Jump to content

filmlover

Best Picture Predictions: 2022

Recommended Posts

2 hours ago, filmlover said:

Apparently, Kate Hudson and Glen Powell are friends IRL? He was in a big Netflix romcom, and that genre was her bread and butter in the aughts. And if you're the Top Gun team, you're in safer hands with Powell doing interviews vs Miles Teller.

 

Joe Alwyn and Paul Mescal are the partners of friends/collaborators Taylor Swift and Phoebe Bridgers, so Variety hopes to get a bunch of music stan eyeballs. They'll probably just talk about acting, but overinvested stans pour over any new content, looking for relationship "clues".

 

Looking forward to the Cate and Michelle Yeoh Best Actress showdown interview, and also Viola Davis and JLaw because they have such different vibes and career paths, what will a conversation between them even be like?

 

 

Edited by BoxOfficeFangrl
Link to comment
Share on other sites



2 hours ago, BoxOfficeFangrl said:

Apparently, Kate Hudson and Glen Powell are friends IRL? He was in a big Netflix romcom, and that genre was her bread and butter in the aughts. And if you're the Top Gun team, you're in safer hands with Powell doing interviews vs Miles Teller.

 

Maybe, also Powell is there to talk about Devotion so safe to say these were set up a while back when it had the slightest bit of Oscar buzz.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

avatar sure isnt sounding win-competitive

 

edit: that was a very weird roll out, still dont think it sounds win competitive but id be fine with having it as the #1  dark horse

Edited by interiorgatordecorator
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Atlanta Film Critics Awards

 

Best Film: Everything Everywhere All at Once

Top ten:

1. EEAAO

2. Fabelmans

3. Banshees

4. Tàr

5. RRR

6. Maverick

7. Decision to Leave

8. Women Talking

9. Glass Onion

10. Nope

 

Best Lead Actor: Colin Farrell

Best Lead Actress: Cate Blanchett

Supporting Actor: Ke Hoy Quan

Supporting Actress: Janelle Monae (Glass Onion)

Ensemble: Glass Onion

Director: Kwan & Scheinert, EEAAO

Screenplay: Banshees

Documentary: Fire of Love

International Feature: RRR

Animated Film: GDT Pinocchio

Cinematography: Maverick

Score: The Batman

Stunt: Maverick

Breakthrough performer: Austin Butler

First Feature: Aftersun

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Golden Globes are announced in 5 days. Predictions:

 

DRAMA:

Avatar

Elvis

The Fabelmans*

TAR

Women Talking

ALT: Top Gun

 

DRAMA ACTOR:

Austin Butler, Elvis*

Brendan Fraser, The Whale

Hugh Jackman, The Son

Bill Nighy, Living

Will Smith, Emancipation

ALT: Paul Mescal, Aftersun

 

DRAMA ACTRESS:

Naomi Ackie, I Wanna Dance With Somebody

Cate Blanchett, TAR*

Olivia Colman, Empire of Light

Danielle Deadwyler, Till

Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans

ALT: Viola Davis, The Woman King

 

COMEDY/MUSICAL:

Babylon (could be Drama)

The Banshees of Inisherin (could be Drama)

Everything Everywhere All At Once*

Glass Onion

Triangle of Sadness

ALT: Bros

 

COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTOR:

George Clooney, Ticket To Paradise

Daniel Craig, Glass Onion

Adam Driver, White Noise

Colin Farrell, Banshees*

Tom Hanks, A Man Called Otto

ALT: Ralph Fiennes, The Menu

 

COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTRESS:

Sandra Bullock, The Lost City

Margot Robbie, Babylon

Julia Roberts, Ticket To Paradise

Emma Thompson, Good Luck To You, Leo Grande

Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere*

ALT: Anya Taylor-Joy, The Menu

 

SUPPORTING ACTOR:

Paul Dano, The Fabelmans

Brendan Gleeson, Banshees

Brad Pitt, Babylon

Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere*

Ben Whishaw, Women Talking

ALT: Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans

 

SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

Jessie Buckley, Women Talking

Kerry Condon, Banshees

Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere

Claire Foy, Women Talking*

Janelle Monae, Glass Onion

ALT: Hong Chau, The Whale (The Bassett predictions don't make sense to me)

 

DIRECTOR:

James Cameron, Avatar

Damien Chazelle, Babylon

Todd Field, TAR

Sarah Polley, Women Talking

Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans*

ALT: Martin McDonagh, Banshees (I think Daniels will get snubbed)

 

SCREENPLAY:

Banshees

Everything Everywhere

Fabelmans

TAR

Women Talking

ALT: Babylon

Link to comment
Share on other sites



3 hours ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

 

