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BO Germany/Austria: Domestic comedy "Das perfekte Geheimnis" dominates Halloween

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Posted (edited)

 

Spoiler

My estimates August 13th:

B&tB (total) vs TLK (total)

1st Wend: 864k (864k) vs 922k (1131k) -> +58k (+267k)

1st Wdays: 227k (1091k) vs 354k (1485k) -> +127k (+394k) 

2nd Wend: 503k (1594k) vs 631k (2116k) -> +128k (+522k)

2nd Wdays: 141k (1735k) vs 418k (2516k) -> +277k (+781k) 

3rd Wend: 309k (2044k) vs 565k (3098k) -> +256k (+1054k)

3rd Wdays: 112k (2156k) vs 346k (3445k) -> +234k (+1289k)

4th Wend: 216k (2372k) vs 406k (3851k) -> +190k (+1479k) 

4th Wdays: 159k (2531k) vs 250k (4101k) -> +91k (+1542k)*

5th Wend: 216k (2747k) vs 300k (4401k) -> +84k (+1654k)*

5th Wdays: 160k (2907k) vs 120k (4521k)

6th Wend: 153k (3060k) vs 175k (4696k)

6th Wdays: 29k (3089k) vs 45k (4741k)

7th Wend: 72k (3161k) vs 85k (4826k)

7th Wdays: 42k (3203k) vs 20k (4846k)

8th Wend: 47k (3250k) vs 50k (4896k)

8th Wdays: 14k (3264k) vs 10k (4906k)

9th Wend: 32k (3296k) vs 25k (4931k)

9th Wdays: 8k (3304k) vs 5k (4936k)

10th Wend: 20k (3324k) vs 15k (4951k)

10th Wdays: 5k (3329k) vs 3k (4954k)

B&tB added 101k after that. TLK would need 46k to get to 5M

*Corrected these in the old prediction

 

Now 31st August:

B&tB (total) vs TLK (total) (vs prediction)

1st Wend: 864k (864k) vs 922k (1131k) -> +58k (+267k)

1st Wdays: 227k (1091k) vs 354k (1485k) -> +127k (+394k) 

2nd Wend: 503k (1594k) vs 631k (2116k) -> +128k (+522k)

2nd Wdays: 141k (1735k) vs 418k (2516k) -> +277k (+781k) 

3rd Wend: 309k (2044k) vs 565k (3098k) -> +256k (+1054k)

3rd Wdays: 112k (2156k) vs 346k (3445k) -> +234k (+1289k)

4th Wend: 216k (2372k) vs 406k (3851k) -> +190k (+1479k) 

4th Wdays: 159k (2531k) vs 222k (4073k) -> +63k (+1542k) (-28k (-28k))

5th Wend: 216k (2747k) vs 332k (4405k) -> +116k (+1685k) (+32k (+4k))

5th Wdays: 160k (2907k) vs 125k (4529k) -> -35k (+1622k) (+5k (+9k))

6th Wend: 153k (3060k) vs 130k (4659k) -> -23k (+1599k) (-45 (-37k))**

6th Wdays: 29k (3089k) vs 50k (4709k) -> +21k (+1620k) (+5k (-32k))

7th Wend: 72k (3161k) vs 126k (4835k) -> +54k (+1674k) (+41k (+9k))

7th Wdays: 42k (3203k) vs 50k (4885k) -> +8k (+1682k)

8th Wend: 47k (3250k) vs 100k (4985k) -> +53k (+1735k)***

8th Wdays: 14k (3264k) vs 25k (5010k) -> +11k (+1746k) 

9th Wend: 32k (3296k) vs 60k (5070k) -> +26k (+1774k)

9th Wdays: 8k (3304k) vs 15k (5085k) -> +7k (+1781k)

10th Wend: 20k (3324k) vs 30k (5115k) -> +10k (+1791k)

10th Wdays: 5k (3329k) vs 5k (5120k) -> = (+1791k)

B&tB added 101k after that. TLK would need 40k to get to 5.16M and that should mean a finish above Endgame

 

**It's -37k due to rounding all numbers

*** This hold seems both good and not so good at the same time. Weather was good yesterday and should be really great today (everywhere above 30 °C) (where I live 32 °C, next Saturday forecast is 15 °C and rain) and partly great tomorrow. And starting with Sunday evening / Monday rainy and colder everywhere. Which should make an increase possible but It 2 will open and despite TLK being #2 this weekend I don't see it holding onto all screens so it will drop because of that. 

