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IndustriousAngel

BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend

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Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

Pokémon Detectice Pikachu

254.743

625

408

784.166

6.935.762

-37

2

2

Avengers - Endgame

213.638

678

315

4.601.188

52.043.590

-49

4

3

The Hustle

115.402

481

240

356.296

2.963.663

-27

2

4

Miraculous

98.436

289

341

98.436

501.648

-

1

5

Der Fall Collini

45.695

622

73

601.862

5.277.008

-39

5

6

Qu'est-ce qu'on a encore fait au Bon Dieu ?

33.620

555

61

1.153.114

9.447.974

-49

7

7

The Queen's Corgi

23.383

508

46

160.497

1.096.047

-45

3

8

The Silence

19.699

285

69

19.699

170.747

-

1

9

After

18.234

407

45

981.349

8.008.505

-45

6

10

Greta

16.153

175

92

33.152

231.436

-

1

11

Wonder Park

15.887

536

30

454.611

3.190.116

-48

6

12

At Eternity's Gate

13.659

261

52

185.334

1.505.229

-38

5

13

Dumbo

9.768

410

24

688.663

5.274.813

-50

8

14

Pet Sematary

8.746

269

33

510.902

4.422.421

-42

7

15

Stan & Ollie

8.519

141

60

37.677

4.422.421

-40

2

16

Photo de Famille

8.461

91

93

13.623

99.722

-

1

17

Nur eine Frau

8.373

92

91

27.970

231.988

-31

2

-

Bolshoi: Carmen Suite/Petrushka

6.436

135

48

6.436

145.108

-

1

18

Sayonara no asa ni yakusoku no hana o kazarô

4.973

128

39

4.973

59.777

-

 

19

The Curso of La Llorona

4.146

180

23

117.787

1.026.164

-48

5

20

La Dernière Folie de Claire Darling

4.126

129

32

49.227

385.599

-62

3

Among hard drops for most releases, those for Der Fall Collini and especially The Hustle look pretty impressive (in Austria, Hustle even was in front of the Avengers this weekend). Among openers, Miraculous surprised me with a fine PTA, should expand somewhat next weekend.

Next weekend: Expext a good start for the 3rd John Wick film - the first parts are well remembered, it should take the #1 with ease, something like 300k for the weekend. Also opening: Aladdin, probably another so-so Disney result like Dumbo (or even worse) but should top 100k for the weekend.

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On 5/20/2019 at 12:23 AM, Taruseth said:

So tomorrow the shows for the first week for Aladdin and John Wick will be up, that means you get a preview update tonight, I am just posting the whole thing.

  Reveal hidden contents
 

 

What I am getting from this:

Aladdin performs really bad, John Wick does good.

Godzilla does weirdly got at my local cinema.

Rocketman most likely won't get close to BR.

Dark Phoenix will crash epically.

And they start presales 5 weeks ahead, that's so early. And selling for the shows of the first week starts the monday before, so basically three days before OD.

Sorry for not posting yesterday evening but apparently Cinestar didn't put the shows on sale for this weekend - WTF, wasn't DP on sale on Monday before release.

 

3 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Among hard drops for most releases, those for Der Fall Collini and especially The Hustle look pretty impressive (in Austria, Hustle even was in front of the Avengers this weekend). Among openers, Miraculous surprised me with a fine PTA, should expand somewhat next weekend.

Next weekend: Expext a good start for the 3rd John Wick film - the first parts are well remembered, it should take the #1 with ease, something like 300k for the weekend. Also opening: Aladdin, probably another so-so Disney result like Dumbo (or even worse) but should top 100k for the weekend.

1

I don't think Aladdin will perform below Dumbo and even that movie opened with 150k, so I expect Aladdin to probably open with a little more.

 

But this worries me so much for TLK if all these fail so much, will TLK open to any significant number? I had hopes for this being the seonc movie to open to 1m adm this year and ROTS then being the third, but now...

 

Looks like Endgame has a shot at 2nd place and if ROTS performs worse than TLJ, Frozen 2 doesn't increase it would be number 1.

Edited by Taruseth
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12 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Among openers, Miraculous surprised me with a fine PTA, should expand somewhat next weekend.

I think it was a Sunday event (which would make the PTA even crazier). I'm not totally sure though...

9 hours ago, Taruseth said:

But this worries me so much for TLK if all these fail so much, will TLK open to any significant number? I had hopes for this being the seonc movie to open to 1m adm this year and ROTS then being the third, but now...

 

Looks like Endgame has a shot at 2nd place and if ROTS performs worse than TLJ, Frozen 2 doesn't increase it would be number 1.

I never really thought TLK would be huge here, though I'd love to be surprised like AEG did.

But you really think AEG could be bigger than SW9? (I don't really like the acronym ROTS, to me that's SW3) AEG is on course for around 5M, SW8 had 5,9M so the 9th had to decrease another 15%! That seems highly unlikely to me...

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37 minutes ago, Aristis said:

I think it was a Sunday event (which would make the PTA even crazier). I'm not totally sure though...

I never really thought TLK would be huge here, though I'd love to be surprised like AEG did.

But you really think AEG could be bigger than SW9? (I don't really like the acronym ROTS, to me that's SW3) AEG is on course for around 5M, SW8 had 5,9M so the 9th had to decrease another 15%! That seems highly unlikely to me...

1

Yeah, it was a Sunday event.

 

Sorry, the acronym is actually TROS for IX, cause the title is The Rise of Skywalker.

 

I really hope TROS is able to get back over the 6m.

