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IndustriousAngel

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So, today was kinda underwhelming - Also, I know this is a mess right now, but I am slowly starting to collect data so I hopefully by the time TROS will have a better idea at what what means.

 

Aladdin:

Spoiler

Friday 24thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-2)) Cinestar Bremen[SK1] 

21thMay 23:59 MESZ (T-1)

Previews: Wednesday

3D 20:00: 76 / 572 -> 13.7 % 

 

Thursday:

3D 14:30: 5 / 425

3D 17:30: 37 / 425

3D 19:50: 75 / 572

3D 22:10: 22 / 280

 

2D 14:00: 3 / 425

2D 16:50: 30 / 572

 

Total: 172 / 2699 -> 6.4% (+133 / +341%)

 

Friday:

3D 14:30: 7 / 425

3D 17:30: 29 / 425

3D 19:50: 117 / 572

3D 22:10: 18 / 280

 

2D 14:00: 6 / 425

2D 16:50: 38 / 572

 

Total: 215 / 2699 -> 8% (+117)

 

Saturday:

3D 14:30: 7 / 425

3D 17:30: 7 / 425

3D 19:50: 36 / 572

3D 22:10: 16 / 280

 

2D 14:00: 2 / 425

2D 16:50: 17 / 572

 

Total: 85 / 2699 ->3.1% (+24)

 

Sunday:

3D 11:30: 2 / 425

3D 14:30: 19 / 425

3D 17:30: 4 / 425

3D 19:50: 7 / 572

 

2D 11:10: 12 / 322

2D 13:50: 20 / 425

2D 16:50: 7 / 572

 

Total: 71 / 3166 -> 2.2% (+21)

 

Overall without previews: 543 / 11263 -> 4.8% (+163)

(24h ago: Friday: 98, Saturday: 60, Sunday: 50)

Friday was just 25% above Thursday as today Thursday saw an absolutely crazy amount of sales on the actual day and a lot more walk-ups. This is not promising for the movie. I hope the walk-ups for the shows tomorrow are a lot better.

But tomorrow actually is weaker than Friday was 24h ago, about 13% below. But luckily Sunday is 18% above Saturday.

30k

37.5k

32.5k

38.5k

For 138.5k (This is not looking promising at all here)

 

 

Friday 24thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-2)) CinemaxX Bremen[SK1] 

 

Wednesday – Previews

2D 20:20: 70 / 454 -> 15.4% (+11)

 

Thursday:

OV 2D 19:00: 47 / 288

 

3D 14:40: 2 / 260

3D 16:30: 0 / 454

3D 19:40: 37 /454

3D 22:45: 8 /228

 

2D 14:10: 0 / 505

2D 16:45: 20 / 280

 

Total: 114 / 2469 -> 4.6% (+41 / +56%)

 

Friday:

OV 2D 19:15: 42 / 280

 

3D 14:40: 0 / 260

3D 16:30: 0 / 454

3D 19:40: 84 /454

3D 22:45: 4 /228

 

2D 14:10: 0 / 505

2D 17:00: 7 / 228

 

Total: 137 / 2409 -> 5.7% (+78)

 

Saturday:

OV 2D 20:00: 18 / 280

 

3D 14:30: 2 / 260

3D 16:30: 0 / 454

3D 19:40: 15 /454

3D 22:20: 18 /228

 

2D 11:50: 0 / 288

2D 14:00: 4 / 505

2D 16:50: 14 / 228

 

Total: 71 / 2637 -> 2.7% (+23)

 

Sunday:

OV 2D 19:00: 8 / 288

 

3D 14:30: 0 / 260

3D 16:10: 1 / 454

3D 19:30: 0 /454

3D 22:20: 0 /228

 

2D 11:50: 0 / 288

2D 14:00: 12 / 505

2D 17:20: 6 / 228

 

Total: 27 / 2637 -> 1% (+12)

 

Total without Previews: 349 / 10152 -> 2.4%(+112)

 

 

Friday 24thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-2)) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt[SK1] 

Previews: Wednesday

3D 19:45: 130 / 624 -> 20.8 % 

 

Thursday:

OV 3D 17:20: 20 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 22 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 5 / 351

3D 17:35: 18 / 351

3D 20:10: 46 / 642

3D 23:15: 12 / 642 (all seats sold are love seats, lol)

 

2D 14:00: 3 / 642

2D 17:05: 43 / 642

 

OV 2D 14:15: 10 / 344

 

Total: 179 / 4302 -> 1.6% (+109 / +156%)

 

Friday:

OV 3D 17:20: 16 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 155 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 3 / 351

3D 17:35: 4 / 351

3D 20:10: 160 / 642

3D 23:15: 29 / 642

 

2D 14:00: 10 / 642

2D 17:05: 43 / 642

 

OV 2D 14:15: 15 / 344

 

Total: 435 / 4302 -> 2.9% (+311 / +251%)

 

Saturday:

OV 3D 17:20: 37 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 44 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 1 / 351

3D 17:35: 8 / 351

3D 20:10: 34 / 642

3D 23:15: 6 / 642

 

2D 11:00: 2 / 642

2D 14:00: 15 / 642

2D 17:05: 10 / 642

 

OV 2D 11:10: 3 / 624

OV 2D 14:15: 28 / 342

 

Total: 188 / 5566 -> 1.4% (+109)

 

Sunday:

OV 3D 17:20: 6 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 4 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 5 / 351

3D 17:35: 9 / 351

3D 20:10: 2 / 642

3D 23:15: 0 / 642

 

2D 11:00: 18 / 642

2D 14:00: 14 / 642

2D 17:05: 3 / 642

 

OV 2D 11:10: 9 / 624

OV 2D 14:15: 19 / 342

 

Total: 89 / 5566 -> 0.8% (+47)

 

Overall without previews: 424 / 19740 -> 2.1% (+219)

FSS: 245 / 15438 -> 1.6%

 

(24h ago: Friday: 124, Saturday: 79, Sunday: 42)

Friday is 143% higher than Thursday, Saturday is 52% higher than Friday and Sunday is 13% higher than Saturday was 24h ago, though this appears to be an outliner.

Using a 30k Thursday:

30k

72.5k

110k

125k

OWend: 337.5k

 

Friday midnight:

Thursday: 465

Friday: 787 (24h ago: 281)

Saturday: 344 (24h ago: 187)

Sunday: 187

Friday is 69% above Thursday, Saturday is 22% above Friday and Sunday is flat.

So, Thursday was just 30k, this would mean:

30k

50k

60k

60k

That would be a pretty bad 200k Opening.

