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IndustriousAngel

BO Germany/Austria: Domestic comedy "Das perfekte Geheimnis" dominates Halloween

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Rough estimates for Thursday: 
Downtown Abbey 35k admissions
Rambo 26k (these estimates worked very well for AhF and that's why I try it)
It2 21k
Ad Astra 16k

That would be quite good starts given the expectations but first of all the weather is said to be mostly good over the weekend (but it was already sunny here today) and the Oktoberfest starts on Saturday. So the normal multipliers might not work. 
At least after this weekend it's predicted to become worse weatherwise and it's already pretty cold in the evenings.

Edited by el sid
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Thursday numbers

 

#1 Downton Abby 24k / €220k

#2 Rambo 24k / €220k

#3 IT2 23k / €230k (-47%)

#4 Ad Astra 15k / €125k

#5 Nordwind 10k / €85k (-9%) Awesome drop!

 

#6 It's not reported but I suppose thats OUATIH. Last week it had 15k.

 

#7 Systemsprenger 6,5k / €50k

 

#8 Isn't reported either but it should be TLK which had 9k last week. Therefore around 6,25k (-30%)

 

#9 Angry Birds 6k / €45k

Edited by Aristis
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1st Trend

 

IT2 175k (-49%) 1,375M

Downton 140k

Rambo 125k

Angry Birds 100k

Ad Astra 75k

 

Systemsprenger 45k

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2nd trend is up, looks a bit worse than the first one, apart from Angry Birds 2:

 

#1 It 2 175k

#2 Downton Abbey 120k

#3 Rambo 110k

#4 Angry Birds 2 110k

#5 Ad Astra 75k

#6 Gut gegen Nordwind 55k

#7 Once upon a Time... 55k

#8 TLK 50k

#9 Systemsprenger 40k

#10 Good Boys 35k

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Monday numbers

 

IT2 190k (-44%) 1,39M

Downton Abby 120k

Angry Birds 120k The first one had 330k OW (1,445M total) so this one is down 64%...

Rambo 110k

Ad Astra 85k

OUATIH 57,5 (-38%) 1,63M

Nordwind 55k (-13%/-47% i.P.) 195k

TLK 55k (-29%) 5,22M

Systemsprenger 40k

Edited by Aristis
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Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

It 2

189.716

690

275

1.390.091

14.100.187

-44

3

2

Downton Abbey

119.075

418

285

119.265

1.131.532

-

1

3

Rambo - Last Blood

110.912

408

272

110.912

1.024.741

-

1

4

Angry Birds 2

98.310

597

165

119.244

845.654

-

1

5

Ad Astra

85.895

455

189

85.895

811.789

-

1

6

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

58.377

546

107

1.628.686

16.084.802

-37

6

7

Gut gegen Nordwind

53.956

562

96

194.783

1.656.079

-15

2

8

The Lion King

53.691

586

92

5.219.630

48.272.398

-30

10

9

Good Boys

36.561

380

96

505.807

4.007.339

-40

5

10

Systemsprenger

33.029

93

355

43.677

384.712

-

1

11

Toy Story 4

29.980

538

56

746.053

5.596.735

-38

6

12

Angel Has Fallen

27.083

354

77

312.097

2.772.200

-45

4

13

Fast & Furious - Hobbs & Shaw

17.794

267

67

1.670.062

15.466.374

-49

8

14

Leberkäsjunkie

17.734

299

59

1.160.383

9.300.431

-25

8

15

Mein Lotta-Leben - Alles Bingo mit Flamingo

15.436

435

35

130.824

835.490

-24

4

16

Playmobil

13.657

517

26

185.849

1.231.271

-41

4

17

Pets 2

12.039

320

38

2.405.369

18.263.267

-25

13

18

Und der Zukunft zugewandt

7.948

120

66

62.835

494.486

-39

3

19

Und wer nimmt den Hund?

5.587

191

29

176.590

1.429.083

-35

7

20

Die drei !!!

4.765

252

19

373.927

2.423.885

-20

9

Baaad weekend - a LOT of wide openers but none was impressive; the only positive surprise was domestic drama (and academy awards nominee) Systemsprenger which had the highest PTA and made it into the Top10 despite playing in less than 100 venues; nice result but with its serious theme I'm not sure if an expansion will help it much through the next weeks.