 

 

 

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Cinestar chain finally started presales too:

Aladdin:

Spoiler

Tuesday 21thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Cinestar Bremen

21thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-1)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 20:00: 76 / 572 -> 13.7 % 

 

It started presales today and it’s getting six! Showings, damn…

 

Thursday:

3D 14:30: 0 / 425

3D 17:30: 2 / 425

3D 19:15: 16 / 572

3D 22:10: 0 / 280

 

2D 14:00: 0 / 425

2D 16:50: 6 / 572

 

Total: 24 / 2699 -> 0.9%

 

Friday:

3D 14:30: 2 / 425

3D 17:30: 0 / 425

3D 19:15: 17 / 572

3D 22:10: 2 / 280

 

2D 14:00: 0 / 425

2D 16:50: 14 / 572

 

Total: 35 / 2699 -> 1.3%

 

Saturday:

3D 14:30: 4 / 425

3D 17:30: 3 / 425

3D 19:15: 5 / 572

3D 22:10: 2 / 280

 

2D 14:00: 0 / 425

2D 16:50: 0 / 572

 

Total: 14 / 2699 -> 0.5% (Ouch)

 

Sunday:

3D 11:30: 0 / 425

3D 14:30: 11 / 425

3D 17:30: 0 / 425

3D 19:50: 0 / 572

 

2D 11:10: 4 / 322

2D 13:50: 0 / 425

2D 16:50: 0 / 572

 

Total: 15 / 3166 -> 0.5% (The capacity is just 18 seats less than for Endgame’s first Sunday!)

 

Overall without previews: 88 / 11263 -> 0.8%

Overall with Previews: 164 / 11835 -> 1.4%

 

Detective Pika: 157 woP and 332 wP

So it’s at 55.9% of Pika’s Weekend without Previews (Pika’s was on sale for two days, Aladdin only started today) and at 49.4% with Previews. Based on this Comp it would be:

225k (+17.5k Previews) for 242.5k – barely ahead of Alita and behind After Passion (by quite a bit)

Endgame: Previews: 565 (Previews) and 1848 (4-day)

So it’s at 4.8% of the Weekend and at 13.5% of the Previews.

That would be a 80k OWend or a 225k if we use just the Previews an estimate the whole weekend by that percentage.

This leads me to think that it might have a shot at 200k, so I wouldn’t bet on it. Tue to the late start it could go up tomorrow compared to the others and end higher but based on the lacklustre preview increases I wouldn’t bet on it. It also could go down.

 

Tuesday 21thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) CinemaxX Bremen

 

Wednesday – Previews

2D 20:20: 70 /  454 -> 15.4% (+11)

 

Thursday:

OV 2D 19:00: 25 / 288

 

3D 14:40: 0 / 260

3D 16:30: 0 / 454

3D 19:40: 6 /454

3D 22:45: 0 /228

 

2D 14:10: 0 / 505

2D 16:45: 10 / 280

 

Total: 41 / 2469 -> 1.7% (+34)

 

Friday:

OV 2D 19:15: 2 / 280

 

3D 14:40: 0 / 260

3D 16:30: 2 / 454

3D 19:40: 6 /454

3D 22:45: 0 /228

 

2D 14:10: 0 / 505

2D 17:00: 0 / 228

 

Total: 10 / 2409 -> 0.4% (+10)

 

Saturday:

OV 2D 20:00: 2 / 280

 

3D 14:30: 0 / 260

3D 16:30: 0 / 454

3D 19:40: 4 /454

3D 22:20: 0 /228

 

2D 11:50: 0 / 288

2D 14:00: 0 / 505

2D 16:50: 0 / 228

 

Total: 6 / 2637 -> 0.2% (+6)

 

Sunday:

OV 2D 19:00: 2 / 288

 

3D 14:30: 0 / 260

3D 16:10: 0 / 454

3D 19:30: 0 /454

3D 22:20: 0 /228

 

2D 11:50: 0 / 288

2D 14:00: 3 / 505

2D 17:20: 0 / 228

 

Total: 5 / 2637 -> 0.2% (+5)

 

Total without Previews: 62 / 10152 -> 0.6%(+55)

Total with Previews: 132 / 10606 -> 1.2% (+66)

 

Tuesday 21thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt

21thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-1)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 19:45: 130 / 624 -> 20.8 % 

 

It started presales today and it’s getting NINE! Showings, damn… three times the number compared to John Wick

 

Thursday:

OV 3D 17:20: 4 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 9 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 0 / 351

3D 17:35: 0 / 351

3D 20:10: 6 / 642

3D 23:15: 0 / 642

 

2D 14:00: 2 / 642

2D 17:05: 3 / 642

 

OV 2D 14:15: 0 / 344

 

Total: 24 / 4302 -> 0.56%

 

Friday:

OV 3D 17:20: 0 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 7 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 0 / 351

3D 17:35: 0 / 351

3D 20:10: 24 / 642

3D 23:15: 0 / 642

 

2D 14:00: 0 / 642

2D 17:05: 0 / 642

 

OV 2D 14:15: 0 / 344

 

Total: 31 / 4302 -> 0.72%

 

Saturday:

OV 3D 17:20: 0 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 2 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 0 / 351

3D 17:35: 0 / 351

3D 20:10: 0 / 642

3D 23:15: 0 / 642

 

2D 11:00: 0 / 642

2D 14:00: 4 / 642

2D 17:05: 2 / 642

 

OV 2D 11:10: 0 / 624

OV 2D 14:15: 5 / 344

 

Total: 11 / 5568 -> 0.20% (this is ridiculous!)

 

Sunday:

OV 3D 17:20: 0 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 2 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 3 / 351

3D 17:35: 3 / 351

3D 20:10: 0 / 642

3D 23:15: 0 / 642

 

2D 11:00: 5 / 642

2D 14:00: 4 / 642

2D 17:05: 0 / 642

 

OV 2D 11:10: 0 / 624

OV 2D 14:15: 2 / 344

 

Total: 19 / 5568 -> 0.34%

 

Overall without previews: 85 / 19740 -> 0.43%

Overall with Previews: 215 / 20364 -> 1.06%

 

This is at 70.8% of John Wick for the Weekend, which is way better than in Bremen, where it’s at 50%.

 

Total:

1 day out:

Previews: 276 / 1650 -> 16.7%

Wend: 235 / 41155 -> 0.6%

 

 

 

John Wick 3:

Spoiler

Tuesday 21thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Cinestar Bremen

21thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-1)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 20:15: 111 / 425 -> 13.7 % 

 

It started presales today and it’s only getting three! Showings, WTF, Aladdin gets 6, what’s wrong with them? And just a third of the available seats!