 

Frankfurt Metropolis hopefully turns out more telling for the whole of Germany:

30k

72.5k

110k

125k

OWend: 337.5k

 

 

John Wick 3:

Spoiler

Friday 24thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-2)) Cinestar Bremen[SK1] 

23rdMay 23:59 MESZ (T-0)

Previews: Wednesday (counted at 20:15) – no comparison as I forgot Aladdin and DP

3D 20:15: 175 / 425 -> 41.2 % (+64)

 

 

Thursday:

2D 16:30: 36 / 296

2D 20:10: 155 / 425

2D 22:40: 51 / 175

 

Total: 242 / 896 -> 27% (+120 / +98.3%)

 

Friday:

2D 16:30: 23 / 296

2D 20:10: 163 / 425

2D 20:10: 52 / 170

2D 22:40: 27 / 171

2D 22:45: 32 / 166 (NEW)

 

Total: 297 / 1228 -> 24.2% (+83)

 

Saturday:

2D 16:30: 65 / 296

2D 20:10: 156 / 425

2D 20:10: 37 / 170

2D 22:40: 21 / 171

2D 22:45: 9 / 166 (NEW)

 

Total: 288 / 1228 -> 23.5% (+77)

 

Sunday:

OV 2D 20:10: 27 / 170

 

2D 16:30: 21 / 296

2D 20:10: 30 / 425

 

Total: 78 / 891 -> 8.8% (+17)

 

Overall without previews: 728 / 4251 -> 12.4% (+283)

 

(24h ago: Friday: 214, Saturday: 211, Sunday: 61)

Friday was 23% bigger, Saturday is 36% bigger than Friday was 24h ago and Sunday is 63% smaller.

So with a 60k Thursday:

60k

74k

100k

37k 

That would be just a 271k weekend. So different to Detective Pika this cinema is absolutely, absolutely useless with both Aladdin and this movie.

 

 

Friday 24thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-2)) CinemaxX Bremen[SK1] 

Wednesday – Previews

2D 20:00: 125 / 505 -> 24.8% (+13)

2D 20:20: 32 / 505 -> 6.3% (+10)

Total: 157 / 1010 -> 15.5% (+23)

 

Thursday:

OV 2D 19:30: 70 / 228

 

2D 14:10: 5 / 135

2D 17:15: 22 / 505

2D 20:30: 145 / 505

2D 23:00: 48 / 454

 

Total: 290 / 1827 -> 15.9% (+161 / +125%)

 

Friday:

2D 14:10: 2 / 135

2D 17:15: 15 / 505

2D 20:30: 165 / 505

2D 23:00: 75 / 454

 

Triple 2D 18:45: 115 / 288 (only saw this today)

 

Total: 372 / 1887 -> 19.7% (+274)

 

Saturday:

OV 2D 22:45: 12 / 92

 

2D 14:10: 7 / 135

2D 17:15: 5 / 505

2D 19:00: 33 / 288

2D 20:30: 37 / 505

2D 23:00: 12 / 454

 

Total: 106 / 1982 -> 5.3% (+55)

 

Sunday:  

OV 2D: 19:20: 6 / 288 (NEW)

 

2D 17:15: 15 / 505

2D 20:30: 8 / 505

2D 23:00: 7 / 454

Total: 36 / 1752 -> 2.1% (+13)

 

Total without Previews: 804 / 7448 -> 10.8% 

 

 

 

Friday 24thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-2)) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt[SK1] 

Previews: Wednesday

3D 20:15: 365 / 642 -> 56.9 % (+123)

 

Thursday:

2D 16:50: 51 / 624

2D 20:00: 140 / 624 (this is just a rough guess)

2D 23:10: 69 / 624

 

OV 2D 20:15: 86 / 283

OV 2D 23:25: 17 / 283

 

Total: 363 / 2438 -> 14.9% (+262 / +260%)

 

Friday:

2D 16:50: 42 / 624

2D 20:00: 257 / 624 (WOW!)

2D 23:10: 116 / 624

 

OV 2D 20:15: 163 / 283 (WOW!)

OV 2D 23:25: 33 / 283

 

Total: 611 / 2438 -> 25.1% (+ 377)

 

Saturday:

2D 16:50: 27 / 624

2D 20:00: 91 / 624

2D 23:10: 21 / 624

 

OV 2D 20:15: 60 / 283

OV 2D 23:25: 2 / 283

 

Total: 201 / 2438 -> 8.2% (+ 71)

 

Sunday:

2D 16:50: 9 / 624

2D 20:00: 14 / 624

2D 23:10: 1 / 624

 

OV 2D 20:15: 22 / 283 

OV 2D 23:25: 0 / 283

 

Total: 46 / 2438 -> 1.9% (+28)

 

Overall without previews: 1221 / 7488 -> 16.3% (+476)

Overall with Previews: 1586 / 8130 -> 19.5% (+476)

 

(24h ago: Friday: 234, Saturday: 130, Sunday: 18)

So, Friday was 68% above Thursday, Saturday is right now about 14% behind Friday and Sunday is 65% behind Saturday.

 

 

Based on a 50k Thursday this would lead too:

50k

84k

72.5k

25.5k

So a 232k weekend, okay, this is obviously not happening.

 

 

Friday midnight:

Thursday: 895

Friday: 1280 (24h ago: 546)

Saturday: 595 (24h ago: 392)

Sunday: 160

Friday is 43% above Thursday, Saturday is 9% above Friday and Sunday is 59% below.

So, Thursday was just 50k, this would mean:

50k

72.5k

80k

32.5k

That would be a pretty bad 235k Opening.

 

So, I guess that tomorrow and Sunday will be rather walkup heavy.

 

 

Also, the Cinestar Bremen seems to rather presales heavy.

And the Cinemaxx Bremen is leaning incredibly heavily towards John Wick, a lot more than the two other cinemas.

 

 

Overall I wouldn't be as optimistic as insidekino is.

 

Estimates for today are 70k for Aladdin and 110k for John Wick 3, with Thursday:

100k for Aladdin and 160k for John Wick 3.

 

Using these numbers would give:

John Wick 3:

50k

110k

120k

50k-80k

for 330k-360k

 

and for Aladdin:

30k

70k

85k

85k

for 270k.

 

The Midday showings for Aladdin should have some walkups which could lift both Saturday and Sunday up, so it hopefully can jump above 300k.

 

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Won't do a count today, will look through them now, but won't count them during the whole day, don't have time for that today. Okay, maybe I'll try, just take a screenshot around the time the movie opens and then count them in the evening.

 

375k for both would mean around 350k for Aladdin and 330k for John Wick on the true weekend.

 

 

I'd say both movies look okay today, I expecte them do be rather similar today.