While it failed to get the biggest 6th weekend or week this year, it's 7th weekend should be the biggest, don't know about 7th week but it certainly is possible due to the colder weather compared to the past weekdays.

 

2nd Trend (insidekino):

Some changes, Hollywood down 10k as is Leber. Angel down 15k but good Boys up 10k and H&S up 5k.

Hollywood: 175k (-14.6%)

TLK: 125k (hoping this can get up 10k or so)

Angel Has Fallen: 85k*

Good Boys: 85k

TS4: 60k

H&S: 55k

Leber: 45k

Playmobil: 45k ouch

Mein Lotta-Leben: 27.5k

Late Night: 25k

 

London Has Fallen: 91.6k + 9.5k Previews = 101.1k

Olympus Has Fallen: 45.2k + 22.2k = 67.5k (rounding)

Edited by Taruseth
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3rd Trend

 

MarkG expects today to be better than the last days since weather should be worse, so this Trend is optimistic and we should be cautious...

 

OUATIH 150k (-27%) big drop from the first Trend...

TLK 135k (+4%)

Angel 90k

Good Boys 90k (-5%/-20%)

TS4 80k (-9%)

H&S 65k (-24%)

Playmobil 50k

Leberkäs 45k (-46%)

 

Edited by Aristis
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44 minutes ago, Aristis said:

3rd Trend

 

MarkG expects today to be better than the last days since weather should be worse, so this Trend is optimistic and we should be cautious...

 

OUATIH 150k (-27%) big drop from the first Trend...

TLK 135k (+4%)

Angel 90k

Good Boys 90k (-5%/-20%)

TS4 80k (-9%)

H&S 65k (-24%)

Playmobil 50k

Leberkäs 45k (-46%)

 

The most cautious we should be for the family movies TLK, TS4 and Playmobil as they tend to have Sunday as their strongest day and that means today will determine where they will had more than for the other movies, this doesn't mean that in the end they will have the biggest difference to this trend but if any movie ends up differently its probably going to be one of these.

Really hoping TLK can actually do the 135k weekend and TS4 with an 80k weekend looks almost a tad too optimistic and means that legs in the end should be slightly better than a 3.2x or so but if a movie starts that low it doesn't matter much.

And for Hollywood I think yesterday was a rather awful day and it won't get the same boost today as the family movies will.

Edited by Taruseth

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Weekend estimates (Monday morning):

Hollywood: 155k (-24.5%) (Total 1150k -> headed to 1.5-1.6M)

TLK: 120k (-7.7%) (Total 4.83M -> headed to aprox. 5.25M)

Good Boys: 92.5k (-2.4% / -17.2%) (Total 240k)

Angel Has Fallen: 85k

Toy Story: 80k (-8.7%) (Total 510k -> maybe 800k and close to The Good Dinosaur)

H&S: 65k (-24.7%) (Total 1515k, got past a 3x)

Leber: 50k (-40.3%) (990k)

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Doesn't look like 2019 is seeing much of a recovery on last years terrible returns, despite no major international football tournaments this year.

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Don't know if I will count tomorrow evening as today there was a fire in the local cinema (apparently no of the cinema halls got damaged) and the cinema cut all showings for at least today (all after 3 pm were cut due to safety reasons) and all tomorrow are cut too due to the smoke in the halls. I don't know yet if they will have it back on Wednesday. I guess they will try considering a major blockbuster is opening.

 

7 hours ago, lab276 said:

Doesn't look like 2019 is seeing much of a recovery on last years terrible returns, despite no major international football tournaments this year.