DRAMA:

TAR

 

 

 

 

sure would be nice if the GG recognized Tar was the funniest movie of the year and nominated it in comedy

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Satellite nominations

 

MOTION PICTURE, DRAMA

  • Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount Pictures)
  • Living (Sony Pictures)
  • The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
  • Till (United Artists Releasing)
  • Women Talking (United Artists Releasing)
  • Avatar: The Way of Water (Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures)
  • Tár (Focus Feature)
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures)

 

MOTION PICTURE, COMEDY OR MUSICAL

  • Triangle of Sadness (Neon)
  • Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
  • RRR (Variance Films)
  • Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)
  • The Banshees of Inisherin (Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures)
  • Elvis (Warner Bros.)

 

MOTION PICTURE, INTERNATIONAL

  • Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)
  • Decision to Leave (Korea)
  • Holy Spider (Denmark)
  • Close (Belgium)
  • War Sailor (Norway)
  • Corsage (Austria)
  • Bardo (Mexico)
  • The Quiet Girl (Ireland)

 

MOTION PICTURE, ANIMATED OR MIXED MEDIA

  • Turning Red (Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures)
  • Marcel the Shell With Shoes On (A24)
  • Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (Netflix)
  • Inu-Oh (GKIDS)
  • The Bad Guys (DWA)

 

ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE DRAMA

  • Jessica Chastain - The Good Nurse 
  • Cate Blanchett - Tár 
  • Michelle Williams - The Fabelmans 
  • Danielle Deadwyler - Till 
  • Vicky Krieps - Corsage 
  • Viola Davis - The Woman King 

 

ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE DRAMA

  • Brendan Fraser - The Whale 
  • Tom Cruise - Top Gun: Maverick 
  • Gabriel LaBelle - The Fabelmans 
  • Hugh Jackman - The Son 
  • Bill Nighy - Living 
  • Mark Wahlberg - Father Stu 

 

ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE, COMEDY OR MUSICAL

  • Margot Robbie - Babylon 
  • Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All at Once 
  • Janelle Monáe - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 
  • Emma Thompson - Good Luck to You, Leo Grande 

 

ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE, COMEDY OR MUSICAL

  • Collin Farrell - The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Austin Butler - Elvis 
  • Diego Calva - Babylon
  • Adam Sandler - Hustle 
  • Ralph Fiennes - The Menu
  • Daniel Craig - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

 

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

  • Jean Smart - Babylon
  • Angela Bassett - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • Kerry Condon - The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Dolly de Leon - Triangle of Sadness 
  • Claire Foy - Women Talking 
  • Jamie Lee Curtis - Everything Everywhere All at Once

 

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

  • Eddie Radmayne - The Good Nurse 
  • Ben Whishaw - Women Talking 
  • Paul Dano - The Fabelmans 
  • Brendan Gleeson - The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All at Once 
  • Jeremy Strong - Armageddon Time

 

DIRECTOR

  • Baz Luhrmann - Elvis
  • James Cameron  -Avatar: The Way of Water 
  • Steven Spielberg - The Fabelmans 
  • Joseph Kosinski - Top Gun: Maverick 
  • Martin McDonagh - The Banshees of Inisherin 
  • Sarah Polley - Women Talking 

 

SCREENPLAY, ORIGINAL

  • Daniel Scheinert & Daniel Kwan - Everything Everywhere All at Once
  • Tony Kushner & Steven Spielberg The Fabelmans 
  • Martin McDonagh -The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Ruben Östlund - Triangle of Sadness
  • Todd Field - Tár 
  • Lukas Dhont & Angelo Tijssens - Close

 

SCREENPLAY, ADAPTED

  • Sarah Polley - Women Talking
  • Samuel D. Hunter - The Whale
  • Rian Johnson - Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
  • Peter Craig, Ehren Kruger, Justin Marks, C. McQuarrie & Eric Warren Singer - Top Gun: Maverick
  • Kazuo Ishiguro - Living 
  • Rebecca Lenkiewicz - She Said 

 

ORIGINAL SCORE

  • Harold Faltermeyer, Lady Gaga, Hans Zimmer, Lorne Balfe - Top Gun: Maverick
  • Terence Blanchard - The Woman King
  • Justin Hurwitz - Babylon 
  • John Williams - The Fabelmans 
  • Carter Burwell - The Banshees of Inisherin
  • Hildur Guðnadóttir - Women Talking

 