 

I am to lazy to look through all the cinemaxx and cinestar cinemas but I feel like in the cinemax cinemas they don't care about Aladdin at all, while in the cinestar ones they are a lot closer or Aladdin is even in the lead.

 

tomorrow I will start with godzilla and Rocketman.

Right now I'd say both couble heading for an opening between 200-300k.

 

EDIT: Won't count, cause I kinda forgot that Aladdin had it's first showing at 11:50 and then some starting around 2pm, so it would screw the picture for Aladdin quiet a bit.

Sorry for that.

 

And I am still not sold on Aladdin winning the weekend, if at all I'd say they both come in around 325k or so based on a rough look through today and tomorrow.

 

 

And does anyone know how big the share of the few big chains is for the box office here?

 

Edited by Taruseth
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12 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Thanks, honestly expected them to have more like a 60-70% share and not just above 40%...

 

Sorry, I really didn't count today, so no new update from me.

I might take a loot at the Sunday number so and I will look at the presales for the movie being released in the next 1.5 months.

Edited by Taruseth
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As I already said, I didn't count today, so I have no idea how today went.

But here are the presales for tomorrow:

Aladdin:

Spoiler

Saturday25thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-3)) Cinestar Bremen

Sunday:

3D 11:30: 2 / 425

3D 14:30: 19 / 425

3D 17:30: 4 / 425

3D 19:50: 11 / 572

 

2D 11:10: 16 / 322

2D 13:50: 28 / 425

2D 16:50: 11 / 572

 

Total: 91 / 3166 -> 2.9% (+20)

Presales for Saturday were at 85 2h ago, so this at least looks a little promising, though it’s actually below John Wick 3.

 

 

Saturday 25thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-3)) CinemaxX Bremen

Sunday:

OV 2D 19:00: 27 / 288

 

3D 14:30: 6 / 260

3D 16:10: 1 / 454

3D 19:30: 2 /454

3D 22:20: 0 /228

 

2D 11:50: 0 / 288

2D 14:00: 14 / 505

2D 17:20: 14 / 228

 

Total: 64 / 2637 -> 2.4% (+37)

 

Presales for Saturday 24h ago: 71, so just a little drop.

 

Saturday 25thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-3)) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt

Sunday:

OV 3D 17:20: 18 / 344

OV 3D 20:25: 12 / 344

 

3D 14:30: 7 / 351

3D 17:35: 21 / 351

3D 20:10: 2 / 642

3D 23:15: 0 / 642

 

2D 11:00: 18 / 642

2D 14:00: 18 / 642

2D 17:05: 7 / 642

 

OV 2D 11:10: 13 / 624

OV 2D 14:15: 27 / 342

 

Total: 143 / 5566 -> 2.6% (+54)

 

Saturday 24h ago was at 188.

 

 

 

1

Overview:

Thursday: 465

Friday: 787 (24h ago: 281)

Saturday: ??? (24h ago: 344) (I assume something around 1100)

Sunday: 298

So Sunday is below Saturday but at least still above Friday by a bit.

So hopefully it could still turn all of this into something along the lines of:

30k

75k

115k

105k

For 325k OWend.

 

 

John Wick 3:

Spoiler

Saturday 25thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-3)) Cinestar Bremen

Sunday:

OV 2D 20:10: 28 / 170

 

2D 16:30: 38 / 296

2D 20:10: 40 / 425

 

Total: 106 / 891 -> 11.9% (+28)

 

24h ago Saturday was at 288, so this still looks like a big drop will happen tomorrow.

 

 

Saturday 25thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-3)) CinemaxX Bremen

Sunday:

OV 2D: 19:20: 14 / 288 (NEW)

 

2D 17:15: 32 / 505

2D 20:30: 16 / 505

2D 23:00: 10 / 454

Total: 72 / 1752 -> 4.6% (+13)

 

Presales for Saturday 24h ago were 106, also the difference between John Wick 3 and Aladdin is a lot smaller, John Wick 3 is still higher but not by as much as the previous days.

 

Saturday 25thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-(-3)) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt

Sunday:

2D 16:50: 17 / 624

2D 20:00: 23 / 624

2D 23:10: 3 / 624

 

OV 2D 20:15: 38 / 283 

OV 2D 23:25: 0 / 283

 

Total: 81 / 2438 -> 3.3% (+35)

 

24h ago Saturday was at 201, so quite a big drop.

  

 

Thursday: 895

Friday: 1280 (24h ago: 546)

Saturday: ??? (24h ago: 595) I assume around 1300-1500

Sunday: 259 (presales)

 

So maybe something along the lines of:

50k

110k

120k

50k

For an OWend of 330k

 

 

I am still somewhat cautious about Godzilla and Rocketman, like they both look okay but I think they will perform weaker than John Wick 3 and Aladdin.

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2 hours ago, George Parr said:

Sunday trend not looking all that hot, basically everything is down:

 

#1 Aladdin 325k

#2 John Wick 3 325k

#3 Pikachu 135k

#4 Endgame 105k

#5 The Hustle 75k

#6 Collini 30k

lol, John Wick dropping below 300k for the 4-day, that would right now be 280k for it and 300k for Aladdin.

 

So I guess I totally overestimated Saturday and Friday turned out a little weaker than initially expected.

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4 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Still a good number for Wick, there's only a limited audience for this type of movies and it did really well.

First one had 430k adm final (141k OWend -> 3.05x), the second one had 818k adm (228k OWend -> 3.59x)

 

This is estimated to open with 280+45k so about 22% higher, that's less than init, but you are right, that film got an FSK 18, as far as I know, and those are extremely limited.

Though with a 280k OWend it could get something like a 3.3x for 925k up to a 3.6x for 1m adm.

 

 

And to be honest despite some questions about Aladdin on here and me fully expecting a 200k OWend and it looks like it will get 50% (gosh I was off by so much, utterly useless) this opening is a lot more disappointing as it under the right circumstances should have been able to open at least close to B&tB, so with the less know actors and all that I never expected it to open at or over that number.

But a nice 600k OWend and than a 4-4.5x for 2.4-2.7m should have been doable.

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So, forgot to count yesterday, sorry.

On a side note Aladdin (and John Wick) look good on Wednesday and  Thursday.