It currently is about 15% ahead of last year (the first quarter was 8% behind, the 2nd was 24% ahead (overall 5% for the first half year), the current quarter is currently 53% (up until 21st August) ahead of the same one last year.

 

TLK and Endgame performing strongly really helped.

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Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

155.845

759

205

1.148.239

11.416.605

-24

3

2

The Lion King

120.147

650

185

4.831.601

44.967.684

-7

7

3

Good Boys

92.477

409

226

239.130

1.894.043

-2

2

4

Angel Has Fallen

86.574

397

218

86.574

803.628

-

1

5

Toy Story 4

79.750

572

139

510.588

3.939.798

-9

3

6

Fast & Furious - Hobbs & Shaw

65.191

512

127

1.515.253

14.040.549

-24

5

7

Leberkäsjunkie

48.932

433

113

992.133

7.960.105

-42

5

8

Playmobil

43.050

568

76

54.839

377.375

-

1

9

Mein Lotta-Leben - Alles Bingo mit Flamingo

27.162

388

70

31.785

207.876

-

1

10

Pets 2

26.762

506

53

2.312.369

17.649.359

+0

10

11

Late Night

14.370

183

79

25.966

206.126

-

1

12

Yesterday

13.142

289

45

711.133

5.922.296

-29

8

13

Benjamin Blümchen

12.774

545

23

330.344

2.153.406

-6

5

14

Crawl

10.815

264

41

54.061

407.337

-44

2

15

Und wer nimmt den Hund?

10.187

180

57

124.085

1.017.727

-5

4

16

Die drei !!!

10.187

412

25

351.273

2.290.765

-17

6

17

Stuber

9.527

274

35

46.762

361.516

-51

2

18

Spider-Man - Far From Home

7.413

156

48

1.748.190

17.098.446

-40

9

19

Der Junge muss an die frische Luft

7.388

72

103

3.741.276

30.972.329

+4

36

20

Gloria

6.563

110

60

30.171

225.953

-25

2

Good holds but poor openers … overall a slow weekend - Good Boys is making up for the low opening and had the best PTA. Playmobil is DOA …

Next weekend: It 2 should win the weekend, just how big it can get I don't know but an opening below 700k would be disappointing after the first one nearly reached 1mil. No new family releases so LionKing & Co should get some breathing space.

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Germany Weekend 35 2019.8.29-9.1 Euro

Rank Name WKBO WKAD Scr TOBO TOAD
1 Once Upon A Time In Hollywood €1,590,609  155,845 759 €11,416,605  1,148,239
2 Lion King, The €1,071,478  120,147 650 €44,967,684  4,831,601
3 Angel Has Fallen €803,628  86,574 397 €803,628  86,574
4 Good Boys €767,630  92,477 409 €1,894,043  239,130
5 Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw €624,140  65,191 512 €14,040,549  1,515,253
6 Toy Story 4 €594,399  79,750 572 €3,939,798  510,588
7 Leberkasjunkie €402,703  48,932 433 €7,960,105  992,133
8 Playmobil: The Movie €299,432  43,050 568 €377,375  54,839
9 Secret Life Of Pets 2, The €181,940  26,762 506 €17,649,359  2,312,369
10 My Life As Lotta €179,436  27,162 388 €207,876  31,785

Spain film Dolor y gloria BO37,865/1,461,428 AD4,642/174,056

Prélude open 45 screen BO19,148 AD2,381

EndGame -83%drop only 30Screen BO3,180/57,467,093 AD355/5,122,436

India Mission Mangal 1screen run BO210/37,849 AD19/3,186

 

Austria Weekend 35 2019.8.29-9.1 Euro

Rank Name WKBO WKAD Scr TOBO TOAD
1 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood €172,297  15,502 95 €1,911,310  179,351
2 Angel Has Fallen €159,856  15,237 58 €208,033  20,188
3 The Lion King €134,982  13,497 91 €7,718,174  753,495
4 Good Boys €105,593  11,170 62 €374,904  41,291
5 Toy Story 4 €77,436  9,419 78 €627,075  70,326
6 Hobbs & Shaw €71,300  6,772 61 €2,300,678  222,058
7 Leberkäsjunkie €57,464  6,082 92 €1,809,318  204,968
8 Playmobil: The Movie €35,302  4,350 69 €51,749  6,250
9 Stuber €25,657  2,739 55 €10,217  11,332
10 Crawl €24,025  2,459 44 €102,055  10,857
Edited by dada
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2 hours ago, IndustriousAngel said:

Next weekend: It 2 should win the weekend, just how big it can get I don't know but an opening below 700k would be disappointing after the first one nearly reached 1mil. No new family releases so LionKing & Co should get some breathing space.

It 2, might try a count tonight but might need to adjust all comps for that if the Cinestar Bremen doesn't have a full schedule because of the fire. Don't know how that will screw everything.

 

Theoretically TLK (considering the hot Saturday and the rather hot Sunday in eastern and southern Germany) should hold with a hold similar to this weekend (-> Total after the weekend 4.98-5M) and the same should go for TS4, so maybe that movie actually will end with okay legs.

 

 

Leberkäs is above 1M adm.

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Cinestar Bremen will stay closed for now because of the fire (they show available showings but they all are blocked). Will try to none the less do a quick count through the other tow and then will adjust the comps.

It gets 7 German and 4 english showings at the metropolis Frankfurt tomorrow and 4 previews tonight. 

At the CinemaxX Bremen 2 preview showings and 6 German and 1 (2 on Saturday and Sunday) english showings.

 

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Here it is:

IT 2:

Spoiler

Wednesday 4thSeptember 2019 23:59 MESZ (T-0) CinemaxX Bremen

Wednesday Previews:

OV 22:45: 49 / 297

22:30: 186 / 342

Total: 235 / 639 -> 36.78%

 

Thursday:

2D 15:00: 3 / 297

2D 17:00: 12 / 186

2D 19:20: 64 / 297

2D 22:30: 17 / 186

 

2D P 20:30: 113 / 342

 

OV 2D 20:00: 72 / 224

Total: 281 / 1532 -> 18.34% 

 

Friday:

2D 15:00: 0 / 297

2D 17:00: 8 / 186

2D 19:20: 37 / 297

2D 22:30: 24 / 186

 

2D P 20:30: 148 / 342

 

OV 2D 20:00: 5 / 224

Total: 222 / 1532 -> 14.49% 

 

Saturday:

2D 15:00: 4 / 297

2D 17:00: 10 / 186

2D 19:20: 43 / 297

2D 22:30: 6 / 186

 

2D P 20:30: 96 / 342

 

OV 2D 11:30: 5 / 297

OV 2D 20:00: 2 / 224

Total: 166 / 1829 -> 9.08% 

 

Sunday:

2D 15:00: 0 / 297

2D 17:00: 4 / 186

2D 19:0: 3 / 297

2D 22:15: 17 / 85

 

2D P 20:30: 18 / 342

 

OV 2D 11:30: 1 / 297

OV 2D 20:00: 2 / 224

Total: 45 / 1728 -> 2.60% 

 

Total: 714 / 6621 -> 10.78%

Total wP: 949 / 7260 -> 13.07%

 

Wednesday 4thSeptember 2019 MESZ (T-0) Cinestar Metropolis Frankfurt

Wednesday Previews:

DF 20:00: 84 / 642

DF OV 20:00: 80 / 624

22:30: 81 / 351

OV 22:30: 49 / 344

Total: 294 / 1961 -> 14.99%

 

Thursday:

2D 14:00: 4 / 344

2D 16:45: 42 / 642

2D 17:45: 9 / 344

2D 19:30: 40 / 351

2D 20:30: 218 / 642

2D 22:15: 16 / 344

2D 23:15: 10 / 351

 

OV 2D 16:15: 16 / 624

OV 2D 20:00: 96 / 624

OV 2D 22:30: 4 / 182

OV 2D 22:30: 3 / 202

 

Total: 458 / 4650 -> 9.85%

 

Friday:

2D 14:00: 4 / 344

2D 16:45: 18 / 642

2D 17:45: 10 / 344

2D 19:30: 47 / 351

2D 20:30: 119 / 642

2D 22:15: 36 / 344

2D 23:15: 12 / 351

 

OV 2D 16:15: 8 / 624

OV 2D 20:00: 103 / 624

OV 2D 22:30: 7 / 182

OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 202

 

Total: 364 / 4650 -> 7.83%

 

Saturday:

2D 14:00: 12 / 344

2D 16:45: 17 / 642

2D 17:45: 10 / 344

2D 19:30: 25 / 351

2D 20:30: 97 / 642

2D 22:15: 10 / 344

2D 23:15: 4 / 351

 

OV 2D 16:15: 19 / 624

OV 2D 20:00: 30 / 624

OV 2D 22:30: 11 / 182

OV 2D 22:30: 6 / 202

 

Total: 241 / 4650 -> 5.18%

 

Sunday:

2D 14:00: 13 / 344

2D 16:45: 28 / 642

2D 17:45: 8 / 344

2D 19:30: 6 / 351

2D 20:30: 20 / 642

2D 22:15: 0 / 344

2D 23:15: 0 / 351

 

OV 2D 16:15: 9 / 624

OV 2D 20:00: 17 / 624

OV 2D 22:30: 2 / 182

OV 2D 22:30: 0 / 113

 

Total: 103 / 4561 -> 2.26%

 

Total TFSS: 1166 / 18511 -> 1.59% 

Total PTFSS: 1460 / 20472 -> 7.13% 

 

Total:

(T-0):

 

Previews: XX + 235 + 294 = 529

Th: XX + 281 + 458 = 739

Fri: XX + 222 + 364 = 586

Sat: XX + 160 + 241 = 401

Sun: XX + 45 + 103 = 148

TFSS: XX + 714 + 1166 = 1880 / 25132 -> 7.48%

PTFSS: XX + 949 + 1460 = 2409 / 27732 -> 8.69%

 

Adjusted adm. (without CS Bremen) only TFSS:

Wend (wo Previews):

Aladdin: 339 => 1600k

John Wick 3: 522 => 1027k

Godzilla: 184 => 1435k

Rocketman: 128 => 1747k

Dark Phoenix: 236 => 988k

MIBI: 162 => 1308k

Five Feet Apart: 59 => 3367k

Spider-Man FFH: 1672 => 488k

TLK: 2142 => 809k

H&S: 625 => 1479k

Hollywood: 1585 => 521k

TS4: 280 => 1600k

 

I think TLK might be a good comp which would mean an opening around 800k (different effects for movies canceling each other out LA vs Sequel, Kids vs Horror etc.). And probably around 60-80k in Previews.

Slightly worrisome is the Hollywood comp as a 521k starts isn't that high und both should have some built in fan base and both are evening heavy movies.

 

And TLK has the second highest number of screens, often in the smaller rooms but I think it should hold at least flat to last weekend and with that stay at #2.

I have no idea how well gut gegen Nordwind will start but I think TLK has a shot at staying #2 next weekend, for 4 weekends at #1 and then 5 weekends at #2.

Edited by Taruseth
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MarkG is often a bit optimistic but this InsideKino forecast would be great to happen for holdovers, I hope IT2 can be a bit higher though...

 

# / WE / drop / cume / prediction for total 

1 700.000 --- 700.000 2.200.000 1 IT2        
2 156.000 +30 5.035.000 5.400.000 8 TLK        
3 140.000 -10 1.360.000 1.700.000 4 OUATIH        
4 104.000 +30 640.000 850.000 4 TS4        
5 92.000 = 360.000 550.000 3 Good Boys        
6 61.000 -30 175.000 300.000 2 Angel Has Fallen        
7 46.000 -30 1.580.000 1.700.000 6 Hobbs & Shaw        
8 44.000 -10 1.065.000 1.150.000 6 Leberkäsjunkie        
9 43.000 -10 115.000 200.000 2 Playmobil        
10 27.000 = 70.000 125.000 2 Mein Lotta-Leben        

 

IT1 opened in 660 cinemas to 937k (4-day) and 1,03M (5-day). This one has a 4-day OW + previews in 650 cinemas.