ORIGINAL SONG       

  • “Hold My Hand” Lady Gaga - Top Gun: Maverick
  • “Lift Me Up” Rihanna - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • “Naatu Naatu” Kala Bhairava, M.M. Keeravani & Rahul Sipligunj - RRR
  • “Vegas” Doja Cat - Elvis 
  • “Carolina” Taylor Swift - Where the Crawdads Sing
  • “Applause” Diane Warren - Tell It Like a Woman

 

CINEMATOGRAPHY

  • Claudio Miranda - Top Gun: Maverick 
  • Linus Sandgren - Babylon
  • Roger Deakins - Empire of Light 
  • Ben Davis - The Banshees of Inisherin 
  • Russell Carpenter - Avatar: The Way of Water 
  • Mandy Walker - Elvis 

 

FILM EDITING

  • Eddie Hamilton - Top Gun: Maverick 
  • Jonathan Redmond, Matt Villa - Elvis
  • Sarah Broshar, Michael Kahn - The Fabelmans
  • Paul Rogers - Everything Everywhere All at Once 
  • Monika Willi - Tár 
  • Terilyn A. Shropshire - The Woman King

 

SOUND ( Editor / Mixer )

  • Top Gun: Maverick
  • Avatar: The Way of Water 
  • Babylon 
  • Elvis    
  • The Woman King
  • RRR 

 

VISUAL EFFECTS

  • Top Gun: Maverick 
  • Avatar: The Way of Water 
  • Babylon   
  • Good Night Oppy
  • The Batman 
  • RRR

 

PRODUCTION DESIGN

  • RRR 
  • Babylon 
  • Elvis 
  • Avatar: The Way of Water 
  • The Fabelmans
  • A Love Song 

 

COSTUME DESIGN 

  • Ruth E. Carter - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • Mary Zophres - Babylon  
  • Cathrine Matrin - Elvis 
  • Gersha Phillips - The Woman King
  • Sandy Powell - Living 
  • Alexandra Byrne - Empire of Light 

 

ENSEMBLE MOTION PICTURE: GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MISTERY

Link to comment
Share on other sites



Thinking about Satellite's nominations, it's a list fullof popular choices.

Avatar confirms it's a contender: 6 nominations

Most nominated films: Maverick (10 noms), Elvis (9 noms), Fabelmans (9 noms) and Banshees (8 noms).

Babylon also has 9 noms but misses Picture/Director/Screenplay categories.

EEAAO scores 6 noms but no Director or Visual Effects

RRR continues to gain heat. Women Talking scores in all the important categories.

Weirdest nominee: Mark Whalberg for Father Stu

Link to comment
Share on other sites



NBR winners:

 

Best Film: Top Gun: Maverick 

Best DirectorSteven Spielberg, The Fabelmans 

Best ActorColin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin

Best ActressMichelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once 

Best Supporting ActorBrendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin

Best Supporting ActressJanelle Monáe, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

Best Original ScreenplayMartin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin

Best Adapted ScreenplayEdward Berger, Lesley Paterson, Ian Stokell, All Quiet on the Western Front

Breakthrough Performance Danielle Deadwyler, Till 

Breakthrough Performance: Gabriel LaBelle, The Fabelmans

Best Directorial Debut: Charlotte Wells, Aftersun

Best Animated Feature:  Marcel the Shell With Shoes On 

Best International FilmClose

Best DocumentarySr. 

Best EnsembleWomen Talking 

Outstanding Achievement in CinematographyClaudio Miranda, Top Gun: Maverick 

NBR Freedom of Expression Awards:

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

Argentina, 1985 

Top Films (in alphabetical order):

Aftersun 

Avatar: The Way of Water 

The Banshees of Inisherin

Everything Everywhere All at Once 

The Fabelmans

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery 

RRR

Till 

The Woman King 

Women Talking 

Top 5 International Films (in alphabetical order):

All Quiet on the Western Front

Argentina, 1985 

Decision to Leave 

EO 

Saint Omer 

Top 5 Documentaries (in alphabetical order):

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

All That Breathes

Descendant 

Turn Every Page – The Adventures of Robert Caro and Robert Gottlieb

Wildcat 

Top 10 Independent Films (in alphabetical order):

Armageddon Time

Emily the Criminal 

The Eternal Daughter 

Funny Pages 

The Inspection 

Living 

A Love Song

Nanny 

The Wonder 

To Leslie 

 

https://variety.com/2022/awards/awards/national-board-of-review-winners-top-gun-maverick-1235454143/