 

Thursday:

2D 16:30: 7 / 296

2D 20:10: 33 / 425

2D 22:40: 4 / 175

 

Total: 44 / 896 -> 4.9%

 

Friday:

2D 16:30: 2 / 296

2D 20:10: 48 / 425

2D 22:40: 14 / 175

 

Total: 64 / 896 -> 7.1%

 

Saturday:

2D 16:30: 6 / 296

2D 20:10: 48 / 425

2D 22:40: 0 / 175

 

Total: 54 / 896 -> 6%

 

Sunday:

OV 2D 20:10: 2 / 170

2D 16:30: 2 / 296

2D 20:10: 9 / 425

 

Total: 13 / 891 -> 6%

 

Overall without previews: 175 / 3579 -> 4.9%

Overall with Previews: 286 / 4004 -> 7.1%

 

Aladin: 88 woP and 164 wP

So 198.8 without Previews of Aladin and 174.4% with Previews.

Detective Pika: 157 woP and 332 wP

So it’s at 111.5% of Pika’s Weekend without Previews (Pika’s was on sale for two days, Aladdin only started today) and at 86.1% with Previews. Based on this Comp it would be:

450k (+27.5k Previews) for 477.5k – 4thbiggest OWend of the year or if using the Preview number it would be at 385k with Previews and probably around 355k without the Previews.

Endgame: Previews: 565 (Previews) and 1848 (4-day) (These are calculated slightly different due to Endgame opening one day earlier)

So it’s at 4.8% of the Weekend and at 19.6% of the Previews.

That would be a 160k OWend or a 330k if we use just the Previews an estimate the whole weekend by that percentage.

So overall I think this might be able to get to an OWend of around 350k + 25k or so in Previews.

 

Tuesday 21thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) CinemaxX Bremen

Wednesday – Previews

2D 20:00: 125 / 505 -> 24.8% (+13)

2D 20:20: 32 / 505 -> 6.3% (+10)

Total: 157 / 1010 -> 15.5% (+23)

 

Thursday:

OV 2D 19:30: 27 / 228

 

2D 14:10: 5 / 135

2D 17:15: 0 / 505

2D 20:30: 32 / 505

2D 23:00: 2 / 454

 

Total: 66 / 1827 -> 0.7%

 

Friday:

2D 14:10: 2 / 135

2D 17:15: 4 / 505

2D 20:30: 21 / 505

2D 23:00: 14 / 454

 

Total: 41 / 1599 -> 0.6%

 

Saturday:

OV 2D 22:45: 2 / 92

 

2D 14:10: 0 / 135

2D 17:15: 2 / 505

2D 19:00: 2 / 288

2D 20:30: 6 / 505

2D 23:00: 0 / 454

 

Total: 12 / 1982 -> 0.0%

 

Sunday: 276 / 

 

2D 17:15: 0 / 505

2D 20:30: 0 / 505

2D 23:00: 0 / 454

Total: 0 / 1464 -> 0.0%

 

Total without Previews: 119 / 6872 -> 1.7% 

Total with Previews: 276 / 7882 -> 3.5%

 

Tuesday 21thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt

21thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-1)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 20:15: 242 / 642 -> 37.7 % 

 

Thursday:

2D 16:50: 16 / 624

2D 20:00: 31 / 624

2D 23:10: 8 / 624

 

Total: 55 / 1872 -> 2.9%

 

Friday:

2D 16:50: 6 / 624

2D 20:00: 20 / 624

2D 23:10: 6 / 624

 

Total: 32 / 1872 -> 1.7%

 

Saturday:

2D 16:50: 5 / 624

2D 20:00: 21 / 624

2D 23:10: 6 / 624

 

Total: 32 / 1872 -> 1.7%

 

Sunday:

2D 16:50: 1 / 624

2D 20:00: 0 / 624

2D 23:10: 0 / 624

 

Total: 1 / 1872 -> 0.05%

 

Overall without previews: 120 / 7488 -> 1.6%

Overall with Previews: 362 / 8130 -> 7.1%

 

Really interesting that Previews are more than double the one in Bremen, but all the days apart from Thursday are smaller with Sunday basically non-existent.

 

Total:

1 day out:

Previews: 510 / 2077 (about 20% from Cinestar Bremen)

Wend: 414 / 17939 (interestingly 40% from Cinestar Bremen)

 

 

Predictions based on Cinestar Bremen

Aladdin: 225k OWend

John Wick: 350k OWend

 

Also Cinemaxx started their presales for Spider-Man, it got 4! Preview shows in Bremen. 

Edited by Taruseth
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8 hours ago, Aristis said:

I think it was a Sunday event (which would make the PTA even crazier). I'm not totally sure though...

 

Yeah I saw that later, was only a Sunday event - obviously near sellout everywhere. These events are a real treat for theaters, might see a lot more of them in the future (I made a thread here a few years ago about the MET live program - always a sellout, and mostly spenders too; there's extra catering plus the standard concession). I myself attended a worldcup game in 3D once (Germany-Argentina), that was not a complete sellout but very well attended. In a time when classic movie-going is obviously on the decline, such events may well prove the straw to help cinemas survive.

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Update:

Aladdin:

Spoiler

Wednesday 22thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-0) Cinestar Bremen

21thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-1)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 20:00: 76 / 572 -> 13.7 % 

 

Thursday:

3D 14:30: 0 / 425

3D 17:30: 4 / 425

3D 19: 50: 29 / 572

3D 22:10: 0 / 280

 

2D 14:00: 0 / 425

2D 16:50: 6 / 572

 

Total: 39 / 2699 -> 1.4% (+15)

 

Friday:

3D 14:30: 2 / 425

3D 17:30: 0 / 425

3D 19:50: 27 / 572

3D 22:10: 2 / 280

 

2D 14:00: 0 / 425

2D 16:50: 18 / 572

 

Total: 49 / 2699 -> 1.8% (+14)

 

Saturday:

3D 14:30: 4 / 425

3D 17:30: 3 / 425

3D 19:50: 17 / 572

3D 22:10: 8 / 280

 

2D 14:00: 0 / 425

2D 16:50: 4 / 572

 

Total: 36 / 2699 -> 1.3% (+22)

 

Sunday:

3D 11:30: 0 / 425

3D 14:30: 13 / 425

3D 17:30: 0 / 425

3D 19:50: 2 / 572

 

2D 11:10: 12 / 322

2D 13:50: 0 / 425

2D 16:50: 3 / 572

 

Total: 30 / 3166 -> 0.9% (+15)

 

Overall without previews: 154 / 11263 -> 1.4% (+66)

Overall with Previews: 230+ / 11835 -> 1.9%

 

Detective Pika: 322 woP and 497+ wP

So it’s at 47.8% of Pika’s Weekend without Previews. Based on this Comp it would be:

195k (+15k Previews) for 210k, basically the OWend of MPR. Sorry, but this is a trainwreck.