 

http://www.insidekino.com/DProg/ProgSEP52019.htm

 

I actually hoped its 4-daycould be higher than the first one since that had one day more to burn. But everything above 600k would probably still be OK though I hope it can be closer to 800k...

 

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Thursday actuals:

 

It 2: 100k (€980k ≈ $ 1080k)

Hollywood: 25k (€240k ≈ $265k)

TLK: 17k (€145k ≈ $160k)

Good Boys: 11.6k (€90k ≈ $99k)

Angel Has Fallen: 11k (€95k ≈ $105k)

 

 

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58 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

Thursday actuals:

 

It 2: 100k (€980k ≈ $ 1080k)

Hollywood: 25k (€240k ≈ $265k)

TLK: 17k (€145k ≈ $160k)

Good Boys: 11.6k (€90k ≈ $99k)

Angel Has Fallen: 11k (€95k ≈ $105k)

 

 

IT2 is a little disappointing to me. The first had 130k Thursday after 90k on Wednesday. 700k seems like the target.

 

OUATIH had 30k last week (-17%). Pretty good with competition from IT2.

TLK: 20k LW (-15%). Great drop again.

Good Boys: 12,5k (-7%). Well, when I saw the trailer I thought this should work here :D

Angel: 17k (-31%)

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3 hours ago, Taruseth said:

Thursday actuals:

 

It 2: 100k (€980k ≈ $ 1080k)

Hollywood: 25k (€240k ≈ $265k)

TLK: 17k (€145k ≈ $160k)

Good Boys: 11.6k (€90k ≈ $99k)

Angel Has Fallen: 11k (€95k ≈ $105k)

 

 

 

2 hours ago, Aristis said:

IT2 is a little disappointing to me. The first had 130k Thursday after 90k on Wednesday. 700k seems like the target.

 

OUATIH had 30k last week (-17%). Pretty good with competition from IT2.

TLK: 20k LW (-15%). Great drop again.

Good Boys: 12,5k (-7%). Well, when I saw the trailer I thought this should work here :D

Angel: 17k (-31%)

Thursday estimates insidekino:

IT 2: 600k +40k Previews (a lot weaker than I initially expected, I ignored that they started at 22:30)

Hollywood: 150k (-3.8%)

TLK: 150k (+25%)*

Good Boys: 95k (+2.2%)

TS4: 95k (+18.75%)

 

Good Boys three weekends: 94.8k, 92.5k and now 95k, that are LEGS!

After an awful 2nd weekend drop (221k, 87.6k, 79.75k and now 95k) now three weekends with basically no drop.

TLK down about 55% from the 5th weekend (first 5 weekends had low drops and then a harsh 6th weekend, and now like the other two 3 weekends with good holds 129.9k, 120.1k and now 150k)

 

*Total of around 5030k after the weekend, reached the 5M mark 3 or 4 days faster than Endgame after taking 9 days longer for the 3M mark.

After this weekend TLK should end with a nice but not extraordinary late run but even just adding this weekend 2.5 times (average legs) would mean 375k more so 5.4M. If it holds on nicely to theaters, theaters should drop everything else before it but It 2 (as TLK holds on nicely), it could very well hold on better (~5.6M). Beating Endgame in $ is almost impossible though (would probably need 6M adm, so 1M more after a 150k weekend).

 

Edited by Taruseth
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1 minute ago, Taruseth said:

 

Thursday estimates insidekino:

IT 2: 600k +40k Previews (a lot weaker than I initially expected, I ignored that they started at 22:30)

Hollywood: 150k (-3.8%)

TLK: 150k (+25%)

Good Boys: 95k (+2.2%)

TS4: 95k (+18.75%)

 

Good Boys three weekends: 94.8k, 92.5k and now 95k, that are LEGS!

