May 13-15 Weekend Thread | 67.4% drop for Doctor Strange 2

[filmnerdjamie]

6 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Pessimistically, I guess SAT could be 50%. So like $60-65m.

 

Dear God if this somehow got to sub-$60M.

[filmlover]

17 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Firestarter seems like 1.2M True FRI. So like $3.9-4M weekend.

Looks like this will end up as the lowest-grossing wide release Stephen King adaptation since 1998's Apt Pupil, and might go even below that depending on how quickly it disappears. Pitiful.

Edited May 14, 2022 by filmlover

[Bigscrubnus]

Not looking too good for strange right now

 

remember when this was supposed to be an easy billion? So much for that

[Tokugennumataka]

Think sat goes like +50-55%. It's clear that the family appeal isn't as huge as other MCU flicks. Prolly 62-63M weekend. (-67%). 

[ringedmortality]

insert pretty good for a horror movie joke here

[Ryan Reynolds]

Just now, ringedmortality said:

insert pretty good for a horror movie joke here

do horror movies get a bump on Friday the 13th ?

[John Marston]

Fire starter is a perfect candidate for a remake since the original wasn’t that good, yet they somehow make the new version worse 

[Tokugennumataka]

5 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

insert pretty good for a horror movie joke here

+30% incoming for Sat

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

do horror movies get a bump on Friday the 13th ?

Usually yeah, even though it's more popular to actually open a horror movie on this date for the gimmick of it all. Too bad studios were too scared of Doctor Strange to release something interesting on this weekend cause a movie with a 13% RT score (regardless of day-and-date or not) simply isn't gonna cut it.

[ringedmortality]

So do I believe Charlie or do I believe Empire? Who do I go with here.

[Liiviig 1998]

61-63m second weekend for strange. oof 

[Bigscrubnus]

Trying to discuss this news on the box office subreddit is horrible. You get downvoted to shit for simply saying that a high 60’s drop is pretty bad.

[keysersoze123]

As I posted in weekday thread, strong monday drop(Dr Strange 2 had really strong one) means weaker friday increase. That is just plain math. I remember about 13 years ago people were super excited by Star Trek's 1st few weekdays and were predicting crazy numbers for 2nd weekend. but it had way weaker friday increase than norm. That was due to Monday drop being way better than norm. You cannot have one without another. Joker is another one i can think off. I remember @charlie Jatinder joking about 70m 2nd weekend after Presales looked really promising for 2nd friday. but it had soft friday increase as well. 

 

That said Dr Strange 2 will hit 400m. it will settle down after this weekend. Next weekend is also fairly weak. Plus summer is coming up and so June should help with strong weekdays. I am thinking 410m domestic and low 600's OS for 1B+ WW. Amazing performance for the sequel which to me had deceptive marketing(trailers made it sound like it was strongly tied to NWH). This movie has shown the brand value of MCU and great marketing from Disney to help with uber strong OW everywhere. 

[EmpireCity]

Also, look at it this way.... the feel good Thor: Love and Thunder now will get a nice boost for people looking for something fun as shit and worthy of the summer.  

[Yandereprime101189]

2 hours ago, John2015 said:

"Firestarter" did have some TV spots, but mostly on cable.  Just saw someone posted a TV spot.

 

 

 

Lol, and the TV spots and trailer actually has footage that ain't even in the final product.

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, EmpireCity said:

Also, look at it this way.... the feel good Thor: Love and Thunder now will get a nice boost for people looking for something fun as shit and worthy of the summer.  

So the Dino porn is none of that? /s Cue @Brainbug the Dinosaur

[BruiseCruise]

 

 

 

 

 

The copium is strong in this one

[honeycookiez]

I hope Feige doesn't consider "back to the old formula" after MoM 

[EmpireCity]

Just now, honeycookiez said:

I hope Feige doesn't consider "back to the old formula" after MoM 

 

The general public puts far too much into some of this.  They are going to make right at $1b on a Doctor Strange movie, and that is just from theatrical.  

 

Marvel's next 3-4 movies are nearly in the can.  If Feige does consider "back to the old formula", it would be well over a year from now.  

[Yandereprime101189]

Jurassic and Thor are gonna rule the Summer. Doctor Strange is aleady close to 600 global so even with this drop, it still might hit a gargantuan 800 or 900 million global.

 

Doctor Strange also didn't stray that far from the Marvel formula. They just added jump scares. The only movie that strayed was Eternals and well . . .

 

Top Gun might do well too, even if I'm rooting against it.

Edited May 14, 2022 by Yandereprime101189