Endgame: Previews: 1848 (4-day) (one more day out, estimates for same time 2500)

So it’s at 6.2% of the Weekend.

That would be a 110k OWend.

This leads me to think that it might have a shot at 200k, so I wouldn’t bet on it.

It really increased less than Pika today, this is going to fail epically.

 

Wednesday 22ndMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-0) CinemaxX Bremen

 

Wednesday – Previews

2D 20:20: 70 /  454 -> 15.4% (+11)

 

Thursday:

OV 2D 19:00: 38 / 288

 

3D 14:40: 1 / 260

3D 16:30: 0 / 454

3D 19:40: 19 /454

3D 22:45: 2 /228

 

2D 14:10: 0 / 505

2D 16:45: 13 / 280

 

Total: 73 / 2469 -> 3% (+32)

 

Friday:

OV 2D 19:15: 10 / 280

 

3D 14:40: 0 / 260

3D 16:30: 0 / 454

3D 19:40: 14 /454

3D 22:45: 0 /228

 

2D 14:10: 0 / 505

2D 17:00: 0 / 228

 

Total: 24 / 2409 -> 1% (+14)

 

Saturday:

OV 2D 20:00: 6 / 280

 

3D 14:30: 2 / 260

3D 16:30: 0 / 454

3D 19:40: 7 /454

3D 22:20: 5 /228

 

2D 11:50: 0 / 288

2D 14:00: 0 / 505

2D 16:50: 6 / 228

 

Total: 26 / 2637 -> 1% (+20)

 

Sunday:

OV 2D 19:00: 2 / 288

 

3D 14:30: 0 / 260

3D 16:10: 0 / 454

3D 19:30: 0 /454

3D 22:20: 0 /228

 

2D 11:50: 0 / 288

2D 14:00: 9 / 505

2D 17:20: 0 / 228

 

Total: 11 / 2637 -> 0.4% (+6)

 

Total without Previews: 134 / 10152 -> 1.3%(+72)

Total with Previews: 204 / 10606 -> 1.9% (+72)

 

Wednesday 22ndMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-0) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt

22ndMay 23:59 MESZ (T-0)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 19:45: 130 / 624 -> 20.8 % 

 

Thursday:

OV 3D 17:20: 13 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 22 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 0 / 351

3D 17:35: 2 / 351

3D 20:10: 11 / 642

3D 23:15: 0 / 642

 

2D 14:00: 7 / 642

2D 17:05: 14 / 642

 

OV 2D 14:15: 1 / 344

 

Total: 70 / 4302 -> 1.6% (+46)

 

Friday:

OV 3D 17:20: 4 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 19 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 0 / 351

3D 17:35: 0 / 351

3D 20:10: 41 / 642

3D 23:15: 0 / 642

 

2D 14:00: 0 / 642

2D 17:05: 3 / 642

 

OV 2D 14:15: 2 / 344

 

Total: 69 / 4302 -> 1.6% (+38)

 

Saturday:

OV 3D 17:20: 2 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 10 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 0 / 351

3D 17:35: 2 / 351

3D 20:10: 7 / 642

3D 23:15: 0 / 642

 

2D 11:00: 2 / 642

2D 14:00: 8 / 642

2D 17:05: 4 / 642

 

OV 2D 11:10: 0 / 624

OV 2D 14:15: 9 / 344

 

Total: 32 / 5568 -> 0.6% (+21)

 

Sunday:

OV 3D 17:20: 6 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 2 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 3 / 351

3D 17:35: 9 / 351

3D 20:10: 0 / 642

3D 23:15: 0 / 642

 

2D 11:00: 5 / 642

2D 14:00: 4 / 642

2D 17:05: 0 / 642

 

OV 2D 11:10: 0 / 624

OV 2D 14:15: 5 / 344

 

Total: 34 / 5568 -> 0.6% (+15)

 

Overall without previews: 205 / 19740 -> 1% (+120)

Overall with Previews: 355+ / 20364 -> 1.76%

 

This is at 70.7% of John Wick for the Weekend (compared to 70.8% yesterday), so in total contrast to Bremen were Aladdin totally lost every drive compared to John Wick here both increase pretty similar.

 

days out:

Wend: 493 / 41155 -> 1.2% (+258) 

 

 

John Wick 3

Spoiler

Wednesday 22ndMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-0) Cinestar Bremen

22ndMay 23:59 MESZ (T-0)

Previews: Wednesday (counted at 20:15) – no comparison as I forgot Aladdin and DP

3D 20:15: 175 / 425 -> 41.2 % (+64)

 

 

Thursday:

2D 16:30: 19 / 296

2D 20:10: 97 / 425

2D 22:40: 6 / 175

 

Total: 122 / 896 -> 13.6% (+78)

 

Friday:

2D 16:30: 4 / 296

2D 20:10: 129 / 425

2D 22:40: 14 / 175

 

Total: 147 / 896 -> 16.4% (+83)

 

Saturday:

2D 16:30: 32 / 296

2D 20:10: 103 / 425

2D 22:40: 6 / 175

 

Total: 141 / 896 -> 15.7% (+87)

 

Sunday:

OV 2D 20:10: 4 / 170

2D 16:30: 15 / 296

2D 20:10: 16 / 425

 

Total: 35 / 891 -> 3.9% (+22)

 

Overall without previews: 445 / 3579 -> 12.4% (+270)

Overall with Previews: 620 / 4004 -> 15.5% (+334)

 

Aladin: 154 woP and 164 wP

So 289% without Previews of Aladin (compared to 198% yesterday!!!!!!!!!)

Detective Pika: 322 woP and 497+ wP

So it’s at 138% of Pika’s Weekend without Previews and at <124% with Previews (forgot to count the final previews for Pika, so won’t use this). Based on this Comp it would be:

560k (+40k Previews) for 600k – 4thbiggest OWend of the year or if using the Preview number it would be at <550k with Previews and probably around <510k without the Previews.

