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IndustriousAngel

BO Germany/Austria: Encanto wins Covid-depressed weekend

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On 10/8/2021 at 8:21 PM, el sid said:

The first trend, quite good holds:

 

#1 NTTD 900k-1M admissions

#2 Dune 125k

#3 Die Pfefferkörner 35k

#4 SC 35k

#5 Paw Patrol 22.5k

 

 

 

17 hours ago, el sid said:

Almost no changes in the second trend, unfortunately a little bit in the wrong direction:

#1 NTTD 900k
#2 Dune 125k/1.25M total admissions including Sunday
#3 Die Pfefferkörner 35k
#4 SC 32.5k
#5 Paw Patrol 22.5k

The sunny weather on Saturday and Sunday is mostly to blame that NTTD doesn't have an (even) better hold. By contrast the weekdays were pretty grey which probably helped the movies, e.g. Dune must have had ca. 65k admissions from Monday to Wednesday (no Bond total numbers reported so far).
 

NTTD I was thinking  should be around 950

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Rth is of course right. The final trend:

 

#1 NTTD 925k (and Mark_G tends to choose the conservative number)

#2 Dune 120k

#3 Die Pfefferkörner 37.5k

#4 SC 30k

5 Paw Patrol 27.5k

Edited by el sid
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Germany's Top12 last weekend:

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

No Time To Die

922.439

838

1.101

2.561.855

28.148.448

-23

2

2

Dune

126.825

643

197

1.254.776

13.411.445

-21

4

3

Die Pfefferkörner und der Schatz …

37.860

528

72

121.139

843.962

-29

2

4

Paw Patrol

34.883

573

61

1.322.758

9.271.245

-33

8

5

Shang-Chi

31.408

342

92

760.166

7.511.050

-21

6

6

Spiral

22.080

328

67

171.957

1.542.562

-18

4

7

After We Fell

19.882

361

55

625.390

5.445.184

-25

6

8

Fireman Sam 5

18.474

581

32

52.090

336.829

-36

2

9

Tom & Jerry

16.064

332

48

613.946

4.314.951

-23

9

10

Schachnovelle

15.015

170

88

82.261

694.197

-24

3

11

Kaiserschmarrndrama

11.501

203

57

1.101.162

9.414.917

-4

10

12

Beckenrand Sheriff

10.215

285

36

170.300

1.396.977

-17

5

Not a single new release in the Top12; No Time To Die dominated the market for a 2nd time. I had hoped for a near-flat number (because of restrictions) but it fell in line with prior Bond releases, so expect something like "only" 5mil admissions in the end. Still a fine hold, of course, and the same goes for Dune. Remarkable hold for domestic crime comedy Kaiserschmarrndrama which crossed 1,1mil total; that's already pretty close to the 1,24mil total of the franchise best-to-date, not bad for a 7th part! (It did also have the highest OW of the franchise …)

Next weekend: While 007 will be in front once more, we'll see some new releases in the Top10 - the 2nd Boss Baby movie should be on #2 (the first one had a 270k OW), and another family release, domestic children's book adaption Die Schule der magischen Tiere, has shown great potential in previews and has a chance at #3. Also opening: The Last Duel and a domestic romcom, Es ist nur eine Phase, Hase.

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I realised autumn school holiday is coming throughout the Germany. Hope this boost the mid-week sales, especially when most of the rain fall during mid-week.

 

Dune is pacing ahead of Tenet but tenet have some really strong hold in week 5 (+9%) and week 6 (-20%) and I am not sure which week can Dune posting some week-to week gain....31st Oct & 1st Nov are regional holiday for some states but at that point of time, even the small gain won't mean much in raw term.

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On 10/12/2021 at 12:31 PM, IndustriousAngel said:

Next weekend: While 007 will be in front once more, we'll see some new releases in the Top10 - the 2nd Boss Baby movie should be on #2 (the first one had a 270k OW), and another family release, domestic children's book adaption Die Schule der magischen Tiere, has shown great potential in previews and has a chance at #3.

well, going by presales (always difficult with family films) #2 and 3 might come out the other way round, the books seem to be pretty popular! and Boss Baby is having extremely few presales at my cinema to date ...

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First estimates for Germany's weekend from insidekino.de:

#1: NTTD - 675k admissions (-27%, so-so drop)

#2: Schule der magischen Tiere - 300k incl. previews (so a 240k OW afaik) - excellent

#3: Dune - 100k (-21%, once more a fine hold)

#4: Boss Baby 2 - 90k, definitely a big disappointment!

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The second trend:

 

#1 NTTD 700k

#2 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 300k

#3 Dune 100k

#4 BB2 90k

#5 Es ist nur eine Phase, Hase 62.5k

#6 The Ice Road 32.5k

#7 Die Pfefferkörner 27.5k

...

