Noctis Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 (edited) What do you guys expect from this? I think if reviews are just okay enough with decent WOM, I can see it hitting $300m OS. My current prediction is $315m OS. Edited July 4, 2022 by Noctis 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jma22 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 DOM: $130m OS-C: $340m CHINA: $30m My prediction is $500m worldwide what means -150m from Crimes of Grindelwald Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 29 minutes ago, jma22 said: DOM: $130m OS-C: $340m CHINA: $30m My prediction is $500m worldwide what means -150m from Crimes of Grindelwald Seems about right, though I am curious if the "Dumbledore" name in the title will carry it a bit further. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clockwork Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 (edited) 1 hour ago, RiddlerXXR said: Seems about right, though I am curious if the "Dumbledore" name in the title will carry it a bit further. It's tricky to tell, titles alone aren't enough to draw people away or to a movie. I mean Dumbledore and Hogwarts were featured prominently in the trailers for Crimes of Grindelwald and it made about 200 mil less than the first movie. The title for this third movie is rather clunky in my opinion and doesn't roll of the tongue as well as Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them does/did. For a fair amount of people it also kinda accentuates the whole "why is it even still called Fantastic Beasts anymore when they making it about Dumbledore and Grindelwald?" crowd The other issue is that Dumbledore isn't necessarily the main character of this one. He barely did anything in the 2nd movie but at least it seems in this one he'll have more to do, but still you got a bunch of other characters running around taking up screentime which makes this more of an ensemble piece than it being purely Dumbledore's show. Edited January 13, 2022 by clockwork Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted March 17, 2022 Author Share Posted March 17, 2022 What are you guys thinking? I'm saying $315m like my original prediction because I just do not want to be disappointed. $300m will make me content. Anything above is gravy for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Noctis said: What are you guys thinking? I'm saying $315m like my original prediction because I just do not want to be disappointed. $300m will make me content. Anything above is gravy for me. I think promoting this heavily with the "Dumbledore" title is going to juice it in a way FB2 couldn't do. Not to mention ticket prices are like 16-18% higher since then. At least $400M OS and it wouldn't surprise me if it's over $450M. Edited March 17, 2022 by KnucklesXXR 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted March 17, 2022 Author Share Posted March 17, 2022 Just now, KnucklesXXR said: I think promoting this heavily with the "Dumbledore" title is going to juice it over FB2. Not to mention ticket prices are like 16-18% higher since then. At least $400M OS and it wouldn't surprise me if it's over $450M. I'd be ecstatic for $400m, but I just do not see that happening. I hope I'm proven wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clockwork Posted March 17, 2022 Share Posted March 17, 2022 I'm pretty sure it'll need to get a little over 400 to break even, cause I imagine the budget is like between 160 to 200 million. But I think it will be able to do between 350 to 500 million if it's a solid improvement over the 2nd film, which seems to be the case. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 (edited) With the name “Dumbledore” in the title I think it will be attractive,Dumbledore probably one of the most popular Harry Potter character Edited March 18, 2022 by Bruce 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jak Ryan Drake Campbell Posted March 18, 2022 Share Posted March 18, 2022 (edited) The film exceeds $500 million worldwide, if it does, the sequel is guaranteed. It remains to be seen whether cinemas in China will start to open again by April 7.. The film if it is in the same budget as Dune ($165M), the latter has collected $410M worldwide in total and will have its sequel, I think a result in the 500 will be decent. Edited March 18, 2022 by Jak Ryan Drake Campbell 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted April 2, 2022 Author Share Posted April 2, 2022 (edited) It releases next week in: China Germany UK Australia New Zealand Austria Japan Czech Republic Denmark Finland Norway Poland Portugal Romania Spain Sweden Switzerland Can someone show how much FB1 and Crimes opened to in those