Endgame: Previews: 565 (Previews – final numbers) and 1848 (4-day) (one more day out, so maybe around 2500 or so at the same time)

So it’s at 18% of the Weekend and at 31% of the Previews. That would translate to a 300k OWend or a 545k OWend.

Damn, this looks really impressive.

 

Wednesday 22ndMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-0) CinemaxX Bremen

Wednesday – Previews

2D 20:00: 125 / 505 -> 24.8% (+13)

2D 20:20: 32 / 505 -> 6.3% (+10)

Total: 157 / 1010 -> 15.5% (+23)

 

Thursday:

OV 2D 19:30: 54 / 228

 

2D 14:10: 5 / 135

2D 17:15: 6 / 505

2D 20:30: 56 / 505

2D 23:00: 8 / 454

 

Total: 129 / 1827 -> 7.1% (+63)

 

Friday:

2D 14:10: 2 / 135

2D 17:15: 4 / 505

2D 20:30: 45 / 505

2D 23:00: 17 / 454

 

Total: 68 / 1599 -> 4.3% (+27)

 

Saturday:

OV 2D 22:45: 5 / 92

 

2D 14:10: 3 / 135

2D 17:15: 4 / 505

2D 19:00: 2 / 288

2D 20:30: 9 / 505

2D 23:00: 2 / 454

 

Total: 25 / 1982 -> 1.3% (+13)

 

Sunday:  

 

2D 17:15: 0 / 505

2D 20:30: 5 / 505

2D 23:00: 5 / 454

Total: 10 / 1464 -> 0.7% (+10)

 

Total without Previews: 232 / 6872 -> 1.7% (+113)

 

Wednesday 22thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-0) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt

22thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-0)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 20:15: 365 / 642 -> 56.9 % (+123)

 

Thursday:

2D 16:50: 21 / 624

2D 20:00: 55 / 624

2D 23:10: 12 / 624

 

OV 2D 20:15: 11 / 283 (NEW)

OV 2D 23:25: 2 / 283 (NEW)

 

Total: 101 / 2438 -> 4.1% (+ 46 / 566)

 

Friday:

2D 16:50: 16 / 624

2D 20:00: 64 / 624

2D 23:10: 12 / 624

 

OV 2D 20:15: 20 / 283 (NEW)

OV 2D 23:25: 0 / 283 (NEW)

 

Total: 112 / 2438 -> 4.6% (+ 80 / 566)

 

Saturday:

2D 16:50: 12 / 624

2D 20:00: 47 / 624

2D 23:10: 8 / 624

 

OV 2D 20:15: 6 / 283 (NEW)

OV 2D 23:25: 0 / 283 (NEW)

 

Total: 73 / 2438 -> 3% (+ 41 / 566)

 

Sunday:

2D 16:50: 1 / 624

2D 20:00: 0 / 624

2D 23:10: 1 / 624

 

OV 2D 20:15: 2 / 283 (NEW)

OV 2D 23:25: 0 / 283 (NEW)

 

Total: 4 / 2438 -> 0.2% (+3 / 566)

 

Overall without previews: 290 / 7488 -> 1.6% (+170)

Overall with Previews: 655 / 8130 -> 8.1% (+293)

 

Really interesting that Previews are more than double the one in Bremen, but all the days apart from Thursday are smaller with Sunday basically non-existent.

 

 

 

days out:

Wend: 967 / 20203 (+553 / 2264)) (interestingly 46% from Cinestar Bremen) should be around 1/3 each, maybe Metropolis a little higher.

 

 

Initially I had planned to add more cinemas (maybe some of the other big ones for CinemaxX and Cinestar) but this takes quite some time, so I won't, some movies also might only get the Cinestar Bremen.

 

Updated predictions:

Aladdin: 200k (insidekino says 425k)

John Wick: 400k (insidekino says 375k)

 

 

Will upadte Previews for the others probably Sunday (for all including Spider-Man and Pets 2 in CinemaxX Bremen)

Edited by Taruseth
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5 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

I hope my theater isnt an indication of how well Aladdin will be doing. Sales are diabolical.

I am wondering what you mean with that...

 

Could it could mean hasn't sold a single ticket or it could mean that it is basically selling out every show...

 

 

I kinda think it's not the later...

 

 

Today I counted the numbers at all three theaters for all showings around the time they started and will do so for the 3 shows for Aladdin after 22pm and for the 4 shows for John Wick 3.

I haven't added up any numbers till now, so I don't really have an idea where they are heading but I'd say that John wick looks pretty good and Aladdin is somewhat in line with what I thought.

 

 

I am really intersted if insidekino in the end will be correct, he is way better at this than I am and probably has way more info than I do. And his predictions is so different from mine.

 

 

 

 

honestly hops his turns out true and not mine, would give me some hope for TLK, cause if you would have asked me two years ago, I would have asked TLK's number will probably will be around double of Aladdin...

 

If Aladdin really opens with 200k, that would mean 400k for TLK, so a little less than half of B&tB.

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9 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

I am wondering what you mean with that...

 

I have a friend who works at the theater and he told me that the sales are very comparable ...

 

... to Pet Sematary.

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At my theaters (mathäser, Cinemaxx), Aladdin is doing ok but also not overwhelming. The biggest problem for the film is probably the predicted mixed to sunny weather for the weekend after a - at least where I live - so far miserable cold and grey May.

According to the Thursday estimates John Wick 3 had a fine day with ca. 73k admissions, Aladdin had 35k (but evening only). In the South-West-report it looks pretty similar: John Wick 3 had ca. twice as many admissions as Aladdin.

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So I apparently had too much time today so I counted all but one show around the time they started ±15 minutes.