 

Godzilla:

Spoiler

Monday 27thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-2) Cinestar Bremen

Wednesday – Preview:

3D 20:15: 62 / 425 -> 14.6% 

 

Thursday:

3D 14:10: 9 / 280

3D 16:20: 8 / 425

3D 20:00: 5 / 322

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

Total: 22 / 1307 -> 1.7%

 

Friday:

3D 14:10: 0 / 280

3D 16:20: 1 / 425

3D 20:00: 11 / 322

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

Total: 12 / 1307 -> 0.9%

 

Saturday:

3D 14:10: 0 / 280

3D 16:20: 2 / 425

3D 20:00: 4 / 322

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

Total: 6 / 1307 -> 0.5%

 

Sunday:

3D 14:10: 2 / 280

3D 16:20: 0 / 425

3D 20:10: 0 / 322

 

Total: 2 / 1027 -> 0.2%

 

Weekend without Previews: 42 / 4948 -> 0.8%

Weekend with Previews: 104 / 5373 -> 1.9%

 

Slightly behind Pika's Weekend by about 10%

 

 

 

 

 

Monday 27thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-2) CinemaxX Bremen

Wednesday – Preview:

3D 20:15: 45 / 348 -> 14.6% 

 

Thursday:

2D 14:00: 0 / 228

 

OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92

 

3D 16:45: 1 / 505

3D 20:00: 5 / 505

3D 23:15: 0 / 505

 

Total: 6 / 1835 -> 0.3

 

Friday:

2D 14:00: 2 / 228

 

OV 2D 19:30: 6 / 260

 

3D 16:45: 8 / 505

3D 20:00: 2 / 505

3D 22:45: 0 / 260

 

Total: 18 / 1758 -> 1%

 

Saturday:

2D 14:00: 0 / 228

 

3D 16:45: 0 / 505

3D 20:00: 0 / 505

3D 23:15: 0 / 505

 

Total: 0 / 1743 -> 0%

 

Sunday:

2D 14:00: 2 / 228

 

OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92

 

3D 16:45: 1 / 505

3D 20:00: 0 / 505

3D 23:15: 0 / 505

 

Total: 3 / 1835 -> 0.16%

 

Total without Preview: 27 / 7171 -> 0.4%

Total with Preview: 72 / 7519 -> 1%

 

Monday 27thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-2) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt

Wednesday – Previews:

3D 20:15: 39 / 624 -> 6.3% (+16)

 

Thursday:

OV 3D 17:05: 4 / 273

OV 3D 20:10: 0 / 273

OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273

 

3D 14:00: 2 / 273

3D 16:45: 4 / 624

3D 19:55: 0 / 624

3D 23:05: 0 / 624

 

Total: 10 / 2964 -> 0.35

 

Friday:

OV 3D 17:05: 3 / 273

OV 3D 20:10: 0 / 273

OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273

 

3D 14:00: 2 / 273

3D 16:45: 0 / 624

3D 19:55: 2 / 624

3D 23:05: 0 / 624

 

Total: 7 / 2964 -> 0.25

 

Saturday:

OV 3D 17:05: 1 / 273

OV 3D 20:10: 0 / 273

OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273

 

3D 14:00: 2 / 273

3D 16:45: 1 / 624

3D 19:55: 0 / 624

3D 23:05: 0 / 624

 

Total: 9 / 2964 -> 0.3%

 

Sunday:

OV 3D 17:05: 1 / 273

OV 3D 20:10: 0 / 273

OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273

 

3D 14:00: 0 / 273

3D 16:45: 0 / 624

3D 19:55: 0 / 624

3D 23:05: 0 / 624

 

Total: 1 / 2964 -> 0.03%

 

Weekend without Previews: 27 / 11856 -> 0.2%

Weekend with Previews: 66 / 12480 -> 0.5%

 

 

 

 

2 days out:

Previews: 62 + 45 + 39 = 146

Thursday: 22 + 6 + 10 = 38

Friday: 12 + 18 + 7 = 37

Saturday: 6 + 0 + 9 = 15

Sunday: 2 + 3 + 1 = 6

Total wo Previews: 42 + 25 +27 = 97

Total w Previews: 104 + 70 + 66 = 240

 

Right now I would estimate an opening of 300+350k (without Previews)

 

Rocketman:

Spoiler

Monday 27thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-2) Cinestar Bremen

Wednesday – Preview:

2D 19:30: 35 / 322 -> 10.9% 

 

Thursday:

2D 11:30: 0 / 572

2D 14:20: 0 / 572

2D 17:20: 0 / 572

2D 20:20: 4 / 572

2D 23:00: 0 / 296

 

Total: 4 / 2584 -> 0.15%

 

Friday:

2D 11:30: 0 / 572

2D 14:20: 0 / 572

2D 17:20: 0 / 572

2D 20:20: 2 / 572

2D 23:00: 0 / 296

 

Total: 2 / 2584 -> 0.08%

 

Saturday:

2D 11:30: 0 / 572

2D 14:20: 4 / 572

2D 17:20: 2 / 572

2D 20:20: 4 / 572

2D 23:00: 0 / 296

 

Total: 10 / 2584 -> 0.39%

 

Sunday:

2D 11:30: 0 / 572

2D 14:20: 0 / 572

2D 17:20: 0 / 572

2D 20:20: 0 / 572

 

Total: 0 / 2288 -> 0 %

 

Total without Preview: 16 / 10040 -> 0.16%

Total with Preview: 51 / 10362 -> 0.5%

 

This is about a third of Pika

 

Monday 27thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-2) CinemaxX Bremen

Wednesday – Preview:

2D 20:00: 47 / 348 -> 10.4% 

 

Thursday:

2D 14:00: 0 / 135

2D 16:30: 0 / 288

2D 19:45: 0 / 288

2D 22:45: 0 / 288

 

OV 2D 19:30: 0 / 260

 

Total: 0 / 1259 -> 0%

 

Friday:

2D 14:00: 0 / 135

2D 16:30: 0 / 288

2D 19:45: 0 / 288

2D 22:45: 0 / 288

 

OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92

 

Total: 6 / 1091 -> 0.3

 

Saturday:

2D 14:00: 0 / 135

2D 16:30: 0 / 288

2D 19:45: 0 / 288

2D 22:45: 0 / 288

 

OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92

 

Total: 0 / 1091 -> 0%

 

Sunday:

2D 14:00: 0 / 135

2D 16:30: 0 / 288

2D 19:45: 0 / 288

2D 22:

Monday 27thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-2) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt

Wednesday – Previews:

3D 20:15: 30 / 346 -> 8.7% (+10)

 

Thursday:

2D 11:15: 0 / 351

2D 14:15: 0 / 351

2D 17:00: 0 / 344

2D 20:00: 7 / 344

2D 23:15: 0 / 351

 

OV 2D 14:00: 2 / 202

OV 2D 17:15: 2 / 351

OV 2D 20:15: 0 / 642

 

Total: 11 / 2936

 

Friday:

2D 14:15: 0 / 351

2D 17:00: 0 / 344

2D 20:00: 0 / 344

2D 23:15: 0 / 351

 

OV 2D 14:00: 0 / 202

OV 2D 17:15: 0 / 351

OV 2D 20:15: 4 / 642

 

