BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend

[XXR vs XXR]

4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

4x for germany for a holiday release would be horrendous. Let us see how rest of holidays go before we predict the legs. 

So then what would good legs be? What are the comps? TFA was about 3.5x as I recall?

[Taruseth]

5 hours ago, XXR Tulkun Rider said:

4-5x likely?

 

Depends on what exactly you mean - 5x the 4-day should happen, 5x the 5-day won't be as easy - would be great though - 100m total.

 

4 hours ago, XXR Tulkun Rider said:

So then what would good legs be? What are the comps? TFA was about 3.5x as I recall?

3.78 I think - they were overall kinda underwhelming though and came from a much larger OWend than A2.

[charlie Jatinder]

SUN fine here as well, not much drop. 1.33M 4-days

175
143
262
420
330 

Think 6M+ is safe, probably 6.5-7M target.

[XXR vs XXR]

24 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

SUN fine here as well, not much drop. 1.33M 4-days

175
143
262
420
330 

Think 6M+ is safe, probably 6.5-7M target.

 

ATP 14-15 USD?

[charlie Jatinder]

42 minutes ago, XXR Tulkun Rider said:

 

ATP 14-15 USD?

yeah as of now EUR13.85 ATP, which should remain there. At current ER its $14.9, can go over $15 if ER improves.

[altglascontainer]

On 12/15/2022 at 3:03 PM, LPLC said:

What happened ?

 

Presales took a nosedive from a very good spot and comps gained momentum.

 

Monday-Trend:

Avatar 2 1.332,5T (5Day)

Räuber Hotzenplotz 75T

Black Panther Wakanda Forever 32,5T

Strange World 30T

Einfach mal was Schönes 27,5T

 

On 12/15/2022 at 10:27 AM, Aristis said:

So Avatar 2 had the 2nd best OD of the pandemic. 

 

#1 NTTD 230k

#2 Avatar 2 172k

#3 DS2 161k

#4 T:L&T 153k

#5 TG:M 141k

 

Where do you have the numbers of Thor and TG:M from. I have 110k for Thor and 83k for TG:M from insidekino. These are huge discrepancies. Just asking because of my comps.

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, altglascontainer said:

Where do you have the numbers of Thor and TG:M from. I have 110k for Thor and 83k for TG:M from insidekino. These are huge discrepancies. Just asking because of my comps.

The numbers you have are correct.

 

edit: TGM OD is 141k THU. 83k is WED previews. 153k is nwh @altglascontainer

Edited December 19, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[altglascontainer]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

The numbers you have are correct.

 

edit: TGM OD is 141k THU. 83k is WED previews. 153k is nwh @altglascontainer

 

Oh Ok then i misunderstood. Got it

[Aristis]

1 hour ago, altglascontainer said:

Where do you have the numbers of Thor and TG:M from. I have 110k for Thor and 83k for TG:M from insidekino. These are huge discrepancies. Just asking because of my comps.

Seems like I can't read. It was spider man and not Thor 😶

[Taruseth]

11 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

SUN fine here as well, not much drop. 1.33M 4-days

175
143
262
420
330 

Think 6M+ is safe, probably 6.5-7M target.

Saturday and Sunday give me hope for 25th through 8th January.

I'd agree - with 14 $ per ticket that would be $84M - 7 M would be $98M - and more with higher ATP and / or better ER.

Obviously hoping for $100M (€100M would be even better). Current top 5 in €:

1. Titanic: ~126M

2. Avatar: 119.2M

3. TFA: 102.7M

4. Jungle Book: ~~91.8M

5. LotR 1: 83.1M

Of the 8 movies above 70m three are the LotR movies.

 

[charlie Jatinder]

For a change, Germany is one of the best performing markets for the film. Well done.

[Brainbug]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

For a change, Germany is one of the best performing markets for the film. Well done.

 

Im stunned honestly.