Aladdin:

Spoiler

Thursday 23rdMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-1)) Cinestar Bremen[SK1] 

21thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-1)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 20:00: 76 / 572 -> 13.7 % 

 

Thursday:

3D 14:30: 5 / 425

3D 17:30: 37 / 425

3D 19:50: 75 / 572

3D 22:10: 22 / 280

 

2D 14:00: 3 / 425

2D 16:50: 30 / 572

 

Total: 172 / 2699 -> 6.4% (+133 / +341%)

 

Friday:

3D 14:30: 2 / 425

3D 17:30: 2 / 425

3D 19:50: 59 / 572

3D 22:10: 6 / 280

 

2D 14:00: 2 / 425

2D 16:50: 27 / 572

 

Total: 98 / 2699 -> 3.6% (+49)

 

Saturday:

3D 14:30: 4 / 425

3D 17:30: 3 / 425

3D 19:50: 28 / 572

3D 22:10: 11 / 280

 

2D 14:00: 2 / 425

2D 16:50: 12 / 572

 

Total: 60 / 2699 -> 2.2% (+24)

 

Sunday:

3D 11:30: 2 / 425

3D 14:30: 17 / 425

3D 17:30: 2 / 425

3D 19:50: 7 / 572

 

2D 11:10: 12 / 322

2D 13:50: 7 / 425

2D 16:50: 3 / 572

 

Total: 50 / 3166 -> 1.6% (+20)

 

Overall without previews: 380 / 11263 -> 3.4% (+226)

 

So Friday is 151% above the points Thursday was at the same time before (so midnight / 24 h ago). Saturday is 22% above Friday and Sunday is 39% above Saturday.

With a 40k Friday this would mean:

40k

100k

120k

165k

For a 425k, sorry, but this is not happening.

 

Thursday 23rdMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-1)) CinemaxX Bremen[SK1] 

 

Wednesday – Previews

2D 20:20: 70 /  454 -> 15.4% (+11)

 

Thursday:

OV 2D 19:00: 47 / 288

 

3D 14:40: 2 / 260

3D 16:30: 0 / 454

3D 19:40: 37 /454

3D 22:45: 8 /228

 

2D 14:10: 0 / 505

2D 16:45: 20 / 280

 

Total: 114 / 2469 -> 4.6% (+41 / +56%)

 

Friday:

OV 2D 19:15: 24 / 280

 

3D 14:40: 0 / 260

3D 16:30: 0 / 454

3D 19:40: 30 /454

3D 22:45: 2 /228

 

2D 14:10: 0 / 505

2D 17:00: 3 / 228

 

Total: 59 / 2409 -> 2.4% (+35)

 

Saturday:

OV 2D 20:00: 13 / 280

 

3D 14:30: 2 / 260

3D 16:30: 0 / 454

3D 19:40: 14 /454

3D 22:20: 7 /228

 

2D 11:50: 0 / 288

2D 14:00: 0 / 505

2D 16:50: 12 / 228

 

Total: 48 / 2637 -> 1.8% (+22)

 

Sunday:

OV 2D 19:00: 6 / 288

 

3D 14:30: 0 / 260

3D 16:10: 1 / 454

3D 19:30: 0 /454

3D 22:20: 0 /228

 

2D 11:50: 0 / 288

2D 14:00: 12 / 505

2D 17:20: 6 / 228

 

Total: 25 / 2637 -> 0.9% (+14)

 

Total without Previews: 246 / 10152 -> 2.4%(+112)

 

 

Thursday 23rdMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-1)) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt[SK1] 

22ndMay 23:59 MESZ (T-0)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 19:45: 130 / 624 -> 20.8 % 

 

Thursday:

OV 3D 17:20: 20 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 22 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 5 / 351

3D 17:35: 18 / 351

3D 20:10: 46 / 642

3D 23:15: 12 / 642 (all seats sold are love seats, lol)

 

2D 14:00: 3 / 642

2D 17:05: 43 / 642

 

OV 2D 14:15: 10 / 344

 

Total: 179 / 4302 -> 1.6% (+109 / +156%)

 

Friday:

OV 3D 17:20: 6 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 49 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 0 / 351

3D 17:35: 2 / 351

3D 20:10: 54 / 642

3D 23:15: 2 / 642

 

2D 14:00: 2 / 642

2D 17:05: 9 / 642

 

OV 2D 14:15: 4 / 344

 

Total: 124 / 4302 -> 2.9% (+55)

 

Saturday:

OV 3D 17:20: 10 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 22 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 0 / 351

3D 17:35: 4 / 351

3D 20:10: 14 / 642

3D 23:15: 0 / 642

 

2D 11:00: 2 / 642

2D 14:00: 10 / 642

2D 17:05: 4 / 642

 

OV 2D 11:10: 0 / 624

OV 2D 14:15: 13 / 344

 

Total: 79 / 5568 -> 1.4% (+47)

 

Sunday:

OV 3D 17:20: 6 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 2 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 3 / 351

3D 17:35: 9 / 351

3D 20:10: 0 / 642

3D 23:15: 0 / 642

 

2D 11:00: 5 / 642

2D 14:00: 9 / 642

2D 17:05: 0 / 642

 

OV 2D 11:10: 1 / 624

OV 2D 14:15: 7 / 344

 

Total: 42 / 5568 -> 0.8% (+8)

 

Overall without previews: 424 / 19740 -> 2.1% (+219)

FSS: 245 / 15438 -> 1.6%

 

Friday is just 77% higher than Thursday was at the same point, Saturday is 15% higher than Friday and Sunday is 31% higher than Saturday was 24h ago, though this appears to be an outliner.

Using a 40k Thursday:

40k

70k

80k

104k / 70k

294k / 260k, the former number won’t happen because an increase like that on Sunday is unlikely for this movie.

 

Total:

Thursday: 465 (counted at the time the showing started – 24h ago: 182)

Friday: 281 (24h ago: 142)

Saturday: 187 (24h ago: 94)

Sunday: 117

So Friday is 54% bigger, Saturday is 31% bigger than Friday and Sunday is 24% bigger than Saturday, that with the 40k Thursday (estimates):

40k

60k

80k

100k

for a 280k weekend, with a more reasonable 60-70k Sunday this would still be a 240-250k weekend.

Not sold on that yet, still being cautious about this one and I’ll stay close to my 200k prediction from yesterday as I fear that Thursday might be overestimated a little bit.

If you look into the detailed one, this is a mess that's all over the place, if it follows the cinemaxx than welp it's opening to basically nothing.