The Last Duel 20k

Supernova 11k

Fly 10k

Edited by el sid
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Third trend:

#1 NTTD 725k

#2 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 300k

#3 Dune 92.5k

#4 BB2 90k

#5 Es ist nur eine Phase, Hase 65k

#6 The Ice Road 35k

#7 Pawpatroll 30k

#8 Die Pfefferkörner 25k

 

Better for bond, a bit worse for Dune

Edited by pepsa
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The Monday update:

 

# NTTD 715k/3.645M total admissions so far

#2 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 307.5k

#3 Dune 97.5k/1.41M total admissions

#4 BB2 85k

#5 Es ist nur eine Phase, Hase 62.5k

...

The Ice Road 35k

The Last Duel 20k

Supernova 11k

Fly 10k

 

 

 

 

Edited by el sid
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9 hours ago, el sid said:

The Monday update:

 

# NTTD 715k/3.645M total admissions so far

#2 Die Schule der magischen Tiere 307.5k

#3 Dune 97.5k/1.41M total admissions

#4 BB2 85k

#5 Es ist nur eine Phase, Hase 62.5k

...

The Ice Road 35k

The Last Duel 20k

Supernova 11k

Fly 10k

 

 

 

 

Didn't expect Dune to fall below 100k, but the mid-week number has been strangely strong for Dune like NTTD. Dune should be able to top 1.7m admission that translate to about $20m+   

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36 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Didn't expect Dune to fall below 100k, but the mid-week number has been strangely strong for Dune like NTTD. Dune should be able to top 1.7m admission that translate to about $20m+   

At least where I live it was always the same in the last weeks: super grey weekdays but mixed weekends. Tomorrow (cheap Tuesday) is again predicted to be almost without sunshine which is at least good for the theaters.

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2 hours ago, Elessar said:

Is 2m admissions dead for Dune?

Dead, I don't know, but very very improbable. It's headed to well over 1,5mil (which was far from a given after the OW, but holds have been great despite 007). With Venom next weekend, targeting again a similar demo and screens, it will be difficult indeed. Atm 1,6-1,7mil seems like a sensible goal (meaning it beats Lynch's Dune number) and everything above icing on the cake.

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Germany's Top14 last weekend:

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

No Time To Die

711.700

840

847

3.637.007

39.845.907

-23

3

2

Die Schule der magischen Tiere

246.222

630

391

308.226

2.175.954

-

1

3

Dune

96.747

570

170

1.412.953

14.973.700

-24

5

4

Boss Baby 2

84.947

523

162

84.947

664.524

-

1

5

Es ist nur eine Phase, Hase!

41.548

425

98

63.678

530.056

-

1

6

Paw Patrol

33.388

485

69

1.373.713

9.63.167

-4

9

7

Die Pfefferkörner und der Schatz …

25.834

535

48

161.340

1.118.575

-32

3

8

The Last Duel

20.476

221

93

20.476

210.525

-

1

9

The Ice Road

18.695

247

76

34.642

260.348

-

1

10

Shang-Chi

15.248

235

65

791.293

7.790.459

-51

7

11

Spiral

12.869

237

54

191.215

1.717.343

-42

5

12

Tom & Jerry

12.807

258

50

638.914

4.482.822

-20

10

13

Schachnovelle

12.766

181

71

104.764

880.542

-15

4

14

Fireman Sam 5

12.264

459

27

70.124

452.093

-34

3

Good overall weekend thanks to strong holds and a good opening for domestic children's book adaption Die Schule der magischen Tiere. Disappointing openings for the domestic romcom and especially for Boss Baby 2 which made only 1/3 of its predecessor's OW. Also very low for The Last Duel; embarrassing PTA for Scott …

Next weekend: Two openers with Top5 potential - Venom 2 and Halloween Kills which comes a bit early but should have some success without much competition. The first Venom movie opened to about 300k Thu-Sun but that was pre-Corona and with little competition; let's hope for something like 250k this time (presales at my cinema look lower, though). No new familiy releases this weekend so expect some excellent holds or even increases among those!

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first estimates for Germany's weekend:

#1: NTTD - 450k admissions (-27%)

#2: Venom2 - 350k incl. prev./Wed

#3: Die Schule ... - 215k (-13%)

#4: Helloween Kills - 115k incl. prev./Wed

#5: BossBaby 2 - 70k (-18%)

#6: Dune - 60k (-38%)

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16 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

first estimates for Germany's weekend:

#1: NTTD - 450k admissions (-27%)

#2: Venom2 - 350k incl. prev./Wed

#3: Die Schule ... - 215k (-13%)

#4: Helloween Kills - 115k incl. prev./Wed

#5: BossBaby 2 - 70k (-18%)

#6: Dune - 60k (-38%)

A weekend above spectre for the first time

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Second trend:

#1: NTTD - 475k admissions (-33%)

#2: Venom2 - 350k incl. prev./Wed

#3: Die Schule ... - 225k (-8.6%)

#4: Helloween Kills - 125k incl. prev./Wed

#5: BossBaby 2 - 75k (-12%)

#6: Dune - 65k (-33%)

 

Bacisly all holdovers up a bit, with a small bump for HelloweenKills.

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