Total: 4 / 2585

 

Saturday:

2D 11:15: 0 / 351

2D 14:15: 0 / 351

2D 17:00: 0 / 344

2D 20:00: 2 / 344

2D 23:15: 2 / 351

 

OV 2D 14:00: 4 / 202

OV 2D 17:15: 0 / 351

OV 2D 20:15: 4 / 642

 

Total: 12 / 2936

 

Sunday:

2D 11:15: 2 / 351

2D 14:15: 0 / 351

2D 17:00: 0 / 344

2D 20:00: 2 / 344

2D 23:15: 0 / 351

 

OV 2D 14:00: 0 / 202

OV 2D 17:15: 1 / 351

OV 2D 20:15: 0 / 642

 

Total: 5 / 2936

 

Total without Previews: 32 / 11393 -> 0.3%

Total with Previews: 62 / 11739 -> 0.5%

45: 0 / 288

 

OV 2D 19:30: 0 / 260

 

Total: 0 / 1259 -> 0%

 

Total without Preview: 0 / 4700 -> 0%

Total with Preview: 47 / 5048 -> 0.9%

 

 

 

2 days out:

Previews: 35 + 47+ 30 = 112

Thursday: 4 + 0 + 11 = 15

Friday: 2 + 0 + 4 = 6

Saturday: 10 + 0 + 12 = 22

Sunday: 0 + 0 + 5 = 5

Total wo Previews: 16 + 0 +32 = 48

Total w Previews: 51 + 47 + 62 = 160

 

So, right now I’d estimate an opening around 150k

 

Now Preview numbers for a bunch of other movies:

Spoiler

Dark Phoenix

CineStar Bremen

Preview on Wednesday 5thJune 20:15

10th May 23:59(T-26): 0 / 425 -> 0.0%

11th May 23:59(T-25): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0)

12th May 23:59(T-24): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0)

13th May 23:59(T-23): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0)

14th May 23:59(T-22): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0)

15th May 23:59(T-21): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0)

16th May 23:59(T-20): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0)

17th May 23:59(T-19): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0)

18th May 23:59(T-18): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0)

19th May 23:59(T-17): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0) (too early to tell)

20th May 23:59(T-16): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0)

21th May 23:59(T-15): 0 / 425 -> 0.0% (+0)

22th May 23:59(T-14): 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+2)

23th May 23:59(T-13): 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0)

24th May 23:59(T-12): 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0)

25th May 23:59(T-11): 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0)

27th May 23:59(T-9): 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0) (7-8% of Aladdin / John Wick)

 

 

CinemaxX Bremen

Preview on Wednesday 5thJune 20:00

14th May 23:59(T-22): 1 / 454 -> 0.0%

15th May 23:59(T-21): 1 / 454 -> 0.2% (+1)

16th May 23:59(T-20): 1 / 454 -> 0.2% (+0)

17th May 23:59(T-19): 1 / 454 -> 0.2% (+0)

18th May 23:59(T-18): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+1)

19th May 23:59(T-17): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0)

20th May 23:59(T-16): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0)

21th May 23:59(T-15): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0)

22th May 23:59(T-14): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0)

23th May 23:59(T-13): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0)

24th May 23:59(T-12): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0)

25th May 23:59(T-11): 2 / 454 -> 0.4% (+0)

27th May 23:59(T-9):6 / 454 -> 1.3% (+4)

 

CineStar Metropolis Frankfurt

Preview on Wednesday 5thJune 20:15

11th May 23:59(T-25): 4 / 642 -> 0.6%

12th May 23:59(T-24): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+2)

13th May 23:59(T-23): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0)

14th May 23:59(T-22): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0)

15th May 23:59(T-21): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0)

16th May 23:59(T-20): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0)

17th May 23:59(T-19): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0)

18th May 23:59(T-18): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0)

19th May 23:59(T-17): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0)

20th May 23:59(T-16): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0)

21th May 23:59(T-15): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0)

22th May 23:59(T-14): 6 / 642 -> 0.9% (+0)

23th May 23:59(T-13): 7 / 642 -> 1.1% (+1)

24th May 23:59(T-12): 7 / 642 -> 1.1% (+0)

25th May 23:59(T-11): 8 / 642 -> 1.2% (+1)

27th May 23:59(T-9): 16 / 642 -> 2.4% (+8) (about 60% of Aladdin / 22% of JW)

 

 

Men In Black International

CineStar Bremen

Preview on Wednesday 12thJune 3D 20:00

24th May 23:59(T-19): 0 / 425 -> 0%

25th May 23:59(T-18): 0 / 425 -> 0% (+0)

27th May 23:59(T-16): 5 / 425 -> 1.2% (+5) (half of Aladdin, 60% of John Wick)

 

 

CineStar Metropolis Frankfurt

Preview on Wednesday 12thJune 3D

24th May 23:59(T-19): OV 20:15:  0 / 624 -> 0%

24th May 23:59(T-19): 20:00: 0 / 642 -> 0%

Total: 0 / 1266

25th May 23:59(T-18): OV 20:15:  2 / 624 -> 0.3%

25th May 23:59(T-18): 20:00: 0 / 642 -> 0%

Total: 2 / 1266 -> 0.2% (+2)

27h May 23:59(T-16): OV 20:15:  3 / 624 -> 0.5%

27th May 23:59(T-16): 20:00: 0 / 642 -> 0%

Total: 2 / 1266 -> 0.2% (+2)

 

Drei Schritte zu dir

CineStar Bremen

Preview on Wednesday 19thJune 19:45

14th May 23:59(T-36): 4 / 572 -> 0.7% (WTF, this is early)

15th May 23:59(T-35): 4 / 572 -> 0.7% (+0)

16th May 23:59(T-34): 4 / 572 -> 0.7% (+0)

17th May 23:59(T-33): 4 / 572 -> 0.7% (+0)

18th May 23:59(T-32): 6 / 572 -> 1% (+2)

19th May 23:59(T-31): 6 / 572 -> 1% (+0)

20th May 23:59(T-30): 6 / 572 -> 1% (+0)

21th May 23:59(T-29): 6 / 572 -> 1% (+0)

22th May 23:59(T-28): 12 / 572 -> 2% (+6)

23th May 23:59(T-27): 12 / 572 -> 2% (+0)

24th May 23:59(T-26): 12 / 572 -> 2% (+0)

25th May 23:59(T-25): 12 / 572 -> 2% (+0)

27th May 23:59(T-23): 20 / 572 -> 3.5% (+8)

 

CinemaxX Bremen

Preview on Wednesday 19thJune 17:00

16th May 23:59(T-34): 0 / 348 -> 0.0%

17th May 23:59(T-33): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+1)