 

John Wick 3:

Spoiler

Thursday 23rdMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-1)) Cinestar Bremen[SK1] 

23rdMay 23:59 MESZ (T-0)

Previews: Wednesday (counted at 20:15) – no comparison as I forgot Aladdin and DP

3D 20:15: 175 / 425 -> 41.2 % (+64)

 

 

Thursday:

2D 16:30: 36 / 296

2D 20:10: 155 / 425

2D 22:40: 51 / 175

 

Total: 242 / 896 -> 27% (+120 / +98.3%)

 

Friday:

2D 16:30: 9 / 296

2D 20:10: 150 / 425

2D 20:10: 18 / 170 (NEW)

2D 22:40: 37 / 175

 

Total: 214 / 1066 -> 20% (+67)

 

Saturday:

2D 16:30: 49 / 296

2D 20:10: 125 / 425

2D 20:10: 16 / 170 (NEW)

2D 22:40: 21 / 175

 

Total: 211 / 1066 -> 19.8% (+70)

 

Sunday:

OV 2D 20:10: 24 / 170

 

2D 16:30: 17 / 296

2D 20:10: 20 / 425

 

Total: 61 / 891 -> 6.8% (+26)

 

Overall without previews: 728 / 3919 -> 12.4% (+283)

 

Friday is right now 75% bigger than Thursday was 24h ago, that ratio is 44% bigger for Saturday compared to Friday and Sunday is 57% smaller right now compared to Saturday

So with a 70k Thursday:

70k

120k

185k

80k 

For a 455k OWend without Previews, which would honestly be really good, so right now I’d still say 400k is where this is headed with a significant potential to perform above that and reach something closer to 500k than 400k.

 

Thursday 23rdMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-1)) CinemaxX Bremen[SK1] 

Wednesday – Previews

2D 20:00: 125 / 505 -> 24.8% (+13)

2D 20:20: 32 / 505 -> 6.3% (+10)

Total: 157 / 1010 -> 15.5% (+23)

 

Thursday:

OV 2D 19:30: 70 / 228

 

2D 14:10: 5 / 135

2D 17:15: 22 / 505

2D 20:30: 145 / 505

2D 23:00: 48 / 454

 

Total: 290 / 1827 -> 15.9% (+161 / +125%)

 

Friday:

2D 14:10: 2 / 135

2D 17:15: 4 / 505

2D 20:30: 68 / 505

2D 23:00: 24 / 454

 

Total: 98 / 1599 -> 4.3% (+27)

 

Saturday:

OV 2D 22:45: 9 / 92

 

2D 14:10: 3 / 135

2D 17:15: 4 / 505

2D 19:00: 16 / 288

2D 20:30: 14 / 505

2D 23:00: 5 / 454

 

Total: 51 / 1982 -> 1.3% (+26)

 

Sunday:  

OV 2D: 19:20: 3 / 288 (NEW)

 

2D 17:15: 8 / 505

2D 20:30: 5 / 505

2D 23:00: 7 / 454

Total: 23 / 1752 -> 0.7% (+10)

 

Total without Previews: 232 / 6872 -> 1.7% (+113)

 

Thursday 23rdMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-1)) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt[SK1] 

22thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-0)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 20:15: 365 / 642 -> 56.9 % (+123)

 

Thursday:

2D 16:50: 51 / 624

2D 20:00: 140 / 624 (this is just a rough guess)

2D 23:10: 69 / 624

 

OV 2D 20:15: 86 / 283

OV 2D 23:25: 17 / 283

 

Total: 363 / 2438 -> 14.9% (+262 / +260%)

 

Friday:

2D 16:50: 16 / 624

2D 20:00: 131 / 624

2D 23:10: 26 / 624

 

OV 2D 20:15: 59 / 283

OV 2D 23:25: 2 / 283

 

Total: 234 / 2438 -> 9.6% (+ 122)

 

Saturday:

2D 16:50: 18 / 624

2D 20:00: 60 / 624

2D 23:10: 13 / 624

 

OV 2D 20:15: 39 / 283

OV 2D 23:25: 0 / 283

 

Total: 130 / 2438 -> 5.3% (+ 57)

 

Sunday:

2D 16:50: 5 / 624

2D 20:00: 3 / 624

2D 23:10: 1 / 624

 

OV 2D 20:15: 9 / 283 

OV 2D 23:25: 0 / 283

 

Total: 18 / 2438 -> 0.2% (+14)

 

Overall without previews: 745 / 7488 -> 9.9% (+455)

Overall with Previews: 1110 / 8130 -> 13.7% (+455)

FSS: 380 / 7314 -> 5.2%

 

Sunday is still severely lacking, Friday is right now 2.3x as large as Thursday was 24h ago and Saturday is 16% larger. Sunday right now is at 24.7% of Saturday at the same point in time.

 

Based on a 70k Thursday this would lead too:

70k

160k

185k

50k / 125k

So a 465k / 540k Weekend, both things look somewhat high.

 

Cinestar Bremen seems to be really presales heavy as it accounts for 54 / 60% of the presales for Saturday / Sunday while making up just 27% of the adm. On Thursday.

Total:

Thursday: 895 (counted at the time the showing started – 24h ago: 352)

Friday: 546 (24h ago: 327)

Saturday: 392 (24h ago: 239)

Sunday: 102

So Friday is 55% bigger, Saturday is 20% bigger than Friday and Sunday is 57% smallerr than Saturday, that with the 70k Thursday (estimates):

70k

110k

130k

55k

for a 365k weekend, with a more reasonable 90-110k Sunday be a 400-410k weekend.

Or maybe Sunday will really drop that much.

 

 

 

So overall I am going to stay with 200k for Aladdin and 400k for John Wick, on the other hand if those 40k and 70k turn out true, than Aladdin as a family friendly movie should have comparable stronger Saturdays and Sundays and should end up closer over the whole weekend than it was today.

 

Also, I feel like those jumps for the total ones are to small compared to the single ones, but I am too tired to look over these numbers again.

 

Edited by Taruseth
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1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:

insidekino.de estimates Wick3 and Aladdin at 400k each, really excellent! Pikachu drops 41%, Avengers 53%

For the 4-day weekend he estimates Aladdin at 375k and John Wick 3 at 355k (which would be somewhat close to the total number with the weak Sunday (drop of more than 50%).

