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On kinopoisk I wrote 12 mln 2nd weekend as a very conservative projection.  13-13.5 mln is a bit more optimistic but also a very reasonable  projection. 

 

Thor 2 1,850,000 - 14,422,000

Cloudy 2 250,000 - 9,562,000

Free Birds 240,000 - 3,915,000

Stalingrad 185,000 - 49,104,000

The Counselor 157,000 - 3,548,000

Ender's Game 85,000 - 1,785,000

The Escape Plan 11,000 - 6,724,000

Edited by juni78ukr
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With kinometro projections 26mln after this weekend. At least 3.5 mln Monday - Wednesday. 29.5 mln

5-5.5 mln 3rd weekend. 34 mln after third weekend. Around 1.5 mln again Monday -Wednesday. 

35.5 mln before Catching Fire starts. 4-5 mln more till the end of run.

Around 40 mln total. Might be a bit more or less. Very rough calcullations. 

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However big franchises don't decline in Russia,they increase over the previous movies.POTC5 will benefit from 4 years of growth of the market (around 65-70% bigger and much more screens,particularly imax) and the marketing will be huge as well.I see a small increase,5-10% ahead.

You see, i'm not even sure, that the POTC4 result is true-true(^^)...Plus big "IF": http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/678-china-box-office/?p=108878163,6m is a huge result, no movie since POTC did it, even Avatar 2 would be lucky to beat the first one.

 

 

 

Well, CF will have a hard time beating Thor now, so, obviously, with 99% probability, it won't happen, and it's not just because Thor might gross more than 40m, it's also because people would be tired after him, blockbuster after blockbuster - bad idea. Volga better start huge marketing campaign on Monday to take people's minds off Thor.

CF tv spots are pretty average, btw - http://www.youtube.com/user/volgafilm/videos

Edited by Cosmonaut
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With kinometro projections 26mln after this weekend. At least 3.5 mln Monday - Wednesday. 29.5 mln5-5.5 mln 3rd weekend. 34 mln after third weekend. Around 1.5 mln again Monday -Wednesday. 35.5 mln before Catching Fire starts. 4-5 mln more till the end of run.Around 40 mln total. Might be a bit more or less. Very rough calcullations.

I like that,ahead of Despicable Me 2 and FF6.Really,Avengers 2 will destroy everything there,minus Avatar :D
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