Next weekend: Weather is finally turning more harvest-like again which should help family stuff. Accordingly, the favourite for #1 is Shaun the Sheep 2; 200k should be doable and when it turns rainy even more. And it gets competition in Abominable which should also top 100k on OW.

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Germany Weekend 38 2019.9.20-9.22 Euro

Rank Title WKBO WKAD Scr TOBO TOAD
1 IT Chapter Two €1,958,629  189,716 690 €14,100,187  1,390,091
2 Downton Abbey €1,128,207  119,075 418 €1,131,532  119,265
3 Rambo: Last Blood €1,024,741  110,912 408 €1,024,741  110,912
4 Ad Astra €811,789  85,895 455 €811,789  85,895
5 Angry Birds 2 €701,220  98,310 597 €845,654  119,244
6 Once Upon A Time In Hollywood €590,162  58,377 546 €16,084,802  1,628,686
7 Good Against North Wind €485,257  53,956 562 €1,656,079  194,783
8 The Lion King €441,945  53,691 586 €48,272,398  5,219,630
9 Good Boys €300,413  36,561 380 €4,007,339  505,807
10 System Crasher €275,014  33,029 93 €384,712  43,677

 

Austria Weekend 38 2019.9.20-9.22 Euro

Rank Title WKBO WKAD Scr TOBO TOAD
1 IT Chapter Two €197,348  17,397 77 €1,896,470  170,780
2 Rambo: Last Blood €193,110  18,613 64 €239,630  23,329
3 Ad Astra €124,930  11,236 62 €143,519  13,024
4 Angry Birds 2 €123,841  13,745 75 €143,669  15,953
5 Downton Abbey €85,961  8,928 58 €115,181  12,264
6 Good Against North Wind €82,961  8,947 85 €287,866  32,045
7 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood €49,126  4,622 59 €2,502,646  239,917
8 Angel Has Fallen €46,232  4,567 55 €639,526  67,678
9 The Lion King €41,776  4,326 77 €8,233,198  808,841
10 Good Boys €36,002  3,854 47 €690,142  78,219
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Thursday numbers: Nothing really spectacular...

 

#1 Downton Abby 16k (-33%) €145k/$158k

#2 IT2 14k (-39%) €140k/$153k

#3 Rambo 13,5k (-44%) €120k/$131k

#4 Ad Astra 9,5k (-37%) €85k/$93k

#5 Nordwind 8k (-20%) €70k/$76k

 

#6/#7 Systemsprenger 7,5k (+15%!) That's pretty great for a movie that opened bigger than expected last weel already.

#6/#7 The other one is probably OUATIH?

 

#8 Shaun 7k (-40% from its predecessor)

 

Edited by Aristis
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1st Trend:

 

Shaun 150k

IT2 120k (-37%) 1,56M

Downton Abby 100k (-16%) 280k

Rambo 95k (-14%) 250k

Angry Birds 90k (-8%/-24% i.P.) 225k

Abominable 85k

Ad Astra 75k (-13%) 195k

Systemsprenger 50k (+52%/+14%) 130k

 

Hope the next Trend may improve on that - it's raining here all day... Really great for the german Oscar hope!

Edited by Aristis
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3rd Trend:

 

IT2 130k (-32%)

Shaun 130k

Angry Birds 2 100k (+2%/-16%)

Downton Abby 100k (-16%)

Rambo 80k (-28%)

Abominable 75k

Ad Astra 70k (-19%)

OUATIH 50k (-14%)

Nordwind 47,5k (-12%)

TLK 47,5k (-12%)

Systemsprenger 45k (+36%/+2%)

 

With the drop of AB2 it seems it isn't the improved weather that hurts the Shaun the Sheep movie. The first one opened to 317k. This would be nearly 60% down...

