Weekend Thread (1/7-9) | The 355 - 350K Previews (5K short!)

[titanic2187]

Not sure why but NWH weekend number seem super solid and bold well for passing Avatar. 

 

I thought Kingman can be biggest disaster of the season but MaTrix 4 took that title fasrt. TKM hold well. GB:A hold last two weeks have been super good.

Edited January 9, 2022 by titanic2187

[druv10]

23 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

I feel Sony overestimated this time around. Empire said 14.6M for Sat. For 33M, it'll require 10.1M Sun. Barely a 30% drop doesn't seem likely. 

Sat Estimate is 14.755M not 14.6M.

Sunday estimate is 9.96M -32%, doesn't seem that optimistic to me.

[Valonqar]

It's passing Avatar. Strong holds + dead month + holiday. Boom. It won't miss.

 

OS actual will be 870M. Watch.

Edited January 9, 2022 by Valonqar

[LPLC]

2 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

It's passing Avatar. Strong holds + dead month + holiday. Boom. It won't miss.

 

OS actual will be 870M. Watch.

Yes every weekend they underestimate OS by few millions. Look just this weekend they underestimated Japan by $1M-$1,5M, $11,8M is wrong

[Tokugennumataka]

3 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Sat Estimate is 14.755M not 14.6M.

Sunday estimate is 9.96M -32%, doesn't seem that optimistic to me.

I see. But Past history suggests drop in the 35-40% bracket. But last Sunday also saw a way better hold than historical data. If the Sat actuals come in at 14.75, it's possible. 

[Krissykins]

33 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Not trying to spin here for optimism sake, but that's legit like at least two mill more than I expected for 355 lol

Same, lol. 
 

14 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

I honestly don't think that Harry Styles would turn WSS into a hit. 

Resisting the urge to make an Eternals joke here lol. 

[Tokugennumataka]

12 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said:

 

 

The Philippines opened also, so it's going to be more like 35-40% drop from the same markets. 

I see. Gotcha. 

[BoxOfficeFangrl]

34 minutes ago, Spidey Freak said:

 

This is literally the first time I've heard anyone say anything remotely positive about him in the film. As for Spielberg, I don't think he would've really cared about sticking to Elgort if this controversy came up during the casting process and the studio asked him to change his pick.

That's another way the Discourse has distorted the conversation about Ansel in the movie. Even in the WSS threads here, there's a range of opinions on his performance-he's terrible, he's fine, he's great, Tony sucks as a character, he did the best he could. The holds (outside of the No Way Home disruption) for WSS have been good, would that be happening if everyone who saw it thought the leading man was terrible? I guess there's Russell Crowe in Les Miserables but he was supporting. Anyway, reviewers IMO brought their biases with them, it's not the first time.

 

 

Edited January 9, 2022 by BoxOfficeFangrl

[XXR vs XXR]

https://deadline.com/2022/01/weekend-box-office-spider-man-no-way-home-the-355-1234906089/

Spider-Man took in $8.3M on Friday, and by end of today will raise its cume to $668.7M, which will make it the sixth-highest grossing movie at the domestic box office, ahead of James Cameron’s Titanic ($659.3M). The Tom Holland-Zendaya-Benedict Cumberbatch ensemble is around $10M away from overtaking Avengers: Infinity War ($678.8M) as the 5th highest grossing movie ever stateside. Box Office firm EntTelligence says that 54.4M tickets have been sold for the Jon Watts-directed MCU sequel to date in US and Canada.

 

@charlie Jatinder How accurate do you think the part in red is? That would put ATP over $12.20 and final ticket sales around 60-62M. 

[Valonqar]

4 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said:

 The Tom Holland-Zendaya-Benedict Cumberbatch ensemble

 

I guess the ensemble responsible for this level of success is still a spoiler? 

[druv10]