18th May 23:59(T-32): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0)

19th May 23:59(T-31): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0)

20th May 23:59(T-30): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0)

21th May 23:59(T-29): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0)

22th May 23:59(T-28): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0)

23th May 23:59(T-27): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0)

24th May 23:59(T-26): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0)

25th May 23:59(T-25): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0)

27th May 23:59(T-23): 1 / 348 -> 0.3% (+0)

 

CineStar Metropolis Frankfurt

Preview on Wednesday 19thJune 19:45

14th May 23:59(T-36): 1 / 273 -> 0.7% (WTF, this is early)

15th May 23:59(T-35): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+3)

16th May 23:59(T-34): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0)

17th May 23:59(T-33): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0)

18th May 23:59(T-32): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0)

19th May 23:59(T-31): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0)

20th May 23:59(T-30): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0)

21th May 23:59(T-29): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0)

22th May 23:59(T-28): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0)

23th May 23:59(T-27): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0)

24th May 23:59(T-26): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0)

25th May 23:59(T-25): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0)

27th May 23:59(T-23): 4 / 273 -> 1.5% (+0)

 

Long Shot

CineStar Bremen

Preview on Wednesday 19thJune 19:45

 

CinemaxX Bremen

Preview on Wednesday 19thJune 20:15

25th May 23:59(T-25): 6 / 288 -> 2.1%

27th May 23:59(T-23): 6 / 288 -> 2.1% (+0)

 

Pets 2

CinemaxX Bremen

Preview on Sunday 23thJune 15:00

19th May 23:59(T-35): 1 / 505 -> 0.2%

20th May 23:59(T-34): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0)

21th May 23:59(T-33): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0)

22th May 23:59(T-32): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0)

23th May 23:59(T-31): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0)

24th May 23:59(T-30): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0)

25th May 23:59(T-29): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0)

27th May 23:59(T-27): 1 / 505 -> 0.2% (+0)

 

CineStar Metropolis Frankfurt

Preview on Sunday 23thJune 

27thMay 23:59(T-27): 3D 16:30: 0 / 642 -> 0%

27thMay 23:59(T-27): 2D 14:30: 0 / 624 -> 0% 

Total: 0 / 1266 -> 0.9% (+3)

 

 

Spider-Man: Far From Home

CineStar Bremen

Preview on Wednesday 3rdJuly – 3D:

23rdMay 23:59(T-41): 20:00 2 / 425 -> 0.5%

24thMay 23:59(T-40): 20:00 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0)

25thMay 23:59(T-39): 20:00 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0)

27thMay 23:59(T-37): 20:00 2 / 425 -> 0.5% (+0)

 

CinemaxX Bremen

Preview on Wednesday 3rdJuly – 3D:

21th May 23:59(T-43): OV 19:00: 0 / 454 -> 0%

21th May 23:59(T-43): OV 22:30 0 / 454 -> 0%

21th May 23:59(T-43): 19:30: 1 / 505 -> 0.2%

21th May 23:59(T-43): 23:00 0 / 505 -> 0%

Total: 1 / 1918 -> 0.05%

22ndMay 23:59(T-42): OV 19:00: 0 / 454 -> 0%

22ndMay 23:59(T-42): OV 22:30 0 / 454 -> 0%

22ndMay 23:59(T-42): 19:30: 4 / 505 -> 0.8%

22ndMay 23:59(T-42): 23:00 0 / 505 -> 0%

Total: 4 / 1918 -> 0.2% (+3)

23rdMay 23:59(T-41): OV 19:00: 0 / 454 -> 0%

23rdMay 23:59(T-41): OV 22:30 0 / 454 -> 0%

23rdMay 23:59(T-41): 19:30: 4 / 505 -> 0.8%

23rdMay 23:59(T-41): 23:00 0 / 505 -> 0%

Total: 4 / 1918 -> 0.2% (+0)

24thMay 23:59(T-40): OV 19:00: 0 / 454 -> 0%

24thMay 23:59(T-40): OV 22:30 0 / 454 -> 0%

24thMay 23:59(T-40): 19:30: 4 / 505 -> 0.8%

24thMay 23:59(T-40): 23:00 0 / 505 -> 0%

Total: 4 / 1918 -> 0.2% (+0)

25thMay 23:59(T-39): OV 19:00: 0 / 454 -> 0%

25thMay 23:59(T-39): OV 22:30 0 / 454 -> 0%

25thMay 23:59(T-39): 19:30: 10 / 505 -> 1.9%

25thMay 23:59(T-39): 23:00 0 / 505 -> 0%

Total: 10 / 1918 -> 0.5% (+6)

27thMay 23:59(T-37): OV 19:00: 11 / 454 ->2.4%

27thMay 23:59(T-37): OV 22:30 0 / 454 -> 0%

27thMay 23:59(T-37): 19:30: 12 / 505 -> 2.4%

27thMay 23:59(T-37): 23:00 0 / 505 -> 0%

Total: 23 / 1918 -> 1.2% (+13)

 

 

CineStar Metropolis Frankfurt

Preview on Wednesday 3rdJuly 3D:

23rdMay 23:59(T-41): OV 20:00: 0 / 624 -> 0%

23rdMay 23:59(T-41): 20:00 0 / 642 -> 0%

Total: 0 / 1266 -> 0%

24thMay 23:59(T-40): OV 20:00: 4 / 624 -> 0.6% (+4)

24thMay 23:59(T-40): 20:00 4 / 642 -> 0.6% (+4)

Total: 8 / 1266 -> 0.6% (+8)

25thMay 23:59(T-39): OV 20:00: 4 / 624 -> 0.6% (+0)

25thMay 23:59(T-39): 20:00 7 / 642 -> 1.1% (+3)

Total: 11 / 1266 -> 0.9% (+3)

27thMay 23:59(T-37): OV 20:00: 4 / 624 -> 0.6% (+0)

27thMay 23:59(T-37): 20:00 9 / 642 -> 1.4% (+2)

Total: 13 / 1266 -> 1% (+2)

1

 

Edited by Taruseth
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Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

 

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

Aladdin

288.588

667

433

311.886

2.978.515

-

1

2

John Wick 3

285.190

547

521

330.256

3.164.441

-

1

3

Pokémon Detective  Pikachu

140.844

625

225

974.321

8.514.653

-45

3

4

Avengers - Endgame

106.254

559

190

4.763.193

53.804.607

-50

5

5

The Hustle

71.842

529

136

466.316

3.851.763

-38

3

6

Der Fall Collini

28.539

532

54

650.097

5.695.827

-38

6

7

Qu'est-ce qu'on a encore fait au Bon Dieu ?

