&D comparable to Jungle Book? 3 movies, 2 different genres (live action/animation), source material from 3 different time periods.

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3 hours ago, MightyDargon said:

This sentence doesn't really make sense. How is Mario comparable to D&D comparable to Jungle Book? 3 movies, 2 different genres (live action/animation), source material from 3 different time periods.

D&D terrible OW that did not reflect the popularity of the game, Mario terrible OW in the 90s, both are coming out now back to back.  asking if there are more examples of things like this.  Jungle Book had a flop in the 90s too, and that was all i could think of.

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10 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Mario MTC1 OD - 64564/855533 1078261.38 4280 shows

 

This is 24 hours of data. It could hit 70K by end of sunday. Then let us see how final 9 days goes. Not even sure where it will end up. If I have to guess I would say somewhere in 150-200K range of presales and even with just 2x presales walkups it hits 300-400K. That would be 19-27m range depending on how high MTC indexing goes.  

 

 

Mario MTC1 OD - 67847/870213 1129531.55 4372 shows

 

Another good day.  

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5 hours ago, dxmatrixdt said:

i have felt so pessimistic about the potential for Dungeons and Dragon and keep thinking back to the 2000 version and that if it is so popular, then why the hell didn't that one have at least a good OW.  then a thought just hit me, lol.  look at Mario!  

are there any other examples like this?  Jungle Book?

D&D was very popular here in Brazil to anyone born in the 70s-90s because of the TV Show "Caverna do Dragão". But here is the thing though: no one knows that the show is based on D&D and most people don't even have a clue of what D&D really is, for us is just a show in the same vein as Hanna Barbera cartoons. I, for example, only discovered that Caverna do Dragão was actually based on D&D last year, I thought D&D was only a RPG game that americans liked.

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16 hours ago, datpepper said:

 

A follow-up on this: Thursday preview showtimes start at 3pm. There are some sites reporting the runtime of the movie is 2hr29m, but a pal of mine says it might actually be closer to 2hr42m.

Gunn did confirmed it´s around 2h and 29m and it´s not final due the end credits, maybe he get it wrong and the movie itself is 149 minutes without the credits, so 162 minutes in full would make sense 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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39 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Not enough DnD posts in the last few pages.

 

For the constitution of this tracking thread, i think it would be on the wiser side of things to not give up on the intelligence of our charismatic tracking team, who shows true dexterity in constantly giving us reliable numbers in order to strengthen the forums prediction accuracy.

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18 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

For the constitution of this tracking thread, i think it would be on the wiser side of things to not give up on the intelligence of our charismatic tracking team, who shows true dexterity in constantly giving us reliable numbers in order to strengthen the forums prediction accuracy.

Armor class hit points will save flanking bonus free action

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1 hour ago, ThomasNicole said:

Gunn did confirmed it´s around 2h and 29m and it´s not final due the end credits, maybe he get it wrong and the movie itself is 149 minutes without the credits, so 162 minutes in full would make sense 

 

The fellow I usually get this info from was less sure on the runtime info, so I did my best to emphasize that it wasn't certain, heh. There's conflicting information around it now, so it could actually be 149 after all. Although your proposal makes sense, as would rounding to the nearest half-hour (which would still be 2.5).

 

More than likely, it'll be something in between. Maybe 150-something.

Edited by datpepper
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Dungeons and Dragons 

MTC1 Mar 26 - 16619/23637 167861.87 201 shows

MTC2 Mar 26 - 11520/16643 138501.88 143 shows

 

Fewer shows than last weekend Prime shows. Again I am not sure how extensive it was at rest of the chains. I would guess somewhere in 500-600K range. 


 

MTC1 Mar 29 - 7240/37337 141273.54 174 shows

MTC2 Mar 29 - 2940/22931 46098.50 116 shows

 

Even smaller than today's show. 

 

MTC1 Prev !! - 21542/388252 359829.28 1888 shows

MTC2 Prev - 10938/261876 150768.81 1583 shows shows

 

Thinking around ~2m pre thursday gross and around Shabomb level thursday previews for D&D. So around 5.5m overall  is the target and I would say 35-40m OW range for now. 

Edited by keysersoze123
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