The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Porthos]

On 3/17/2023 at 2:37 AM, Porthos said:

 

 Fast X Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-63 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	166	25103	25636	533	2.08%

 

Total Showings Since Last Thursday	1
Total Seats Since Last Thursday	122
Total Seats Sold Since Last Thursday	17

 

BREAKDOWN

  Reveal hidden contents

 

T-69:	-2
T-68:	8
T-67:	5
T-66:	-2
T-65:	4
T-64:	1
T-63:	3

 

 

 

0.97986x F9 after three days of pre-sales/T-21. [6.9m]

 

Regal:     83/8037  [1.03% sold]
Matinee:    12/2648  [0.45% | 2.25% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Next update in ***TWO*** weeks (Mar 30th)

 

Fast X Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-49 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	172	25999	26550	551	2.08%

 

Total Showings Added Last Two Weeks	6
Total Seats Added Last Two Weeks	914
Total Seats Sold Last Two Weeks	18

 

BREAKDOWN

Spoiler

 

T-62:	-1
T-61:	0
T-60:	4
T-59:	2
T-58:	2
T-57:	0
T-56:	-2
T-55:	3
T-54:	0
T-53:	3
T-52:	1
T-51:	3
T-50:	2
T-49:	1

 

 

 

1.00364x F9 after three days of pre-sales/T-21. [7.1m]

 

Regal:      86/8943  [0.96% sold]
Matinee:    12/3132  [0.38% | 2.18% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Next update at T-42, one week from now, where we'll have a comp against JWD's first day of sales.

[Porthos]

Of note for those who aren't tracking all the time.

 

This week, Fandango has made a slight, but (mostly) welcome change.  It used to be one had to click multiple times before getting to a seat map (where one could see how many seats have been sold).  But with their latest update to their system, now clicking on a showtime will immediately bring you to a seat map, much like Cinemark does.

 

The only downside, and it isn't a completely insignificant one, is that pricing and auditorium information is now a couple of clicks past this seat map, so finding out which showings are matinees/have any pricing hikes as well as tracking down auditorium numbers to see if there various blacked out seats that keyword searches aren't picking up is slightly more time consuming.

 

On the whole though, the later only really matters when I am setting up my sheets (at least with my workflow) and the former is much much more important.  So when it comes to pure time savings, this is by far a huge huge win for trackers who use Fandango.

 

---

 

Secondly, GOTG3 showtimes are starting to trickle in. 3pm start time, as previously reported. Not for sale yet, obs.  But not long now.

[Channel83]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

Of note for those who aren't tracking all the time.

 

This week, Fandango has made a slight, but (mostly) welcome change.  It used to be one had to click multiple times before getting to a seat map (where one could see how many seats have been sold).  But with their latest update to their system, now clicking on a showtime will immediately bring you to a seat map, much like Cinemark does.

 

The only downside, and it isn't a completely insignificant one, is that pricing and auditorium information is now a couple of clicks past this seat map, so finding out which showings are matinees/have any pricing hikes as well as tracking down auditorium numbers to see if there various blacked out seats that keyword searches aren't picking up is slightly more time consuming.

 

On the whole though, the later only really matters when I am setting up my sheets (at least with my workflow) and the former is much much more important.  So when it comes to pure time savings, this is by far a huge huge win for trackers who use Fandango.

 

---

 

Secondly, GOTG3 showtimes are starting to trickle in. 3pm start time, as previously reported. Not for sale yet, obs.  But not long now.

 

 

Is the ideal method for tracking to use the web browser version? Anytime I've done any sort of quick tracking using Fandango I use the app on my phone, and within one click you can see an entire theaters seat map in one graphic - ie: Clicking on burbank 16 dolby screen will show you every seat map for that day in one click. Super ideal

[Eric Duncan]

On 3/29/2023 at 8:16 PM, Eric is Norlar Aver said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	210	2655	40562	6.55%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 193

 

Comp - T-7

1.325x of Sing 2 (12.9M)

3.310x of Sonic 2 (20.69M)

8.880x of Lightyear (46.17M)

8.402x of Minions 2 (90.32M)

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	210	3214	40562	7.92%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 559

 

Comp - T-6

1.505x of Sing 2 (14.65M)

3.456x of Sonic 2 (21.6M)

8.830x of Lightyear (45.91M)

9.343x of Minions 2 (100.44M)

[nerves]

36 minutes ago, Eric is Norlar Aver said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	210	3214	40562	7.92%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 559

 

Comp - T-6

1.505x of Sing 2 (14.65M)

3.456x of Sonic 2 (21.6M)

8.830x of Lightyear (45.91M)

9.343x of Minions 2 (100.44M)

Mario sweep

[vafrow]

1 hour ago, Eric is Norlar Aver said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	210	3214	40562	7.92%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 559

 

Comp - T-6

1.505x of Sing 2 (14.65M)

3.456x of Sonic 2 (21.6M)

8.830x of Lightyear (45.91M)

9.343x of Minions 2 (100.44M)

 

You've probably answered this in this thread somewhere before, but why is the Minions comp so crazy? Did that just have really massive walk ups?

