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IndustriousAngel

BO Germany/Austria: H ouse of Gucci wins Covid-depressed weekend

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Opening night and I have to say the Känguru is looking healthy; this might be one of those German comedies that manage to find their audience in Austria, too. Emma and Onward pretty weak (Onward might catch up over the weekend though; Emma seems DOA)

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Thursday numbers:

 

#1 Känguru 35k // €300k / $335k

#2 Invisible Man 10k (-17%) €90k / $100k

#3 Onward 9,5k // €82,5k / $92,5k

#4 Nightlife 9,5k (-50%) €81,5k / $91k

#5 Gentlemen 9k (-14%) €78k / $87,5k

 

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1st Trend:

 

#1 Känguru 305k (4-day), 360k (i.P.)

#2 Onward 150k (i.P.)

#3 Invisible Men 95k (-20%)

#4 Nightlife 95k (-43%)

#5 Sonic 90k (-53%)

#6 Gentlemen 80k (-9%/-27%)

 

Onward is awful and for Känguru Chroniken I had higher hopes too...

Edited by Aristis
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Saturday update: Even lower for the Känguru, higher for Onward (still very low for a Pixar movie but not a complete flop) and most other releases - while there's no real hit atm, at least we have five or six popular releases, nice distribution.

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5 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

700 cases in Germany and will reach 1000 tomm. How come there is no impact at all?

There were some surveys saying that people in Germany don't really fear the virus that much, which is a bit surprising to me too... The only thing that changed seem to be some panic buyings.

Maybe it is because many people trust the government. Especially the health ministers image greatly improved since the beginning of the spreading virus.

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I think there was very little "panic" or fear anyway ... even if the papers headline every day with pictures of people in ABC suits, the population seems much more relaxed 😀 - as long as cinemas stay open, there won't be much impact. The question is IF they stay open; here in Austria some public events (fairs, sports events) have been cancelled and some schools closed; when that happens to  cinemas THEN we'll have the impact.

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5 hours ago, Aristis said:

There were some surveys saying that people in Germany don't really fear the virus that much, which is a bit surprising to me too... The only thing that changed seem to be some panic buyings.

Maybe it is because many people trust the government. Especially the health ministers image greatly improved since the beginning of the spreading virus.

Read more about this and holy shit, Germany is handling this very well. Zero deaths with almost 800 cases now is amazing. Guess having an incredibly well-funded healthcare system helps.

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47 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Read more about this and holy shit, Germany is handling this very well. Zero deaths with almost 800 cases now is amazing. Guess having an incredibly well-funded healthcare system helps.

It also helps that Germany and Austria came pretty late in the chain so the health system was already prepared (different from Italy where the virus obviously had some weeks to spread before the danger became public)

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9 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

It also helps that Germany and Austria came pretty late in the chain so the health system was already prepared (different from Italy where the virus obviously had some weeks to spread before the danger became public)

i think the same tactic  has been used by the other european countries as well

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Weekend Estimates:

 

#1 Känguru 320k (4-day), 375k (i.P.) - 3rd biggest OW of the year

#2 Onward 157,5k (4-day), 185k (i.P.) - 9th biggest OW of the year

 

#3 Sonic 110k (-43%) 1,115M

#4 Nightlife 110k (-35%) 1,025M - 4th 1M+ movie of the year

#5 Invisible Man 100k (-16%) 245k

#6 Gentlemen 65k (-26%/-40%) 205k

#7 Bloodshot 57,5k (i.P.)

#8 Parasite 47,5k (-39%) 937,5k - great drop considering the DVD release was last Thursday

Edited by Aristis
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Germany's Top20 last weekend:

 

title

admissions

th.