Edited by Aristis
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Weekend estimates (Monday morning):

It 2: 130k (31.5%) (total 1570k, 4th week at #1*)

Shaun: 127.5k-130k (147.5k incl. Previews)

Downton Abbey: 105k (-11.8%)

Angry Birds 2: 102.5k (+4.3% / -14.0%)

Rambo: 85k (-23.4%)

Paw Patrol: 85k

Abominable: 82.5k

Ad Astra: 67.5k (-21.4%)

TLK: 52.5k (-2.2%)**

Nordwind: 50k (-6.9%)

OUaTiH: 50k (-14.4%)

Systemsprenger: 45k (+36.4% / +3.0%)

 

* It 2 is the 4th film this year after How To Train Your Dragon 3 that had 4 week, Aladdin which had 5 weeks and TLK which had 4 weeks

** So TLK, for this year, holds best 2nd weekend and then 3-5th week and weekend and 7-11th week and weekend (best 11th week is 53.2k right now after the weekend TLK has about 1k missing) and best 12th week right now is 25.3k (Aladdin) so TLK should get that too.

11 movies above 50k is kinda good. This week is German Unity Day on a Thursday (-> helps the weekend) and with that

Edited by Taruseth
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Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

It 2

132.724

630

211

1.570.457

15.910.216

-30

4

2

Shaun the Sheep 2

131.289

609

216

147.154

1.027.489

-

1

3

Downton Abbey

106.909

487

220

287.095

2.644.457

-10

2

4

Angry Birds 2

103.282

618

167

238.199

1.706.798

+5

2

5

Paw Patrol

84.341

403

209

84.341

421.247

-

1

6

Rambo - Last Blood

84.174

426

198

237.653

2.143.663

-24

2

7

Abominable

83.537

514

163

84.242

641.718

-

1

8

Ad Astra

72.693

233

312

194.441

1.799.108

-15

2

9

The Lion King

53.452

497

108

5.288.758

48.854.963

-0

11

10

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

51.101

455

112

1.704.986

16.820.660

-12

7

11

Gut gegen Nordwind

50.711

601

84

274.753

2.334.873

-6

3

12

Systemsprenger

47.450

173

274

123.106

986.786

+44

2

13

Nurejew - The White Crow

28.672

121

237

31.751

271.246

-

1

14

Toy Story 4

27.514

437

63

779.309

5.828.304

-8

7

15

Good Boys

27.011

310

87

540.494

4.278.418

-26

6

16

Ready or Not

26.863

233

115

42.631

326.513

-

1

17

Angel Has Fallen

20.271

244

83

340.139

3.019.869

-25

5

18

Midsommar

18.693

225

83

32.313

256.609

-

1

19

Leberkäsjunkie

15.716

227

69

1.185.621

9.502.625

-11

9

20

Mein Lotta-Leben - Alles Bingo mit Flamingo

15.598

366

43

148.405

945.843

+1

5

Terrible weekend … drops were ok but the openers, oh my.

Next weekend: Gemini Man (should become #1 but everything above 200k would be a surprise), and domestiv comedy Eine ganz heiße Nummer 2 which might also reach >100k OW even if it's only playing in the south.

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first weekend estimates from insidekino.de:

#1: Gemini - 260k admissions (very nice!)

#2: Shaun2 - 225k (+70%)

#3: Angry2 - 175k (+70%)

 

didn't expect the bad weather to have so much impact - together with the Thu holiday, that's a really strong weekend all around!

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39 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

first weekend estimates from insidekino.de:

#1: Gemini - 260k admissions (very nice!)

#2: Shaun2 - 225k (+70%)

#3: Angry2 - 175k (+70%)

 

didn't expect the bad weather to have so much impact - together with the Thu holiday, that's a really strong weekend all around!

Abominable 150k (+79%), IT2 120k (-10%), Downton Abby 120k (+12%) and maybe five more movies above 50k, among them probably TLK...

 

I'd really like to have a big movie again - that is much more fun to follow. This WE seems great though.

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Thursday numbers:

 

#1 Gemini Man 66k

#2 Shaun 58k

#3 AB2 45k

#4 IT2 33k

#5 Downton Abby 32k

 

#8 Eine ganz heiße Nummer 2 21k

 

#11 Deutschstunde 15k This seems awesome...

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Posted (edited)

2nd Trend:

 

Gemini Man 225k

Shaun 210k (+60%/+43%)

AB2 165k (+60%)

Abominable 135k (+61%)

IT2 120k (-10%)

Downton Abby 100k (-7%)

TLK 85k (+60%)

Eine ganz heiße... 75k

Rambo 65k (-23%)

Ad Astra 55k (-25%)

Systemsprenger 55k (+17%)

OUATIH 50k (-2%)

Deutschstune 50k

Edited by Aristis
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