BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend

[HH84]

15 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

What?? Why is all the increase with holdovers? Any holiday boost?

Tuesday is Labor Day. Lots of people take tomorrow of for a long weekend and in most, if not all, states there is no school tomorrow. So the the next two days should also be bigger than normal.

[Taruseth]

17 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

What?? Why is all the increase with holdovers? Any holiday boost?

No last weekend Thursday and Friday we had really good weather 26-30°C and Saturday was really good in the south too with 25°C just the north was colder with 20°C but still nice weather and Sunday was 25+°C in whole Germany again with thunderstorms in the evening.

No one goes to the cinemas on such a weekend (which is also the reason why in Germany the Summer Weekends often (even without an EM/WM) are a lot lower than the Winter ones.

 

And that actually isn't such a rare thing to happen, that movies increase after a really good weather weekend.

Especially Thursday and Friday weren't that nice and Saturday was okay. Today is nice though (probably also the reason for the Drop from 1.1M to 1M, though it might come in higher)

 

And the Sunday might have a little help from Labour Day on Tuesday (so monday is a free day in School too)

[titanic2187]

29 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

No last weekend Thursday and Friday we had really good weather 26-30°C and Saturday was really good in the south too with 25°C just the north was colder with 20°C but still nice weather and Sunday was 25+°C in whole Germany again with thunderstorms in the evening.

No one goes to the cinemas on such a weekend (which is also the reason why in Germany the Summer Weekends often (even without an EM/WM) are a lot lower than the Winter ones.

 

And that actually isn't such a rare thing to happen, that movies increase after a really good weather weekend.

Especially Thursday and Friday weren't that nice and Saturday was okay. Today is nice though (probably also the reason for the Drop from 1.1M to 1M, though it might come in higher)

 

And the Sunday might have a little help from Labour Day on Tuesday (so monday is a free day in School too)

So, how will the weather looks like in the coming days?

[Taruseth]

19 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

So, how will the weather looks like in the coming days?

Cold on Tuesday just 13°C in parts of the north and up to 20°C in the south, but rainy in parts of germany at least on Tuesday.

[Aristis]

Numbers came in much higher:

Avengers easily reached 1M with 1,08M until Sunday. And it still has Monday and Tuesday...

 

For comparision, it already passed movies like SM:H (1,01M), WW (780k), JL (630k)...

 

Others:

Jim Knopf 70k (+33%)

Blockers 52,5k (+20%)

A Quiet Place 52,5k (+10%)

Early Men 42,5k / 47,5k

RPO 37,5 (-40%)

Edited April 30, 2018 by Aristis

[IndustriousAngel]

Finally a good weekend (not exceedingly good but at least ok)!

 

I think some of the increases might be thanks to spillover business from the Avengers ...

[Aristis]

AIW had the 26th best OW in € (TP 11,68€, not as high as I thought it would be, it's the same as AOU had in its entire run)

 

24	12.965.392	02	SW2
25	12.561.968	15	THG:MJ2	13.957.463 including previews
26	12.556.887	18	AIW
27	12.477.782	04	HP3
28	12.401.366	15	FSOG	-

 

Just for comparison, the German Top5:

1	25.345.223	15	SW7
2	19.755.398	17	SW8
3	17.733.509	15	FJG2 (local)	-
4	16.666.356	01	HP1
5	16.636.145	12	Skyfall	18.502.953 including previews

 

[Aristis]

$18,6M as of yesterday, so maybe $20,5M to $21M after today (1,45M - 1,5M admissions). May it hit 2M after second weekend or will it drop harder? Going to be good weather...

(AOU had 1,48M admissions after second WE)

[IndustriousAngel]

However big the drop, I think there's little doubt it will become the bestselling MCU movie (99%) AND the first one to reach 3mil total (not yet locked but 95% sure I'd say).

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top20 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Avengers 3	1.075.122	700	1.536	1.075.122	12.556.887	-	1
2	Jim Knopf & Lukas …	67.915	738	92	1.092.903	7.952.133	+29	5
3	Blockers	53.095	524	101	247.779	2.018.118	+22	3
4	A Quiet Place	51.794	465	111	245.072	2.133.188	+9	3
5	Early Man	41.736	628	66	53.671	349.219	-	1
6	Ready Player One	37.848	511	74	542.034	5.853.141	-40	4
7	3 Tage in Quiberon	28.389	202	141	114.487	918.973	+110	3
8	Lady Bird	27.925	158	177	83.467	628.792	+38	2
9	Peter Rabbit	22.931	578	40	1.416.586	9.470.261	+21	6
10	You Were Never Really Here	15.112	99	153	21.539	161.817	-	1
-	MET: Cendrillon	14.233	199	72	14.233	415.459	-	1
11	Fünf Freunde und das Tal …	11.788	422	28	458.804	2.952.905	+38	7
12	Aurore	9.676	84	115	12.001	96.703	-	1
13	Black Panther	8.610	162	53	1.749.754	18.813.130	-16	11
14	Red Sparrow	8.469	176	48	947.902	8.980.675	+3	9
15	The Post	8.212	242	34	1.087.094	9.280.115	+17	10
16	Ghost Stories	6.744	336	20	22.677	193.143	-29	2
17	Transit	6.429	99	65	70.963	549.437	+24	4
18	Midnight Sun	5.458	203	27	250.637	1.937.575	-7	6
19	La Ch'tite famille	5.099	224	23	246.620	2.009.816	-4	6
20	Breathe	4.256	148	29	16.928	135.762	-13	2

 

Finally a good weekend; with the strong opening of Avengers - Infinity War and rebounding older releases, the weekend was even a little bit better than the corresponding one from last year. In Austria, we had a very similar result with Blockers doing especially fine while Jim Knopf doesn't work here. As an aside, Germany has its first blockbuster of 2018: The third Fifty Shades release did finally cross the 3mil treshold; I think it will be replaced as #1 by the Avengers in the forseeable future.

