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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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21 hours ago, Eric is Norlar Aver said:

Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 115 2193 18958 11.57%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 201

 

Comp - T-1

0.677x of Shang-Chi (5.96M)

0.736x of Venom 2 (8.54M)

1.370x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife (6.16M)

2.467x of Uncharted (9.13M)

2.833x of The Lost City (9.21M)

1.276x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (7.65M)

0.530x of Top Gun 2 (10.21M)

0.527x of Jurassic World: Dominion (9.48M)

0.947x of Black Adam (7.2M)

3.258x of Shazam 2 (11.08M)

Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 115 2569 18958 13.55%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 376

 

Comp

0.541x of Shang-Chi (4.76M)

0.490x of Venom 2 (5.69M)

1.158x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife (5.21M)

1.860x of Uncharted (6.88M)

2.514x of The Lost City (8.17M)

1.090x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (6.54M)

0.500x of Top Gun 2 (9.62M)

0.408x of Jurassic World: Dominion (7.35M)

0.727x of Black Adam (5.53M)

2.123x of Shazam 2 (7.22M)

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25 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

International is going to need to do the heavy lifting then, for $380m+ worldwide. How is it looking overseas? 

Sadly what id been seeing wasn't good. Apparently Mexico is bad, South Korea's first 2 days now have been super underwhelming, and China is just.... 

 

Obviously we'll have to wait, but SK not even performing well after the report of initial really good WOM is super disheartening 

 

At this point, I'd be happy with $300m+

Edited by Pinacolada
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27 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

International is going to need to do the heavy lifting then, for $380m+ worldwide. How is it looking overseas? 

If the international does good, it will not be based on the strenght of the IP, because it's a lot stronger domestic than overseas.

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Just now, Flamengo81 said:

If the international does good, it will not be based on the strenght of the IP, because it's a lot stronger domestic than overseas.

Yeh I just mean in order for it to be a success (make it’s money back). 

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26 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

International is going to need to do the heavy lifting then, for $380m+ worldwide. How is it looking overseas? 

On Brazil it is still on previews and the full release is only the week after Mario, but previews so far are decent even if you won't see any interesting numbers since is just, well, previews.

 

Paramount's bet for the movie is clearly on the WoM and the long run, it is having 3 weekends of previews before the actual release.

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Early show sales at my theatre hasn't looked great. The day started with 8 seats, and showtime just started with 18. Shazam did 96 tickets at this theatre two weeks ago for early showtime, but it was March break.

 

The late show went from 4 to 8 over the course of the day. I'll check before showtime to see where it lands. I'm not expecting much though.

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Just now, TwoMisfits said:

 

Remember, Shazam 2 only got $3.4M in previews...

you could be right. Walkups so far look promising. Plus just 2 MTC did close to 1.4m in early shows. I am thinking overall number will be close to 2m, or even few 100K more. Something like 3.7/2.3 is possible. 

 

Shazam also over indexed at MTC1 spectacularly. This should hopefully be spread out. Plus its walkups sucked big time. 

 

More important thing is Friday presales. It should hit double digit tomorrow minus previews.  

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My theatre ended up with 14 tickets to the late show, taking the total for the night at 32 for D&D. It started at 12, so there was a walk up effect proportionally, but still a dismal showing.

 

The upside is that Friday night is already triple the sales of today, so evidence is there that this will be a Friday performer. 

 

We'll see what the official totals look like tomorrow.

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I don't want to get anyone's hopes up because I know that D&D is over-indexing in my region... but the fact that these numbers are (surprisingly) consistent across 8 different theaters in 6 different cities is encouraging.

 

But the numbers I'm seeing aren't THAT far below stuff like Black Adam, and well ahead of stuff like Uncharted. If BC wasn't overindexing, I'd say 50M is a definite possibility. However, taking the overindex into account, I would simply say that this is just encouraging, and suggests that HIGH 30s or (dare I say it) 40 is still possible.

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10 minutes ago, crazymoviekid said:

Do we know how much D&D has made from its many, many previews prior to Thursday?

I don't have as much access to data as someone like @charlie Jatinderand @keysersoze123 but I do have access to some Canadian numbers (so would have to do some extrapolating). I would guess around 2M, give or take .5 or so. I want to say it's on the higher end of that range, but that may just be Canada overindexing.

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D&D MTC1 Previews - 69534/500731 1079011.06 2753 shows

D&D MTC1 Friday - 68033/798651 1071979.35 4346 shows

 

It did slow down. I would say ~ 3.5-3.7m for just thursday plus whatever it did before today. Just to be conservative would put in 5.5m all in.

 

Terrific presales for friday. 

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On 3/29/2023 at 9:05 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Mario MTC1 

Midnights - 3331/33819 76300.21 169 shows

OD - 88814/1089240 1446354.36 5973 shows +6560

 

Another increase in pace. No change in my expectations. Thinking around 120K by end of the week and 170k by PS End for wednesday. 

Mario MTC1

Midnights - 3594/33819 81792.54 169 shows

OD - 98134/1099151 1587071.56 6037 shows +9320

 

Really good increase today. Final surge definitely is there. midnights are almost a noise at this point. Even if it doubles and does well at other chains it should be under a million. 

 

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