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Maverick and EEAAO is starting to feel like 1917 vs Parasite all over again (with a few major differences, of course). If Maverick wants a hope in hell at winning BP, Cruise is going to need to snag that 5th Best Actor spot, and Kosinski needs that 5th Best Director spot. EEAAO is winning screenplay and supporting actor, which has been the Green Book/CODA path lately. But I feel like director will go to Spielberg. Maverick also has tons of competition in technical categories from Avatar, so if it can't win in many of those, BP is toast, and EEAAO may take it home. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites





51 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Gonna go insane if the Russos become Oscar winners this year, but I feel like that's what's going to happen

 

oscars must be shamed if they allow that to happen (dont think they have PGA credit though)

Link to comment
Share on other sites



I kinda hope Top Gun wins just because it would be cool to have a blockbuster on that scale win for a change and also so that we don't get as many endless diatribes about the Oscars being irrelevant and out-of-touch with the public (especially when half of this year's nominees are looking to be movies no one has seen and or is talking about, and those who are talking about them mostly seem to be discussing how no one has seen or is talking about them) for the first time in a while. Whether the show itself can avoid the "trainwreck" status that has pervaded them in recent years remains to be seen.

Edited by filmlover
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



8 hours ago, DAJK said:

Maverick and EEAAO is starting to feel like 1917 vs Parasite all over again (with a few major differences, of course). If Maverick wants a hope in hell at winning BP, Cruise is going to need to snag that 5th Best Actor spot, and Kosinski needs that 5th Best Director spot. EEAAO is winning screenplay and supporting actor, which has been the Green Book/CODA path lately. But I feel like director will go to Spielberg. Maverick also has tons of competition in technical categories from Avatar, so if it can't win in many of those, BP is toast, and EEAAO may take it home. 

 

It's obviously too early in the race to seriously consider who will win in each category. EEAAO can very well loose Original Screenplay, since the competition there will be fierce (Banshees, Fabelmans...). But let's play. Imagine:

 

Maverick gets Editing+Cinematography+Song

Avatar scores Visual Effects+Production Design+Sound

EEAAO takes Supporting Actor+Original Screenplay

Fabelmans wins Score+Director

Banshees grabs Actor

Women Talking accounts Supporting Actress+Adapted Screenplay

In this case it's really difficult to say which film wins Picture. Avatar for its visual magnificence? Maverick for its beloved blockbuster status? EEAAO for its originality? Fabelmans for its soul? Banshees for its prestigious pedigree? Women Talking for its relevant subject matter?

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites



10 hours ago, filmlover said:

I kinda hope Top Gun wins just because it would be cool to have a blockbuster on that scale win for a change and also so that we don't get as many endless diatribes about the Oscars being irrelevant and out-of-touch with the public (especially when half of this year's nominees are looking to be movies no one has seen and or is talking about, and those who are talking about them mostly seem to be discussing how no one has seen or is talking about them) for the first time in a while. Whether the show itself can avoid the "trainwreck" status that has pervaded them in recent years remains to be seen.

It would fit the recent trend of the Best Picture winner being something no one would have predicted a year in advance. A lot of people on all sides wouldn't know what to do with themselves:

 

  • The "nobody watches Oscar movies" people would have to find a new rant, or else start getting snooty about TGM when they adored it in the summer.

 

  • The MCU stans would be mad because it'd be a clear sign that mega-hits can win Best Picture, just not their faves. 

 

  • The EEAAO stans would surely be as positive and loving as the movie's message... /s  But you would get major complaints about the Tom Cruise action vehicle winning over something more "important" as proof of Hollywood's racism/sexism/etc.

 

  • I guess the angry cartoon avatar YouTuber brigade would claim victory and spin it as Hollywood realizing that no one was watching all the "woke garbage" they were putting out (especially if Blanchett wins, too, because Lydia Tár owned the libs in that one clip they saw).

 

  • The awards obsessives who say the Oscars are for rewarding art, not commerce, would gnash their teeth about TGM in the Best Picture Canon as a betrayal of everything the Academy Awards are supposed to be about and declare it the new worst winner ever! Proving that they have seen no more than 40 percent of Best Picture winners, if that...

 

  • The true Oscar completists will lament how differently Academy/Hollywood history would be if AMPAS had decided to consider Sunrise the first Best Picture winner instead of Wings.

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by BoxOfficeFangrl
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites



AFI:

 

AFI Movies of the Year

  • “Avatar: The Way of Water” (20th Century Studios)
  • “Elvis” (Warner Bros.)
  • “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24)
  • “The Fabelmans” (Universal Pictures)
  • “Nope” (Universal Pictures)
  • “She Said” (Universal Pictures)
  • “Tár” (Focus Features)
  • “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount Pictures)
  • “The Woman King” (Sony Pictures)
  • “Women Talking” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

AFI Special Award

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites





Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.