1	(1)	Spider-Man: No Way Home	Sony Pict…	$33,015,000	-41%	4,012	-194	$8,229	$668,753,195	4
2	(2)	Sing 2	Universal	$11,950,000	-41%	3,713	-179	$3,218	$109,012,985	3
3	N	The 355	Universal	$4,800,000		3,145		$1,526	$4,800,000	1
4	(3)	The King’s Man	20th Cent…	$3,272,000	-28%	3,040	-140	$1,076	$25,091,034	3
5	(4)	American Underdog: Th…	Lionsgate	$2,413,000	-38%	2,728	-85	$885	$18,742,589	3
6	(5)	The Matrix Resurrections	Warner Bros.	$1,860,000	-51%	2,875	-677	$647	$34,317,103	3
7	(6)	West Side Story	20th Cent…	$1,413,000	-35%	2,290	-400	$617	$32,157,045	5
8	(7)	Ghostbusters: Afterlife	Sony Pict…	$1,140,000	-23%	1,501	-144	$759	$125,064,125	8
9	(8)	Licorice Pizza	United Ar…	$1,028,156	-21%	772	-14	$1,332	$8,198,967	7
10	(12)	House of Gucci	United Ar…	$632,348	-21%	607	-100	$1,042	$50,085,553	7
11	(9)	A Journal for Jordan	Sony Pict…	$605,000	-50%	1,850	-650	$327	$5,863,134	3
12	(11)	Nightmare Alley	Searchlig…	$592,000	-39%	1,200	-710	$493	$8,737,697	4
13	(10)	Encanto	Walt Disney	$553,000	-49%	1,450	-975	$381	$92,448,165	7
-	(-)	Red Rocket	A24	$63,293	-40%	144	-241	$440	$894,635	5
-	(-)	Eternals	Walt Disney	$58,000	-45%	130	-45	$446	$164,801,418	10
-	(-)	Belfast	Focus Fea…	$30,000	-7%	67	-10	$448	$6,955,205	9
-	(-)	The French Dispatch	Searchlig…	$27,000	-15%	45	-10	$600	$16,047,722	12
-	(-)	C’mon C’mon	A24	$12,536	+2%	26	n/c	$482	$1,871,034	8
-	(-)	Flee	Neon	$1,602	-14%	3	-1	$534	$59,351

[Torontofan]

Considering the leggy canadian market is closed this an epic result. 

Edited January 9, 2022 by Torontofan

[Mango]

20 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said:

https://deadline.com/2022/01/weekend-box-office-spider-man-no-way-home-the-355-1234906089/

Spider-Man took in $8.3M on Friday, and by end of today will raise its cume to $668.7M, which will make it the sixth-highest grossing movie at the domestic box office, ahead of James Cameron’s Titanic ($659.3M). The Tom Holland-Zendaya-Benedict Cumberbatch ensemble is around $10M away from overtaking Avengers: Infinity War ($678.8M) as the 5th highest grossing movie ever stateside. Box Office firm EntTelligence says that 54.4M tickets have been sold for the Jon Watts-directed MCU sequel to date in US and Canada.

 

@charlie Jatinder How accurate do you think the part in red is? That would put ATP over $12.20 and final ticket sales around 60-62M. 

theres no way. The average national ticket price average in 2019 was $9.19. That’s a gigantic increase in just 2-3 years. I don’t doubt that Spidey was inflated by premium screens like Dolby and IMAX but there’s no way it’s not at least close to 60m tickets  

[charlie Jatinder]

28 minutes ago, RiddlerXXR said:

https://deadline.com/2022/01/weekend-box-office-spider-man-no-way-home-the-355-1234906089/

Spider-Man took in $8.3M on Friday, and by end of today will raise its cume to $668.7M, which will make it the sixth-highest grossing movie at the domestic box office, ahead of James Cameron’s Titanic ($659.3M). The Tom Holland-Zendaya-Benedict Cumberbatch ensemble is around $10M away from overtaking Avengers: Infinity War ($678.8M) as the 5th highest grossing movie ever stateside. Box Office firm EntTelligence says that 54.4M tickets have been sold for the Jon Watts-directed MCU sequel to date in US and Canada.

 

@charlie Jatinder How accurate do you think the part in red is? That would put ATP over $12.20 and final ticket sales around 60-62M. 

Could be, but I think could be bit higher admits. I was thinking around $11 ATP.

[Eric Atreides]

Nah, I think Ansel was really, really strong in West Side. He elevates what's typically the most boring character in the show and makes him the most interesting he's ever been. Though yes, all the other cast members do outshine him.

[druv10]

33.02M weekend for NWH is 5th biggest 4th weekend ever and 3rd biggest MCU ever behind BP/TA1.

[John Marston]

surprisingly good hold for Ghostbusters considering its now on digital

[CJohn]

Tremendous number for The 355 if you ask me (I was expecting 3M). Theaters are back, baby!

[charlie Jatinder]

38 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Could be, but I think could be bit higher admits. I was thinking around $11 ATP.

And if NWH is $12.2 then previous movies will be higher than what I have taken for them, so it would be a universal shift.

[XXR vs XXR]

Just now, charlie Jatinder said:

And if NWH is $12.2 then previous movies will be higher than what I have taken for them, so it would be a universal shift.

 

Yea we would have to drop domestic admissions down by probably 10% for a decade or more. I don't know of any way to confirm that ATP though, or how they're getting it.