countries? Edited April 2, 2022 by Noctis 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jason1230 Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 I think it was reported a budget of 160M, but that’s before firing Depp and covid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Japan Box Office Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (2016) - 2016/11/23 - ¥7.34B Spoiler OD : ¥460,000,000 /x328,770 attendees 3D : ¥x901,467,500 /x644,312 attendees (OD+2D) OP : ¥x822,862,100 /x546,138 attendees OW: ¥1,724,329,600 /1,190,450 attendees (5D) AF : ¥7,340,000,000 Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (2018) - 2018/11/23 - ¥6.57B Spoiler OD : ¥x617,926,800 /x430,005 attendees OP : ¥x854,007,700 /x570,788 attendees OW: ¥1,471,934,500 /1,000,793 attendees (3D) AF : ¥6,570,000,000 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kyrixos Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 Apparently bad weather in Europe affected the box office of movies earlier this week. Is that still a factor? That combined with Covid (even if restrictions are being lifted) would hamper overall gross. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noiret Jak Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 3 hours ago, kyrixos said: Apparently bad weather in Europe affected the box office of movies earlier this week. Is that still a factor? That combined with Covid (even if restrictions are being lifted) would hamper overall gross. everything is fine in europe, and the potentiel bad weather can be beneficial, rain with children = indoor outings and therefore cinema. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kyrixos Posted April 5, 2022 Share Posted April 5, 2022 On 4/2/2022 at 4:59 PM, Noctis said: It releases next week in: China Germany UK Australia New Zealand Austria Japan Czech Republic Denmark Finland Norway Poland Portugal Romania Spain Sweden Switzerland Can someone show how much FB1 and Crimes opened to in those countries? I'd like to see more data on this if possible too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Felipe Posted April 7, 2022 Share Posted April 7, 2022 (edited) Market FB COG China $40.455.021 $36.681.320 -9% UK $18.929.810 $15.809.761 -16% Germany $9.115.631 $11.932.800 31% Japan $7.267.816 $7.560.266 4% Australia $7.157.510 $6.286.502 -12% Spain $4.404.192 $4.614.419 5% Netherlands $2.083.100 $2.835.284 36% Poland $908.476 $1.400.067 54% New Zealand $ 1.058.980 $961.770 -9% Portugal $643.245 $692.221 8% Iceland $110.115 $111.668 1% Czech Republic $1.198.443 $1.272.161 6% Norway $1.054.033 $1.041.783 -1% Finland $626.065 Belgium Austria Denmark India Sweden Switzerland Total $95.012.437 $91.200.022 -4% OS-CH $54.557.416 $54.518.702 0% Deadline's article adjusted the totals for inflation for some reason (FB1: 120M, CoG: 115M). So something close to 50M (without China) this weekend would be good, I guess. Edited April 7, 2022 by Felipe 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MG10 Posted April 8, 2022 Share Posted April 8, 2022 (edited) On 4/5/2022 at 9:07 PM, kyrixos said: Apparently bad weather in Europe affected the box office of movies earlier this week. Is that still a factor? That combined with Covid (even if restrictions are being lifted) would hamper overall gross. "Bad weather in Europe" doesn't mean much because we are talking about a Continent, and without the modern media for example the whole of UK and Ireland could sink into the ocean without anyone here in Italy noticing 😅 Edited April 8, 2022 by MG10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noiret Jak Posted April 8, 2022 Share Posted April 8, 2022 It will be very interesting to follow for this film, the starts should be not too bad, except in China where 60% of cinemas are closed. What will be interesting will be his legs, which this time and I believe, should be stronger than CoG. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted April 10, 2022 Share Posted April 10, 2022 (edited) Seems like $55-60M OW. Market FB:CoG FB:SoD China 37,528,697 9,500,000 -74.69% UK 15,809,761 9,000,000 -43.07% Germany 13,191,847 9,250,000 -29.88% Japan 13,030,582 9,000,000 -30.93% Australia 6,917,413 Spain 4,614,419 Netherlands 3,466,758 Poland 1,428,501 New Zealand 1,081,576 Portugal 753,273 Iceland 111,668 Czech Republic 1,423,712 Norway 1,625,281 600,000 -63.08% Finland 830,000 Belgium 1,000,000 Austria 1,500,000 Denmark 1,750,000 India 2,200,000 1,250,000 -43.18% Sweden 2,000,000 Switzerland 1,800,000 Total 112,063,488 38,600,000 -65.56% OS-CH 74,534,791 29,100,000 -60.96% $280-300M INT may be. Edited April 10, 2022 by charlie Jatinder 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