PTA

total adm.

total €

drop

week

1

Die Känguru-Chroniken

321.015

689

466

375.044

3.257.347

-

1

2

Onward

157.872

594

266

185.542

1.522.297

-

1

3

Sonic the Hedgehog

110.729

622

178

1.114.753

8.023.008

-42

4

4

Nightlife

109.936

563

195

1.024.749

8.917.506

-34

4

5

The Invisible Man

98.988

412

240

246.599

2.273.207

-17

2

6

The Gentlemen

65.854

348

189

204.767

1.774.865

-25

2

7

Bloodshot

57.475

307

187

57.475

528.681

-

1

8

Parasite

49.218

471

104

932.305

8.161.927

-37

21

9

Lassie

48.719

531

92

298.794

2.030.642

-42

3

10

Playing With Fire

38.707

339

114

116.629

826.222

-45

2

11

Emma

28.022

220

127

36.094

300.561

-

1

12

Bad Boys 3

24.252

269

90

1.697.345

15.910.681

-45

8

13

The Call of the Wild

22.968

351

65

199.734

1.616.069

-54

3

14

Enkel für Anfänger

22.864

456

50

478.052

3.865.450

-53

5

15

Little Women

19.250

320

60

471.531

4.221.012

-32

6

16

Dolittle

16.001

416

38

871.928

7.444.032

-64

6

17

Ip Man 4

15.487

151

103

15.487

160.574

-

1

18

La Vérité

14.623

76

192

19.356

154.506

-

1

19

Die Heinzels

12.837

408

31

320.693

2.109.613

-54

6

20

1917

12.663

254

50

956.106

8.230.352

-54

8

Two new releases at the top but both a bit below expectations … the weekend overall went so-so. Last week's openers had excellent holds, at least!

Next weekend: Domestic literary adaption Narziss und Goldmund will probably tbe the biggest opener but the movie is too serious for a big success I think. Also opening: My Spy and Like a Boss; with the domestic comedies still strong they'll have a difficult task in getting their audience I think.

As to the virus impact: In Austria, public events are forbidden as of now when they are >500 participants (outdoor) or >100 (indoor); no word yet from cinemas but If taken at face value, that should mean they can't sell more than 100 tickets per show. Since most shows are well below that treshold, this would hurt only the best-selling releases or specials with lots of invited people.

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As expected; reaction from chain Cineplexx:

Quote

Der Kinobetreiber Cineplexx will seine Kinos offen halten und Filme nur mit bis zu 95 Karten pro Vorstellung verkaufen, wobei zwischen zwei Zuschauern immer ein Platz frei bleiben soll. "Das haben wir in unserem Online-Reservierungs-Tool bereits veranlasst. Umfassende Hygienemaßnahmen in unseren Standorten sind grundsätzlich auf einem sehr hohen Standard und wurden bereits in den letzten Wochen nochmals verstärkt."

Other chains and single theaters will probably do the same.

So, as mentioned, smaller releases will stay pretty un-affected.

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With things getting more and more unclear, after last weeks Känguru there's another german "hope" opening, Narziss und Goldmund. What I read, the movie cost around €10M. The InsideKino prediction is 80k WE and 250k total - it'll be a huge flop...

 

If really all cinemas close (which in three cities already happened it seems) and stay closed for quite some time, I fear this year could be the first time ever to stay below 100M admissions...

 

There have been 6 deaths yet and we're probably close to 3000 infected. I fear the german reaction to all this isn't very strict. Hopefully the low death count indicates that it isn't that bad...

Edited by Aristis
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Thursday numbers:

 

#1 Känguru 18k (-49%) €154k / $172k

#2 Invisible 6,4k (-36%) €54k / $60k

#3 Nightlife 6,4k (-33%) €54k / $60k

#4 Gentlemen 5,3k (-41%) €45k / $50k

#5 Narziss&Goldmund 5,1k (-) €43k / $48k

Edited by Aristis
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4 hours ago, Aristis said:

1st Trend:

With the uncertainity this might be pessimistic (or not):

 

Känguru 110k (-66%/-71%)

Onward 50k (-68%/-73%)

 

Everything else below 50k

I don't think that is pessimistic, considering the first cities are closing and cinemas and I guess most of western Germany will eventually follow, considering schools and universities are closed in most parts.

 

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