filmlover Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 Figured we might as well bring back individual threads for acting contenders. Share your predictions here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 8, 2022 Author Share Posted August 8, 2022 Early predictions that are likely to change: Austin Butler, Elvis Adam Driver, White Noise Brendan Fraser, The Whale Hugh Jackman, The Son Bill Nighy, Living 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 On 8/8/2022 at 3:53 PM, filmlover said: Early predictions that are likely to change: Austin Butler, Elvis Adam Driver, White Noise Brendan Fraser, The Whale Hugh Jackman, The Son Bill Nighy, Living I agree with this list. I think Hugh Jackman is gonna pull an upset and snatch the Oscar out from Brendan. Hugh's performance is said to be amazing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted August 31, 2022 Share Posted August 31, 2022 (edited) I agreed with your list yesterday, but I think i'm gonna take Driver out of this list On 8/8/2022 at 3:53 PM, filmlover said: Early predictions that are likely to change: Austin Butler, Elvis Adam Driver, White Noise Brendan Fraser, The Whale Hugh Jackman, The Son Bill Nighy, Living Edited August 31, 2022 by Maggie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 31, 2022 Author Share Posted August 31, 2022 Yeah, Driver seems to be out now with the White Noise reactions. Curious to see if A24 is able to work any magic with The Inspection which is premiering at TIFF and opening in November. Jeremy Pope is a quickly rising star who has already picked up two Tony nominations for a pair of different plays in his first Broadway season and an Emmy nomination for his major TV project. Given that he's originally from Florida I feel like I have no choice but to stan so go Jeremy go! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted September 1, 2022 Share Posted September 1, 2022 I feel like Austin Butler is going to win in an landslide. The Son trailer isn't impressive. Fraser will have sentiment and narrative but Elvis sorta feels undeniable and voters rarely resist a biographical transformation. Plus, Whale is Aronofsky and is bound to be somewhat divisive. A24 has their hands full with Everything Everywhere and The Whale is curiously lacking Telluride screenings 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted September 1, 2022 Share Posted September 1, 2022 I have Butler winning as well. I think this Best Actor category is the weakest in years and he is the one with the box office and the momentum. Pope, Jackman, and Nighy are all nominees in my predictions but in the heat of Oscar season I just don't see any of their movies being big enough to win the bake off against Butler. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted September 1, 2022 Share Posted September 1, 2022 (edited) I think the battle will be between Jackman and Fraser Edited September 1, 2022 by Maggie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted September 1, 2022 Share Posted September 1, 2022 The Whale will be very divisive for multiple reasons. We'll see with the Son - hopefully it is better than the trailer, and if it is, I do agree that Jackman is probably the main competition. Butler was awesome. They gave it to Rami even though Rami didn't sing at all and acted poorly. Butler sang most of it and was a great actor, so yeah, he deserves it if Rami won, that's for sure! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 1, 2022 Author Share Posted September 1, 2022 (edited) Butler is sensational in Elvis but his winning chances are likely going to depend on how big a contender the movie ends up being and how his competition will turn out. Many will point to Malek's win but keep in mind his narrative was completely different since he was already a really accomplished actor (Emmy winner, multiple Golden Globe and SAG nominations) before making Bohemian Rhapsody, while Butler's filmography before this movie (excluding OUATIH) is largely made up of stuff no childless grown up, let alone Academy member, would dare watch (I completely forgot Aliens in the Attic was something that actually existed lmao). I can see them wanting to hold off on rewarding someone who has yet to fully establish themselves, but with the right narrative, there might be a path to a win. Edited September 1, 2022 by filmlover 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 22, 2022 Author Share Posted September 22, 2022 Official Banshees decisions: Farrell in Lead, Gleeson in Supporting. Colin Farrell, Brendan Gleeson Awards Categories for Banshees of Inisherin – The Hollywood Reporter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted September 23, 2022 Share Posted September 23, 2022 Austin Butler Diego Calva Colin Farrell Brendan Fraser Bill Nighy Butler vs Fraser for the win. I lean Butler. A24's big priority will be Everything Everywhere and Whale will have some divineness. Fraser's narrative can only go so far ala Chadwick Boseman and Mickey Rourke. Elvis made over 150m domestically and biopic performances usually win out. Farrell will be a solid 3rd and do well with critic prizes. BP correlates strongly with this category so I go Diego Calva. He's the true lead of Babylon and it makes sense he'd be voted down the line by the film's huge block of supporters. The last spot is tricky. I can imagine Cruise receiving a SAG nom, although they have snubbed populist films such as The Martian, Logan, and nobody from Black Panther received solo noms. I truly cannot imagine the acting branch of the Academy biting that performance, however. The Son tanked at Venice and TIFF therefore Living will be the big Sony Classic push. Nighy is a veteran who has never been nominated before and the film has had festival presence since Sundance 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 On 9/1/2022 at 5:38 PM, Maggie said: I think the battle will be between Jackman and Fraser Update: it's Fraser vs Butler Fraser Butler Collin Farell Jeremy Pope Bill Nighy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 Driver deserves nominated for White Noise. I believe it's one of his best performances (I rank it above Marriage Story and Black Klansman in terms of his noms). He's physically transformed, his posture hunched and ghoulish, and his comedic timing never sharper. It's a very dense role and he pulls it off with audacity. However, it's unlikely to happen. At least he should get a Globe nomination. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 4, 2022 Author Share Posted October 4, 2022 lol Will Oscar Voters Even Consider Voting for Will Smith for ‘Emancipation’? “We Have to Allow People to Grow,” “No Chance,” “F*** Him” https://t.co/8cbXESNiPp — The Hollywood Reporter (@THR) October 4, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 12, 2022 Author Share Posted October 12, 2022 Then, at the screening of @DarrenAronofsky's 'The Whale', I've never seen a more rapturous reception to an actor at LFF than when Brendan Fraser stepped onstage. This is before they saw the film. Afterwards, he could have crowdsurfed out and be handed the Oscar on the Southbank. — edgarwright (@edgarwright) October 12, 2022 Fulfill the prophecy, Legend Fraser! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 (edited) I think Colin Farrell is taking this. His movie is apparently stellar too, unlike The Whale. My predictions, in order of chances to win Colin Farrell Brendan Fraser Austin Butler Bill Nighy Hugh Jackman/ Jeremy Pope Edited October 25, 2022 by Maggie 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 Brad Pitt is lead, apparently so Colin Farrell Brendan Fraser Austin Butler Bill Nighy Brad Pitt 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 27, 2022 Author Share Posted October 27, 2022 'Tis the season of the pundits getting it wrong. Williams, Mulligan, Pitt. @Maggie's predictions sound about right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, filmlover said: 'Tis the season of the pundits getting it wrong. Williams, Mulligan, Pitt. @Maggie's predictions sound about right now. This is the easiest category to predict. The season started kind of weak, but now these five are pretty strong Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
