Best Picture Predictions: 2022

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

2 minutes ago, Joel M said:

A James Gray movie being an early oscar contender once again for some reason.

 

My friend saw it and yeah, I don't buy it based on what she said (aka, a very James Gray film)

[filmlover]

2022 Academy Awards Predictions - Oscars Contenders in All Categories - Variety

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

27 minutes ago, filmlover said:

2022 Academy Awards Predictions - Oscars Contenders in All Categories - Variety

These are horrible, but it’s Clayton Davis. Par for the course

 

She Said only one nomination in BP.

 

Till isn’t even a top tier MGM contender. Thirteen Lives is more prestige and crowdpleasing than that and Women Talking.

 

No Chazelle in Director lol. 
 

Ruffalo doesn’t even have best role in Poor Things.

 

That Original category is way too basic. They snubbed Sorkin for Worst Person last year.

 

Hong in Foreign Film lmao

[filmlover]

34 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

These are horrible, but it’s Clayton Davis. Par for the course

 

She Said only one nomination in BP.

 

Till isn’t even a top tier MGM contender. Thirteen Lives is more prestige and crowdpleasing than that and Women Talking.

 

No Chazelle in Director lol. 
 

Ruffalo doesn’t even have best role in Poor Things.

 

That Original category is way too basic. They snubbed Sorkin for Worst Person last year.

 

Hong in Foreign Film lmao

Also nothing for Canterbury Glass. Must be banking on past controversies resurfacing and sinking it.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

4 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Also nothing for Canterbury Glass. Must be banking on past controversies resurfacing and sinking it.

Also the fact the movie has test screened a few times now and is said to be quite terrible 🤐

[interiorgatordecorator]

3 hours ago, filmlover said:

2022 Academy Awards Predictions - Oscars Contenders in All Categories - Variety

 

What does variety know about the woman king that we dont, its good a fairly unremarkable director and a somewhat mediocre screenwriter?

 

And ive heard rumblings that fablemans isn't top-tier spielberg based on the script, but that probably wont stop it from getting nominated

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

3 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

 

What does variety know about the woman king that we dont, its good a fairly unremarkable director and a somewhat mediocre screenwriter?

 

And ive heard rumblings that fablemans isn't top-tier spielberg based on the script, but that probably wont stop it from getting nominated

Where’d you hear that because I would sincerely doubt a Spielberg/Kushner script leaked so I’m curious. I’d love to read those rumblings 

[interiorgatordecorator]

18 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Where’d you hear that because I would sincerely doubt a Spielberg/Kushner script leaked so I’m curious. I’d love to read those rumblings 

 

"Recent Spielberg always gets in, but rarely performs as expected initially (even West Side slightly underperformed at the Oscar noms).

I've heard mixed reactions to the screenplay of The Fabelmans, so although I'm excited, I don't think it's going to be a West Side Story level success for Spielberg, more of a Bridge of Spies level hit"

 

Not exactly a source but I saw that comment 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

1 minute ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

 

"Recent Spielberg always gets in, but rarely performs as expected initially (even West Side slightly underperformed at the Oscar noms).

I've heard mixed reactions to the screenplay of The Fabelmans, so although I'm excited, I don't think it's going to be a West Side Story level success for Spielberg, more of a Bridge of Spies level hit"

 

Not exactly a source but I saw that comment 

Where was this comment from?
 

I wouldn’t be surprised tbh. I don’t think Kushner is a great writer and Spielberg hasn’t wrote a script since AI, which was based on Kubrick’s works. And yeah, while he can get BP noms, overall his films range from huge contenders (Lincoln) to mid-tier contenders (West Side Story, Bridge of Spies) to weak contenders (War Horse, The Post). 

[interiorgatordecorator]

4 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Where was this comment from?
 

I wouldn’t be surprised tbh. I don’t think Kushner is a great writer and Spielberg hasn’t wrote a script since AI, which was based on Kubrick’s works. And yeah, while he can get BP noms, overall his films range from huge contenders (Lincoln) to mid-tier contenders (West Side Story, Bridge of Spies) to weak contenders (War Horse, The Post). 

 

a regular from the oscarace subreddit 

 

https://www.reddit.com/r/oscarrace/comments/tryphk/comment/i2ohi0m/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Just now, interiorgatordecorator said:

 

a regular from the oscarace subreddit 

 

https://www.reddit.com/r/oscarrace/comments/tryphk/comment/i2ohi0m/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

 

Hmm. Interesting.

 

His predictions are wacky, though, but he's claimed to have read Killer of Flower moon script and mentions other tidbits so worth noting

[Ozymandias]

For your consideration(if its ready).

 

[interiorgatordecorator]

8 minutes ago, Ozymandias said:

For your consideration(if its ready).

 

 

If they rush they might be able to get it ready, but considering how full this year already is, I see no reason for anyone to rush in order to meet the oscars 2023 deadline

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Ridley Scott is Oscar repellent at this point. I’ll never take him seriously unless it’s undeniable. And Joaquin doesn’t campaign either.

[Ozymandias]

1 hour ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Ridley Scott is Oscar repellent at this point. I’ll never take him seriously unless it’s undeniable. And Joaquin doesn’t campaign either.

 

Lol its always a coin flip with him thats for sure.  Scott is probably the most screenplay dependent director in the business, no other director has a filmography as all over the map as he does.  In recent years Martian, Duel, and even All the Money in the World shows he can still deliver if given the right material

 

My man Phoenix though is supposedly really stingy with the stuff he signs on for so I'm hopeful for it.  Hes like one of the top 3 actors going right now imo, the guy elevated the shit out of JOKER which had a mediocre script IMO

Edited April 16, 2022 by Ozymandias

[AniNate]

Loved EEAAO but I doubt it's going to have the staying power to be a factor come year end, especially since A24 has a few other more Oscar-friendly projects on their docket like The Whale, White Noise and Red White and Water 

Edited April 18, 2022 by AniNate

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

8 minutes ago, AniNate said:

Loved EEAAO but I doubt it's going to have the staying power to be a factor come year end, especially since A24 has a few other more Oscar-friendly projects on their docket like The Whale, White Noise and Red White and Water 

White Noise is not A24

[AniNate]

Hmm, IMDB claims it's an A24 production. Whatever, point still stands.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Just now, AniNate said:

Hmm, IMDB claims it's an A24 production. Whatever, point still stands.

It's Netflix. They're wrong.

 

Red, White, Water is not going to be a contender. I'm betting it goes to Showtime. It got reshoots and was filmed over 2 years ago.

 

The Whale will be a contender for Fraser, but it's still a very bleak play about a fat man reconciling with his evil daughter. It'll be closer to Aronofsky's The Wrestler

 

Every Oscar race tends to have an early release sustain momentum all year, and Everything Everywhere fits the bill--strong reviews, rooting factor, diversity, etc

[filmlover]

The Grand Budapest Hotel and Get Out are recent first quarter releases that managed to maintain buzz for the whole year and resulted in becoming major contenders. It doesn't seem outside the realm of possibility that Everything Everywhere might still be in the conversation by the time 2022 closes, especially if an on-paper frontrunner or two ends up stumbling along the way.