[filmlover]

Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2023’s Upcoming Calendar
(as of 3/31/23)

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Low/High Range	Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week	5-Day (WTFSS) Opening Low/High Range	Domestic Total Low/High Range	Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week	Distributor
4/5/2023	Air	$8,000,000 – $13,000,000	+11%	$11,000,000 – $16,000,000	$27,000,000 – $46,000,000	+13%	Amazon Studios
4/5/2023	On a Wing and a Prayer						United Artists Releasing
4/5/2023	The Super Mario Bros. Movie	$73,000,000 – $105,000,000	+6%	$102,000,000 – $151,000,000	$319,000,000 – $453,000,000	+8%	Universal Pictures
4/7/2023	Paint						IFC Films
4/14/2023	Mafia Mamma						Bleecker Street
4/14/2023	Nefarious						Soli Deo Gloria Releasing
4/14/2023	The Pope’s Exorcist	$4,000,000 – $9,000,000			$9,000,000 – $24,000,000		Sony Pictures / Screen Gems
4/14/2023	Renfield	$14,000,000 – $19,000,000			$37,000,000 – $55,000,000		Universal Pictures
4/14/2023	Suzume						Crunchyroll / Sony
4/14/2023	Sweetwater						Briarcliff Entertainment
4/21/2023	Beau Is Afraid						A24
4/21/2023	Chevalier						Disney / Searchlight Pictures
4/21/2023	The Covenant	$4,000,000 – $8,000,000			$11,000,000 – $27,000,000		MGM & STX Films
4/21/2023	Evil Dead Rise	$21,000,000 – $30,000,000			$42,000,000 – $67,000,000		Warner Bros. Pictures
4/28/2023	Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret.	$18,000,000 – $23,000,000			$54,000,000 – $86,000,000		Lionsgate
4/28/2023	Big George Foreman: The Miraculous Story of the Once and Future Heavyweight Champion of the World	$9,000,000 – $14,000,000			$28,000,000 – $50,000,000		Sony / AFFIRM Films
4/28/2023	Polite Society						Focus Features
4/28/2023	Sisu						Lionsgate

Long Range Box Office Forecast: Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret. and Big George Foreman - Boxoffice (boxofficepro.com)

[filmlover]

Consider me happily surprised with that Margaret tracking. At first I figured it was destined to end up another Edge of Seventeen (critically acclaimed but no one sees it in theaters), but it is based on a book that is both iconic and remains popular to this day (kind of crazy given how book-obsessed Hollywood is that it took so long to make an adaptation out of this one) and Lionsgate is having a terrific year so far, so it would be cool if they were able to turn this into another Where the Crawdads Sing ala a hit that sort of comes out of nowhere.

Edited March 31, 2023 by filmlover

[DisposedData]

3 hours ago, Eric is Norlar Aver said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	210	3214	40562	7.92%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 559

 

Comp - T-6

1.505x of Sing 2 (14.65M)

3.456x of Sonic 2 (21.6M)

8.830x of Lightyear (45.91M)

9.343x of Minions 2 (100.44M)

I thought it would fall back to earth with some of these comps like Sonic and Minions. Instead it seems to actually be pulling away. 

[Tinalera]

3 hours ago, Eric is Norlar Aver said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	210	3214	40562	7.92%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 559

 

Comp - T-6

1.505x of Sing 2 (14.65M)

3.456x of Sonic 2 (21.6M)

8.830x of Lightyear (45.91M)

9.343x of Minions 2 (100.44M)

This movie does what tracking is showing and has good legs/wom then this would definitely be a legit strong new animation IP. Its Mario so in a way with the name recognition it would be strong, but this is definitely a good thing. 

[keysersoze123]

D&D MTC2 previews - 53613/399812 692494.50 2750 shows. 

 

This is also saying 3.5m thursday. 

[Flamengo81]

4 hours ago, Eric is Norlar Aver said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	210	3214	40562	7.92%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 559

 

Comp - T-6

1.505x of Sing 2 (14.65M)

3.456x of Sonic 2 (21.6M)

8.830x of Lightyear (45.91M)

9.343x of Minions 2 (100.44M)

Wtf?

[Starrow5722]

1 minute ago, Flamengo81 said:

Wtf?

I know right? This movie is gonna be huge.

[Flamengo81]

3 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

You've probably answered this in this thread somewhere before, but why is the Minions comp so crazy? Did that just have really massive walk ups?

The late surge in presales and walkups were pretty much unprecedented I think...

[Cappoedameron]

 

[Borja9198]

4 minutes ago, Cappoedameron said:

 

$4,1M Thursday Previews & $1,5M Amazon Previews (Deadline)

[MightyDargon]

Mario will have less walkups but more presales than Minions.

[ringedmortality]

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

4/5/2023 Air $8,000,000 – $13,000,000 +11% $11,000,000 – $16,000,000 $27,000,000 – $46,000,000 +13% Amazon Studios

 

That's better

[DAJK]

Holy crap at Are You There God tracking. I didn’t expect it to make a third of that. To be honest I’ll be surprised if tracking stays that high. Still expecting a single digits opening for that one unfortunately. 

[Pinacolada]

Rachel McAdams, her POWAH