 

Would be good, especially for Aladdin.

 

Also I feel more and more like I fucked up the total calculations and need to go over them again.

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And some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film):

The new releases:

John Wick 3 (released in 546 theaters; the first movie of this series had 141.537 admissions OW, the second one had 227.790): 50k/502k US$
Aladdin (released in 665 theaters): 30k - with that Thursday number and the sunshine I think the first trend is rather optimistic but normally Mark_G is right
Edie (88): 1.5k
All My Loving (56): 1k
Die rote Linie (?): 620

The holdovers:

Avengers: Endgame: 11k (actuals last Thursday 30k) → 100k admissions OW in the first trend
Pika: 11.5k (30k) → 150k admissions OW
The Hustle: 8k (17k) → 70k admissions OW

Edited by el sid
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21 minutes ago, el sid said:

And some Thursday actuals (source Blickpunkt:Film):

The new releases:

John Wick 3 (released in 546 theaters; the first movie of this series had 141.537 admissions OW, the second one had 227.790): 50k/502k US$
Aladdin (released in 665 theaters): 30k - with that Thursday number and the sunshine I think the first trend is rather optimistic but normally Mark_G is right
Edie (88): 1.5k
All My Loving (56): 1k
Die rote Linie (?): 620

The holdovers:

Avengers: Endgame: 11k (actuals last Thursday 30k) → 100k admissions OW in the first trend
Pika: 11.5k (30k) → 150k admissions OW
The Hustle: 8k (17k) → 70k admissions OW

So both were overestimated yesterday, that's not really good.

I agree with you, his outlook looks reall optimistic.

 

 

Endgame won't get to 5m now, think it will end the run around 4.95m or so:

 

This is what I thought with first estimates for 3rd Weekend:

On 5/10/2019 at 11:47 AM, Taruseth said:

Endgame slightly worse than I thought:

  Reveal hidden contents
 

Endgame vs TLJ  (In brackets are the totals) - Final for TLJ was 5906k

Before Weekend: 462k vs 0k -> +462k

OWend: 1672k (2134k) vs 1627k -> +45k (+507k)

OWdays: 707k (2841k) vs 490k (2117k) ->+217k (+724k)

2nd Wend: 871k (3712k) vs 721k (2838k) -> +150k (+874k)

2nd Wdays: 163k (3875k) vs 706k (3544k) -> -548k (+326k)

3rd Wend: 425k (4300k) vs 849k (4393k) -> -424k (+93k)

3rd Wdays: 90k (4390k) vs 351k (4744k) -> -261k (-354k)

4th Wend: 275k (4665k) vs 467k (5211k) -> -192k (-546k)

4th Wdays: 60k (4725k) vs 91k (5302k) -> -31k (-577k)

5th Wend: 150k (4875k) vs 202k (5504k) -> -52k (-629k)

5th Wdays: 35k (4910k) vs 49k (5553k) -> -14k (-643k)

6th Wend: 90k (5000k) vs 110k (5663k) -> -20k (-663k)

6th Wdays: 25k (5025k) vs 28k (5691k) -> -3k (-666k)

 

TLJ had 215k more admissions after that, if Endgame would add that it would get to 5240k, which is probably the highest it could go, would mean a little below €60m, translating to ~$67m. It would also mean that it would beat Spider-Man 1 (5186k) in adm.

 

More realistic would probably a finish closer to 5m adm and with that slightly below Spider-Man 1.

 

Now this changes to:

Endgame vs TLJ  (In brackets are the totals) - Final for TLJ was 5906k

Before Weekend: 462k vs 0k -> +462k

OWend: 1672k (2134k) vs 1627k -> +45k (+507k)

OWdays: 707k (2841k) vs 490k (2117k) ->+217k (+724k)

2nd Wend: 871k (3712k) vs 721k (2838k) -> +150k (+874k)

2nd Wdays: 162k (3874k) vs 706k (3544k) -> -544k (+330k)

3rd Wend: 419k (4293k) vs 849k (4393k) -> -430k (+100k)

3rd Wdays: 94k (4387k) vs 351k (4744k) -> -257k (-357k)

4th Wend: 214k (4601k) vs 467k (5211k) -> -253k (-610k)

4th Wdays: 44k (4645k) vs 91k (5302k) -> -47k (-657k)

5th Wend: 100k (4745k) vs 202k (5504k) -> -102k (-759k)

5th Wdays: 25k (4770k) vs 49k (5553k) -> -14k (-643k)

6th Wend: 60k (4830k) vs 110k (5663k) -> -20k (-663k)

6th Wdays: 15k (4845k) vs 28k (5691k) -> -3k (-666k)

 

Reason for the rather good 6th Weekend drop is that next Thursday is Christi Himmelfart (Ascension of Jesus) and that is a nation wide holiday that also should help Wednesday evening so the drops for the weekdays will also be a little less.

None the less it would be 180k behind what I initially thought with a weekend that is just 2/3 of what I predicted and optimistic back than was 5240k as final (using TLJ which would have had a higher weekend by quite a bit) now that is basically impossible (if something doesn't add up it's because of rounding problems, appears during th 10th Wdays of TLJ witch were 2589 adm and before it the movie was at 5876772 so the wdays would be rounded up to 3k but adding the true number the total would be 5879361 which rounded would be just 2k more)

7th Wend: 30k (4875k) vs 70k (5761k)

7th Wdays: 8k (4883k) vs 19k (5780k)

8th Wend: 20k (4903k) vs 42k (5822k)

8th Wdays: 5k (4908k) vs 11k (5833k)

9th Wend: 15k (4923k) vs 24k (5857k)

9th Wdays: 4k (4927k) vs 9k (5866k)

10th Wend: 8k (4935k) vs 11k (5877k)

10th Wdays: 2k (4937k) vs 3k (5879k) 

It maybe will add around 10-20k more after that, so it would finish aroun 4.95m adm ≈ €56m ≈ $62.5m.

Which still would be +45% / + 46% / + 39% compared to IW.

 

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13 hours ago, danhtruong5 said:

Thanks for your information.

So after the 10th week, it still can add 20k ads more. Nice to hear that.

it could especially if it gets some small bost from Spider-Man, if that doesn't happen it also could be below 10k.

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