19.134

407

47

1.187.386

9.721.630

-43

8

8

The Queen's Corgi

16.288

494

33

182.560

1.239.988

-30

4

9

Wonder Park

10.948

471

23

469.016

3.283.462

-31

7

10

After

9.931

281

35

997.590

8.18.056

-46

7

11

Edie

8.773

99

89

15.645

115.163

-

1

12

At Eternity's Gate

8.758

262

33

202.452

1.638.766

-36

6

13

Greta

8.726

169

52

48.206

356.047

-46

2

14

All My Loving

8.593

65

132

12.549

100.708

-

1

15

The Silence

7.368

278

27

33.287

275.685

-63

2

16

Nur eine Frau

5.796

110

53

38.966

319.608

-31

3

17

Photo de Famille

5.113

95

54

24.201

179.645

-40

2

18

Stan & Ollie

4.988

138

36

47.223

356.358

-41

3

19

Dumbo

4.578

289

16

695.578

5.321.948

-53

9

20

Pet Sematary

4.123

181

23

516.226

4.469.210

-53

8

Good for both openers; Aladdin will probably about double Dumbo's total in the end and John Wick 3 opened much higher than the predecessors and has a chance at 1mil total, not bad for a hard actioner. Overall a pretty poor weekend though, if you need less than 10k admissions for the Top10 the market is in trouble.

Next weekend: The big openers will be Rocketman and Godzilla2; expect similar numbers to this week's openers (hopefully a bit higher, >300k would be nice). Also opening: Missing Link, no big prospects here.

Edited by IndustriousAngel
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1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Overall a pretty poor weekend though, if you need less than 10k admissions for the Top10 the market is in trouble. 

The good thing is that last years WE was even worse, we're up from last year around 6% I think and that gap should further grow :)

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4 hours ago, Aristis said:

The good thing is that last years WE was even worse, we're up from last year around 6% I think and that gap should further grow :)

That's not saying much considering how atrocious last year was. :( 

 

But yes, it's at least a little positive sign.

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1 hour ago, miketheavenger said:

That's not saying much considering how atrocious last year was. :( 

 

But yes, it's at least a little positive sign.

Well, at least German BO is not in free fall... I try to be happy about every silver lining. Much more isn't possible with German BO 😕

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7 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Next weekend: The big openers will be Rocketman and Godzilla2; expect similar numbers to this week's openers (hopefully a bit higher, >300k would be nice). Also opening: Missing Link, no big prospects here.

8

On the one hand, they have Christi Himmelfahrt on Thursday, on the other hand, I especially doubt that Rocketman can get that high it at least yesterday looked somewhat muted, maybe that changes and it has good walk-ups, but I wouldn't bet on both movies opening over 300k.

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5 hours ago, Taruseth said:

On the one hand, they have Christi Himmelfahrt on Thursday, on the other hand, I especially doubt that Rocketman can get that high it at least yesterday looked somewhat muted, maybe that changes and it has good walk-ups, but I wouldn't bet on both movies opening over 300k.

At my theater, Rocketman has about 3x the presales of Godzilla2 ... truth be told, neither of them looks like >300k :(

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Presales update:

Godzilla:

Spoiler

Tuesday 28thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Cinestar Bremen

Wednesday – Preview:

3D 20:15: 62 / 425 -> 14.6%  (+0)

 

Thursday:

3D 14:10: 9 / 280

3D 16:20: 15 / 425

3D 20:00: 23 / 322

3D 22:30: 1 / 280

 

Total: 48 / 1307 -> 3.7% (+26)

 

Friday:

3D 14:10: 0 / 280

3D 16:20: 7 / 425

3D 20:00: 29 / 322

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

Total: 36 / 1307 -> 2.8% (+24)

 

Saturday:

3D 14:10: 4 / 280

3D 16:20: 4 / 425

3D 20:00: 11 / 322

3D 22:30: 0 / 280

 

Total: 19 / 1307 -> 1.5% (+13)

 

Sunday:

3D 14:10: 2 / 280

3D 16:20: 4 / 425

3D 20:10: 0 / 322

 

Total: 6 / 1027 -> 0.6% (+4)

 

Weekend without Previews: 109 / 4948 -> 2.2% (+67)

Weekend with Previews: 171 / 5373 -> 3.2% (+67)

 

Tuesday 28thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) CinemaxX Bremen

Wednesday – Preview:

3D 20:15: 72 / 348 -> 20.7% (+27)

 

Thursday:

2D 14:00: 0 / 228

 

OV 2D 22:30: 2 / 92

 

3D 16:45: 1 / 505

3D 20:00: 12 / 505

3D 23:15: 0 / 505

 

Total: 15 / 1835 -> 0.8% (+9)

 

Friday:

2D 14:00: 2 / 228

 

OV 2D 19:30: 7 / 260

 

3D 16:45: 8 / 505

3D 20:00: 13 / 505

3D 22:45: 0 / 260

 

Total: 30 / 1758 -> 1.7% (+12)

 

Saturday:

2D 14:00: 0 / 228

 

3D 16:45: 0 / 505

3D 20:00: 0 / 505

3D 23:15: 0 / 505

 

Total: 0 / 1743 -> 0% (+0)

 

Sunday:

2D 14:00: 2 / 228

 

OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92

 

3D 16:45: 1 / 505

3D 20:00: 0 / 505

3D 23:15: 0 / 505

 

Total: 3 / 1835 -> 0.16% (+0)

 

Total without Preview: 48 / 7171 -> 0.7% (+21)

Total with Preview: 120 / 7519 -> 1.6% (+48)

Tuesday 28thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt

Wednesday – Previews:

3D 20:15: 53 / 624 -> 8.5% (+14)

 

Thursday:

OV 3D 17:05: 10 / 273

OV 3D 20:10: 8 / 273

OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273

 

3D 14:00: 0 / 273

3D 16:45: 15 / 624

3D 19:55: 2 / 624

3D 23:05: 0 / 624

 

Total: 35 / 2964 -> 1.2% (+25)

 

Friday:

OV 3D 17:05: 12 / 273

OV 3D 20:10: 5 / 273

OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273

 

3D 14:00: 2 / 273

3D 16:45: 0 / 624

3D 19:55: 0 / 624

3D 23:05: 0 / 624

 

Total: 19 / 2964 -> 0.64% (+12)

 

Saturday:

OV 3D 17:05: 0 / 273

OV 3D 20:10: 6 / 273

OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273

 

3D 14:00: 2 / 273

3D 16:45: 1 / 624

3D 19:55: 0 / 624

3D 23:05: 0 / 624

 

Total: 9 / 2964 -> 0.3% (+0)

 

Sunday:

OV 3D 17:05: 1 / 273

OV 3D 20:10: 2 / 273

OV 3D 23:15: 0 / 273

 

3D 14:00: 0 / 273

3D 16:45: 9 / 624

3D 19:55: 0 / 624

3D 23:05: 0 / 624

 

Total: 12 / 2964 -> 0.4% (+11)

 

Weekend without Previews: 75 / 11856 -> 0.6% (+48)

Weekend with Previews: 128 / 12480 -> 1% (+62)

 

 

1 day out:

Previews: 62 + 72 + 53 = 187

Thursday: 48 + 15 + 35 = 98

Friday: 36 + 30+ 19 = 85

Saturday: 19 + 0 + 9 = 28

Sunday: 6 + 3 + 12 = 21

Total wo Previews: 109 + 48 +75 = 232

Total w Previews: 171 + 120 + 128 = 419

 

John Wick had double the number without Previews, that would point towards a 150k OWend or so, which should be the closest comparison.