After an awful 2nd weekend drop (221k, 87.6k, 79.75k and now 95k) now three weekends with basically no drop.

TLK down about 55% from the 5th weekend (first 5 weekends had low drops and then a harsh 6th weekend, and now like the other two 3 weekends with good holds 129.9k, 120.1k and now 150k)

 

As MarkG said: IT2 may be able to do a little more than that if it isn't as frontloaded as Horror mostly is... I hope it may still get some closer to 700k. I'll see it tomorow :)

 

OUATIH at 1,375M after 150k. 1,8M should happen, though probably it won't be able to reach 2M as I hoped...

TLK at 5M+ after Sunday. It will pass AEG by much more than I thought it would. After its (in relative terms) disappointing OW it had great legs. Maybe it can get rather close to 5,5M? That would be around €51M. Therefore it has a chance to beat TLK94 first release without 3D re-release (€50,38M + €5,2M).

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42 minutes ago, Aristis said:

As MarkG said: IT2 may be able to do a little more than that if it isn't as frontloaded as Horror mostly is... I hope it may still get some closer to 700k. I'll see it tomorow :)

 

OUATIH at 1,375M after 150k. 1,8M should happen, though probably it won't be able to reach 2M as I hoped...

TLK at 5M+ after Sunday. It will pass AEG by much more than I thought it would. After its (in relative terms) disappointing OW it had great legs. Maybe it can get rather close to 5,5M? That would be around €51M. Therefore it has a chance to beat TLK94 first release without 3D re-release (€50,38M + €5,2M).

I mean the previews and I still think TLK partly would be a good comp as kids vs out of summer should cancel each other out and not as front loaded should cancel out Wednesday start. In the end it most likely won't do the same from the presales on as TLK in the end is a little more walk up friendly. 

IM for It was 7.15x, thinking It should get somewhat close but stay below as it's Wednesday (only previews for It 2) was weaker so took of less pressure on OD. Furthermore its a Sequel -> frontloaded.

So 650k (between Hollywood comp and TLK comp).

 

It had amazing legs (4-day multi should end up close to a 6x)

Edited by Taruseth

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New trend, insidekino ( It down 40k!!!, Good boys down 5k, TS4 down 15k):

It 2: 600k (560k + 40k Previews)*

TLK: 150k (+25%)**

Hollywood: 150k (-3.8%)

Good Boys: 90k (-2.7%)

TS4: 80k (+0.3%)

Angel has Fallen: 70k (-19.1%)

Leber: 47.5k (-2.9%)

Playmobil: 47.5k (+10.5% / -13.3%)

H&S: 47.5k (-27.1%)

Lotta-Leben: 32.5k (+19.7% / +2.2%)

Pets 2: 30k (+12.1%)

 

Top 10: 1315k (Pets is #11)

 

* This opening would put 2M total in danger, (It multi was 3.4) and 2.5+M is pretty much impossible.

560k*3.3 = 1848k

560k*3.4 = 1904k

560k*3.5 = 1960k

 

** I am honestly hoping for TLK to not drop next weekend because 6M (I know that won't happen) but on the other hand after opening I thought 3.5M or whatever (need to look back) in the leg overview I don't even think I put the possibility of having more than 4.5M total and now it looks like it might do a million more than that.

 

Don't know if I am wrong but it feels like it has the same problem here as it does in the US, the late night showing 10pm and later are in comparison rather weak. Like one would expect them to be the strongest but the strongest are the 8pm showings like it is for every movie outside of kids movies (TLK, Hollywood and H&S for example were all strongest during the evening).

 

EDIT 2:

It, H&S, TS4 etc really make Endgame's and TLK's increase in opening weekend, total (and for TLK legs) to the previous highest movie (IW & B&tB) even more impressive.

Edited by Taruseth
Added some information regarding IT 2 and corrected what the new It prediction actually means.
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3rd trend:

 

#1: It 2: 600k

#2: Lion King: 155k

#3: OuaTiH: 150k

#4: Toy Story 4: 105k

#5: Good Boys: 95k

#6: Angel Has Fallen: 75k

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