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top14 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Avatar 2	1.157.409	742	1.560	1.331.885	18.293.056	-	1
2	Der Räuber Hotzenplotz	76.120	707	108	220.003	1.620.624	-18	2
3	Black Panther 2	31.859	385	83	1.383.979	15.866.177	-56	6
4	Strange World	30.308	467	65	204.817	1.650.711	-20	4
5	Einfach mal was Schönes	28.342	647	44	510.966	4.749.885	-38	5
6	Teddybjørnens jul	27.385	609	45	161.629	1.146.165	-0	5
7	Violent Night	24.252	421	58	129.644	1.256.703	-35	3
8	Die Schule der magischen Tiere 2	21.349	486	44	2.355.521	17.246.913	-17	12
9	She Said	16.041	257	62	65.380	589.432	-40	2
10	Terrifier 2	15.286	280	55	57.912	614.798	-60	2
11	Hui Buh und das Hexenschloss	14.732	476	31	450.277	3.458.105	-27	7
12	The Menu	14.299	278	51	252.882	2.391.769	-52	5
13	Rheingold	13.053	191	68	943.480	9.481.909	-20	8
14	Triangle of Sadness	8.875	157	57	377.622	3.621.418	-1	10

Finally some good news, very good opening for Avatar 2, but steep drops for all other evening releases (with the exception of arthouse fare). Family releases had ok holds but the level is pretty low, hopefully they can increase a bit over the holidays. Avatar 2 is on a way to well over 6mil total with this kind of opening, but might go a lot higher if WOM is favourable!

Next weekend: Saturday falling on 24th is about the worst possible date for the BO but I have little doubt that Avatar2 will collect those missing shows over the following days. As a big opener, we have the 2nd Puss in Boots movie; those were always pretty popular (a long time ago however) and even with Sat 24th I can see something like a 250k OW or hopefully higher. The problem is that, with Avatar2 also grabbing a lot of afternoon shows, there's a very limited number of screens, let's see how this plays out.

[Issac Newton]

ADDITIONAL WEEKEND FIGURES

 

⚪ Top Gun: Maverick - €4,306 / €37,522,671

⚪ Guglhupfgeschwader- €1,676 / €12,147,164

⚪ Letters to Santa 5 - €443 / €164,646

⚪ One Piece: Film Red - €186 / €4,203,180

[Issac Newton]

Austria Box Office 

 

WEEKEND FIGURES 

 

#1. Avatar: The Way of Water - €1,690,965 / 2,263,591

#2. Der Räuber Hotzenplotz - €78,119 / €267,916

#3. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - €47,197 / €2,328,336

#4. Violent Night - €45,588 / €308,377

#5. Ein Weihnachtsfest für Teddy - €41,971 / €247,985

 

⚪ Strange World - €25,618 / €296,277

[IndustriousAngel]

8 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

Austria Box Office 

 

WEEKEND FIGURES 

 

#1. Avatar: The Way of Water - €1,690,965 / 2,263,591

#2. Der Räuber Hotzenplotz - €78,119 / €267,916

#3. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - €47,197 / €2,328,336

#4. Violent Night - €45,588 / €308,377

#5. Ein Weihnachtsfest für Teddy - €41,971 / €247,985

 

⚪ Strange World - €25,618 / €296,277

once more Austria distancing Germany

[Sophia Jane]

Avatar 2 Germany :1.63m admits First week

300k weekdays

Edited December 22, 2022 by Bruce

[Aristis]

2 hours ago, Bruce said:

Avatar 2 Germany :1.63m admits First week

300k weekdays

The 1,63M is the first 7 days though (Wed to Tue). Wed increased compared to OD (so 1,8M+ as of yesterday). Today it should pass 2M.

[Aristis]

On 12/16/2022 at 9:43 AM, Aristis said:

Thursday

 

#1 Avatar 2 150k [€2,0M]

#2 Hotzenplotz 6,5k (-13%) [€45k]

#3 ...was Schönes 4,2k (-47%) [€40k]

#4 BP2 3,7k (-49%) [€35k]

#5 She said 2,7k (-40%) [€25k]

Thursday

 

#1 Avatar 2 200k (+33%) [€2,7M]

~2,2M admissions as of yesterday

 

#2 Puss in Boots 2 35k [€285k]

#3 Oscars Kleid 13,5k [€120k]

#4 Hotzenplotz 13k (+100%) [€100k]

#5 ...dance with somebody 7k [€70k]

[Issac Newton]

EDITED 

Edited December 23, 2022 by Issac Newton