Aladdin was barely ahead (by less than 2%), that would mean an opening around 285k.

In Cinestar Bremen Pika was around 50% higher, that would point towards an OWend of around 270k.

In general, I would rather go with the later as Aladdin is pointing towards that region too but it seems to be a pretty different genre and I have no idea how walk-up friendly Monster movies are in Germany.

So right now I’d say around 200k, not as bad as John Wick suggest but also not as good as Aladdin or Pika suggest (could go all the way up to 300k or open below 180k)

 

Rocketman:

Spoiler

Tuesday 28thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Cinestar Bremen

Wednesday – Preview:

2D 19:30: 39 / 322 -> 12.1% (+4)

 

Thursday:

2D 11:30: 3 / 572

2D 14:20: 0 / 572

2D 17:20: 2 / 572

2D 20:20: 4 / 572

2D 23:00: 0 / 296

 

Total: 9 / 2584 -> 0.35% (+5)

 

Friday:

2D 11:30: 0 / 572

2D 14:20: 0 / 572

2D 17:20: 0 / 572

2D 20:20: 2 / 572

2D 23:00: 0 / 296

 

Total: 2 / 2584 -> 0.08% (+0)

 

Saturday:

2D 11:30: 0 / 572

2D 14:20: 4 / 572

2D 17:20: 2 / 572

2D 20:20: 8 / 572

2D 23:00: 0 / 296

 

Total: 14 / 2584 -> 0.54% (+4)

 

Sunday:

OV 2D 20:20: 0 / 166 (NEW)

 

2D 11:30: 0 / 572

2D 14:20: 0 / 572

2D 17:20: 4 / 572

2D 20:20: 0 / 572

 

Total: 4 / 2454 -> 0.16% (+4)

 

Total without Preview: 29 / 10206 -> 0.28% (+13)

Total with Preview: 68 / 10528 -> 0.5% (+17)

 

Tuesday 28thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) CinemaxX Bremen

Wednesday – Preview:

2D 20:00: 54 / 348 -> 15.5%  (+7)

 

Thursday:

2D 14:00: 0 / 135

2D 16:30: 0 / 288

2D 19:45: 4 / 288

2D 22:45: 0 / 288

 

OV 2D 19:30: 4 / 260

 

Total: 8 / 1259 -> 0%

 

Friday:

2D 14:00: 0 / 135

2D 16:30: 0 / 288

2D 19:45: 0 / 288

2D 22:45: 0 / 288

 

OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92

 

Total: 0 / 1091 -> 0

 

Saturday:

2D 14:00: 0 / 135

2D 16:30: 0 / 288

2D 19:45: 0 / 288

2D 22:45: 0 / 288

 

OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 92

 

Total: 0 / 1091 -> 0%

 

Sunday:

2D 14:00: 0 / 135

2D 16:30: 0 / 288

2D 19:45: 0 / 288

2D 22:45: 0 / 288

 

OV 2D 19:30: 8 / 260

 

Total: 8 / 1259 -> 0%

 

Total without Preview: 16 / 4700 -> 0.34% (+16)

Total with Preview: 70 / 5048 -> 1.4% (+23)

Tuesday 28thMay 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-1) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt

Wednesday – Previews:

3D 20:15: 35 / 346 -> 10.1% (+5)

 

Thursday:

2D 11:15: 2 / 351

2D 14:15: 0 / 351

2D 17:00: 5 / 344

2D 20:00: 17 / 344

2D 23:15: 0 / 351

 

OV 2D 14:00: 4 / 202

OV 2D 17:15: 4 / 351

OV 2D 20:15: 5 / 642

 

Total: 37 / 2936 -> 1.3% (+26)

 

Friday:

2D 14:15: 0 / 351

2D 17:00: 0 / 344

2D 20:00: 6 / 344

2D 23:15: 0 / 351

 

OV 2D 14:00: 0 / 202

OV 2D 17:15: 0 / 351

OV 2D 20:15: 10 / 642

 

Total: 16 / 2585 -> 0-6% (+12)

 

Saturday:

2D 11:15: 0 / 351

2D 14:15: 0 / 351

2D 17:00: 0 / 344

2D 20:00: 4 / 344

2D 23:15: 0 / 351

 

OV 2D 14:00: 4 / 202

OV 2D 17:15: 0 / 351

OV 2D 20:15: 6 / 642

 

Total: 14 / 2936 -> 0.5% (+2)

 

Sunday:

2D 11:15: 2 / 351

2D 14:15: 0 / 351

2D 17:00: 1 / 344

2D 20:00: 2 / 344

2D 23:15: 0 / 351

 

OV 2D 14:00: 0 / 202

OV 2D 17:15: 1 / 351

OV 2D 20:15: 0 / 642

 

Total: 6 / 2936 -> 0.2% (+1)

 

Total without Previews: 73 / 11393 -> 0.6% (+41)

Total with Previews: 108 / 11739 -> 0.9% (+46)

 

 

1 day out:

Previews: 39 + 54+ 35 = 128

Thursday: 9 + 8 + 37 = 4

Friday: 2 + 0 + 16 = 18

Saturday: 14 + 0 + 14 = 28

Sunday: 4 + 8 + 6 = 18

Total wo Previews: 29 + 16 +73 = 118

Total w Previews: 68 + 70 + 108 = 246

 

This is pretty much exactly half of Aladdin (okay that had only one day of presales, while this had 2).

That would mean an opening around 145-150k

John Wick would point towards an opening below 100k and Pikachu in roughly the same area as Aladdin.

 

So I’d say this opens to about 180-200k without Previews.

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4 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

At my theater, Rocketman has about 3x the presales of Godzilla2 ... truth be told, neither of them looks like >300k :(

The ones I looked at Godzilla is about 2x of Rocketman.

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