Next weekend: Weather was rather movie-friendly last weekend; the next one looks sunnier so don't expect similar holds. No big openers, everyone was afraid of the Avengers - but some interesting smaller releases which might find their audiences; the widest start (and biggest opener) will probably be Sherlock Gnomes (might be big enough for #2).

[HH84]

 

With 1.53M admissions after 6 day AIW has already more than AOU had after it's 2nd weekend (1.48M).

[Aristis]

AIW has 1,62M admissions / €18,57M opening week compared to AOU 901k and Av1 872k.

 

BP, which did great, has a cume of 1,75M and €18,81M...

[Brainbug]

The buzz is real. Even at my university, where there was no movie talk even when films like The Last Jedi or FJG 3 came out, people talk about Infinity War and that they wanna see it i think the legs will be quite good.

[el sid]

The South-West report is probably a better benchmark how well Avengers: Infinity War will hold this weekend. Last Thursday A: IW had 4.753 admissions in the selected theaters and today 2.038. With not too sunny weather that could mean a pretty good hold.

The Thursday estimates from all regions show ca. ¼ of last Thursday (56k admissions today) but this number is pretty much irrelevant this week because we got no Thursday estimates last week and so I have no idea how reliable they were. And A: IW has so many playtimes what means you don`t have to reservate seats and walk ups could change this number a lot.
Judging from mathäser, I would say sold tickets/reservations looked much better than only ¼ of last Thursday. Tomorrow also looks good.

[Taruseth]

9 hours ago, Brainbug said:

The buzz is real. Even at my university, where there was no movie talk even when films like The Last Jedi or FJG 3 came out, people talk about Infinity War and that they wanna see it i think the legs will be quite good.

What?

No one talked about it at my university, while there were talks about The Last Jedi and FJG3.

[Taruseth]

14 minutes ago, el sid said:

The South-West report is probably a better benchmark how well Avengers: Infinity War will hold this weekend. Last Thursday A: IW had 4.753 admissions in the selected theaters and today 2.038. With not too sunny weather that could mean a pretty good hold.

The Thursday estimates from all regions show ca. ¼ of last Thursday (56k admissions today) but this number is pretty much irrelevant this week because we got no Thursday estimates last week and so I have no idea how reliable they were. And A: IW has so many playtimes what means you don`t have to reservate seats and walk ups could change this number a lot.
Judging from mathäser, I would say sold tickets/reservations looked much better than only ¼ of last Thursday. Tomorrow also looks good.

Weather is supposed to become really, really good and Saturday and Sunday (like 27°C) which will hurt the weekend, so I think it might to about 400k this weekend compared to 600k with really bad weather.

[Brainbug]

4 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

What?

No one talked about it at my university, while there were talks about The Last Jedi and FJG3.

 

The power of anecdotical evidence

 

[el sid]

24 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

Weather is supposed to become really, really good and Saturday and Sunday (like 27°C) which will hurt the weekend, so I think it might to about 400k this weekend compared to 600k with really bad weather.

Yes, I know. I just hope it becomes worse than predicted (I`m in Croatia starting Saturday so bad weather in Germany would be even more ok to me ).

Edited May 3, 2018 by el sid

[IndustriousAngel]

I hope for a little cold ... running a marathon on Sunday but atm it's looking rather warm - obviously cold would be good for the Avengers, too (and for each other release!)

 

my ladyfriend wants to see the Avengers, too - don't know if I can persuade her to wait until next year, she hates cliffhangers and I've not yet seen Early Man.

[el sid]

The first trend looks like that:

#1 A: IW 425k/2.05M including Sunday
no other film over 50k

And some Thursday actuals from Blickpunkt:Film:

The new releases:

Sherlock Gnomes: 2.1k (released in 459 theaters, modest reviews) -> 27.5k OW so far
No Way Out: 1.3k (171, good and very good reviews) -> 32.5k
HERRliche Zeiten: 1.5k (a German comedy-drama, 130, mixed reviews between 4 and 8/10, overall pretty good) -> 10k
7 Days in Entebbe: 1.3k (124, very mixed reviews between 2 and 8/10, overall better than in the USA) -> 15k

The holdovers:

Avengers: Infinity War: 80k (actuals last Thursday 225k)
Jim Knopf & Lukas, der Lokomotivführer: 4.5k whole day (6.2k whole day)
A Quiet Place: 4.5k (6.5k)
3 Tage in Quiberon: 4.5k
Blockers: 3.2k (4k)

Edited May 4, 2018 by el sid